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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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48 results for financial processes

In Financial Signal Processing, multiple time series such as financial indicators, stock prices and exchange rates are strongly coupled due to their dependence on the latent state of the market and therefore they are required to be jointly analysed. We focus on learning the relationships among financial time series by …

2020-02-11abs ↗pdf ↗

Investigates chaotic financial time series with monthly contributions and devaluation.

problem Analyzing chaotic behavior in financial processes with piecewise contributions and negative interest rates.
method Examines a financial process with monthly contributions and devaluation, showing dichotomy in behavior.
result Financial time series exhibit either periodic sequences or Cantor set of ω-limit points, with chaotic behavior at points of a Cantor attractor.

We present a class of Lévy processes for modelling financial market fluctuations: Bilateral Gamma processes. Our starting point is to explore the properties of bilateral Gamma distributions, and then we turn to their associated Lévy processes. We treat exponential Lévy stock models with an underlying bilateral Gamma pr…

2019-07-23abs ↗pdf ↗

Develops information geometry for Lévy processes in finance.

problem Understanding the statistical properties of Lévy processes for financial modeling.
method Deriving α\alpha-divergences from Lévy triplets, identifying Fisher information matrix and α\alpha-connection.
result Identifies statistical implications and differential-geometric structures of Lévy processes.

Paper discusses how financial institutions' model risk management can benefit academic research.

problem Improving academic research process and mitigating limitations.
method Adopting financial institutions' model risk management practices.
result Lessons from financial institutions can enhance academic research reliability.

Study shows cognitive load impacts financial market efficiency, especially for less sophisticated investors.

problem Cognitive load's effect on financial market information processing.
method Developed a theoretical framework and tested it with exogenous disclosure complexity variation.
result Cognitive load significantly impairs price discovery, particularly for less sophisticated investors.

Model explains stock price bubbles through debt crises and financial crashes.

problem Analyzing financial fragility and stock price bubbles.
method Stock-flow consistent model integrating macroeconomic and financial market dynamics.
result Model demonstrates how credit expansion and crash risk lead to recurrent boom-bust cycles.

We analyze the probability density function (PDF) of waiting times between financial loss exceedances. The empirical PDFs are fitted with the self-excited Hawkes conditional Poisson process with a long power law memory kernel. The Hawkes process is the simplest extension of the Poisson process that takes into account h…

2016-10-27abs ↗pdf ↗

A method uses image processing and deep learning for financial market state prediction.

problem Low signal-to-noise ratio in financial time series data.
method Wavelet transform for denoising, convolutional neural network for pattern extraction.
result Competitive prediction accuracy of market states 'Up' and 'Down' on S&P 500 data.

Study integrates deep learning with financial data for improved trading strategies.

problem Enhancing predictive performance in algorithmic trading and portfolio optimization.
method Developed embedding techniques to treat limit order book snapshots as image-based input channels.
result Achieved state-of-the-art performance in high-frequency trading algorithms.

This study uses AI to analyze financial market coverage from YouTube videos.

problem Challenges in analyzing a large number of financial market videos.
method Used Whisper model to generate text from videos, applied natural language processing.
result Highlights dynamics of financial market coverage and identifies trending topics.

Study shows how heavy-tailed Hawkes processes can model rough volatility in financial markets.

problem Modeling rough volatility in financial markets with heavy-tailed Hawkes processes.
method Established weak convergence of Hawkes process with power-law kernel, derived scaling limit for financial market model.
result Price-volatility process converges weakly to a rough Heston model after rescaling.

New financial price model using earning yield derived from CIR process.

problem Excess volatility and equity premium puzzles in financial markets.
method Proposes a new financial price process based on earning yield and Cox-Ingersoll-Ross (CIR) process.
result Derives analytically stylized facts of financial prices and returns, including power law distribution of returns and fat-tailed distribution of prices.

Study evaluates financial misstatement detection methods, highlighting evaluation process impact.

problem Detecting financial reports with high misstatement risk.
method Proposes a new, realistic evaluation framework focusing on misstatement rarity, time dimension, and detection latency.
result Evaluation process significantly impacts system performance, revealing model and feature type effectiveness.

Extends QHawkes to MQHawkes for analyzing financial co-jumps.

problem Capturing endogenous co-jumps in financial markets.
method Develops MQHawkes process with quadratic kernels, investigates stationarity, and derives Yule-Walker equations.
result Volatility distribution exhibits power-law behavior with computable exponents.

Hawkes processes are a particularly interesting class of stochastic process that have been applied in diverse areas, from earthquake modelling to financial analysis. They are point processes whose defining characteristic is that they 'self-excite', meaning that each arrival increases the rate of future arrivals for som…

2015-07-10abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper introduces a new volatility model for state heterogeneous financial markets using high-frequency data.

problem State heterogeneity in financial volatility processes.
method Developed a state heterogeneous GARCH-Ito (SG-Ito) model based on continuous Ito diffusion process.
result Empirical studies reveal various state heterogeneities in S&P 500 index volatility.

New algorithms use Gaussian processes to optimize stopping times in financial markets.

problem Optimizing stopping times in financial time series with specific applications.
method Gaussian and Deep Gaussian Process models to analytically evaluate optimal stopping value functions and policies.
result Proposed algorithms outperform benchmarks on various financial time series datasets.

Model financial markets using information theory with a single parameter.

problem Capture the complexity of financial markets with a simple model.
method Derive an idealized model based on four information-theoretic assumptions, minimizing surprisal and divergence.
result The model uses squared radial Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes for state variables and their sums.

VERAFI improves financial AI by verifying calculations and compliance.

problem Financial AI systems generate errors and violations during reasoning.
method VERAFI combines dense retrieval, reranking, and automated reasoning policies.
result VERAFI achieves 94.7% factual correctness, 81% relative improvement.

The study visualizes Spanish fish and meat processing companies using financial, environmental, and social ratios.

problem Mapping financial, environmental, and social performance of Spanish processing companies.
method Used compositional data and principal-component analysis biplot for statistical analysis.
result Identified clusters of companies with similar financial, environmental, and social performance.

Quantum computing speeds up analysis of financial stochastic processes.

problem Challenging simulation and analysis of continuous time stochastic processes.
method Established a quantum framework for efficient state preparation and information extraction.
result Extraction of path-dependent and history-sensitive information from stochastic processes efficiently.

Paper forecasts financial trading durations using a new point process model.

problem Forecasting limit order book durations in high-frequency financial data.
method Self-exciting flexible residual point process incorporating empirical distributional features.
result The model achieves strong predictive performance compared to alternative approaches.

We present a computational method for measuring financial risk by estimating the Value at Risk and Expected Shortfall from financial series. We have made two assumptions: First, that the predictive distributions of the values of an asset are conditioned by information on the way in which the variable evolves from simil…

2011-12-13abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper uses Malliavin calculus to price and compute delta of financial derivatives in jump-diffusion models.

problem Pricing and delta computation of financial derivatives in jump-diffusion models with stochastic intensity.
method Utilizes Malliavin calculus to price and compute delta, applying the Euler scheme for convergence analysis.
result Established the convergence of approximated solution, financial derivative, and its delta Greeks.

Novel CMG framework improves financial sentiment forecasting.

problem Challenges in short-term sentiment forecasting of financial OHLC data.
method Integrates chaos theory, Markov chains, and Gaussian processes with transformer models.
result Consistently outperforms traditional models in accuracy and efficiency.

LLM Pro Finance Suite enhances financial NLP with instruction-tuned models.

problem Limited NLP capabilities for financial tasks in generalist models.
method Instruction-tuned large language models fine-tuned on financial data.
result Consistent improvement over state-of-the-art baselines in finance tasks.