Expands robust profit opportunities to include distributional uncertainty.
problem Distributional uncertainty in financial markets.
method Formulates infinite dimensional primal problems, simplifies to finite dimensional dual problems using Wasserstein distance.
result Distributional uncertainty can enhance robustness of profit opportunities.
System detects financial opportunities in tweets with high precision.
problem Detecting valuable financial insights in micro-blogging data.
method Stacked Machine Learning classification system with NLP features.
result System achieves precision up to 83% in detecting financial opportunities.
This review covers AI in finance, challenges, techniques, and opportunities.
problem Challenges and opportunities in AI applications in finance.
method Comprehensive categorization and overview of AI research in finance over decades.
result A dense roadmap of AI challenges, techniques, and opportunities in finance.
Short selling is key to exploiting arbitrage opportunities in financial markets.
problem Theoretical basis for differences in financial service regulations.
method Analyzing semimartingales to show arbitrage opportunities require short selling.
result Arbitrage opportunities can only be exploited through short selling.
It is shown that absence of arbitrage opportunity in financial markets is a particular case of existence of uncertainty in decision system. Absence of arbitrage opportunity is considered in the sense of the Arrow-Debreu model of financial market with a riskless asset, while uncertainty (or ambiguity) is defined on the …
GenAI offers financial benefits but requires risk management.
problem Managing risks in financial applications of AI.
method Balancing AI's potential with risk control strategies.
result Proper risk management is essential for AI growth in finance.
An arbitrage strategy allows a financial agent to make certain profit out of nothing, i.e., out of zero initial investment. This has to be disallowed on economic basis if the market is in equilibrium state, as opportunities for riskless profit would result in an instantaneous movement of prices of certain financial ins…
Neural networks can find financial arbitrage opportunities without needing market models.
problem Finding arbitrage opportunities in financial markets without using market models.
method Used neural networks to solve convex semi-infinite programs and detect arbitrage opportunities.
result Neural networks can detect model-free static arbitrage strategies in financial markets.
This paper intends to present the opportunities emerging for the national economy, out of the financial crisis. In particular the management of those, which arise from the commercial real estate owned property sector, defined by the author as crisis heritage management. On one hand, as real estate property prices are s…
Bayesian inference identifies model parameters from financial data to detect arbitrage opportunities.
problem Identifying model parameters from financial data to detect arbitrage opportunities.
method Bayesian inference approach using Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) algorithm.
result Bayesian inference can estimate unknown trend and volatility coefficients from measured data.
Study financial contracts pricing in markets with nonproportional costs and constraints.
problem Financial contract pricing in markets with nonproportional transaction costs and portfolio constraints.
method Direct and dual characterization of market-consistent prices with acceptable risk thresholds.
result Extension of the Fundamental Theorem of Asset Pricing to include good deals and scalable good deals.
Cryptocurrencies use blockchain tech for secure transactions, offering new research opportunities.
problem Misunderstanding of cryptocurrency technology and lack of empirical data.
method Analyzing detailed transaction data and summarizing statistics.
result Opportunity for academic research in financial economics.
We explore the role that random arbitrage opportunities play in hedging financial derivatives. We extend the asymptotic pricing theory presented by Fedotov and Panayides [Stochastic arbitrage return and its implication for option pricing, Physica A 345 (2005), 207-217] for the case of hedging a derivative when arbitrag…
We study the utility maximization problem for power utility random fields in a semimartingale financial market, with and without intermediate consumption. The notion of an opportunity process is introduced as a reduced form of the value process of the resulting stochastic control problem. We show how the opportunity pr…
Paper uses GNNs to efficiently detect profitable triangular arbitrage opportunities.
problem Detecting profitable triangular arbitrage opportunities in dynamic markets.
method Formulate the problem as a graph-based optimization task and use a GNN architecture to capture complex relationships.
result GNN-based method achieves higher average yield with reduced computational time compared to traditional methods.
System detects financial forecasts in tweets, achieving high precision.
problem Detecting financial forecasts in social media messages.
method Natural Language Processing and Machine Learning techniques for real-time analysis.
result Achieves over 90% precision for financial forecasts.
Detects arbitrage in multi-asset derivatives markets.
problem Identifying arbitrage opportunities in multi-asset derivative markets.
method Using bijection between equivalent martingale measures and copulas, derived sufficient conditions for no-arbitrage and formulated an optimization problem.
result Constructs a market where individual derivatives are no-arb but collectively an arbitrage opportunity exists.
Survey of financial LLMs in finance.
problem Limited research on Financial LLMs (FinLLMs).
method Chronological overview of PLMs, comparison of techniques, performance evaluations, and advanced tasks.
result Compilation of accessible datasets and benchmarks for AI research in finance.
DeepScalper uses RL to capture intraday trading opportunities, balancing risk and profit.
problem Capturing fleeting intraday trading opportunities in high-frequency markets.
method Dueling Q-network, reward function with hindsight bonus, encoder-decoder architecture, risk-aware auxiliary task.
result Significantly outperforms state-of-the-art baselines in financial criteria.
We present a new framework for Hermite fractional financial markets, generalizing the fractional Brownian motion and fractional Rosenblatt markets. Considering pure and mixed Hermite markets, we introduce a strategy-specific arbitrage tax on the rate of transaction volume acceleration of the hedging portfolio as the pr…
A financial market model uses spin variables to represent and predict agent behavior.
problem Predicting and understanding financial market behavior.
method Agent-based model with Potts model interpretation, focusing on spin variables representing opinions and actions.
result Model accurately predicts market behavior and statistical properties of financial returns.
Survey of LLMs in finance tasks, highlighting progress and challenges.
problem Transforming financial practices with advanced LLMs.
method Exploration of various financial tasks, categorization, and analysis of methodologies.
result Unlocking novel opportunities for financial applications with LLMs.
This paper tackles AI model governance challenges in financial services.
problem Challenges in current AI model governance practices in financial services.
method Proposes a system-level framework for increased self-regulation.
result Enhanced model governance and risk management capabilities.
LARA forecasts financial asset trends by refining noisy labels and extracting profitable samples.
problem Low signal-to-noise ratio and stochastic nature of financial data lead to poor predictions.
method LARA combines LA-Attention and RA-Labeling to refine and extract profitable samples.
result LARA significantly outperforms existing methods on Qlib platform.
New method finds profitable investment opportunities by considering additional financial variables.
problem Finding trading strategies that outperform the market with high probability.
method Generalizing functionally generated portfolios to include continuous-path semimartingales.
result Inclusion of additional processes can reduce time horizons for profitable arbitrage opportunities.
Study arbitrage in financial markets with trading restrictions.
problem Arbitrage in financial markets with trading constraints.
method Portfolio optimization problems and discrete-time setup.
result Solvability of portfolio optimization problems equivalent to absence of first kind arbitrage.
The paper tackles financial market dynamics with new tech-driven data.
problem High-dimensional, high-correlation, and time-varying financial data.
method Developing adaptive multi-factor models and techniques to handle data complexities.
result Improved interpretability, clearer explanations, and better predictions.
We report on a technique based on multi-agent games which has potential use in the prediction of future movements of financial time-series. A third-party game is trained on a black-box time-series, and is then run into the future to extract next-step and multi-step predictions. In addition to the possibility of identif…
We investigate financial markets under model risk caused by uncertain volatilities. For this purpose we consider a financial market that features volatility uncertainty. To have a mathematical consistent framework we use the notion of G-expectation and its corresponding G-Brownian motion recently introduced by Peng (20…
Survey of AI in finance covering models, strategies, and knowledge systems.
problem Challenges in applying AI to financial markets, especially in high-frequency trading.
method Systematic analysis of financial AI across predictive models, decision frameworks, and knowledge augmentation systems.
result Critical trade-offs and gaps between theoretical advances and practical implementation in financial AI.
The concept of absence of opportunities for free lunches is one of the pillars in the economic theory of financial markets. This natural assumption has proved very fruitful and has lead to great mathematical, as well as economical, insights in Quantitative Finance. Formulating rigorously the exact definition of absence…
Study uncovers financial trends from cross-lingual news data.
problem Understanding financial dynamics across diverse global economies.
method Sentiment analysis, NER, and semantic textual similarity for news articles.
result Meaningful correlation between stock price movements and cross-linguistic news sentiments.
Firm financials are well established as return predictors, being the inspiration for a large set of anomalies in the asset pricing literature. Employing topological data analysis we revisit the question of association between seven of the most commonly studied financial ratios and stock returns. Specifically the TDA Ba…
We study the emergence of instabilities in a stylized model of a financial market, when different market actors calculate prices according to different (local) market measures. We derive typical properties for ensembles of large random markets using techniques borrowed from statistical mechanics of disordered systems. …
No arbitrage in financial markets with special semimartingales.
problem Proving the absence of arbitrage in non-numéraire financial markets.
method Proving the absence of arbitrage using a multiplicative special semimartingale deflator.
result The market is free of arbitrage if and only if there exists a multiplicative special semimartingale deflator.
Survey of financial foundation models for diverse applications.
problem Challenges in applying general-purpose FMs to financial tasks.
method Review of financial foundation models (FFMs) in three modalities.
result Emergence of FFMs designed specifically for finance.
The paper investigates cyclic arbitrage opportunities in decentralized exchanges.
problem Price discrepancies in decentralized exchanges lead to arbitrage opportunities.
method Theoretical framework and analysis of transaction-level data.
result Traders have executed over 292,606 cyclic arbitrages over eleven months, exploiting more than 138 million USD in revenue.
The paper examines the reliability of limit order book representations in the face of data perturbation.
problem The reliability of limit order book representations under data perturbation.
method Experimental analysis of existing representations and guidelines for future research.
result Existing representations of limit order book data are vulnerable to data perturbation.
DCE learns customer embeddings from digital activity and financial context.
problem Comprehensive customer understanding in financial services.
method Leverages customers' digital activity and financial context to learn dense representations.
result DCE showed performance lift in three prediction problems.
The relativistic quantum mechanic approach is used to develop a stock market dynamics. The relativistic is conceptional here as the meaning of big external volatility or volatility shock on a financial market. We used a differential geometry approach with the parallel transport of the prices to obtain a direct shift of…
Consider a discrete-time infinite horizon financial market model in which the logarithm of the stock price is a time discretization of a stochastic differential equation. Under conditions different from those given in a previous paper of ours, we prove the existence of investment opportunities producing an exponentiall…
Modeling investor behavior from financial advisor notes using NLP.
problem Identifying behavioral coaching opportunities for financial advisors.
method Topic modeling and supervised classification model.
result Predicting investor needs during adverse market conditions.
The purpose of this work is to explore the role that random arbitrage opportunities play in pricing financial derivatives. We use a non-equilibrium model to set up a stochastic portfolio, and for the random arbitrage return, we choose a stationary ergodic random process rapidly varying in time. We exploit the fact that…
We apply a utility-based method to obtain the value of a finite-time investment opportunity when the underlying real asset is not perfectly correlated to a traded financial asset. Using a discrete-time algorithm to calculate the indifference price for this type of real option, we present numerical examples for the corr…
System constructs public competitor graph from financial reports.
problem Time-consuming and expert-laden manual extraction of corporate relationships.
method Financial report processing to generate reliable knowledge graph of corporate relationships.
result More than 83% of S\&P 500 companies' competition relationships retrieved.
The paper models insurance market dynamics under uncertainty and financial frictions.
problem Modeling insurer behavior under uncertainty and financial frictions.
method Dynamic equilibrium model of insurance market with competitive insurers maximizing shareholder value.
result Investment can lead to lower insurance prices and negative loadings under certain conditions.
The paper develops a new class of financial market models. These models are based on generalized telegraph processes: Markov random flows with alternating velocities and jumps occurring when the velocities are switching. While such markets may admit an arbitrage opportunity, the model under consideration is arbitrage-f…
Study compares financial and gambling markets, finding similarities and potential applications.
problem Lack of comprehensive study on gambling markets compared to financial markets.
method Comprehensive comparison of five aspects: platform, product, procedure, participant, and strategy.
result Well-established financial strategies can be applied to gambling markets, particularly in peer-to-peer betting exchanges.