A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
Firms delay write-downs for adverse macroeconomic and industry outcomes but not for firm-specific issues.
Study finds corruption negatively impacts firm performance.
Model shows bailout stigma affects firm funding and market performance.
Study examines how market dynamics affect emissions trading prices and abatement efforts.
We show how different approaches to developing marketing strategies depending on the type of environment a firm faces, where environments are distinguished in terms of their systems properties not their context. Particular emphasis is given to turbulent environments in which outcomes are not a priori predictable and ar…
Higher CEO career breadth correlates with better firm performance.
New distress dictionary improves bankruptcy prediction from disclosure text.
Market competition depends on computational complexity, P != NP makes it impossible.
Study shows climate change can cause a 'run on fossil fuels' affecting prices and production.
The study improves sentiment analysis of 10-K filings, revealing aggregation effects on accuracy and correlation with market outcomes.
The persistence of racial inequality in the U.S. labor market against a general backdrop of formal equality of opportunity is a troubling phenomenon that has significant ramifications on the design of hiring policies. In this paper, we show that current group disparate outcomes may be immovable even when hiring decisio…
We detect lookahead bias in LLM forecasts using a novel statistical method.
Study reveals supply chain correlations in firm growth rates.
Analyzed US firm data 1970-2019, identifying scale effects and distributional forms.
Revisits granular models explaining firm growth rates and sizes.
We develop a probabilistic consumer choice framework based on information asymmetry between consumers and firms. This framework makes it possible to study market competition of several firms by both quality and price of their products. We find Nash market equilibria and other optimal strategies in various situations ra…
Study examines financial structure's impact on non-financial firms' growth in Kenya.
The understanding of complex social or economic systems is an important scientific challenge. Here we present a comprehensive study of the Spanish Stock Exchange showing that most financial firms trading in that market are characterized by a resulting strategy and can be classified in groups of firms with different spe…
An agent-based model for firms' dynamics is developed. The model consists of firm agents with identical characteristic parameters and a bank agent. Dynamics of those agents is described by their balance sheets. Each firm tries to maximize its expected profit with possible risks in market. Infinite growth of a firm dire…
This study assesses how share capital affects financial growth of non-financial firms listed at NSE.
The distribution of firms' growth and firms' sizes is a topic under intense scrutiny. In this paper we show that a thermodynamic model based on the Maximum Entropy Principle, with dynamical prior information, can be constructed that adequately describes the dynamics and distribution of firms' growth. Our theoretical fr…
I study the behavior and the performance of the long-term forecasts issued by financial analysts with respect to the Extrapolation Hypothesis. That hypothesis states that investors, extrapolating from the firms' recent performances, are too optimistic about growth and large firms and too pessimistic about value and sma…
We analyze the size dependence and temporal stability of firm bankruptcy risk in the US economy by applying Zipf scaling techniques. We focus on a single risk factor-the debt-to-asset ratio R-in order to study the stability of the Zipf distribution of R over time. We find that the Zipf exponent increases during market …
Study shows long-term debt impacts financial growth of non-financial firms listed at Nairobi Securities Exchange.
Study assesses short-term debt's impact on non-financial firms' financial growth.
Study finds financial constraints explain zero-leverage firms.
We inject undetectable backdoors into obfuscated neural networks and language models.
Firms with different ownership structures could be argued to have different levels of efficiency.Highly concentrated firms are expected to be more efficient as this type of ownership structure may alleviate the conflict of interest between managers and shareholders.In Malaysia, public-listed firms have been found to ha…
We consider the scaling behaviors for fluctuations of the number of Korean firms bankrupted in the period from August 1 2002 to October 28 2003. We observe a power law for the distribution of the number of the bankrupted firms. The Pareto exponent is close to unity. We also consider the daily increments of the number o…
Both theoretical and applied economics have a great deal to say about many aspects of the firm, but the literature on the extinctions, or demises, of firms is very sparse. We use a publicly available data base covering some 6 million firms in the US and show that the underlying statistical distribution which characteri…
Study optimal incentives for cleaner energy production.
The new business paradigms originate a strong necessity to re-think the theory of the firm with the aim to get a better understanding on the organizational and functional principles of the firm, operating in the investment economies in the prosperous societies. In this connection, we make the innovative research to adv…
We analyze a database comprising quarterly sales of 55624 pharmaceutical products commercialized by 3939 pharmaceutical firms in the period 1992--2001. We study the probability density function (PDF) of growth in firms and product sales and find that the width of the PDF of growth decays with the sales as a power law w…
New method for estimating firm linkages using CVLs and QCML.
We investigate the structure of global inter-firm linkages using a dataset that contains information on business partners for about 400,000 firms worldwide, including all the firms listed on the major stock exchanges. Among the firms, we examine three networks, which are based on customer-supplier, licensee-licensor, a…
Study examines cash conversion cycle in manufacturing firms, finding negative relationships with profitability and size.
A model is presented of the market dynamics to emphasis the effects of increasing returns to scale, including the description of the born and death of the adaptive producers. The evolution of market structure and its behavior with the technological shocks are discussed. Its dynamics is in good agreement with some empir…
Buyer--seller relationships among firms can be regarded as a longitudinal network in which the connectivity pattern evolves as each firm receives productivity shocks. Based on a data set describing the evolution of buyer--seller links among 55,608 firms over a decade and structural equation modeling, we find some evide…
We present a simple model of firm rating evolution. We consider two sources of defaults: individual dynamics of economic development and Potts-like interactions between firms. We show that such a defined model leads to phase transition, which results in collective defaults. The existence of the collective phase depends…
The goal of this study is to determine which strategic model, either IO or RBV, allows firms to generate the highest performance on a competitive market. Contrasting with classical studies that mobilize analyses as VARCOMP, we deploy a multi-agent system simulating the behavior of firms adopting RBV or IO strategic mod…
Firms' collaboration networks can decline but remain resilient.
One dimensional stylized model taking into account spatial activity of firms with uniformly distributed customers is proposed. The spatial selling area of each firm is defined by a short interval cut out from selling space (large interval). In this representation, the firm size is directly associated with the size of i…
Study predicts startup outcomes like funding, patenting, IPOs using machine learning.
The paper analyzes a game where players must balance short-term and long-term interests, leading to cooperative or competitive outcomes.
Using an exhaustive list of Japanese bankruptcy in 1997, we discover a Zipf law for the distribution of total liabilities of bankrupted firms in high debt range. The life-time of these bankrupted firms has exponential distribution in correlation with entry rate of new firms. We also show that the debt and size are high…
Statistical mechanics explains income and wealth distribution in developed economies.
Predicting the outcome of sales opportunities is a core part of successful business management. Conventionally, making this prediction has relied mostly on subjective human evaluations in the process of sales decision making. In this paper, we addressed the problem of forecasting the outcome of business to business (B2…
This paper assesses the role of financial performance in explaining firms' investment dynamics in the wine industry from the three European Union (EU) largest producers. The wine sector deserves special attention to investigate firms' investment behavior given the high competition imposed by the latecomers. More precis…