The study enhances financial rule matching using NLP without datasets.
problem Performing semantic matching between financial rules and policies.
method Outperforming pre-trained models with NLP techniques using free resources.
result Improved semantic matching between financial rules and policies.
Develops efficient methods for approximating densities of financial models with jumps.
problem Approximating densities of affine jump diffusions with state-independent jump intensities.
method Recursive approach for deriving closed-form solutions to moments, constructing density approximations via moment matching.
result Superior computational efficiency and precision in option pricing and simulation compared to existing techniques.
Prime Match protects client stock trades from market price manipulation.
problem Protecting client stock trades from market price manipulation.
method Prime Match uses a two-round secure linear comparison protocol to match orders without revealing information.
result Prime Match reduces market impact and maintains client privacy.
Formally verifies fairness and uniformity in financial market trades.
problem Ensuring fairness and uniformity in automated trading systems.
method Formal definition and verification in Coq proof assistant.
result Properties of double-sided auction mechanisms verified.
Model predicts Bitcoin's future movements using multimodal pattern matching.
problem Challenges in predicting Bitcoin's volatile future movements.
method Ranking similar past chart patterns given current chart information.
result Improves directional prediction of Bitcoin's future movements.
Generative model uses random convolutional features to create financial time series.
problem Generating realistic financial time series with limited data and avoiding overfitting.
method Train generators by matching random convolutional features of real and generated time series, using SOCK (SOft Competing Kernels) feature map.
result Generators trained with random SOCK features outperform baselines across various financial datasets.
We scale and analyze the empirical data of return from New York and Vilnius stock exchanges matching it to the same nonlinear double stochastic model of return in financial market.
Automates investor/company matching with AI, explaining decisions.
problem Matching companies and investors is hard due to limited data and need for explanations.
method Representation learning for small datasets + parameterized explanation generation.
result System performs well on matching task and explains decisions.
We introduce a formal framework for analyzing trades in financial markets. An exchange is where multiple buyers and sellers participate to trade. These days, all big exchanges use computer algorithms that implement double sided auctions to match buy and sell requests and these algorithms must abide by certain regulator…
Agent-based model simulates market dynamics with real-time order matching.
problem Realistic simulation of market dynamics with realistic price impact.
method Agent-based model with asynchronous, event-time order matching.
result Realistic price impact curves and stylized facts presented.
Study asset price bubbles using random matching and stochastic factors.
problem Understanding and modeling asset price bubbles through investor contagion.
method Developed a stochastic model of liquidity-based asset price bubbles using random matching mechanism.
result Derived conditions for arbitrage-free financial market models.
FlowOE learns from experts to optimize financial trades.
problem Optimal execution in dynamic financial markets using static models.
method Imitation learning with flow matching models, incorporating refining loss function.
result Significantly outperforms expert models and traditional benchmarks.
Compact models match or exceed GPT's performance in financial news sentiment analysis.
problem Improving financial sentiment analysis models without large computational costs.
method Fine-tuning non-generative, small-sized models (FinBERT, FinDRoBERTa) on a novel market score database.
result Fine-tuned models outperform GPT-3.5 and GPT-4 in zero-shot learning for financial news sentiment analysis.
Quantum models generate financial time series with desired properties.
problem Generating synthetic financial data with temporal correlations.
method Quantum generative adversarial networks (QGANs) with quantum and classical components.
result QGANs can generate financial time series with matching distribution and temporal correlations.
CoinTossX is a low-latency, open-source matching engine for financial trading.
problem Efficiently matching orders in financial markets with low latency and high throughput.
method Developed in Java, orders submitted via UDP SBE, low-latency message transport (Aeron Media Driver). Separates order generation and matching.
result Demonstrated low-latency, high-throughput performance in various deployment scenarios.
MarketGAN generates financial returns using GANs to match empirical stylized facts.
problem Generating financial returns under data scarcity and preserving stylized facts.
method Generative adversarial learning with a TCN backbone.
result MarketGAN outperforms conventional methods in portfolio applications.
We extend Kirman's model by introducing variable event time scale. The proposed flexible time scale is equivalent to the variable trading activity observed in financial markets. Stochastic version of the extended Kirman's agent based model is compared to the non-linear stochastic models of long-range memory in financia…
A new oscillator measures trending behavior of financial instruments.
problem Detecting underlying deterministic components in financial market prices.
method Financial market geometry and tube oscillator derived from past history.
result Simple trading strategy based on tube oscillator leads to consistent positive returns.
Study evaluates LLMs like ChatGPT and GPT-4 on financial analysis tasks.
problem Assessing financial reasoning capabilities of large language models.
method Mock CFA exam questions, Zero-Shot, Chain-of-Thought, Few-Shot scenarios.
result LLMs perform well on financial analysis tasks, but have limitations.
Theoretical models applied to option pricing should take into account the empirical characteristics of the underlying financial time series. In this paper, we show how to price basket options when assets follow a shifted log-normal process with jumps capable of accommodating negative skewness. Our technique is based on…
Quantum machine learning boosts financial forecasting accuracy.
problem Churn prediction and credit risk assessment in finance.
method Used quantum and classical Determinantal Point Processes for churn prediction, and quantum neural networks for credit risk assessment.
result Significant improvement in precision for churn prediction (6% increase). Quantum models match classical performance with fewer parameters.
The option is a financial derivative, which is regularly employed in reducing the risk of its underlying securities. However, investing in option is still risky. Such risk becomes much severer for speculators who utilize option as a means of leverage to increase their potential returns. In order to mitigate risk on the…
A representative investor generates realistic and complex security price paths by following this trading strategy: if, a few ticks ago, the market asset had two consecutive upticks or two consecutive downticks, then sell, and otherwise buy. This simple, unique, and robust model is the smallest possible deterministic mo…
Fund2Persona creates personalized financial advisor personas from fund data, improving investment advice.
problem Lack of consistent advisor expertise and difficulty in encoding it in LLM systems.
method Grounds financial advisor personas in fund disclosures, market context, and manager commentary through an agentic actor--scorer--patcher loop.
result Personas better recover portfolio decisions and manager interpretation than generic baselines.
Developed scalable ABM for complex financial markets.
problem Simulating large-scale agent-based financial markets.
method Agent-based modeling, distributed computing, continuous double auction.
result Captures statistical properties of real financial markets.
AHEAD improves financial market efficiency through ad-hoc auctions.
problem Improving financial market efficiency and reducing transaction costs.
method Introducing a new matching design (AHEAD) for electronic markets where participants can trade at a fixed price and trigger auctions when unsatisfied.
result A Nash equilibrium is achieved in the market, and ad-hoc auctions are more relevant and efficient than periodic auctions and continuous limit order books.
Fund2Persona creates personalized financial advisor personas from fund data, improving investment advice and manager interpretation.
problem Lack of consistent and specific financial advisor expertise in personalized investment advice.
method Grounds financial advisor personas in fund disclosures, holdings transitions, market context, and manager commentary through an agentic actor--scorer--patcher loop.
result Personas better recover portfolio decisions and grounded manager interpretation than generic baselines.
The study classifies and imitates trading agents in financial markets.
problem Classifying and imitating trading agents in continuous double auctions.
method Developed an agent-based model for trading, applied opponent modeling for classification, and used behavioral cloning for imitation.
result Techniques for classification and imitation were experimentally compared and evaluated.
When banks choose similar investment strategies the financial system becomes vulnerable to common shocks. We model a simple financial system in which banks decide about their investment strategy based on a private belief about the state of the world and a social belief formed from observing the actions of peers. Observ…
Research shows eco-innovation boosts earnings management, especially in constrained firms.
problem The impact of eco-innovation on earnings management in firms with financial constraints.
method Multi-method approach including entropy balancing, PSM, and Heckman Test correction.
result Eco-innovation positively correlates with earnings management, especially in firms facing financial constraints.
Alternative wavelet analysis method for financial signals.
problem Analyzing oscillations in financial signals with noise.
method Modeling financial signals as isolated events producing ripples of various frequencies.
result Element analysis distinguishes between noise and logically matched generators.
SFAG generates realistic financial data that passes trading tests.
problem Financial generative models often produce unrealistic and unstable trading outcomes.
method Introduces SFAG, a GAN variant that aligns stylized facts and optimizes with adversarial loss.
result SFAG generates synthetic data that preserves stylized facts and supports robust trading strategies.
We study the dynamical behavior of high-frequency data from the Korean Stock Price Index (KOSPI) using the movement of returns in Korean financial markets. The dynamical behavior for a binarized series of our models is not completely random. The conditional probability is numerically estimated from a return series of K…
Hybrid model combines deep learning and agent-based methods for synthetic LOB generation.
problem Generating realistic financial time series data for model training.
method Combining TABL model with Chiarella model for intraday trading activity simulation.
result Hybrid model generates realistic price dynamics but fails to accurately recreate market microstructure.
Many households in developing countries lack formal financial histories, making it difficult for firms to extend credit, and for potential borrowers to receive it. However, many of these households have mobile phones, which generate rich data about behavior. This article shows that behavioral signatures in mobile phone…
This paper provides a general framework for modeling financial contagion in a system with obligations in multiple illiquid assets (e.g., currencies). In so doing, we develop a multi-layered financial network that extends the single network of Eisenberg and Noe (2001). In particular, we develop a financial contagion mod…
Enhances option pricing with fractional order Black-Scholes-Merton model.
problem Improving precision and authenticity of option pricing.
method Integrates fractional order Black-Scholes-Merton with neural networks.
result Improves accuracy in capturing complex diffusion dynamics and memory effects.
HTFM improves mode coverage and tail-statistic recovery for heavy-tailed data.
problem Tackles heavy-tailed data in various domains with rare events.
method Proposes a framework using clock-conditioned Gaussian sources and truncated logsignature features.
result Improves mode coverage, sample quality, and tail-statistic recovery over Gaussian flow matching and baselines.
It is argued that arguments for strict prohibition of interests must be based on the use of arguments from authority. This is carried out by first making a survey of so-called dialectical roots for interest prohibition and then demonstrating that for at least one important positive interest bearing financial product, t…
Efficient verified double auctions improve matching speed and detect errors.
problem Improving the efficiency and reliability of double auctions in financial markets.
method Formally verified implementation using Coq proof assistant, reducing time complexity and improving error detection.
result Improved efficiency with O(nlogn) time complexity, reducing runtime from days to minutes. A new method predicts future paths using a Monte-Carlo approach.
problem Predicting future financial paths given historical data.
method Path Shadowing Monte-Carlo method using maximum entropy model.
result Yields state-of-the-art predictions for future volatility and option smiles.
The recent financial crisis of 2008 and the 2011 indebtedness of Greece highlight the importance of understanding the structure of the global financial network. In this paper we set out to analyze and characterize this network, as captured by the IMF Coordinated Portfolio Investment Survey (CPIS), in two ways. First, t…
New method clusters financial time series into volatility regimes.
problem Finding the number of volatility regimes in nonstationary financial time series.
method Change point detection and clustering of segment distributions.
result Optimized trading strategy based on learned volatility regimes.
We formalize and verify double auctions for multiple-quantity trades.
problem Matching multiple-quantity trade requests in double auctions.
method Formalized algorithms, correctness proofs, Coq proof assistant, verified OCaml and Haskell programs.
result Automatic detection of violations in exchange systems.
Researchers simulate and estimate a market model with a matching engine to understand its impact on order submission and management.
problem The impact of a matching engine on the modeling of order submission and management in financial markets.
method Simulation of a 10-variate Hawkes process with rules for different order types, including limit orders, to compare model parameters with the original order generating process.
result Practical considerations, not directly related to model specification, can significantly distort the true model specification in an asynchronous trading environment.
PHINN: A generative model for rare-event time series using persistent homology
problem Generating rare events in time series
method Flow-matching framework with dynamic Betti curves and persistence landscape loss
result Outperforms statistical and diffusion baselines in topological fidelity and tail coverage
TSFMs improve financial forecasting across diverse tasks with strong transferability.
problem Complex nonlinear relationships, temporal dependencies, and limited data in financial time series forecasting.
method Pretraining on diverse time series corpora followed by task-specific adaptation.
result Tiny Time Mixers (TTM) achieved 25-50% better performance on limited data and 15-30% improvements on longer datasets.
New framework values football players based on in-game interactions.
problem Valuing football players based on in-game performance.
method Combining financial models and network theory using a passing matrix.
result Dynamic and individualized player valuation framework.