A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
Modeling investor behavior from financial advisor notes using NLP.
Study shows human advisors use context to improve student outcomes in algorithm-assisted advising.
Fund2Persona creates personalized financial advisor personas from fund data, improving investment advice.
Fund2Persona creates personalized financial advisor personas from fund data, improving investment advice and manager interpretation.
Artificial intelligence, or AI, enhancements are increasingly shaping our daily lives. Financial decision-making is no exception to this. We introduce the notion of AI Alter Egos, which are shadow robo-investors, and use a unique data set covering brokerage accounts for a large cross-section of investors over a sample …
We assume that an agent's rate of consumption is {\it ratcheted}; that is, it forms a non-decreasing process. Given the rate of consumption, we act as financial advisers and find the optimal investment strategy for the agent who wishes to minimize his probability of ruin.
Robo-advisors use MPC to create dynamic investment strategies.
A model integrates CNN and LSTM with LLM for better stock forecasting.
Robo-advisor uses ML to optimize investment performance.
We consider in this paper some structured financial products, known as reverse convertible notes, that resulted in substantial losses to certain buyers of these notes in recent years. We shall focus on specific reverse convertible notes known as "Autocallable Optimization Securities with Contingent Protection Linked to…
Algorithm of multicurrency trading at the market of Forex is realized on the basis of nonlinear stochastic wavelets. The distinctive feature of the algorithm is the possibility of weakly- and strongly connected horizontal self-assemblies, as well as use of nested structures. On-line trading with eight currency couples …
Study on predictable forward processes in trading without frequent evaluations.
In mutual fund, an investment adviser gives advice to clients about investing in securities such as stocks, bonds, mutual funds, or exchange traded funds. Some investment advisers manage portfolios of securities. In this paper, we analyze advisor portfolio for each advisor so as to recognize the pattern in each adviser…
FinGPT is an open-source financial LLM for democratizing financial data.
Researchers study how teachers' advising relationships influence their perceptions of satisfaction and students, not policy influence.
Deep learning improves portfolio management by optimizing asset weights.
The financial crisis of 2008, which started with an initially well-defined epicenter focused on mortgage backed securities (MBS), has been cascading into a global economic recession, whose increasing severity and uncertain duration has led and is continuing to lead to massive losses and damage for billions of people. H…
We develop a framework for price-mediated contagion in financial systems where banks are forced to liquidate assets to satisfy a risk-weight based capital adequacy requirement. In constructing this modeling framework, we introduce a two-tier pricing structure: the volume weighted average price that is obtained by any b…
Automated investment managers, or robo-advisors, have emerged as an alternative to traditional financial advisors. The viability of robo-advisors crucially depends on their ability to offer personalized financial advice. We introduce a novel framework, in which a robo-advisor interacts with a client to solve an adaptiv…
Survey of RL in finance, tackling complex decision-making.
We introduce a reinforcement learning framework for retail robo-advising. The robo-advisor does not know the investor's risk preference, but learns it over time by observing her portfolio choices in different market environments. We develop an exploration-exploitation algorithm which trades off costly solicitations of …
New simulations advise caution in choosing principal components for multivariate functional data.
A new method for student-initiated action advice using novelty detection.
Autonomous systems can substantially enhance a human's efficiency and effectiveness in complex environments. Machines, however, are often unable to observe the preferences of the humans that they serve. Despite the fact that the human's and machine's objectives are aligned, asymmetric information, along with heterogene…
Stock exchanges are considered major players in financial sectors of many countries. Most Stockbrokers, who execute stock trade, use technical, fundamental or time series analysis in trying to predict stock prices, so as to advise clients. However, these strategies do not usually guarantee good returns because they gui…
We proposed the agent-based model of financial markets where agents (or traders) are represented by three-state spins located on the plane lattice or social network. The spin variable represents only the individual opinion (advice) that each trader gives to his nearest neighbors. In the model the agents can be consider…
Study shows fiduciary duty reduces municipal bond yields by 9% after SEC rule.
Systematic review finds reinforcement learning enhances financial tech performance.
We analyze four structured products that have caused severe losses to investors in recent years. These products are: return optimization securities, yield magnet notes, reverse exchangeable securities, and principal-protected notes. We describe the basic structure of these products, analyze them probabilistically using…
Selecting the most appropriate data examples to present a deep neural network (DNN) at different stages of training is an unsolved challenge. Though practitioners typically ignore this problem, a non-trivial data scheduling method may result in a significant improvement in both convergence and generalization performanc…
Paper uses inverse optimization to measure risk preference from investment portfolios.
Study measures risk spillovers between US and China's agricultural futures markets.
New method detects data distribution changes and retraining is advised.
With the breakthrough of computational power and deep neural networks, many areas that we haven't explore with various techniques that was researched rigorously in past is feasible. In this paper, we will walk through possible concepts to achieve robo-like trading or advising. In order to accomplish similar level of pe…
Reinforcement learning for optimizing retirement plans and target dated funds.
This paper introduces a deep-learning based efficient classifier for common dermatological conditions, aimed at people without easy access to skin specialists. We report approximately 80% accuracy, in a situation where primary care doctors have attained 57% success rate, according to recent literature. The rationale of…
In conventional supervised learning, a training dataset is given with ground-truth labels from a known label set, and the learned model will classify unseen instances to known labels. This paper studies a new problem setting in which there are unknown classes in the training data misperceived as other labels, and thus …
LLMs can identify tax strategies, potentially revolutionizing tax enforcement.
A/B testing refers to the task of determining the best option among two alternatives that yield random outcomes. We provide distribution-dependent lower bounds for the performance of A/B testing that improve over the results currently available both in the fixed-confidence (or delta-PAC) and fixed-budget settings. When…
This note explains Ricci flow method for Kähler-Einstein metrics.
The study analyzes how large language models form and express investor risk profiles.
Neuroimaging datasets keep growing in size to address increasingly complex medical questions. However, even the largest datasets today alone are too small for training complex machine learning models. A potential solution is to increase sample size by pooling scans from several datasets. In this work, we combine 12,207…
Risk Advisor predicts and mitigates ML deployment failures.
A brisk building boom of hydropower mega-dams is underway from China to Brazil. Whether benefits of new dams will outweigh costs remains unresolved despite contentious debates. We investigate this question with the "outside view" or "reference class forecasting" based on literature on decision-making under uncertainty …
In this work, we investigate the use of three information-theoretic quantities -- entropy, mutual information with the class variable, and a class selectivity measure based on Kullback-Leibler divergence -- to understand and study the behavior of already trained fully-connected feed-forward neural networks. We analyze …
Estimating the log-likelihood gradient with respect to the parameters of a Restricted Boltzmann Machine (RBM) typically requires sampling using Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) techniques. To save computation time, the Markov chains are only run for a small number of steps, which leads to a biased estimate. This bias ca…
Study evaluates scikit-learn regularization frameworks for machine learning models.
New PU ratio predicts long-term Bitcoin returns better than other methods.