A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
New method uses statistical physics to detect financial market manipulation.
Optimal benchmark design varies based on costs in financial manipulation.
Framework detects covert financial market manipulation using LOB representations.
The Interbank Offered Rate is a vital benchmark interest rate in the financial markets of every country to which financial contracts are tied. In the light of the recent LIBOR manipulation incident, this paper seeks to address the fear that Interbank Offered Rate are entirely controlled by the bank. The paper will focu…
RL agent outperforms model-based approach in detecting price manipulation.
We provide direct evidence of market manipulation at the beginning of the financial crisis in November 2007. The type of manipulation, a "bear raid," would have been prevented by a regulation that was repealed by the Securities and Exchange Commission in July 2007. The regulation, the uptick rule, was designed to preve…
Market manipulation is a strategy used by traders to alter the price of financial securities. One type of manipulation is based on the process of buying or selling assets by using several trading strategies, among them spoofing is a popular strategy and is considered illegal by market regulators. Some promising tools h…
In financial markets, liquidity is not constant over time but exhibits strong seasonal patterns. In this article we consider a limit order book model that allows for time-dependent, deterministic depth and resilience of the book and determine optimal portfolio liquidation strategies. In a first model variant, we propos…
Study reveals risks of investing in new crypto-tokens in decentralized exchanges.
New attacks inflate earnings while reducing fraud scores, potentially millions at stake.
Online trading platforms manipulate profits and losses, causing 82% of retail traders to lose money.
Recent news cast doubts on London Interbank Offered Rate (LIBOR) integrity. Given its economic importance and the delay with which authorities realize about this situation, we aim to find an objective method in order to detect departures in the LIBOR rate that from the expected behavior. We analyze several interest rat…
We develop an option pricing model based on a tug-of-war game. This two-player zero-sum stochastic differential game is formulated in the context of a multi-dimensional financial market. The issuer and the holder try to manipulate asset price processes in order to minimize and maximize the expected discounted reward. W…
Paper proposes a GRU model to detect spoofing in retail investors.
Framework detects and ranks suspicious market manipulation using temporal convolutions and expert assessment.
Article examines NFT market microstructure and trading risks.
This paper explores a real-world fundamental theme under a data science perspective. It specifically discusses whether fraud or manipulation can be observed in and from municipality income tax size distributions, through their aggregation from citizen fiscal reports. The study case pertains to official data obtained fr…
Algorithms are increasingly common components of high-impact decision-making, and a growing body of literature on adversarial examples in laboratory settings indicates that standard machine learning models are not robust. This suggests that real-world systems are also susceptible to manipulation or misclassification, w…
Researchers show how to manipulate Partial Dependence plots to deceive explanations of predictive models.
Investigates cross-impact kernels for financial asset prices.
This paper analyzes several interest rates time series from the United Kingdom during the period 1999 to 2014. The analysis is carried out using a pioneering statistical tool in the financial literature: the complexity-entropy causality plane. This representation is able to classify different stochastic and chaotic reg…
GAN improves financial risk prediction by generating synthetic minority events.
Is the present economic and financial crisis similar to some previous one? It would be so nice to prove that universality laws exist for predicting such rare events under a minimum set of realistic hypotheses. First, I briefly recall whether patterns, like business cycles, are indeed found, and can be modeled within a …
A Markov-chain model is developed for the purpose estimation of the cure rate of non-performing loans. The technique is performed collectively, on portfolios and it can be applicable in the process of calculation of credit impairment. It is efficient in terms of data manipulation costs which makes it accessible even to…
Decentralized finance uses blockchain for $70B in assets, differing from traditional finance.
Investors usually resort to financial advisors to improve their investment process until the point of complete delegation on investment decisions. Surely, financial advice is potentially a correcting factor in investment decisions but, in the past, the media and regulators blamed biased advisors for manipulating the ex…
Optimal execution strategy for merger & acquisition contracts with price impact.
Study shows how high-budget agents can manipulate prediction markets.
AI learns market manipulation through simulation, suggesting regulation.
Prime Match protects client stock trades from market price manipulation.
New mechanism designs regulate herding in financial markets.
This paper studies the 28 time series of Libor rates, classified in seven maturities and four currencies), during the last 14 years. The analysis was performed using a novel technique in financial economics: the Complexity-Entropy Causality Plane. This planar representation allows the discrimination of different stocha…
Research proposes classifiers to distinguish tweets with conflicting cashtags.
The paper analyzes how leverage affects manipulation in event-linked markets, offering new insights into regulation.
New model improves neural network robustness against input manipulations.
This paper studies poisoning attacks in episodic RL and discovers their effectiveness depends on reward bounds.
Manipulating video content is easier than ever. Due to the misuse potential of manipulated content, multiple detection techniques that analyze the pixel data from the videos have been proposed. However, clever manipulators should also carefully forge the metadata and auxiliary header information, which is harder to do …
In this work we propose a model that can manipulate individual visual attributes of objects in a real scene using examples of how respective attribute manipulations affect the output of a simulation. As an example, we train our model to manipulate the expression of a human face using nonphotorealistic 3D renders of a f…
Prediction markets can be manipulated by traders who can move contract settlements, harming price discovery.
DIGIT is a low-cost tactile sensor for in-hand manipulation.
Volunteer labor can temporarily yield lower benefits to charities than its costs. In such instances, organizations may wish to defer volunteer donations to a later date. Exploiting a discontinuity in blood donations' eligibility criteria, we show that deferring donors reduces their future volunteerism. In our setting, …
Manipulating data, such as weighting data examples or augmenting with new instances, has been increasingly used to improve model training. Previous work has studied various rule- or learning-based approaches designed for specific types of data manipulation. In this work, we propose a new method that supports learning d…
Paper presents a new port-Hamiltonian model for vehicle manipulators.
Study examines reasons for Nutek India's share price drop.
Deep semi-supervised anomaly detection improves fraud detection in financial markets.
Adaptive financial dataflow system improves model robustness in dynamic markets.
New foundation for Shapley value immune to coalitional manipulations.
In this chapter we review some recent results on the dynamics of price formation in financial markets and its relations with the efficient market hypothesis. Specifically, we present the limit order book mechanism for markets and we introduce the concepts of market impact and order flow, presenting their recently disco…