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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

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295988117 · Oct 202519922001200920172026
48 results for financial decision-making

FinHEAR combines LLMs with human expertise for better financial decision-making.

problem Challenges in financial decision-making for language models.
method Multi-agent framework with specialized LLMs for historical analysis, event interpretation, and expert retrieval.
result FinHEAR outperforms baselines in financial tasks with higher accuracy and risk-adjusted returns.

The study examines robust decision-making in volatile financial markets, finding action robustness is more impactful than uncertainty tolerance.

problem Sequential decision making in high-frequency markets under evolving uncertainty.
method Analyzes two dimensions of robustness: uncertainty tolerance and action robustness, using simulations and empirical evidence.
result Action robustness has a larger impact on profitability than uncertainty tolerance, and excessive robustness can reduce profitability in illiquid markets.

LLMs produce volatile sentence-level sentiment classifications that affect financial decision-making.

problem Volatile outputs from LLMs impact financial text understanding tasks.
method Case study on US equity market investing via news sentiment analysis.
result Volatile LLM outputs lead to significant variations in portfolio construction and returns.

This review analyzes RL in finance, highlighting its advantages and challenges.

problem Complex financial decision-making problems where traditional methods fail.
method Systematic review of 167 articles from 2017-2025, focusing on market making, portfolio optimization, and algorithmic trading.
result RL offers advantages over traditional methods, particularly in market making, but challenges remain.

The Chain-of-Decision approach improves forecasting of financial professionals' trading decisions.

problem Challenges in forecasting professionals' behaviors, especially in trading decisions.
method Integrates an opinion-generator-in-the-loop to provide subjective analysis based on news items.
result Promising improvements in the proposed tasks' performance.

Study detects and explains positional bias in financial LLMs.

problem Positional bias in financial decision-making using LLMs.
method Unified framework and benchmark for detecting and quantifying bias in Qwen2.5 models.
result Positional bias is pervasive, scale-sensitive, and resurfaces under nuanced prompt designs.

FinVision uses LLM agents to predict stock markets by processing various financial data types.

problem Challenges in integrating diverse financial data for accurate stock market prediction.
method Multi-agent framework with LLMs specialized in different financial data types and a reflection module.
result The reflection module enhances decision-making capabilities for financial trading.

Method detects and visualizes changes in financial markets' asset relationships.

problem Detecting and explaining changes in financial markets' asset relationships.
method Construct co-occurrence networks, calculate Graph-Based Entropy, apply Differential Network.
result Visualization of changes in financial markets with high interpretability.

LLMs compress financial texts, but distort decision-making.

problem LLMs compress financial texts, altering decision-making.
method Analyzed two diagnostic patterns: decontextualization and model dependency. Proposed Agentic Context Compression.
result LLM-compressed financial texts alter decision-making.

Improved financial sentiment analysis using LLMs with retrieval augmentation.

problem Limited performance of traditional NLP models in financial sentiment analysis.
method Retrieval-augmented Large Language Models (LLMs) with instruction tuning.
result Achieved 15% to 48% performance gain in accuracy and F1 score.

New risk measure and quadrangle improve financial decision-making.

problem Heterogeneous risk assessments among analysts.
method Established analytical characterizations of WGRM and incorporated FRQ into WRQ.
result WGRM and WRQ framework improves risk-adjusted performance and downside resilience.

This paper uses CausalGANs and RL with LLM to predict bond yields.

problem Challenges in financial bond yield forecasting due to data scarcity and market conditions.
method Proposes a novel framework combining CausalGANs, RL, and LLM for synthetic data generation and trading signals.
result Improves forecasting performance over existing methods with low Mean Absolute Error.

FinTradeBench benchmarks LLMs for financial reasoning combining company fundamentals and market signals.

problem Challenges in evaluating financial reasoning models for LLMs.
method Developed a benchmark integrating company fundamentals and trading signals, using a calibration-then-scaling framework.
result Clear performance gap between LLMs, retrieval improves reasoning over textual fundamentals but not trading signals.

The algorithmic trading comes from digitalisation of the processing of trading assets on financial markets. Since 1980 the computerization of the stock market offers real time processing of financial information. This technological revolution has offered processes and mathematic methods to identify best return on trans…

2008-10-22abs ↗pdf ↗

We extend to the multi-asset case the framework of a discrete time model of a single asset financial market developed in Ghoulmie et al (2005). In particular, we focus on adaptive agents with threshold behavior allocating their resources among two assets. We explore numerically the effect of this diversification as an …

2007-12-21abs ↗pdf ↗

Non-parametric bootstrap improves robust portfolio and trading strategy optimization.

problem Mitigating uncertainty in expected returns and covariances in financial decision-making.
method Non-parametric bootstrap framework for robust optimization without distributional assumptions.
result Improved out-of-sample performance with smoother, more stable results.

The article presents a translation of some widespread financial terminology into the language of decision theory. For instance, financial leverage can be regarded as an object of choice or a decision. We show how the optics of decision theory allows perceiving the recently introduced metrics of see-through-leverage, wh…

2010-09-15abs ↗pdf ↗

System detects financial forecasts in tweets, achieving high precision.

problem Detecting financial forecasts in social media messages.
method Natural Language Processing and Machine Learning techniques for real-time analysis.
result Achieves over 90% precision for financial forecasts.

Study enhances financial forecasting with machine learning and fuzzy MCDM.

problem Increasing financial uncertainty and market complexity.
method Integrates machine learning (XGBoost, LSTM, GNN) and intuitionistic fuzzy MCDM.
result High forecasting accuracy with low MAPE and narrow confidence intervals.

Paper fine-tunes LLMs for financial tasks using data fusion.

problem Improving LLMs for financial analysis tasks.
method Fine-tuned Llama3-8B and Mistral-7B using PEFT and LoRA, combined datasets for data fusion.
result Enhanced model performance across financial tasks.

Interpretable AI model boosts investment confidence and profitability.

problem Challenges in financial forecasting and interpretability in decision-making models.
method SHAP-based explainability technique for interpretable AI models.
result Notable enhancement in investor's portfolio value.

Study uses FDA to analyze discount functions of different temperaments.

problem Traditional finance models fail to capture individual differences in investment choices.
method Functional Data Analysis (FDA) to investigate temporal discounting behaviors.
result Heterogeneity within each temperament revealed, suggesting diverse investor profiles.

The paper analyzes frameworks for integrating sustainability into investment decisions.

problem Understanding how ESG factors influence investment choices.
method Examined and analyzed various theoretical frameworks including Behavioral Finance, Modern Portfolio, and Risk Management.
result Investors increasingly integrate ESG factors to optimize financial outcomes and societal goals.

Survey of AI in finance covering models, strategies, and knowledge systems.

problem Challenges in applying AI to financial markets, especially in high-frequency trading.
method Systematic analysis of financial AI across predictive models, decision frameworks, and knowledge augmentation systems.
result Critical trade-offs and gaps between theoretical advances and practical implementation in financial AI.

This study compares two neural models for financial forecasting, showing their superiority.

problem Improving financial market trend predictions using neural networks.
method Systematic comparison of N-HiTS and N-BEATS with conventional models.
result N-HiTS and N-BEATS enhance forecast accuracy and robustness in financial time series data.

AI-Trader benchmarks LLMs in live financial markets, revealing poor trading performance.

problem Challenges in real-time financial decision-making by autonomous agents.
method Fully automated, live evaluation benchmark with minimal human intervention.
result General intelligence does not translate to effective trading, highlighting limitations.

Study aims to optimize financial investments by balancing risk and reward efficiently.

problem Balancing risk and reward in dynamic financial investments.
method Proposes a reinforcement learning method to maximize expected quadratic utility, focusing on first and second moments of rewards.
result The proposed method yields MV-efficient policies that maximize expected reward without increasing variance.

AI enhances financial services but humans are irreplaceable for empathy, presence, and ethics.

problem AI's limitations in financial services, especially with small datasets and human judgment.
method EPOCH framework highlighting five irreplaceable human capabilities: Empathy, Presence, Opinion, Creativity, and Hope.
result Humans are essential for trust, innovation, and consumer experience in financial services.