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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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209417626834 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for finite time behavior

The article explores Helfrich flow with spontaneous curvature, finding singularities and convergence behaviors.

problem Understanding the long-time behavior of Helfrich flow with spontaneous curvature.
method Analyzing the gradient flow of a locally area- and volume-constrained Willmore flow, and applying it to the Helfrich flow.
result For negative spontaneous curvature, the Helfrich flow exhibits finite-time singularities; for positive spontaneous curvature, it converges globally.

Study on Ricci flows of awesome homogeneous spaces, proving finite extinction time.

problem Understanding the long-time behavior of Ricci flows on homogeneous spaces.
method Analyzing Ricci flows on non-compact manifolds, focusing on finite extinction time.
result Ricci flows on non-contractible spaces have finite extinction time, confirming conjecture.

In the following series of papers we analyze the long-time behavior of 3 dimensional Ricci flows with surgery. Our main result will be that if the surgeries are performed correctly, then only finitely many surgeries occur and after some time the curvature is bounded by Ct1C t^{-1}. This result confirms a conjecture of P…

2014-11-24abs ↗pdf ↗

Study finite curvature solutions on surfaces with nonnegative Gauss curvature.

problem Finite total curvature solutions of Liouville equation on surfaces with nonnegative Gauss curvature.
method Analyzes asymptotic behavior of solutions on complete surfaces.
result Two extremal cases identified: Euclidean plane or flat cylinder, with specific decay conditions.

Study on fake stationary Volterra Heston model for non-stationary processes.

problem Non-stationary nature of true Volterra equations.
method Weak notion of stationarity (fake stationary regime) for inhomogeneous affine Stochastic Volterra equations.
result Existence of limiting distributions in the long run, which may depend on initial state.

We show that three-dimensional homogeneous Ricci flow solutions that admit finite-volume quotients have long-time limits given by expanding solitons. We show that the same is true for a large class of four-dimensional homogeneous solutions. We give an extension of Hamilton's compactness theorem that does not assume a l…

2005-09-27abs ↗pdf ↗

We investigate the limiting behavior of the unnormalized Kahler-Ricci flow on a Kahler manifold with a polarized initial Kahler metric. We prove that the Kahler-Ricci flow becomes extinct in finite time if and only if the manifold has positive first Chern class and the initial Kahler class is proportional to the first …

2009-05-07abs ↗pdf ↗

We show precompactness results for solutions to parabolic fourth order geometric evolution equations. As part of the proof we obtain smoothing estimates for these flows in the presence of a curvature bound, an improvement on prior results which also require a Sobolev constant bound. As consequences of these results we …

2011-03-21abs ↗pdf ↗

We study the asymptotic behavior of the pluriclosed flow in the case of left-invariant Hermitian structures on Lie groups. We prove that solutions on 2-step nilpotent Lie groups and on almost-abelian Lie groups converge, after a suitable normalization, to self-similar solutions of the flow. Given that the spaces are so…

2017-12-06abs ↗pdf ↗

New measure quantifies financial erratic behavior.

problem Measuring similarity between erratic financial time series.
method Combining probability distributions and Bayesian change point detection.
result Greater similarity among sectors than countries in erratic behavior.

We investigate the scalar curvature behavior along the normalized conical Kähler-Ricci flow ωtω_t, which is the conic version of the normalized Kähler-Ricci flow, with finite maximal existence time T<T<\infty . We prove that the scalar curvature of ωtω_t is bounded from above by C/(Tt)2C/(T-t)^2 under the existence of a con…

2016-07-11abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper investigates circle patterns with obtuse exterior intersection angles on surfaces of finite topological type. We characterise the images of the curvature maps and establish several equivalent conditions regarding long time behaviors of Chow-Luo's combinatorial Ricci flows for these patterns. As consequences,…

2019-09-08abs ↗pdf ↗

We consider the evolution by mean curvature flow of a closed submanifold of the complex projective space. We show that, if the submanifold has small codimension and satisfies a suitable pinching condition on the second fundamental form, then the evolution has two possible behaviors: either the submanifold shrinks to a …

2015-02-02abs ↗pdf ↗

Imitative and contrarian behaviors are the two typical opposite attitudes of investors in stock markets. We introduce a simple model to investigate their interplay in a stock market where agents can take only two states, bullish or bearish. Each bullish (bearish) agent polls m "friends'' and changes her opinion to bear…

2001-09-21abs ↗pdf ↗

GGP models multivariate time series with latent sub-sequences for diverse behaviors.

problem Modeling multivariate time series with diverse behaviors and patterns.
method Graph Gamma Process (GGP) linear dynamical systems with latent sub-sequences.
result GGP models exhibit good predictive performance and reveal interpretable latent patterns.

We propose a probabilistic modeling framework for learning the dynamic patterns in the collective behaviors of social agents and developing profiles for different behavioral groups, using data collected from multiple information sources. The proposed model is based on a hierarchical Bayesian process, in which each obse…

2016-06-24abs ↗pdf ↗

PH-VAE models heavy-tailed data with flexible Phase-Type distributions.

problem Standard VAEs fail to capture heavy-tailed behavior in real-world data.
method PH-VAE uses Phase-Type distributions defined by continuous-time Markov chains to adaptively model tail behavior.
result PH-VAE significantly outperforms existing heavy-tail-aware VAEs in approximating diverse heavy-tailed distributions.

Detection of power-law behavior and studies of scaling exponents uncover the characteristics of complexity in many real world phenomena. The complexity of financial markets has always presented challenging issues and provided interesting findings, such as the inverse cubic law in the tails of stock price fluctuation di…

2018-03-22abs ↗pdf ↗

We conclude from an analysis of high resolution NYSE data that the distribution of the traded value fif_i (or volume) has a finite variance σiσ_i for the very large majority of stocks ii, and the distribution itself is non-universal across stocks. The Hurst exponent of the same time series displays a crossover from we…

2006-08-02abs ↗pdf ↗

Volterra square-root process boundary behavior and martingale measures

problem Boundary behavior of the Volterra square-root process
method Comparison principles for Volterra integral equations and generalized Riemann-Liouville fractional equations
result Finiteness of negative pp-moments and atom at the boundary for rough kernels

New econometric results for financial duration models under varying tail behaviors.

problem Estimation and inference challenges in financial durations models with random event counts.
method Analysis of likelihood estimators for ACD models, focusing on tail behavior and stationarity.
result Asymptotic normality breaks down for tail indices smaller than one, leading to mixed Gaussian estimators with non-standard rates of convergence.

Method infers causal structure from system behaviors using RKHS and kernel εε-machines.

problem Discovering causal structure in systems with varying external and measurement noise.
method Combines causal states and RKHS for efficient representation and inference of causal structure.
result Robustly estimates causal structure in high-dimensional data with varying noise.

The study examines the long-term behavior of mean curvature flows in closed 3-manifolds.

problem Understanding the long-term behavior of mean curvature flows in closed 3-manifolds.
method The approach involves constructing piecewise almost regular flows and applying perturbative arguments.
result The study constructs minimal surfaces in 3-manifolds via parabolic methods.

Study shows curvature behavior for Kähler-Ricci flow with finite singularities.

problem Analyzing curvature behavior in Kähler-Ricci flow with finite singularities.
method Assumption of holomorphic map and rational cohomology class, proving L4L^4-like estimate and Type II curvature.
result Proves L4L^4-like estimate on Ricci curvature and Type II curvature in L2L^2-sense.

In this paper, we study multi-armed bandit problems in explore-then-commit setting. In our proposed explore-then-commit setting, the goal is to identify the best arm after a pure experimentation (exploration) phase and exploit it once or for a given finite number of times. We identify that although the arm with the hig…

2019-04-30abs ↗pdf ↗

For most positive integer pairs (a,b)(a,b), the topological space $#a{\mathbb C \mathbb P}^2#b{\bar{\mathbb C \mathbb P^2}}$ is shown to admit infinitely many inequivalent smooth structures which dissolve upon performing a single connected sum with S2×S2S^2\times S^2. This is then used to construct infinitely many non-equiva…

2016-07-10abs ↗pdf ↗

Classifies financial risk into three levels based on first passage times.

problem Modeling financial risk under varying conditions with time-varying thresholds.
method Qualitative classification into high, medium, and low risk categories based on first passage time behavior.
result A three-level classification of risk based on the asymptotic behavior of the default function.

We present a plausible micro-founded model for the previously postulated power law finite time singular form of the crash hazard rate in the Johansen-Ledoit-Sornette model of rational expectation bubbles. The model is based on a percolation picture of the network of traders and the concept that clusters of connected tr…

2016-01-28abs ↗pdf ↗

Wide networks with polynomial activations have proven asymptotic behavior.

problem Understanding the behavior of neural networks in the large width limit.
method Proving a conjecture for deep networks with polynomial activation functions.
result Tight bounds on the behavior of wide networks during stochastic gradient descent and derivation of their finite-width dynamics.

This work concerns with the existence and detailed asymptotic analysis of Type II singularities for solutions to complete non-compact conformally flat Yamabe flow with cylindrical behavior at infinity. We provide the specific blow-up rate of the maximum curvature and show that the solution converges, after blowing-up a…

2018-09-14abs ↗pdf ↗

We study the Hermitian curvature flow of locally homogeneous non-Kähler metrics on compact complex surfaces. In particular, we characterize the long-time behavior of the solutions to the flow. We also provide the first example of a compact complex non-Kähler manifold admitting a finite time singularity for the Hermitia…

2019-06-27abs ↗pdf ↗