The authors seek financial datasets to benchmark feature engineering methods on US market data.
problem Improving predictive models for financial data science competitions.
method Feature engineering methods applied to multivariate time-series data from the US market.
result Predictive power of models tested against Numerai-Signals targets.
Survey and new results link hydrodynamics, molecular physics, and financial engineering.
problem Understanding financial engineering topics like Asian options and volatility swaps.
method Linking Kevin waves, Klein-Kramers, and Kolmogorov equations to financial models.
result Corrected the original solution of the Kolmogorov equation.
Factor Engine simplifies financial factor computation and analysis in Python.
problem Efficient computation and analysis of financial factors.
method Modular, extensible Python library with decorators, integrates with data science ecosystem.
result Mispricing factors computed by Factor Engine and Stata implementation are highly similar.
Study defines and optimizes bank reliability using LR and PSO.
problem Lack of reliability concept in financial services.
method Logistic Regression (LR) for initial estimation, Particle Swarm Optimization (PSO) for optimization.
result Optimal financial ratios maximize bank reliability.
Review of MLMC in financial engineering, focusing on option pricing and risk management.
problem Efficient estimation of financial risks and option prices using Monte Carlo methods.
method Incorporation of importance sampling and adaptive sampling algorithms in MLMC framework.
result Hybrid algorithms reduce overall variance in estimating financial risks and option prices.
Survey of financial foundation models for diverse applications.
problem Challenges in applying general-purpose FMs to financial tasks.
method Review of financial foundation models (FFMs) in three modalities.
result Emergence of FFMs designed specifically for finance.
Simple feature engineering beats complex models in financial prediction.
problem Understanding when complex models outperform simple alternatives in financial prediction.
method Independent Component Analysis (ICA), Wavelet Coherence, Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) networks with attention mechanisms.
result A simple linear model using normalized flows achieves superior returns compared to complex models.
Mean Field Games applied to finance and economics.
problem Modeling large populations in financial and economic systems.
method Mean Field Game theory applied to specific financial and economic scenarios.
result New applications in bitcoin mining, energy markets, and macro-economics.
Paper uses neural nets for financial optimization problems.
problem Financial optimization and derivative pricing problems.
method Neural networks and deep reinforcement learning for solving PDEs and dynamic optimization.
result Efficient resolution of nonlinear PDEs and dynamic optimization in finance.
This paper analyzes financial sentiment using LLMs and FinBERT, improving accuracy with few-shot examples.
problem Financial sentiment analysis for market evaluation.
method Application of large language models and FinBERT, with focus on prompt engineering and few-shot learning.
result GPT-4o achieves similar sentiment classification accuracy to FinBERT with fewer examples.
Delta hedging, which plays a crucial rôle in modern financial engineering, is a tracking control design for a "risk-free" management. We utilize the existence of trends in financial time series (Fliess M., Join C.: A mathematical proof of the existence of trends in financial time series, Proc. Int. Conf. Systems Theory…
BERT models outperform GPT in financial engineering sentiment analysis.
problem Using sentiment from news events for commodity trading.
method Benchmarked Transformer models (BERT, GPT) on financial engineering task.
result CopBERT models outperform GPT and vanilla BERT models.
Financial market dynamics compared to thermodynamics.
problem Understanding the dynamics of financial markets through thermodynamic principles.
method Analogy with Szilárd information engine to derive market temperature and information extraction.
result Informed traders' gains are bounded by market temperature and information.
Using virtual stock markets with artificial interacting software investors, aka agent-based models (ABMs), we present a method to reverse engineer real-world financial time series. We model financial markets as made of a large number of interacting boundedly rational agents. By optimizing the similarity between the act…
AutoML enhances credit decisions with XAI for better transparency.
problem Transparency in AI-driven financial decisions.
method Combining AutoML and XAI (SHAP) for credit scoring.
result Improved efficiency and accuracy in credit decisions with enhanced transparency.
I argue that the current financial crisis highlights the crucial need of a change of mindset in economics and financial engineering, that should move away from dogmatic axioms and focus more on data, orders of magnitudes, and plausible, albeit non rigorous, arguments.
MarS simulates financial markets using generative models.
problem Simulating realistic financial market effects.
method Order-level generative foundation model (LMM) for realistic, interactive, and controllable order generation.
result Strong scalability and robust realism in MarS.
The paper presents new machine learning methods: signal composition, which classifies time-series regardless of length, type, and quantity; and self-labeling, a supervised-learning enhancement. The paper describes further the implementation of the methods on a financial search engine system using a collection of 7,881 …
This review examines deep learning in financial fraud detection over 5 years.
problem Improving deep learning techniques for financial fraud detection.
method Systematic literature review of 57 studies using performance metrics.
result Deep learning models enhance fraud detection across various financial domains.
This paper is concerned with the asymptotics for Greeks of European-style options and the risk-neutral density function calculated under the constant elasticity of variance model. Formulae obtained help financial engineers to construct a perfect hedge with known behaviour and to price any options on financial assets.
Study uses LLMs to simplify financial regulation interpretation.
problem Complex financial regulations are hard to interpret and implement.
method Developed prompts to guide LLMs in extracting key information from regulations.
result GPT-4 outperforms other LLMs in processing and executing regulatory requirements.
The goal of this article is to describe the concepts of system dynamics and its applications to the simulation modeling of financial institutions daily activity. The hybrid method of the re-engineering of banking business processes based upon combination of system dynamics, queuing theory and tools of ordinary differen…
Paper examines financial engineering problems and introduces AlphaZero for better replication strategies.
problem Replication portfolio construction in incomplete markets with non-convex constraints.
method Introduces AlphaZero-based system to compare with deep hedging method.
result AlphaZero outperforms deep hedging in non-convex environments, finding near-optimal strategies.
Out of the companies, Dolby is the company with the best overall financial and operation health. According to the table that accounted its financial statements for the past three years, Dolby has stable profit margins that generates a revenue in the billions, the only company in ten figures. Corporate competition to ga…
Hybrid engine analyzes news sentiment for markets in real-time.
problem Real-time market analysis of news sentiment.
method Three-way ensemble learning combining financial lexicon, adaptive TF-IDF clustering, and auto-calibrated weighting.
result Adaptive statistical clustering learner improves adaptability to market changes.
Novel method for nowcasting implied volatility using neural operators.
problem Dynamic and spatially changing option prices in financial markets.
method Operator Deep Smoothing using graph neural operators.
result Highly accurate implied volatility smoothing on ten years of S&P 500 options data.
Monte Carlo Tree Search improves financial derivative hedging efficiency.
problem Optimizing pricing and hedging of derivative contracts in incomplete markets.
method Integrates tree search techniques with Reinforcement Learning for optimal control problems.
result Monte Carlo Tree Search outperforms Q-learning in sample efficiency and learning speed. fintech-kMC simulates financial platforms for AI/ML model validation.
problem Validation of AI/ML models in real-world financial applications.
method Agent-based model with kinetic Monte Carlo engine.
result Generates realistic synthetic data for testing AI/ML models.
In this study, a predictive model using Multi-layer Perceptron of Artificial Neural Network architecture was developed to predict customer churn in a financial institution. Previous researches have used supervised machine learning classifiers such as Logistic Regression, Decision Tree, Support Vector Machine, K-Nearest…
We present two methods, based on Chebyshev tensors, to compute dynamic sensitivities of financial instruments within a Monte Carlo simulation. These methods are implemented and run in a Monte Carlo engine to compute Dynamic Initial Margin as defined by ISDA (SIMM). We show that the levels of accuracy, speed and impleme…
ChatGPT improves financial reasoning, overcoming biases in gold investment.
problem Improving financial reasoning and overcoming biases in investment decisions.
method Applied advanced prompt engineering and semantic news information to enhance LLMs' performance.
result ChatGPT with CoT prompt provides more explainable predictions and higher investment returns.
CoinTossX is a low-latency, open-source matching engine for financial trading.
problem Efficiently matching orders in financial markets with low latency and high throughput.
method Developed in Java, orders submitted via UDP SBE, low-latency message transport (Aeron Media Driver). Separates order generation and matching.
result Demonstrated low-latency, high-throughput performance in various deployment scenarios.
Agent-based model simulates market dynamics with real-time order matching.
problem Realistic simulation of market dynamics with realistic price impact.
method Agent-based model with asynchronous, event-time order matching.
result Realistic price impact curves and stylized facts presented.
These notes were originally written for the Stochastic Analysis Seminar in the Department of Operations Research and Financial Engineering at Princeton University, in February of 2011. The seminar was attended and supported by members of the Research Training Group, with the author being partially supported by NSF gran…
The global financial system can be represented as a large complex network in which banks, hedge funds and other financial institutions are interconnected to each other through visible and invisible financial linkages. Recently, a lot of attention has been paid to the understanding of the mechanisms that can lead to a b…
KineticSim accelerates financial market simulations 3406x over CPU.
problem Simulating financial markets at scale with multi-agent models is bottlenecked by sequential processing and GPU kernel overhead.
method Formalized and implemented a reusable parallel design pattern for iterative multi-agent reductions in thread-block shared memory.
result Achieved a peak throughput of over 54.7 billion agent-events per second, delivering 3406x speedup over CPU.
Automates investor/company matching with AI, explaining decisions.
problem Matching companies and investors is hard due to limited data and need for explanations.
method Representation learning for small datasets + parameterized explanation generation.
result System performs well on matching task and explains decisions.
This research categorizes AMM designs for secure token exchanges.
problem Designing AMMs for cryptoeconomic systems can lead to financial risks and inefficiencies.
method Developed an AMM taxonomy and proposed three archetypes.
result AMM archetypes meet key requirements for token issuance and exchange.
Financial models shape markets through performativity, creating self-fulfilling prophecies.
problem Lack of mathematical formulation for performativity in financial markets.
method Embedding the model in the market process, creating a closed feedback loop.
result Performative market makers can reverse engineer dominant strategies and arbitrage them.
Framework for causal signals in non-stationary financial markets.
problem Constructing causal signals in non-stationary financial time series.
method Combines normalized indicators and causally computed derivatives, with hysteresis-based decision mapping.
result Demonstrates risk-reshaping effect with smoother trajectories and reduced drawdowns.
Proposes a neural network for calibrating stochastic volatility models.
problem Calibrating stochastic volatility models with robustness and efficiency.
method Combines grid approach with pointwise two-stage calibration, using random grids for training.
result Validates the approach with empirical and Monte Carlo experiments for rough Bergomi and Heston models.
This study introduces a new GAS blending ensemble model for Bitcoin price prediction.
problem Predicting Bitcoin price fluctuations in the cryptocurrency market.
method Integrates advanced ensemble learning methods, feature selection algorithms, and sentiment analysis.
result The GAS model demonstrates excellent performance in daily Bitcoin trend prediction.
MarketGPT models financial time series with realistic order flow data.
problem Creating accurate financial market simulations.
method Generative pre-trained transformer (GPT) for long sequence generation.
result Model reproduces key features of real financial markets and stylized facts.
Paper uses Chebyshev Tensors for accurate dynamic sensitivities and ISDA SIMM computation.
problem Computing dynamic sensitivities and initial margin for financial instruments.
method Uses Chebyshev Tensors in Monte Carlo simulations to compute dynamic sensitivities and ISDA SIMM.
result High accuracy and computational gains for FX swaps and Spread Options.
Tensor networks improve exotic option pricing efficiency.
problem Challenges in pricing exotic financial derivatives using standard methods.
method Combining binomial pricing with tensor network techniques (Matrix Product States).
result Linear scaling with parameters and reduced computational complexity.
A new standpoint on financial time series, without the use of any mathematical model and of probabilistic tools, yields not only a rigorous approach of trends and volatility, but also efficient calculations which were already successfully applied in automatic control and in signal processing. It is based on a theorem d…
Surveying risk measures for handling uncertainty in various fields.
problem Handling uncertainty in engineering and data-driven problems.
method Review of risk measures and their applications.
result Rapid development and widespread use of risk measures.
Researchers simulate and estimate a market model with a matching engine to understand its impact on order submission and management.
problem The impact of a matching engine on the modeling of order submission and management in financial markets.
method Simulation of a 10-variate Hawkes process with rules for different order types, including limit orders, to compare model parameters with the original order generating process.
result Practical considerations, not directly related to model specification, can significantly distort the true model specification in an asynchronous trading environment.