MarS simulates financial markets using generative models.
problem Simulating realistic financial market effects.
method Order-level generative foundation model (LMM) for realistic, interactive, and controllable order generation.
result Strong scalability and robust realism in MarS.
Paper uses agent-based simulation to identify investor types in financial markets.
problem Identifying investor types in real financial markets.
method Computational adaptation of PCA with agent-based simulation.
result A reduced set of investor models can approximate financial time series.
Simulation reveals relationships in stock market pyramid schemes.
problem Understanding pyramid scheme behavior in stock markets.
method Agent-based simulation with four investor types and parameters.
result Relationships between main fund's rate of return and trend investors' proportion.
Novel quantum algorithm for financial market modeling.
problem Accurate quantum state preparation for financial simulation.
method Multi-Split-Steps Quantum Walk (multi-SSQW) with PQC and variational solver.
result Highly accurate modeling of complex financial distributions.
New RL framework simulates financial market dynamics.
problem Complex financial market dynamics under various scenarios.
method Two RL families learn simultaneously, using Deep RL and parametrized reward.
result Agents learn a shared policy for diverse behaviors.
fintech-kMC simulates financial platforms for AI/ML model validation.
problem Validation of AI/ML models in real-world financial applications.
method Agent-based model with kinetic Monte Carlo engine.
result Generates realistic synthetic data for testing AI/ML models.
In this paper we propose an Ising model which simulates multiple financial time series. Our model introduces the interaction which couples to spins of other systems. Simulations from our model show that time series exhibit the volatility clustering that is often observed in the real financial markets. Furthermore we al…
Proposes ABIDES-Gym for financial markets simulation.
problem Training multi-agent systems in financial markets.
method Wrapping DEMAS into OpenAI Gym framework.
result Developed two financial markets OpenAI Gym environments.
A new neural network model simulates financial markets without assuming underlying dynamics.
problem Modeling financial time series without assuming underlying dynamics.
method Neural network based generative model using a parsimonious Variational Autoencoder framework.
result Works reliably in small data environments, providing a new performance evaluation metric.
Generative adversarial networks with attention improve financial time series simulation.
problem Limited real financial data for training and evaluation of trading strategies.
method Two generative adversarial networks (GANs) using convolutional networks with attention and transformers.
result Attention-based GANs better reproduce stylized facts and smooth returns autocorrelation.
New simulation model predicts financial market dynamics with high accuracy.
problem Extreme difficulty in financial market projections due to human behavioural complexity.
method Agent-based modeling with a hierarchical knowledge architecture to simulate diverse human groups.
result Simulator achieves 13.29% deviation in crisis scenarios and lower mean square error under normal conditions.
Improved nested simulation for financial risk measurement.
problem Efficiently estimating nested risk measures in financial engineering.
method Reusing inner simulation outputs to improve efficiency and accuracy.
result The proposed approach outperforms standard nested simulation and regression methods.
FinRL-Meta creates diverse market environments for DRL in finance.
problem Inaccurate financial data and diverse market environments challenge DRL in finance.
method Open-source data processing tools, hundreds of market environments, and multiprocessing.
result FinRL-Meta improves DRL accuracy and speed in financial simulations.
LLMs simulate financial markets, revealing consistent trading strategies and market dynamics.
problem Testing financial theories with AI trading agents.
method Simulated stock market with LLMs using a persistent order book and varied strategies.
result LLMs can simulate different trading strategies and market dynamics.
The paper gives picture of enrichment to economic and financial system analysis using agent-based models as a form of advanced study for financial economic data post-statistical-data analysis and micro-simulation analysis. Theoretical exploration is carried out by using comparisons of some usual financial economy syste…
SHIFT simulates realistic financial markets for research and industry.
problem Creating a realistic simulation platform for financial market research.
method Developed a highly realistic financial market simulator with multiple traders and assets.
result Demonstrated that automated agents can produce price processes similar to real markets.
Financial Wind Tunnel generates versatile market data for model testing.
problem Inconsistent market dynamics across different scales and sources.
method Retrieval-augmented diffusion-based simulator integrating macro and micro patterns.
result Enhanced performance and adaptability of downstream models in complex markets.
MarketGPT models financial time series with realistic order flow data.
problem Creating accurate financial market simulations.
method Generative pre-trained transformer (GPT) for long sequence generation.
result Model reproduces key features of real financial markets and stylized facts.
Agent-based model simulates financial market crashes and identifies key factors.
problem Analyzing and understanding flash crashes in financial markets.
method Agent-based modelling approach with calibrated high-frequency financial simulator.
result Model accurately reproduces historical flash crash events and identifies key factors.
This paper presents an evaluation framework that attempts to quantify the "degree of realism" of simulated financial time series, whatever the simulation method could be, with the aim of discover unknown characteristics that are not being properly reproduced by such methods in order to improve them. For that purpose, t…
Study models opaque financial markets using multi-agent simulation.
problem Challenges in financial markets with obscured data availability.
method Multi-agent simulation with small-scale meta-heuristic methods.
result Captures bilateral market dynamics of OTC trading.
Paper reduces expensive financial risk simulations through efficient MOR.
problem Expensive simulations of financial risk models.
method Model order reduction (MOR) using proper orthogonal decomposition (POD) with adaptive greedy sampling.
result MOR approach reduces computational cost for financial risk analysis.
This paper tackles non-identifiability in financial market simulations using multivariate time series data.
problem Non-identifiability issue in social simulation models, leading to indistinguishable simulated time series data.
method Proposes a maximization-based aggregation function to form a new calibration objective function using multiple time series features.
result Significant improvements in alleviating non-identifiability and achieving higher simulation fidelity.
Moate Simulation improves accuracy and speed of financial derivative pricing.
problem Efficiently pricing financial derivatives with high accuracy.
method Discrete time simulation of probability distributions using Moate Simulation.
result Moate Simulation provides highly accurate distributions for financial derivatives pricing.
A new RL framework tackles asset allocation problems using Monte Carlo simulation.
problem Existing asset allocation methods fail to consider portfolio management and financial market characteristics.
method Proposes a new reinforcement learning framework that considers portfolio state and uses Monte Carlo simulation to prevent overfitting.
result The proposed method outperforms benchmarks in various test intervals.
Generative Adversarial Networks simulate realistic market interactions.
problem Lack of agent-level historical data limits market simulation realism.
method Conditional Generative Adversarial Networks (CGANs) trained on real data.
result CGAN-based synthetic market generator outperforms previous methods in market responsiveness and realism.
Study examines if LLMs' trading styles match real market behavior.
problem Lack of behavioral consistency in LLMs' trading strategies.
method Year-long simulations with LLMs, operationalizing behavioral finance drivers, and comparing with financial theory.
result LLMs' strategy switching is only partially consistent with behavioral finance theories.
We perform a large-scale simulation of an Ising-based financial market model that includes 300 asset time series. The financial system simulated by the model shows a fat-tailed return distribution and volatility clustering and exhibits unstable periods indicated by the volatility index measured as the average of absolu…
This tutorial introduces quantum computing for financial portfolio optimization.
problem Combinatorial portfolio optimization in financial markets.
method Application of Quantum Approximate Optimization Algorithm (QAOA) to portfolio optimization.
result Quality of combinatorial portfolio optimization solutions using QAOA on quantum simulator.
Bayesian and simulation methods predict credit default probabilities.
problem Assessing credit risk in large customer portfolios.
method Two-phase approach: Bayesian estimation followed by Monte Carlo simulations.
result Estimation of true default rates through simulations.
Market-GAN adds context control to financial market data generation.
problem Lack of context labels and precision in generating context-aligned financial data.
method Proposes Contextual Market Dataset and Market-GAN architecture integrating GAN, autoencoder, and supervisors.
result Market-GAN outperforms state-of-the-art models in Dow Jones data generation.
Developed scalable ABM for complex financial markets.
problem Simulating large-scale agent-based financial markets.
method Agent-based modeling, distributed computing, continuous double auction.
result Captures statistical properties of real financial markets.
Paper uses Monte Carlo simulations to predict retirement portfolios.
problem Retirement financial planning uncertainty.
method Monte Carlo simulations incorporating inflation, interest rates, etc.
result Probabilistic prediction of IRA and 401(k) values.
Develops efficient methods for approximating densities of financial models with jumps.
problem Approximating densities of affine jump diffusions with state-independent jump intensities.
method Recursive approach for deriving closed-form solutions to moments, constructing density approximations via moment matching.
result Superior computational efficiency and precision in option pricing and simulation compared to existing techniques.
Financial volatility risk and its relation to a business cycle-related intrinsic time is addressed through a multiple round evolutionary quantum game equilibrium leading to turbulence and multifractal signatures in the financial returns and in the risk dynamics. The model is simulated and the results are compared with …
New method calibrates financial market simulators using neural networks.
problem Calibrating market simulators to specific trading periods.
method Neural density estimators and embedding networks.
result Approach accurately identifies high-probability parameter sets.
Model financial markets with social media influences using hierarchical networks.
problem Understanding social media's impact on financial markets.
method Agent-based model with hierarchical influence network.
result Model accurately simulates real-world financial market behaviors.
TraderTalk uses LLMs to simulate human trading interactions in financial markets.
problem Simulating realistic human trading interactions in financial markets.
method Hybrid ABM with LLM-generated behaviors for detailed conversations.
result Successfully replicates trade-to-order volume ratios in financial markets.
A three-state model based on the Potts model is proposed to simulate financial markets. The three states are assigned to "buy", "sell" and "inactive" states. The model shows the main stylized facts observed in the financial market: fat-tailed distributions of returns and long time correlations in the absolute returns. …
The paper studies efficient simulation methods for financial firm values under fast mean-reverting volatility.
problem Estimating the probability of firm default under fast mean-reverting stochastic volatility models.
method Approximations using ergodic averages and central limit theorem corrections for efficient simulation.
result Accuracy of approximations assessed through numerical simulation and payoff function estimation.
A new Python-C++ framework for agent-based simulation.
problem Understanding market dynamics and effects of delays.
method User-friendly Python API with efficient C++ implementation, message-driven architecture.
result Investigated the role of order processing delay in financial markets.
The goal of this article is to describe the concepts of system dynamics and its applications to the simulation modeling of financial institutions daily activity. The hybrid method of the re-engineering of banking business processes based upon combination of system dynamics, queuing theory and tools of ordinary differen…
This work develops an agent-based model for the study of how the leverage through the use of repurchase agreements can function as a mechanism for the propagation and amplification of financial shocks in a financial system. Based on the analysis of financial intermediaries in the repo and interbank lending markets duri…
The pricing of options, warrants and other derivative securities is one of the great success of financial economics. These financial products can be modeled and simulated using quantum mechanical instruments based on a Hamiltonian formulation. We show here some applications of these methods for various potentials, whic…
Quantum models generate financial time series with desired properties.
problem Generating synthetic financial data with temporal correlations.
method Quantum generative adversarial networks (QGANs) with quantum and classical components.
result QGANs can generate financial time series with matching distribution and temporal correlations.
Paper introduces a new method for calibrating ESGs to both historical and forward-looking data.
problem Lack of a generally accepted methodology for calibrating ESGs to forward-looking information.
method Conditional Scenario Simulator framework for consistent calibration of economic and financial variables.
result Framework can embed various financial and macroeconomic models and demonstrate practical examples in frequentist and Bayesian settings.
Quantum-inspired tensor network speeds up financial risk assessment.
problem Efficiently pricing multi-asset derivatives in finance.
method Tensor network algorithms for multi-asset options pricing.
result Tensor network approach yields several orders of magnitude speedup.
Unified HS and related methods with explicit modeling assumptions.
problem Lack of clear assumptions in HS methods for Value-at-Risk.
method Explicitly defined parametric model for asset returns and extraction of innovation process.
result HS and related methods require more assumptions than commonly acknowledged.