Post-Quantum Secure Federated DeFi for Inclusive Banking
problem Financial systems and DeFi ecosystems are vulnerable to quantum computing threats.
method Post-Quantum Secure Federated DeFi framework using lattice-based FHE.
result End-to-end homomorphic computation enables inter-bank collaboration.
The model of this paper gives a convenient strategy that a bank in the federal funds market can use in order to maximize its profit in a contemporaneous reserve requirement (CRR) regime. The reserve requirements are determined by the demand deposit process, modelled as a Brownian motion with drift. We propose a new mod…
This paper examines SVB's failure and its impact on bank stocks.
problem SVB failure and its contagion effects on bank stocks.
method Analyzed bank-specific vulnerabilities and stock performance.
result Uninsured deposits and unrealized losses were key factors in SVB's impact.
As economic entities become increasingly interconnected, a shock in a financial network can provoke significant cascading failures throughout the system. To study the systemic risk of financial systems, we create a bi-partite banking network model composed of banks and bank assets and propose a cascading failure model …
Commercial banks and other depository institutions in some countries are required to hold in reserve against deposits made by their customers at their Central Bank or Federal Reserve. Although some countries have been eliminated it, this requirement is useful as one of many Central Bank's regulation made to control rat…
The paper discusses fairness in bank stress tests, comparing various methods to address institutional differences.
problem Fair aggregation of bank-specific stress test models into a common model.
method Comparing various notions of regression fairness, including estimating and discarding centered bank fixed effects.
result The method of estimating and discarding centered bank fixed effects is preferable for linear models, improving forecast accuracy and equal treatment.
Study examines time-varying betas and their volatility in bank interest income and expense margins.
problem Understanding the variability of bank betas and their impact on net interest margins.
method Used state-space methods to estimate time-varying betas and conditional volatility.
result Substantial variation in interest income and expense betas, leading to varying net interest margin coefficients.
I studied the convergence of regional house prices to national prices in USA by analyzing time-series of house price indices of 9 Census Divisions. I found the evidence of the convergence in some parts of the country using asymmetric unit root tests. The fact that the evidence of the convergence is not present in large…
New machine learning models improve credit scoring in banks.
problem Improving credit scoring models in heavily regulated financial institutions.
method Gradient Boosting Machines (XGBoost) and Shapley Values.
result Improved performance and default capture rate compared to current models.
GenAI adoption paradoxically lowers ROE for U.S. banks, with spillovers but systemic risk concerns.
problem Productivity paradox and implementation costs in U.S. banking sector with AI adoption.
method Dynamic Spatial Durbin Models (DSDM) and Synthetic Difference-in-Differences (SDID) for causal inference.
result AI adoption leads to a 428-basis-point decline in ROE for banks, with spillovers but systemic risk implications.
Using a recently introduced method to quantify the time varying lead-lag dependencies between pairs of economic time series (the thermal optimal path method), we test two fundamental tenets of the theory of fixed income: (i) the stock market variations and the yield changes should be anti-correlated; (ii) the change in…
Study improves U.S. monetary policy forecasting by integrating text and data.
problem Forecasting central bank policy decisions, especially the Fed's rate changes.
method Multi-modal approach combining structured data and unstructured text from Fed communications.
result Hybrid models outperform unimodal baselines, achieving a test AUC of 0.83.
Paper proposes a new topology for AML analysis using Poincaré embeddings.
problem Complex money laundering schemes and regulatory constraints hinder AML analysis and information sharing.
method Proposes a new topology for AML analysis using Poincaré embeddings.
result Demonstrates improved AML analysis and information sharing through Poincaré embeddings.
PrivacyFL simulates privacy-preserving federated learning.
problem Ensuring privacy in federated learning environments.
method Extensible, configurable simulator for federated learning.
result PrivacyFL checks feasibility and improves model accuracy.
In this theoretical paper, I propose creation of a venture bank, able to multiply the capital of a venture capital firm by at least 47 times, without requiring access to the Federal Reserve or other central bank apart from settlement. This concept rests on obtaining default swap instruments on loans in order to create …
Federated approach protects privacy while learning user patterns.
problem Protecting sensitive data in recommendation systems.
method Differentially private prototypes for global and local models.
result Local adaptation improves recommendation accuracy and relevance.
Study examines Fed's pandemic communication strategies.
problem Analyzing Federal Reserve's communication during the COVID-19 pandemic.
method Sentiment analysis, topic modeling, comparative analysis of previous crises.
result Fed's communication during the pandemic focused on financial stability, market volatility, social welfare, and unconventional monetary policy.
A centered innovation MA is equivalent to a digamma-link DARMA for bank-asset shares.
problem Predicting bank-asset shares using Bayesian Dirichlet ARMA models.
method Replacing raw additive log-ratio residuals with centered innovations in B--DARMA.
result Centered specification and digamma-link DARMA are predictively equivalent under specified conditions.
Tabular Q-learning outperforms advanced RL methods in monetary policy.
problem Dynamic setting of short-term interest rates to stabilize inflation and unemployment under uncertain macroeconomic conditions.
method Discrete-action Markov Decision Process with tabular Q-learning, SARSA, Actor-Critic, Deep Q-Networks, Bayesian Q-learning, POMDP formulations.
result Standard tabular Q-learning achieved the best performance (-615.13 +- 309.58 mean return) compared to advanced RL methods and traditional policy rules.
An asset network systemic risk (ANWSER) model is presented to investigate the impact of how shadow banks are intermingled in a financial system on the severity of financial contagion. Particularly, the focus of this study is the impact of the following three representative topologies of an interbank loan network betwee…
The study compares profitability of conventional and Islamic banks in Bangladesh.
problem Evaluating profitability of commercial banks in Bangladesh.
method Examined bank-specific, industry-specific, and banking system factors on profitability.
result Islamic banks consistently outperform conventional banks in profitability.
Study on electronic banking satisfaction in Nigeria.
problem Limited research on factors enhancing end users' satisfaction in electronic banking.
method Empirical analysis of factors influencing electronic banking user satisfaction.
result Factors influencing electronic banking user satisfaction and their relationship with satisfaction.
Study analyzes profitability and efficiency of Chinese banks, finding state-owned banks superior.
problem Analyzing efficiency and profitability of Chinese banks over time.
method Used Data envelopment analysis (Super-SBM-UND-VRS based DEA) model considering non-performing loans as undesired output.
result State-owned banks and Rural/City Commercial Banks have better profitability super-efficiency than Joint-stock Banks.
The European sovereign debt crisis has impaired many European banks. The distress on the European banks may transmit worldwide, and result in a large-scale knock-on default of financial institutions. This study presents a computer simulation model to analyze the risk of insolvency of banks and defaults in a bank credit…
We report a study of a stylized banking cascade model investigating systemic risk caused by counter party failure using liabilities and assets to define banks' balance sheet. In our stylized system, banks can be in two states: normally operating or distressed and the state of a bank changes from normally operating to d…
We consider the problem of governing systemic risk in an assets-liabilities dynamical model of banking system. In the model considered each bank is represented by its assets and its liabilities.The capital reserves of a bank are the difference between assets and liabilities of the bank. A bank is solvent when its capit…
This study uses high-frequency data to identify early warning signals for bank crises.
problem Identifying early warning signals for impending bank crises.
method Constructing multiple recurrence networks (MRNs) based on high-frequency stock returns to monitor nonlinear dynamics.
result Key indicators of MRNs, particularly average mutual information, provide valuable insights into periods of extreme volatility.
Analysis finds no evidence of banks managing deposit run risk prior to 2023 Regional Banking Crisis.
problem Determining factors for deposit run risk management before a regional banking crisis.
method Cross-sectional analysis of interest rate and equity use by banks.
result No evidence of banks managing deposit run risk via their balance sheet.
Study examines factors influencing lending to SMEs by Kenyan banks.
problem Lack of creditworthiness makes SMEs difficult to finance by banks.
method Descriptive research design, census of 43 banks, secondary data analysis.
result Bank size and liquidity significantly influence lending to SMEs, while credit risk and interest rates do not.
Bangladesh's banking sector improved through financial reforms, but challenges remain.
problem Weak asset quality, inadequate provisioning, and negative capitalization of state-owned banks.
method Two phases of reforms: private ownership promotion and gradual deregulation.
result Significant improvements in asset quality and capitalization, but challenges persist.
Study evaluates profitability of Islamic banks in Bangladesh using ROA, ROE, and ROD.
problem Evaluating profitability of Islamic banks in Bangladesh.
method Used ROA, ROE, and ROD as measures, analyzed relationships with AU and OE.
result ROD significantly associated with ROA, but not with OE and AU.
A modern version of Monetary Circuit Theory with a particular emphasis on stochastic underpinning mechanisms is developed. It is explained how money is created by the banking system as a whole and by individual banks. The role of central banks as system stabilizers and liquidity providers is elucidated. It is shown how…
Research examines how Islamic banking principles spread among managers and scholars.
problem Diffusion of Islamic banking principles among managers and scholars.
method Literature review focusing on knowledge diffusion and Islamic banking governance principles.
result Emergence of common Islamic banking governance principles from diverse knowledge streams.
Modeling financial contagion through bank networks, revealing solvency correlations.
problem Understanding how financial shocks propagate through interconnected banks.
method Simulated financial network of 100 banks, randomly generated with varying link probabilities, and shocks applied to 15 banks.
result Ranges of probability values and banks' solvency are positively correlated.
We analyze the influence and interactions of 60 largest world banks for 195 world countries using the reduced Google matrix algorithm for the English Wikipedia network with 5 416 537 articles. While the top asset rank positions are taken by the banks of China, with China Industrial and Commercial Bank of China at the f…
In the wake of the still ongoing global financial crisis, bank interdependencies have come into focus in trying to assess linkages among banks and systemic risk. To date, such analysis has largely been based on numerical data. By contrast, this study attempts to gain further insight into bank interconnections by tappin…
Oil prices affect Russian banks' stability, with negative impacts from decreases.
problem The impact of international oil prices on Russian public banks' financial stability.
method Data from 17 Russian public banks (2008-2016), Pool Mean Group (PMG) estimator.
result An increase in international oil prices and price to book value ratio positively affects Russian public banks' stability in the long run, while negative shocks have the opposite effect.
Based on an empirical analysis of the network structure of the Austrian inter-bank market, we study the flow of funds through the banking network following exogenous shocks to the system. These shocks are implemented by stochastic changes in variables like interest rates, exchange rates, etc. We demonstrate that the sy…
The paper models systemic risk in European and U.S. banks using factor copulas.
problem Modeling the joint and conditional distress probabilities of banks across Europe and the U.S.
method Employing Credit Default Swaps (CDS) and factor copulas, the paper proposes multi-factor, structured factor, and factor-vine models.
result Systematic contagion channel drives distress probabilities in the banking system as a whole, while regional factors are important within each region.
Bailouts in financial networks are hard to optimize due to NP-hardness.
problem Optimizing bailouts in a network of insolvent banks.
method Modeling bailouts as an optimization problem, proving NP-hardness and inapproximability.
result Banks can strategically alter debt contracts to increase their market value in the event of a bailout.
Study evaluates sustainability of European banks using a new model.
problem Lack of a framework to evaluate sustainability of banking business models.
method Delphi-Analytic Hierarchy Process method to develop and assess the model.
result Norwegian and German banks have higher sustainability of their business models.
We use bank-level balance sheet data from 2005 to 2010 to study interactions within the banking system of five emerging countries: Argentina, Brazil, Mexico, South Africa, and Taiwan. For each country we construct a financial network based on the leverage ratio dependence between each pair of banks, and find results th…
Study assesses the impact of Basel III reforms on Bangladeshi banks.
problem Impact of Basel III liquidity and capital requirements on Bangladeshi banks.
method Panel data analysis with fixed effects, including macroeconomic variables.
result Higher capital and liquidity requirements negatively affect banks' profitability but positively impact interest rates and private sector lending.
Compressed Federated Distillation reduces communication in federated learning.
problem Communication constraints in Federated Learning.
method Compressed Federated Distillation (CFD) leverages soft labels and quantization techniques.
result Reduces communication by more than 4 orders of magnitude compared to Federated Averaging.
We consider the problem of governing systemic risk in a banking system model. The banking system model consists in an initial value problem for a system of stochastic differential equations whose dependent variables are the log-monetary reserves of the banks as functions of time. The banking system model considered gen…
The negative externalities from an individual bank failure to the whole system can be huge. One of the key purposes of bank regulation is to internalize the social costs of potential bank failures via capital charges. This study proposes a method to evaluate and allocate the systemic risk to different countries/regions…
This paper develops a federated EM algorithm for unsupervised learning of mixture models.
problem Theoretical foundations of unsupervised federated learning are lacking.
method Introduces a federated gradient EM algorithm (FedGrEM) for unsupervised learning of mixture models.
result Theoretical analysis shows FedGrEM outperforms local single-task learning.
Adaptive optimizers improve federated learning performance.
problem Inadequate optimization methods in federated learning.
method Federated versions of adaptive optimizers (Adagrad, Adam, Yogi).
result Adaptive optimizers enhance federated learning performance.