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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

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119238357476 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for financial decision making

The study examines robust decision-making in volatile financial markets, finding action robustness is more impactful than uncertainty tolerance.

problem Sequential decision making in high-frequency markets under evolving uncertainty.
method Analyzes two dimensions of robustness: uncertainty tolerance and action robustness, using simulations and empirical evidence.
result Action robustness has a larger impact on profitability than uncertainty tolerance, and excessive robustness can reduce profitability in illiquid markets.

The Chain-of-Decision approach improves forecasting of financial professionals' trading decisions.

problem Challenges in forecasting professionals' behaviors, especially in trading decisions.
method Integrates an opinion-generator-in-the-loop to provide subjective analysis based on news items.
result Promising improvements in the proposed tasks' performance.

FinHEAR combines LLMs with human expertise for better financial decision-making.

problem Challenges in financial decision-making for language models.
method Multi-agent framework with specialized LLMs for historical analysis, event interpretation, and expert retrieval.
result FinHEAR outperforms baselines in financial tasks with higher accuracy and risk-adjusted returns.

LLMs compress financial texts, but distort decision-making.

problem LLMs compress financial texts, altering decision-making.
method Analyzed two diagnostic patterns: decontextualization and model dependency. Proposed Agentic Context Compression.
result LLM-compressed financial texts alter decision-making.

This review analyzes RL in finance, highlighting its advantages and challenges.

problem Complex financial decision-making problems where traditional methods fail.
method Systematic review of 167 articles from 2017-2025, focusing on market making, portfolio optimization, and algorithmic trading.
result RL offers advantages over traditional methods, particularly in market making, but challenges remain.

Study detects and explains positional bias in financial LLMs.

problem Positional bias in financial decision-making using LLMs.
method Unified framework and benchmark for detecting and quantifying bias in Qwen2.5 models.
result Positional bias is pervasive, scale-sensitive, and resurfaces under nuanced prompt designs.

The article presents a translation of some widespread financial terminology into the language of decision theory. For instance, financial leverage can be regarded as an object of choice or a decision. We show how the optics of decision theory allows perceiving the recently introduced metrics of see-through-leverage, wh…

2010-09-15abs ↗pdf ↗

LLMs produce volatile sentence-level sentiment classifications that affect financial decision-making.

problem Volatile outputs from LLMs impact financial text understanding tasks.
method Case study on US equity market investing via news sentiment analysis.
result Volatile LLM outputs lead to significant variations in portfolio construction and returns.

Interpretable AI model boosts investment confidence and profitability.

problem Challenges in financial forecasting and interpretability in decision-making models.
method SHAP-based explainability technique for interpretable AI models.
result Notable enhancement in investor's portfolio value.

Generative AI reduces herd behavior in trading, but can also lead to optimal herding.

problem Impact of generative AI on financial stability and herd behavior.
method Laboratory experiments with large language models replicating human trading behavior.
result AI agents make more rational decisions than humans, reducing herd behavior but also potentially leading to optimal herding.

Study uses FDA to analyze discount functions of different temperaments.

problem Traditional finance models fail to capture individual differences in investment choices.
method Functional Data Analysis (FDA) to investigate temporal discounting behaviors.
result Heterogeneity within each temperament revealed, suggesting diverse investor profiles.

FinVision uses LLM agents to predict stock markets by processing various financial data types.

problem Challenges in integrating diverse financial data for accurate stock market prediction.
method Multi-agent framework with LLMs specialized in different financial data types and a reflection module.
result The reflection module enhances decision-making capabilities for financial trading.

The paper analyzes frameworks for integrating sustainability into investment decisions.

problem Understanding how ESG factors influence investment choices.
method Examined and analyzed various theoretical frameworks including Behavioral Finance, Modern Portfolio, and Risk Management.
result Investors increasingly integrate ESG factors to optimize financial outcomes and societal goals.

New concept of partial law invariance connects decision theory and financial risk management.

problem Connecting decision theory and financial risk management under uncertainty.
method Characterizing partially law-invariant coherent risk measures via a novel representation formula.
result Strong partial law invariance bridges the gap between existing risk measure representations.

New risk measure and quadrangle improve financial decision-making.

problem Heterogeneous risk assessments among analysts.
method Established analytical characterizations of WGRM and incorporated FRQ into WRQ.
result WGRM and WRQ framework improves risk-adjusted performance and downside resilience.

Method detects and visualizes changes in financial markets' asset relationships.

problem Detecting and explaining changes in financial markets' asset relationships.
method Construct co-occurrence networks, calculate Graph-Based Entropy, apply Differential Network.
result Visualization of changes in financial markets with high interpretability.

Anchoring is a term used in psychology to describe the common human tendency to rely too heavily (anchor) on one piece of information when making decisions. A trading algorithm inspired by biological motors, introduced by L. Gil\cite{Gil}, is suggested as a testing ground for anchoring in financial markets. An exact so…

2007-05-23abs ↗pdf ↗

Improved financial sentiment analysis using LLMs with retrieval augmentation.

problem Limited performance of traditional NLP models in financial sentiment analysis.
method Retrieval-augmented Large Language Models (LLMs) with instruction tuning.
result Achieved 15% to 48% performance gain in accuracy and F1 score.

This paper uses CausalGANs and RL with LLM to predict bond yields.

problem Challenges in financial bond yield forecasting due to data scarcity and market conditions.
method Proposes a novel framework combining CausalGANs, RL, and LLM for synthetic data generation and trading signals.
result Improves forecasting performance over existing methods with low Mean Absolute Error.

Survey of AI in finance covering models, strategies, and knowledge systems.

problem Challenges in applying AI to financial markets, especially in high-frequency trading.
method Systematic analysis of financial AI across predictive models, decision frameworks, and knowledge augmentation systems.
result Critical trade-offs and gaps between theoretical advances and practical implementation in financial AI.

FinMem enhances LLM trading agents with layered memory and character design.

problem Developing purpose-driven LLM agents for financial decision-making.
method Integrates layered memory and character design modules into an LLM framework.
result Significantly enhanced trading performance in financial markets.

This study examines representation bias in open-source Qwen models for investment decisions.

problem Representation bias in financial applications of large language models.
method Balanced round-robin prompting over 150 U.S. equities, constrained decoding, token-logit aggregation.
result Firm size and valuation increase model confidence, while risk factors decrease it.

The algorithmic trading comes from digitalisation of the processing of trading assets on financial markets. Since 1980 the computerization of the stock market offers real time processing of financial information. This technological revolution has offered processes and mathematic methods to identify best return on trans…

2008-10-22abs ↗pdf ↗

Benchmark detects decision-time leakage in financial backtests.

problem Detecting decision-time leakage in financial machine-learning backtests.
method Toggles one evaluation convention at a time around a clean t+1t{+}1-open reference, holding other factors fixed.
result Inflation is highly selective, affecting specific features and execution methods.

Non-parametric bootstrap improves robust portfolio and trading strategy optimization.

problem Mitigating uncertainty in expected returns and covariances in financial decision-making.
method Non-parametric bootstrap framework for robust optimization without distributional assumptions.
result Improved out-of-sample performance with smoother, more stable results.

System detects financial forecasts in tweets, achieving high precision.

problem Detecting financial forecasts in social media messages.
method Natural Language Processing and Machine Learning techniques for real-time analysis.
result Achieves over 90% precision for financial forecasts.