arXiv research

Paper tackles RCA in complex networks with unknown interdependencies.

A new random forest algorithm uncovers feature interdependencies better than traditional methods.

A new convolutional spectral kernel network learns hierarchical and local features.

Graph Posterior Network improves uncertainty estimation for node classification in interdependent graphs.

CoI framework models clinical feature interactions, revealing temporal dependencies and enhancing transparency.

Study the Mexican stock market's interdependency structure from 2000-2019.

RPN 2 improves function learning by modeling data interdependence.

Model shows how financial contagion spreads through complex interdependencies.

New measure shows how LSTM models compose hierarchical representations.

This paper develops a federated approach to learn Granger causality in interdependent industrial clients.

The large-scale organization of the world economies is exhibiting increasingly levels of local heterogeneity and global interdependency. Understanding the relation between local and global features calls for analytical tools able to uncover the global emerging organization of the international trade network. Here we an…

CAUSE learns Granger causality from event sequences, outperforming existing methods.

To identify emerging interdependencies between traded stocks we investigate the behavior of the stocks of FTSE 100 companies in the period 2000-2015, by looking at daily stock values. Exploiting the power of information theoretical measures to extract direct influences between multiple time series, we compute the infor…

FS-GCLSTM predicts stock returns by leveraging value-chain relationships.

We generalize the scale-free network model of Barabàsi and Albert [Science 286, 509 (1999)] by proposing a class of stochastic models for scale-free interdependent networks in which interdependent nodes are not randomly connected but rather are connected via preferential attachment (PA). Each network grows through the …

In the current era of worldwide stock market interdependencies, the global financial village has become increasingly vulnerable to systemic collapse. The recent global financial crisis has highlighted the necessity of understanding and quantifying interdependencies among the world's economies, developing new effective …

Extends Bayesian theory to handle complex interdependencies in multidimensional event spaces.

The economical world consists of a highly interconnected and interdependent network of firms. Here we develop temporal and structural network tools to analyze the state of the economy. Our analysis indicates that a strong clustering can be a warning sign. Reduction in diversity, which was an essential aspect of the dyn…

Federated learning interprets temporal dynamics across clients with graph attention.

Multitask learning (MTL) aims to learn multiple tasks simultaneously through the interdependence between different tasks. The way to measure the relatedness between tasks is always a popular issue. There are mainly two ways to measure relatedness between tasks: common parameters sharing and common features sharing acro…

Air quality forecasting has been regarded as the key problem of air pollution early warning and control management. In this paper, we propose a novel deep learning model for air quality (mainly PM2.5) forecasting, which learns the spatial-temporal correlation features and interdependence of multivariate air quality rel…

Modeling joint log-volatility dynamics with multivariate fractional Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process.

Recent results in Reinforcement Learning (RL) have shown that agents with limited training environments are susceptible to a large amount of overfitting across many domains. A key challenge for RL generalization is to quantitatively explain the effects of changing parameters on testing performance. Such parameters incl…

The creation of social ties is largely determined by the entangled effects of people's similarities in terms of individual characters and friends. However, feature and structural characters of people usually appear to be correlated, making it difficult to determine which has greater responsibility in the formation of t…

Economic interdependencies have become increasingly present in globalized production, financial and trade systems. While establishing interdependencies among economic agents is crucial for the production of complex products, they may also increase systemic risks due to failure propagation. It is crucial to identify how…

Study maps interdependence of SDGs, finds complex, dynamic linkages.

MCSAE improves speaker embedding by focusing on both high- and low-level features.

We apply the recently developed reduced Google matrix algorithm for the analysis of the OECD-WTO world network of economic activities. This approach allows to determine interdependences and interactions of economy sectors of several countries, including China, Russia and USA, properly taking into account the influence …

Proposes a method to select features for subgroup datasets with systematic missing data.

In this paper, we propose a new framework to study the generalization property of classifier chains trained over observations associated with multiple and interdependent class labels. The results are based on large deviation inequalities for Lipschitz functions of weakly dependent sequences proposed by Rio in 2000. We …

Study develops advanced models to forecast complex LOB data.

New approach for causal inference with interdependent, time-varying latent confounders.

In recent scene recognition research images or large image regions are often represented as disorganized "bags" of features which can then be analyzed using models originally developed to capture co-variation of word counts in text. However, image feature counts are likely to be constrained in different ways than word …

New FI method accurately predicts feature importance.

This study maps systemic risks in TradFi and DeFi, highlighting their interdependence.

Deep learning predicts M&A events in industry networks.

Through a long-period analysis of the inter-temporal relations between the French markets for credit default swaps (CDS), shares and bonds between 2001 and 2008, this article shows how a financial innovation like CDS could heighten financial instability. After describing the operating principles of credit derivatives i…

We present a new approach to estimating the interdependence of industries in an economy by applying data science solutions. By exploiting interfirm buyer--seller network data, we show that the problem of estimating the interdependence of industries is similar to the problem of uncovering the latent block structure in n…

Let $X_{λ_1},\ldots,X_{λ_n}$ be dependent non-negative random variables and $Y_i=I_{p_i} X_{λ_i}$, $i=1,\ldots,n$, where $I_{p_1},\ldots,I_{p_n}$ are independent Bernoulli random variables independent of $X_{λ_i}$'s, with ${\rm E}[I_{p_i}]=p_i$, $i=1,\ldots,n$. In actuarial sciences, $Y_i$ corresponds to the claim amo…

Simultaneously estimates travel times and route choice model parameters.

Cross-border equity and long-term debt securities portfolio investment networks are analysed from 2002 to 2012, covering the 2008 global financial crisis. They serve as network-proxies for measuring the robustness of the global financial system and the interdependence of financial markets, respectively. Two early-warni…

The paper analyzes the crash of stock and commodity markets during COVID-19 using Topological Data Analysis.

New approach protects privacy of deleted records in machine learning.

Following Goussarov's paper `Interdependent Modifications of Links and Invariants of Finite Degree' [Topology 37 (1998) 595--602] we describe an alternative finite type theory of knots. While (as shown by Goussarov) the alternative theory turns out to be equivalent to the standard one, it nevertheless has its own share…

This paper presents a novel decentralized high-dimensional Bayesian optimization (DEC-HBO) algorithm that, in contrast to existing HBO algorithms, can exploit the interdependent effects of various input components on the output of the unknown objective function f for boosting the BO performance and still preserve scala…

Empirical study finds IT project costs follow a power-law distribution, exposing risk underestimation.

Let $X_{λ_1},\ldots,X_{λ_n}$ be a set of dependent and non-negative random variables share a survival copula and let $Y_i= I_{p_i}X_{λ_i}$, $i=1,\ldots,n$, where $I_{p_1},\ldots,I_{p_n}$ be independent Bernoulli random variables independent of $X_{λ_i}$'s, with ${\rm E}[I_{p_i}]=p_i$, $i=1,\ldots,n$. In actuarial scie…

Person Re-Identification (person re-id) is a crucial task as its applications in visual surveillance and human-computer interaction. In this work, we present a novel joint Spatial and Temporal Attention Pooling Network (ASTPN) for video-based person re-identification, which enables the feature extractor to be aware of …