Post-Quantum Secure Federated DeFi for Inclusive Banking
arXiv research
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The model of this paper gives a convenient strategy that a bank in the federal funds market can use in order to maximize its profit in a contemporaneous reserve requirement (CRR) regime. The reserve requirements are determined by the demand deposit process, modelled as a Brownian motion with drift. We propose a new mod…
This paper examines SVB's failure and its impact on bank stocks.
As economic entities become increasingly interconnected, a shock in a financial network can provoke significant cascading failures throughout the system. To study the systemic risk of financial systems, we create a bi-partite banking network model composed of banks and bank assets and propose a cascading failure model …
Commercial banks and other depository institutions in some countries are required to hold in reserve against deposits made by their customers at their Central Bank or Federal Reserve. Although some countries have been eliminated it, this requirement is useful as one of many Central Bank's regulation made to control rat…
The paper discusses fairness in bank stress tests, comparing various methods to address institutional differences.
Study examines time-varying betas and their volatility in bank interest income and expense margins.
I studied the convergence of regional house prices to national prices in USA by analyzing time-series of house price indices of 9 Census Divisions. I found the evidence of the convergence in some parts of the country using asymmetric unit root tests. The fact that the evidence of the convergence is not present in large…
New machine learning models improve credit scoring in banks.
In the recent years money laundering schemes have grown in complexity and speed of realization, affecting financial institutions and millions of customers globally. Strengthened privacy policies, along with in-country regulations, make it hard for banks to inner- and cross-share, and report suspicious activities for th…
GenAI adoption paradoxically lowers ROE for U.S. banks, with spillovers but systemic risk concerns.
Using a recently introduced method to quantify the time varying lead-lag dependencies between pairs of economic time series (the thermal optimal path method), we test two fundamental tenets of the theory of fixed income: (i) the stock market variations and the yield changes should be anti-correlated; (ii) the change in…
Study improves U.S. monetary policy forecasting by integrating text and data.
In this theoretical paper, I propose creation of a venture bank, able to multiply the capital of a venture capital firm by at least 47 times, without requiring access to the Federal Reserve or other central bank apart from settlement. This concept rests on obtaining default swap instruments on loans in order to create …
Federated learning is a technique that enables distributed clients to collaboratively learn a shared machine learning model while keeping their training data localized. This reduces data privacy risks, however, privacy concerns still exist since it is possible to leak information about the training dataset from the tra…
Study examines Fed's pandemic communication strategies.
Machine learning methods allow us to make recommendations to users in applications across fields including entertainment, dating, and commerce, by exploiting similarities in users' interaction patterns. However, in domains that demand protection of personally sensitive data, such as medicine or banking, how can we lear…
A centered innovation MA is equivalent to a digamma-link DARMA for bank-asset shares.
Tabular Q-learning outperforms advanced RL methods in monetary policy.
An asset network systemic risk (ANWSER) model is presented to investigate the impact of how shadow banks are intermingled in a financial system on the severity of financial contagion. Particularly, the focus of this study is the impact of the following three representative topologies of an interbank loan network betwee…
The study compares profitability of conventional and Islamic banks in Bangladesh.
Study on electronic banking satisfaction in Nigeria.
Study analyzes profitability and efficiency of Chinese banks, finding state-owned banks superior.
The European sovereign debt crisis has impaired many European banks. The distress on the European banks may transmit worldwide, and result in a large-scale knock-on default of financial institutions. This study presents a computer simulation model to analyze the risk of insolvency of banks and defaults in a bank credit…
We report a study of a stylized banking cascade model investigating systemic risk caused by counter party failure using liabilities and assets to define banks' balance sheet. In our stylized system, banks can be in two states: normally operating or distressed and the state of a bank changes from normally operating to d…
We consider the problem of governing systemic risk in an assets-liabilities dynamical model of banking system. In the model considered each bank is represented by its assets and its liabilities.The capital reserves of a bank are the difference between assets and liabilities of the bank. A bank is solvent when its capit…
This study uses high-frequency data to identify early warning signals for bank crises.
Analysis finds no evidence of banks managing deposit run risk prior to 2023 Regional Banking Crisis.
Study examines factors influencing lending to SMEs by Kenyan banks.
Bangladesh's banking sector improved through financial reforms, but challenges remain.
Study evaluates profitability of Islamic banks in Bangladesh using ROA, ROE, and ROD.
A modern version of Monetary Circuit Theory with a particular emphasis on stochastic underpinning mechanisms is developed. It is explained how money is created by the banking system as a whole and by individual banks. The role of central banks as system stabilizers and liquidity providers is elucidated. It is shown how…
Modeling financial contagion through bank networks, revealing solvency correlations.
We analyze the influence and interactions of 60 largest world banks for 195 world countries using the reduced Google matrix algorithm for the English Wikipedia network with 5 416 537 articles. While the top asset rank positions are taken by the banks of China, with China Industrial and Commercial Bank of China at the f…
In the wake of the still ongoing global financial crisis, bank interdependencies have come into focus in trying to assess linkages among banks and systemic risk. To date, such analysis has largely been based on numerical data. By contrast, this study attempts to gain further insight into bank interconnections by tappin…
Oil prices affect Russian banks' stability, with negative impacts from decreases.
Based on an empirical analysis of the network structure of the Austrian inter-bank market, we study the flow of funds through the banking network following exogenous shocks to the system. These shocks are implemented by stochastic changes in variables like interest rates, exchange rates, etc. We demonstrate that the sy…
The paper models systemic risk in European and U.S. banks using factor copulas.
Bailouts in financial networks are hard to optimize due to NP-hardness.
Study evaluates sustainability of European banks using a new model.
We use bank-level balance sheet data from 2005 to 2010 to study interactions within the banking system of five emerging countries: Argentina, Brazil, Mexico, South Africa, and Taiwan. For each country we construct a financial network based on the leverage ratio dependence between each pair of banks, and find results th…
Study assesses the impact of Basel III reforms on Bangladeshi banks.
Compressed Federated Distillation reduces communication in federated learning.
We consider the problem of governing systemic risk in a banking system model. The banking system model consists in an initial value problem for a system of stochastic differential equations whose dependent variables are the log-monetary reserves of the banks as functions of time. The banking system model considered gen…
Islamic banks being commercial entities strive to earn profit within shariah ambit. Therefore, they seem to be basing themselves upon two knowledge streams namely i) Islamic jurisprudence principles, and ii) banking principles. Islamic jurisprudence principles primarily aim at bringing shariah compliance while banking …
The negative externalities from an individual bank failure to the whole system can be huge. One of the key purposes of bank regulation is to internalize the social costs of potential bank failures via capital charges. This study proposes a method to evaluate and allocate the systemic risk to different countries/regions…
This paper develops a federated EM algorithm for unsupervised learning of mixture models.
Study models systemic risks in BRICS banks under geopolitical shocks.