We introduce the variational filtering EM algorithm, a simple, general-purpose method for performing variational inference in dynamical latent variable models using information from only past and present variables, i.e. filtering. The algorithm is derived from the variational objective in the filtering setting and cons…
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Random Matrix Filtering in Portfolio Optimizationphysics.soc-ph
We study empirical covariance matrices in finance. Due to the limited amount of available input information, these objects incorporate a huge amount of noise, so their naive use in optimization procedures, such as portfolio selection, may be misleading. In this paper we investigate a recently introduced filtering proce…
Kullback-Leibler distance as a measure of the information filtered from multivariate dataphysics.data-an
We show that the Kullback-Leibler distance is a good measure of the statistical uncertainty of correlation matrices estimated by using a finite set of data. For correlation matrices of multivariate Gaussian variables we analytically determine the expected values of the Kullback-Leibler distance of a sample correlation …
We present Tanaka's prolongation procedure for filtered structures on manifolds discovered in [Tanaka N., J. Math. Kyoto. Univ. 10 (1970), 1-82] in a spirit of Singer-Sternberg's description of the prolongation of usual G-structures [Singer I.M., Sternberg S., J. Analyse Math. 15 (1965), 1-114; Sternberg S., Prentice-H…
Private variable selection method controls FDR with simulations showing reasonable power.
problem Performing variable selection with privacy constraints.
method Private knockoff filter using Gaussian and Laplace mechanisms.
result Achieves controlled false discovery rate (FDR) in variable selection.
The Hodrick-Prescott (HP) filter is one of the most widely used econometric methods in applied macroeconomic research. Like all nonparametric methods, the HP filter depends critically on a tuning parameter that controls the degree of smoothing. Yet in contrast to modern nonparametric methods and applied work with these…
We discuss some methods to quantitatively investigate the properties of correlation matrices. Correlation matrices play an important role in portfolio optimization and in several other quantitative descriptions of asset price dynamics in financial markets. Specifically, we discuss how to define and obtain hierarchical …
The paper develops a computational method for efficient online filtering of diffusion processes.
problem Online filtering of discretely observed nonlinear diffusion processes.
method The approach involves Doob's -transforms approximated by solving backward Kolmogorov equations using nonlinear Feynman-Kac formulas and neural networks.
result The proposed method can be orders of magnitude more efficient than state-of-the-art particle filters.
This paper addresses the problem of filtering with a state-space model. Standard approaches for filtering assume that a probabilistic model for observations (i.e. the observation model) is given explicitly or at least parametrically. We consider a setting where this assumption is not satisfied; we assume that the knowl…
We propose a novel method for maximum likelihood-based parameter inference in nonlinear and/or non-Gaussian state space models. The method is an iterative procedure with three steps. At each iteration a particle filter is used to estimate the value of the log-likelihood function at the current parameter iterate. Using …
We present a provable, sampling-based approach for generating compact Convolutional Neural Networks (CNNs) by identifying and removing redundant filters from an over-parameterized network. Our algorithm uses a small batch of input data points to assign a saliency score to each filter and constructs an importance sampli…
In many practical applications of multiple hypothesis testing using the False Discovery Rate (FDR), the given hypotheses can be naturally partitioned into groups, and one may not only want to control the number of false discoveries (wrongly rejected null hypotheses), but also the number of falsely discovered groups of …
Differentiable PF via entropy-regularized OT for better inference.
problem Non-differentiability of traditional PF resampling methods.
method Entropy-regularized optimal transport for differentiable resampling.
result Convergent differentiable PF method with improved gradient estimates.
Learning from Data to Speed-up Sorted Table Search Procedures: Methodology and Practical Guidelinescs.LG
Machine learning speeds up search procedures for sorted tables.
problem Improving the speed of sorted table search procedures.
method Systematic experimental comparison of efficient implementations with learned counterparts.
result Learned data structures can significantly speed up search procedures.
We introduce a framework for inference in general state-space hidden Markov models (HMMs) under likelihood misspecification. In particular, we leverage the loss-theoretic perspective of Generalized Bayesian Inference (GBI) to define generalised filtering recursions in HMMs, that can tackle the problem of inference unde…
This paper refines the Gaussian Sinkhorn algorithm for general multivariate models.
problem Finite-dimensional solutions for general Gaussian multivariate models.
method Recursive formulation of the Sinkhorn algorithm for Gaussian models, including closed form expressions of entropic transport maps and Schrödinger bridges.
result Refined convergence analysis of Gaussian Sinkhorn algorithms.
New deep learning method approximates Benes filter model.
problem Approximating high-dimensional SPDEs for filtering.
method Deep learning mesh-free neural network representation.
result First study of neural network method for Benes model.
A new ML-based filter improves data assimilation for nonlinear systems.
problem Improving data assimilation for nonlinear systems using ensemble methods.
method Developed a machine learning-based conditional mean filter (ML-EnCMF) integrating ANN and linear functions.
result ML-EnCMF outperforms EnKF and likelihood-based EnCMF in nonlinear systems.
Method introduces topological regularization using information filtering networks.
problem Sparse probabilistic modeling and multicollinear regression.
method Topological regularization via information filtering network.
result Direct application to -norm regularized problems.
There is a significant literature on methods for incorporating knowledge into multiple testing procedures so as to improve their power and precision. Some common forms of prior knowledge include (a) beliefs about which hypotheses are null, modeled by non-uniform prior weights; (b) differing importances of hypotheses, m…
In this article, we discuss various implementation of L1 filtering in order to detect some properties of noisy signals. This filter consists of using a L1 penalty condition in order to obtain the filtered signal composed by a set of straight trends or steps. This penalty condition, which determines the number of breaks…
FLUID uses flows to unify filtering and smoothing for complex systems.
problem Bayesian filtering and smoothing for high-dimensional nonlinear systems.
method FLUID encodes observation histories into a fixed summary statistic, using flows for filtering and smoothing.
result FLUID provides accurate approximations of filtering and smoothing distributions.
Recently, the Frank-Wolfe optimization algorithm was suggested as a procedure to obtain adaptive quadrature rules for integrals of functions in a reproducing kernel Hilbert space (RKHS) with a potentially faster rate of convergence than Monte Carlo integration (and "kernel herding" was shown to be a special case of thi…
This paper presents two approaches for filter design based on stochastic distances for intensity speckle reduction. A window is defined around each pixel, overlapping samples are compared and only those which pass a goodness-of-fit test are used to compute the filtered value. The tests stem from stochastic divergences …
Extends knockoff filter for composite null hypotheses in variable selection.
problem Handling composite null hypotheses in variable selection.
method Developed two methods for composite inference with knockoffs: S-OLS and FRPP.
result Proposed heuristic variants of S-OLS outperforming BH procedure for composite nulls.
Combines neural networks with splitting-up method for filtering equations.
problem Approximating the solution of filtering equations for signal processes.
method Combines splitting-up method with neural networks.
result Produces an approximation of the unnormalised conditional distribution.
A method for optimal Bayesian filtering using progressive particle flow and optimal transport maps.
problem Optimizing Bayesian filtering with deterministic particles to avoid degeneration.
method Progressive flow of particles through a sequence of sub-steps, each using an optimal transport map to replace non-equally weighted particles with equally weighted ones.
result The method avoids particle degeneration and simplifies the filtering process by not requiring inversions or monotonicity constraints.
To select the best algorithm for a new problem is an expensive and difficult task. However, there are automatic solutions to address this problem: using Metalearning, which takes advantage of problem characteristics (i.e. metafeatures), one is able to predict the relative performance of algorithms. In the Collaborative…
Enhanced conformal methods improve validity of LLM outputs.
problem Lack of conditional validity and high false rejection rates in LLM validity guarantees.
method Adaptive conditional conformal procedure and improved scoring function differentiation.
result Demonstrated improved validity and utility on real datasets.
Method detects errors in numerical data using regression models.
problem Noise and errors in numerical datasets.
method Introduced veracity scores and a filtering procedure for error detection.
result Method outperforms other approaches in identifying incorrect values.
Collaborative filtering is an important technique for recommendation. Whereas it has been repeatedly shown to be effective in previous work, its performance remains unsatisfactory in many real-world applications, especially those where the items or users are highly diverse. In this paper, we explore an ensemble-based f…
Low-rank modeling plays a pivotal role in signal processing and machine learning, with applications ranging from collaborative filtering, video surveillance, medical imaging, to dimensionality reduction and adaptive filtering. Many modern high-dimensional data and interactions thereof can be modeled as lying approximat…
The problem of image restoration in cryo-EM entails correcting for the effects of the Contrast Transfer Function (CTF) and noise. Popular methods for image restoration include `phase flipping', which corrects only for the Fourier phases but not amplitudes, and Wiener filtering, which requires the spectral signal to noi…
A filtered manifold is a smooth manifold together with a filtration of the tangent bundle by smooth subbundles which is compatible with the Lie bracket of vector fields in a certain sense. The Lie bracket of vector fields then induces a bilinear operation on the associated graded of each tangent space of making…
In this work, we highlight a connection between the incremental proximal method and stochastic filters. We begin by showing that the proximal operators coincide, and hence can be realized with, Bayes updates. We give the explicit form of the updates for the linear regression problem and show that there is a one-to-one …
Proposes a new feature selection method integrating feature relationships.
problem Feature selection in machine learning models.
method Integrates feature-feature and feature-target relationships via penalized mRMR.
result Correctly identifies inactive features, reducing false discoveries.
Exponential Weighting and Random-Matrix-Theory-Based Filtering of Financial Covariance Matrices for Portfolio Optimizationcond-mat.stat-mech
We introduce a covariance matrix estimator that both takes into account the heteroskedasticity of financial returns (by using an exponentially weighted moving average) and reduces the effective dimensionality of the estimation (and hence measurement noise) via techniques borrowed from random matrix theory. We calculate…
A new feature selection method using random forest and Kolmogorov filter.
problem Ultra-high dimensional data feature selection.
method Fused Kolmogorov filter with random forest based recursive feature elimination.
result Selection and consistency under weak conditions.
Dynamic pruning during training reduces deep network complexity without significant accuracy loss.
problem High memory and computational requirements of deep networks during training and inference.
method Dynamic pruning of convolutional filters during training, using L1 normalization for optimization.
result L1 normalization-based pruning yields up to 50% reduction in filters with minimal accuracy loss.
New algorithm resists Byzantine attacks in distributed SGD for heterogeneous data.
problem Byzantine attacks in distributed SGD for heterogeneous data.
method Polynomial-time outlier-filtering for robust mean estimation, new matrix concentration result.
result Tolerates up to 25% Byzantine workers and achieves optimal convergence rates.
New explanation of reservoir computing using random projections.
problem Understanding the randomness in reservoir computing.
method Constructing strongly universal reservoir systems as random projections of state-space systems.
result Approximation of any fading memory filters class by training a linear readout for each filter.
The knockoff filter introduced by Barber and Candès 2016 is an elegant framework for controlling the false discovery rate in variable selection. While empirical results indicate that this methodology is not too conservative, there is no conclusive theoretical result on its power. When the predictors are i.i.d. Gaussian…
DOPPLER optimizes DP training with low-pass filtering, improving model accuracy.
problem Privacy concerns in deep learning models and performance degradation of DP optimizers.
method Developed DOPPLER, a low-pass filter for DP optimizers, to reduce privacy noise and enhance model quality.
result DOPPLER optimizers outperform non-DOPPLER counterparts by 3%-10% in test accuracy.
Deep Learning as Neural Low-Degree Filtering: A Spectral Theory of Hierarchical Feature Learningcs.LG
Deep learning explained through spectral filtering of hierarchical features.
problem Understanding how deep neural networks learn useful representations from data.
method Neural Low-Degree Filtering (Neural LoFi) as a stylized limit of gradient-based training.
result Predicts how representations are selected layer by layer and explains emergence of concepts.
Corporate Bond Yield Curve Modeling: A Rating-Based Regime-Switching Generalized CIR Approachq-fin.PR
Develops a new model to better predict corporate bond yields.
problem Persistent shifts in interest rates undermine single-regime models.
method Regime-switching generalized CIR model with two-state short-rate process and credit factors.
result The model improves joint curve fit and delivers interpretable probabilities.
Method cleans covariance matrices for better statistical inference.
problem Reducing estimation noise in covariance matrices for better statistical inference.
method Robust yet flexible hierarchical ansatz with bootstrap procedure.
result Lower realized risk in global minimum variance portfolios.
Estimates Heston model with jumps in asset prices using Bayesian regression and particle filtering.
problem Estimating the Heston model with jumps in asset prices.
method Bayesian regression combined with particle filtering method to handle jumps.
result Improves the estimation of key parameters in the Heston model with jumps.
Enhances particle filters with neural augmentation for multi-sub-state tracking.
problem Particle filters struggle with complex or approximated models and low latency requirements.
method Learning Flock (LF) uses a neural network to correct particle weights based on sub-particle relationships.
result LF improves performance, robustness, and latency in radar multi-target tracking.