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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

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221443664885 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for finite sample properties

We study finite sample properties of estimators of power-law cross-correlations -- detrended cross-correlation analysis (DCCA), height cross-correlation analysis (HXA) and detrending moving-average cross-correlation analysis (DMCA) -- with a special focus on short-term memory bias as well as power-law coherency. Presen…

2014-09-24abs ↗pdf ↗

We give a proof of the sublinear tracking property for sample paths of random walks on various groups acting on spaces with hyperbolic-like properties. As an application, we prove sublinear tracking in Teichmueller distance for random walks on mapping class groups, and on Cayley graphs of a large class of finitely gene…

2012-10-27abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper approaches the definition and properties of dynamic convex risk measures through the notion of a family of concave valuation operators satisfying certain simple and credible axioms. Exploring these in the simplest context of a finite time set and finite sample space, we find natural risk-transfer and time-co…

2007-09-03abs ↗pdf ↗

New findings show modern neural networks have finite sample complexity in o-minimal structures.

problem Understanding the learnability of modern neural networks in a broad context.
method Analyzing feedforward neural networks definable in o-minimal structures.
result Modern neural networks, including MLPs, CNNs, GNNs, and transformers, have finite sample complexity in the agnostic PAC setting.

Flexible framework integrates machine learning and DRO for uncertain parameter prediction.

problem Limited joint observations of uncertain parameters and covariates.
method Wasserstein, sample robust optimization, and phi-divergence-based ambiguity sets.
result Validation of theoretical and practical benefits in limited data scenarios.

The paper analyzes how the one-dimensional Wasserstein distance captures pointwise density differences in finite samples.

problem Uncertainty in identifying density differences when supports overlap and densities have substantial pointwise differences.
method Analysis using the Poisson process and neural spike train decoding.
result The one-dimensional Wasserstein distance highlights meaningful density differences related to both rate and support.

This paper finds a unique partition of a sample space for estimating continuous distributions.

problem Estimating continuous probability distributions from finite samples.
method Equal-probability partition of the sample space using order statistics.
result The partition yields an entropy of log2(N+1) bits, providing a discrete entropy estimate.

We show that the sets in a family with finite VC dimension can be uniformly approximated within a given error by a finite partition. Immediate corollaries include the fact that VC classes have finite bracketing numbers, satisfy uniform laws of averages under strong dependence, and exhibit uniform mixing. Our results ar…

2010-07-23abs ↗pdf ↗

We test for departures from normal and independent and identically distributed (NIID) returns, when returns under the alternative hypothesis are self-affine. Self-affine returns are either fractionally integrated and long-range dependent, or drawn randomly from an L-stable distribution with infinite higher-order moment…

2014-01-28abs ↗pdf ↗

A theorem for debiasing machine learning with finite sample guarantees.

problem Calculating confidence intervals for machine learning functionals.
method Debiased machine learning based on bias correction and sample splitting.
result Nonasymptotic debiased machine learning theorem with finite sample guarantees.

To better understand the interplay of censoring and sparsity we develop finite sample properties of nonparametric Cox proportional hazard's model. Due to high impact of sequencing data, carrying genetic information of each individual, we work with over-parametrized problem and propose general class of group penalties s…

2012-07-18abs ↗pdf ↗

Proposes a method to create shorter, more accurate prediction intervals.

problem Challenges in achieving both conditional validity and interval efficiency in complex settings.
method Uses a conformal-style calibration method for neural network responses, adjusting to empirical PIT distribution.
result Demonstrates better conditional calibration and shorter intervals than existing methods.

Paper improves ML estimation from incomplete data with robust M-estimator.

problem Estimating parameters from incomplete data with improved accuracy.
method Developed a robust M-estimator and a sandwich estimator for standard errors.
result Improved estimation accuracy with smaller standard errors than ML estimates.

In Bayesian inference, the posterior distributions are difficult to obtain analytically for complex models such as neural networks. Variational inference usually uses a parametric distribution for approximation, from which we can easily draw samples. Recently discrete approximation by particles has attracted attention …

2018-05-21abs ↗pdf ↗

CNFs learn distributions from samples with error bounds.

problem Learning probability distributions from finite samples.
method Continuous normalizing flows with linear interpolation and flow matching objective function.
result Non-asymptotic error bounds for distribution estimator in Wasserstein-2 distance.

This work analyzes tree-based methods from a ranking perspective, providing insights and new statistics.

problem Understanding the effectiveness of tree-based methods in finite-sample settings, especially symbolic feature selection.
method Local ranking perspective, finite-sample analysis, oracle bounds, posterior contraction results, concordant divergence statistics.
result New insights and statistics for evaluating symbolic feature mappings.

DRIVE improves IV estimation by accounting for distributional uncertainties.

problem Challenges in IV estimation due to untestable model assumptions and poor finite sample properties.
method DRIVE is a distributionally robust IV estimation method that minimizes a square root TSLS objective with a Wasserstein ambiguity set.
result DRIVE achieves consistency without requiring regularization parameter to vanish, ensuring robustness to distributional uncertainties.

Combines observational and randomized data to estimate treatment effects.

problem Estimating heterogeneous treatment effects using only observational data is biased.
method Two-step framework: learn shared structure from observational data, then data-specific structures from randomized data.
result Combining observational and randomized data improves treatment effect estimation.

This paper sets a lower bound for sample complexity in inverse reinforcement learning.

problem Finding a reward function that generates a desired optimal policy in MDPs.
method Information-theoretic lower bound using geometric construction and Fano's inequality.
result An O(nlogn)O(n \log n) sample complexity lower bound for IRL problems.

Optimal sparse recovery with decision stumps achieves strong feature selection guarantees.

problem Sparse recovery of active features from high-dimensional data.
method Analysis of single-depth decision trees (decision stumps) for feature selection in linear regression.
result Tight sample performance guarantees for O(slogp)O(s \log p), improving upon previous bounds.

Neural causal discovery methods fail to accurately uncover causal structures due to the faithfulness property.

problem Accuracy in neural causal discovery is limited, especially when distinguishing between existing and non-existing causal relationships.
method Systematic evaluation of neural causal discovery methods, focusing on their performance in finite sample regimes and their ability to recover ground-truth graphs.
result Neural networks lack the precision to reliably recover ground-truth causal graphs, even for small graphs and large sample sizes.

Validates conformal prediction for network data under non-uniform sampling.

problem Validity of conformal prediction for network data under non-representative sampling.
method Interprets sampling mechanisms as selection rules, studies validity conditional on selection events, uses permutation invariance and joint exchangeability.
result Finite-sample validity of conformal prediction for certain selection events and asymptotic validity for random walk sampling.

Develops a two-sample test using projected Wasserstein distance to handle high-dimensional data.

problem Testing whether two high-dimensional samples come from the same distribution.
method Optimal projection to find a low-dimensional linear mapping that maximizes the Wasserstein distance between projected probability distributions.
result Characterizes the convergence rate of the projected Wasserstein distance and presents practical algorithms.

Unified theoretical guarantees for distribution-free changepoint detection and testing.

problem Distribution-free changepoint inference with finite-sample validity and consistency.
method Distribution-free changepoint localization using conformal p-values with theoretical guarantees.
result Unified distribution-free guarantees for changepoint detection, localization, and testing.

Develops robust MDPs for unknown disturbances with performance guarantees.

problem Unknown disturbance distribution in MDPs.
method Empirical distribution, sublevel set of distance function, weak convergence, concentration inequality.
result Robust optimal value function converges to true optimal value function with increasing sample sizes.

New learning rule for quantum measurement classes overcomes uniform convergence issues.

problem Characterizing learnability of POVM hypothesis classes in quantum settings.
method Introduced a new learning rule called denoised ERM to address uniform convergence issues.
result Characterized learnability conditions and sample complexity bounds for POVM classes.

We study the asymptotic properties of the adaptive Lasso in cointegration regressions in the case where all covariates are weakly exogenous. We assume the number of candidate I(1) variables is sub-linear with respect to the sample size (but possibly larger) and the number of candidate I(0) variables is polynomial with …

2011-04-29abs ↗pdf ↗

We combine aspects of the notions of finite decomposition complexity and asymptotic property C into a notion that we call finite APC-decomposition complexity. Any space with finite decomposition complexity has finite APC-decomposition complexity and any space with asymptotic property C has finite APC-decomposition comp…

2017-09-04abs ↗pdf ↗

Study nonparametric estimator for Markov chain transition matrices in offline setting.

problem Estimating transition matrices of finite controlled Markov chains from logged data.
method Developed sample complexity bounds and conditions for minimaxity.
result Achieving certain statistical risk requires balancing mixing properties and sample size.

This paper improves signal reconstruction using determinantal sampling from random nodes.

problem Approximating square-integrable functions from random node evaluations.
method Combines determinantal point processes and mixtures thereof for RKHS-adapted approximations.
result Proves mean-square guarantees in L2L^2 norm and shows faster convergence rates.

Study properties of self-similar continua with finite intersection property.

problem Characterize self-similar continua with finite intersection property.
method Prove intersection graph criterion, finite order theorem, and parameter matching theorem.
result All Jordan arcs starting from a intersection point in such continuum on a plane should have the same slope parameter at that point.

We study the distribution of the adaptive LASSO estimator (Zou (2006)) in finite samples as well as in the large-sample limit. The large-sample distributions are derived both for the case where the adaptive LASSO estimator is tuned to perform conservative model selection as well as for the case where the tuning results…

2008-01-30abs ↗pdf ↗

We derive and analyze a generic, recursive algorithm for estimating all splits in a finite cluster tree as well as the corresponding clusters. We further investigate statistical properties of this generic clustering algorithm when it receives level set estimates from a kernel density estimator. In particular, we derive…

2017-08-17abs ↗pdf ↗

In this paper, we consider a statistical problem of learning a linear model from noisy samples. Existing work has focused on approximating the least squares solution by using leverage-based scores as an importance sampling distribution. However, no finite sample statistical guarantees and no computationally efficient o…

2015-07-21abs ↗pdf ↗

This work closes the gap between theory and practice for nICA identifiability.

problem Identifying latent components in nonlinearly mixed data.
method Finite-sample analysis of GCL-based nICA, combining GCL properties, statistical generalization, and numerical differentiation.
result Establishes a trade-off between function learner complexity and expressiveness.