Paper introduces a new index to measure financial and workplace resilience of firms.
problem Corporate resilience and its types in turbulent markets.
method Quantitative analysis of earnings expectations and implied discount rates.
result Evidence of workplace resilience amplification by financial status in the COVID-19 era.
This paper measures financial market resilience in China and identifies key uncertainties.
problem Measuring financial market resilience in China.
method Quantitative analysis of total financial market and sub-markets, Diebold-Yilmaz connectedness approach.
result Financial market resilience in China is event-driven and influenced by geopolitical risks, economic and trade policy uncertainty, and U.S.-China tensions.
Measures financial resilience using BSDEs and their properties.
problem Measuring financial resilience in dynamic risk environments.
method Developed stochastic calculus for BSDEs with jumps, revealing resilience rate as expectation of generator.
result Resilience rate can be represented as expectation of BSDE generator, revealing properties of dynamic risk measures.
Study reveals clusters of resilient and vulnerable Spanish agri-food firms post-Ukraine-Russia war.
problem Financial resilience of agri-food companies in Spain during the Ukraine-Russia conflict.
method Cluster analysis using centred log-ratios for compositional data of financial ratios.
result Increase in resilient firms by 2023, highlighting sectoral adaptation to economic challenges.
Global catastrophe risk pools increase financial resilience by diversifying risk and including more countries.
problem Low- to middle-income countries rely heavily on foreign aid for recovery from extreme weather events, which is slow and uncertain.
method Developed a method to form global catastrophe risk pools that maximize risk diversification and select countries with low bilateral correlations or low shares in the pool risk.
result Global pooling increases risk diversification, lowers countries' shares in the pool risk, and increases the number of countries benefiting from risk pooling.
Study finds ESG investments more resilient than traditional equity indices during market turmoil.
problem Resilience of ESG investments during financial instability.
method Daily returns analysis using MGND and EGARCH-in-mean models.
result ESG investments show higher resilience compared to traditional equity indices during crises.
Our knowledge about the evolution of guarantee network in downturn period is limited due to the lack of comprehensive data of the whole credit system. Here we analyze the dynamic Chinese guarantee network constructed from a comprehensive bank loan dataset that accounts for nearly 80% total loans in China, during 01/200…
One of the most defining features of the global financial network is its inherent complex and intertwined structure. From the perspective of systemic risk it is important to understand the influence of this network structure on default contagion. Using sparse random graphs to model the financial network, asymptotic met…
Enhances resilience evaluation by using dynamic convex risk measures.
problem Capturing the full risk profile of financial positions under adverse conditions.
method Introduces a new resilience evaluation method using dynamic convex risk measures.
result Shows that the resilience evaluation can distinguish between positions with the same expected recovery but different conditional risk profiles.
Study clusters Kenyan medical insurance companies based on financial performance and reporting consistency.
problem Identifying financial health and reporting consistency in Kenyan medical insurance companies.
method Advanced clustering techniques (KMeans, DTW) on financial ratios and time series data.
result Four distinct clusters identified, each representing different financial performance and reporting consistency combinations.
Financial markets can be seen as complex systems that are constantly evolving and sensitive to external disturbance, such as systemic risks and economic instabilities. Analysis of resilient market performance, therefore, becomes useful for investors. From a systems perspective, this paper proposes a novel function-base…
Propagation of balance-sheet or cash-flow insolvency across financial institutions may be modeled as a cascade process on a network representing their mutual exposures. We derive rigorous asymptotic results for the magnitude of contagion in a large financial network and give an analytical expression for the asymptotic …
Study solves utility maximization in a transient price impact market.
problem Utility maximization in a market with transient price impact.
method Developed a discrete-time model and removed market depth and resilience process restrictions.
result Solved the utility maximization problem without convexity of attainable portfolio values.
The study assesses how financial networks resist simultaneous price shocks and calculates the worst-case loss.
problem Resilience of financial networks to simultaneous price fluctuations and default contagion.
method Introduced a concept of default resilience margin, ε*, and computed worst-case systemic loss through linear programming.
result Threshold value ε* determines the maximum amplitude of asset price fluctuations the network can tolerate.
We study insolvency cascades in an interbank system when banks are allowed to insure their loans with credit default swaps (CDS) sold by other banks. We show that, by properly shifting financial exposures from one institution to another, a CDS market can be designed to rewire the network of interbank exposures in a way…
In complex systems like financial market, risk tolerance of individuals is crucial for system resilience.The single-security price limit, designed as risk tolerance to protect investors by avoiding sharp price fluctuation, is blamed for feeding market panic in times of crash.The relationship between the critical market…
DARL uses DDPMs to generate synthetic market crash scenarios for robust portfolio optimization.
problem Challenges in capturing complex market dynamics and aligning with diverse investor preferences.
method Synergistic integration of DDPMs and DRL for portfolio management.
result DARL outperforms traditional methods in delivering superior risk-adjusted returns and resilience against crises.
This study analyzes how cryptocurrency networks adapt to financial disruptions.
problem Understanding how cryptocurrency networks respond to financial crises.
method Vertex centrality measures to assess network stability and resilience.
result Different cryptocurrencies experienced shifts in their network roles during the FTX crisis.
Develops a two-layer model to design mortgage assistance products.
problem Designing effective mortgage assistance products to improve household resilience.
method Two-layer approach: simulation and optimization.
result Shows how the approach can design and evaluate mortgage assistance products.
The aim of this paper is to quantify and manage systemic risk caused by default contagion in the interbank market. We model the market as a random directed network, where the vertices represent financial institutions and the weighted edges monetary exposures between them. Our model captures the strong degree of heterog…
Noise-resilient method improves Hurst exponent estimation accuracy in noisy data.
problem Noise degrades accuracy of Hurst exponent estimation methods.
method Noise-Controlled ALPHEE (NC-ALPHEE) using wavelet multi-scale analysis and neural network combination.
result NC-ALPHEE consistently outperforms existing techniques in noisy conditions.
Mathematical framework investigates fire sales amplification and stability.
problem Market instability caused by fire sales amplification.
method Developed a mathematical framework to investigate system characteristics and resilience.
result Characterized systems resilient to small shocks for financial stability assessment.
Model uses Navier-Stokes equations to assess liquidity and systemic risk.
problem Traditional models fail to capture real market fluctuations and extreme events.
method Develops and validates a mathematical model based on Navier-Stokes equations, incorporating 13 macroeconomic and financial parameters.
result Model effectively describes liquidity dynamics, systemic risk, and extreme scenarios.
Regulator allocates buffers to prevent financial contagion in networks with common assets.
problem Containment of default contagion in financial networks with common asset exposures.
method Allocates nonnegative buffer vectors under linear budget constraints to maximize default or insolvency resilience margins or minimize worst-case systemic losses.
result Exact synthesis results for buffer allocation under ℓ∞ and ℓ1 uncertainty sets, showing significant gains over uniform and exposure-proportional allocations. The theory of multilayer networks is in its early stages, and its development provides vital methods for understanding complex systems. Multilayer networks, in their multiplex form, have been introduced within the last three years to analysing the structure of financial systems, and existing studies have modelled and e…
A growing body of studies on systemic risk in financial markets has emphasized the key importance of taking into consideration the complex interconnections among financial institutions. Much effort has been put in modeling the contagion dynamics of financial shocks, and to assess the resilience of specific financial ma…
Paper presents a new method for better financial market forecasting.
problem Traditional investment strategies fail to capture market nuances and risks.
method Combines deep learning, factor integration, and correlated stock analysis.
result Enhanced diversification and performance capture in financial markets.
FinTech negatively impacts Chinese banks' financial sustainability.
problem Impact of FinTech on financial sustainability of Chinese commercial banks.
method Three-stage network DEA-Malmquist model and two-way fixed effects model.
result FinTech primarily undermines financial sustainability by eroding loan efficiency and profitability.
Model shows how banks' hidden-to-maturity accounting can mask run risk and lead to financial instability.
problem Run risk and hidden-to-maturity accounting in banking systems.
method Balance sheet model and optimization problem to assess run risk and resilience.
result Held-to-maturity accounting can mask revaluation losses and increase run risk.
Informer improves option pricing accuracy in volatile markets.
problem Challenges in accurate option pricing due to market volatility and traditional model limitations.
method Applying Informer, a Transformer-based neural network, for option pricing.
result Informer outperforms traditional models in option pricing accuracy.
We provide a methodology, resilient feature engineering, for creating adversarially resilient classifiers. According to existing work, adversarial attacks identify weakly correlated or non-predictive features learned by the classifier during training and design the adversarial noise to utilize these features. Therefore…
Study develops hybrid model to mitigate stablecoin liquidity risk.
problem Increasing integration of stablecoins introduces liquidity risk during market stress.
method Hybrid monetary architecture with 100% reserve backing and liquidity facilities.
result Demonstrates significant reduction in peg deviations and stress persistence.
Agent-based model simulates financial market crashes and identifies key factors.
problem Analyzing and understanding flash crashes in financial markets.
method Agent-based modelling approach with calibrated high-frequency financial simulator.
result Model accurately reproduces historical flash crash events and identifies key factors.
Regulating crypto and DeFi for inclusive economic advancement.
problem Innovative financial systems pose challenges to traditional regulatory frameworks.
method Formulating regulatory structures that balance innovation and consumer protection.
result Regulatory frameworks are essential for leveraging crypto and DeFi for inclusive economic growth.
This paper uses MIS to identify key financial institutions with minimal risk contagion.
problem Mitigating systemic risk during extreme financial events.
method Applying extreme value theory and MIS from graph theory to identify diversified portfolios.
result Identified a subset of institutions with minimal extremal dependence for diversified portfolios.
This paper optimizes cybersecurity resource allocation in networks with heterogeneous attacker and defender valuations.
problem Optimizing cybersecurity resource allocation in networks with heterogeneous attacker and defender valuations.
method Combining strategic behavior of players with contagion dynamics, a method is extended to determine optimal resource allocation based on simple network metrics weighted by risk profiles.
result The asymmetry between attacker and defender valuations drives optimal attack and defense strategies, shaping system resilience.
Python tool assesses European agricultural production resilience.
problem Estimating resilience of European agricultural production systems.
method Python software to compute annual production resilience indicator.
result Demonstrates resilience of European agricultural production.
New framework replicates private equity performance using AI and liquid strategies.
problem Inadequate trust and transparency in private equity markets.
method Advanced graphical models and asymmetric risk adjustments.
result Liquid, scalable solution that closely mimics private equity performance.
The resilience of low-degree Rademacher chaos is studied, providing probabilistic lower bounds.
problem Understanding how much a Rademacher chaos can withstand adversarial sign-flips without significant probability changes.
method Probabilistic lower-bound guarantees for the resilience of Rademacher chaos of arbitrary degree.
result Probabilistic lower-bound guarantees for the resilience of Rademacher chaos of arbitrary degree, especially meaningful for constant degree.
New model shows negative resilience can improve trading efficiency.
problem Optimal trade execution in limit order books with negative resilience.
method Stochastic order book model with negative resilience.
result Negative resilience can lead to more efficient trading.
Proposes resilience metrics for large blackout costs with logarithmic resilience.
problem Large variations in blackout costs make estimating risk impractical.
method Uses mean of log of large blackout costs, tail slope index, and frequency.
result Solves problems of heavy tail and large variations in blackout costs.
QFNN-FFD uses quantum computing and FL for secure financial fraud detection.
problem Financial fraud detection in the financial sector.
method Quantum Federated Neural Network (QFNN-FFD) combining QML and FL.
result Achieves precision rates above 95% and robustness against noise.
Regshock visualizes financial risks to help regulators manage systemic shocks.
problem Managing systemic risks in financial networks.
method Risk-island visualization algorithm and regshock visual exploration approach.
result Demonstrated improved risk management and control capabilities.
This work explores the characteristics of financial contagion in networks whose links distributions approaches a power law, using a model that defines banks balance sheets from information of network connectivity. By varying the parameters for the creation of the network, several interbank networks are built, in which …
SOC theory explains financial volatility and economic shocks.
problem Excess volatility and small shocks causing large disruptions.
method Explains system behavior at critical point with fat-tailed fluctuations.
result SOC theory offers a plausible solution to financial market volatility.
When studying social, economic and biological systems, one has often access to only limited information about the structure of the underlying networks. An example of paramount importance is provided by financial systems: information on the interconnections between financial institutions is privacy-protected, dramatical…
The 1/3 Financial Rule helps prevent household bankruptcy through balanced spending, savings, and debt repayment.
problem Reducing household bankruptcy risk through effective financial planning.
method Mathematical modeling, game theory, behavioral finance, and technological analysis.
result The 1/3 Financial Rule emerges as a robust solution for supporting household financial stability.
Central banks play a key role in promoting sustainable finance.
problem Addressing global environmental and social challenges through sustainable finance.
method Analyzes central banks' influence on financial stability, economic growth, and sustainability.
result Central banks can promote sustainable finance through various strategies.