Modified CTGAN-Plus-Features method optimizes asset allocation with CVaR constraint.
problem Optimizing portfolio weights in asset allocation problems.
method Combines synthetic data generation with CVaR-constraint optimization.
result Synthetic data captures key characteristics of original data and outperforms conventional strategies.
Transformer model improves asset allocation by unifying forecasting and optimization.
problem Separation of forecasting and optimization leads to suboptimal portfolios.
method Signature Informed Transformer using path signatures and specialized attention.
result Direct minimization of Conditional Value at Risk improves performance.
A novel federated learning framework resolves structural misalignment in model fusion.
problem Structural misalignment in model fusion due to chaotic information distribution.
method Feature-oriented regulation method (Ψ-Net) to ensure feature information allocation and dedicated collaboration schemes. result Effective enhancement of federated learning applicability to heterogeneous settings with improved convergence speed, accuracy, and efficiency.
Infinite mixture models are commonly used for clustering. One can sample from the posterior of mixture assignments by Monte Carlo methods or find its maximum a posteriori solution by optimization. However, in some problems the posterior is diffuse and it is hard to interpret the sampled partitionings. In this paper, we…
This paper explains CART random forests using stochastic control theory.
problem Understanding the inner workings of CART random forests.
method Developed a stochastic-control perspective on CART random forests, interpreting feature subsampling as a random feasible action set and the split rule as a policy.
result Established that the CART policy is locally stabilizing but globally suboptimal for the forest objective.
Feature extraction has gained increasing attention in the field of machine learning, as in order to detect patterns, extract information, or predict future observations from big data, the urge of informative features is crucial. The process of extracting features is highly linked to dimensionality reduction as it impli…
New model allocates features sublinearly, improving model fit and performance.
problem Linear growth of shared features limits model flexibility and performance.
method Developed non-exchangeable feature allocation models with sublinear feature sharing.
result Sublinear feature sharing leads to better model fit and predictive performance.
Uber optimizes marketplace levers using machine learning to improve resource allocation efficiency.
problem Optimizing budget allocation for drivers and riders to maximize business value.
method End-to-end machine learning and optimization procedure using feature store, model training, and ADMM.
result Substantially improved Uber's resource allocation efficiency through high-dimensional optimization.
Bayesian feature allocation models are a popular tool for modelling data with a combinatorial latent structure. Exact inference in these models is generally intractable and so practitioners typically apply Markov Chain Monte Carlo (MCMC) methods for posterior inference. The most widely used MCMC strategies rely on an e…
We study classification problems where features are corrupted by noise and where the magnitude of the noise in each feature is influenced by the resources allocated to its acquisition. This is the case, for example, when multiple sensors share a common resource (power, bandwidth, attention, etc.). We develop a method f…
In many high dimensional classification or regression problems set in a biological context, the complete identification of the set of informative features is often as important as predictive accuracy, since this can provide mechanistic insight and conceptual understanding. Lasso and related algorithms have been widely …
Proposes a flexible feature allocation model for sparse factor analysis.
problem Sparse data and rigid assumptions in traditional exploratory tools.
method Adaptive latent feature sharing with control over feature sparsity.
result Derives a novel adaptive Factor analysis (aFA) and aPPCA for flexible dimensionality reduction.
We characterize the class of exchangeable feature allocations assigning probability Vn,k∏l=1kWmlUn−ml to a feature allocation of n individuals, displaying k features with counts (m1,…,mk) for these features. Each element of this class is parametrized by a countable matrix V…
nnLDA combines neural and probabilistic methods for better topic modeling with side information.
problem Lack of integration of auxiliary information in traditional topic models.
method nnLDA integrates side information through a neural prior mechanism, optimizing both neural and probabilistic components.
result nnLDA outperforms traditional models in topic coherence, perplexity, and classification.
This paper studies robust payoff allocation in submodular games, especially against replication.
problem Payoff allocation in submodular games, especially robustness against replication.
method Systematically studied replication manipulation in submodular games, introduced replication robustness metric, and validated with empirical ML data market.
result Conditions characterizing robustness of semivalues in submodular games.
Resource allocation improved using machine learning from terminal positions.
problem Optimizing resource allocation in next-gen wireless systems with fast-changing channel conditions.
method Supervised machine learning using position information of mobile terminals.
result Coordinates-based resource allocation performs similarly to traditional CSI-based methods.
Digital transformation boosts corporate financial asset allocation, especially short-term.
problem Understanding how digital transformation affects corporate financial decisions.
method Fixed-effects models and staggered DID design using A-share listed companies data.
result Digital transformation significantly promotes corporate financial asset allocation, more pronounced in short-term.
We show that, in a resource allocation problem, the ex ante aggregate utility of players with cumulative-prospect-theoretic preferences can be increased over deterministic allocations by implementing lotteries. We formulate an optimization problem, called the system problem, to find the optimal lottery allocation. The …
The paper applies information theory to financial markets, improving risk management and asset allocation.
problem Improving risk management and asset allocation in financial markets.
method Information-theoretic measures (entropy, mutual information, etc.) applied to financial time series.
result Normalized mutual information (NMI) is a powerful measure of temporal dependence in financial markets.
Estimates expected information gain using density approximations and dimension reduction.
problem Estimating expected information gain in nonlinear and non-Gaussian settings.
method Flexible transport-based schemes for EIG estimation, optimal sample allocation, and gradient-based upper bounds on mutual information.
result Optimal sample allocation and dimension reduction schemes improve EIG estimation accuracy and convergence rate.
Paper proposes integrating wavelet transform, channel attention, and LSTM for better stock price prediction.
problem Inherently difficult stock price prediction due to low signal-to-noise ratio.
method Wavelet transform convolution, channel attention, and LSTM integration.
result Robust performance in post-pandemic market conditions.
Meta-learning performance is affected by how task diversity is allocated, not just overall variability.
problem Meta-learning performance degrades when task diversity is unevenly distributed.
method Decomposed task-specific regression effects into structurally informative and orthogonal components.
result Meta-learning prediction degrades when a larger fraction of task variability is orthogonal and non-informative.
A Nash game theory approach allocates capital requirements among financial institutions.
problem Allocating systemic risk measures among financial institutions.
method Proposes a Nash allocation rule inspired by game theory.
result Provides sufficient conditions for the existence and uniqueness of Nash allocation rules.
New method allocates capital based on tail central moments for financial risk assessment.
problem Inability of CTE-based capital allocation to reflect tail behavior of losses.
method Developed TCM-based capital allocation for normal mean-variance mixture distributions.
result TCM-based method captures tail risk contributions not detected by CTE.
The financial crisis of 2008 generated interest in more transparent, rules-based strategies for portfolio construction, with Smart beta strategies emerging as a trend among institutional investors. While they perform well in the long run, these strategies often suffer from severe short-term drawdown (peak-to-trough dec…
The article uses dynamic factor allocation to improve portfolio performance by integrating regime-switching signals.
problem Improving portfolio performance through dynamic factor allocation.
method The authors apply the sparse jump model (SJM) to identify bull and bear market regimes for individual factors, then fine-tune hyperparameters using a hypothetical single-factor long-short strategy. These regime inferences are incorporated into the Black-Litterman framework to dynamically adjust allocations among indices.
result The constructed multi-factor portfolio significantly improves the information ratio (IR) relative to the market, raising it from 0.05 to approximately 0.4.
We advocate the use of Agnostic Allocation for the construction of long-only portfolios of stocks. We show that Agnostic Allocation Portfolios (AAPs) are a special member of a family of risk-based portfolios that are able to mitigate certain extreme features (excess concentration, high turnover, strong exposure to low-…
Framework uses RL with dynamic embedding to outperform benchmarks in volatile markets.
problem Challenges in high-dimensional, non-stationary, and noisy market information.
method Dynamic embedding of market information using generative autoencoders and online meta-learning in a reinforcement learning framework.
result Framework outperforms common portfolio benchmarks and PTO approach during market stress.
ACGAN improves portfolio allocation by learning trends and uncertainty.
problem Markowitz framework's overemphasis on market uncertainty.
method Autoencoding CGAN (ACGAN) that learns trends and uncertainty.
result ACGAN leads to better portfolio allocation and more accurate series.
We consider the problem of optimal budget allocation for crowdsourcing problems, allocating users to tasks to maximize our final confidence in the crowdsourced answers. Such an optimized worker assignment method allows us to boost the efficacy of any popular crowdsourcing estimation algorithm. We consider a mutual info…
Combines multiple asset views with machine learning for better portfolio allocation.
problem Portfolio allocation with multiple uncertain asset views.
method Consistency-based data fusion techniques for combining Black-Litterman model with machine learning predictions.
result Improved portfolio allocation through fusion of multiple view estimates.
Language models allocate information storage, not collapsing into uniform representations.
problem Incomplete neural collapse in language model representations.
method Analyzing variance and information sharing across 14 models, proving an information floor.
result Within-class variance is allocated information storage, not collapsed into uniform representations.
Paper uses surprisal to dynamically allocate computation between fast and slow models.
problem Dynamic allocation of computation in neural networks.
method Surprisal-based dynamic model selection.
result Model can match baseline performance with 15% fewer FLOPs.
Paper learns data-driven organ matching rules from observational data.
problem Tackles organ transplantation compatibility using observational data.
method Representation learning to cluster donors and apply recipient transformations.
result Model outperforms human experts in predicting transplant outcomes.
This paper presents an optimal allocation problem in a financial market with one risk-free and one risky asset, when the market is driven by a stochastic market price of risk. We solve the problem in continuous time, for an investor with a Constant Relative Risk Aversion (CRRA) utility, under two scenarios: when the ma…
The paper proposes a new recommender system combining ratings and textual reviews.
problem Lack of using textual reviews in recommender systems.
method Combines Latent Factor Model with Latent Dirichlet Allocation for textual reviews.
result Combining textual reviews with ratings improves recommendation quality.
Enhances portfolio construction with tailored regime forecasts for individual assets.
problem Traditional portfolio construction methods fail to account for asset-specific market conditions.
method Hybrid framework combining unsupervised and supervised learning for regime identification and forecasting.
result Outperforms traditional portfolio models across various asset classes.
Allocation strategies improve the efficiency of crowdsourcing by decreasing the work needed to complete individual tasks accurately. However, these algorithms introduce bias by preferentially allocating workers onto easy tasks, leading to sets of completed tasks that are no longer representative of all tasks. This bias…
New method for risk allocation under multimodality of loss distribution.
problem Risk assessment under multimodal conditional loss distribution.
method Maximum Likelihood Allocation (MLA) and multimodality adjustment.
result Multimodality adjustment improves soundness of risk allocations.
The paper addresses risk sharing and variability measures among agents with general risk preferences.
problem Risk sharing and variability measures among agents with general risk preferences.
method Characterizes Pareto-optimal allocations using Gini deviation, mean-median deviation, and inter-quantile difference as variability measures.
result Optimal allocations are not comonotonic and feature a mixture of pairwise counter-monotonic structures.
This article is the term paper of the course Investments. We mainly focus on modeling long-term investment decisions of a typical utility-maximizing individual, with features of Chinese stock market in perspective. We adopt an OR based methodology with market information as input parameters to carry out the solution. T…
Strategic feature selection in high-stakes domains like healthcare.
problem Strategic manipulation of input features in algorithmic predictors.
method Formal study of strategic classification through feature selection and ridge regularization.
result Excluding individual features based on manipulability is generally suboptimal.
New method for interpreting financial model risks.
problem Fairly allocating risk in financial models.
method Extending Shapley value framework for axiomatic risk attribution.
result Risk can be well allocated in financial models.
We investigate a class of feature allocation models that generalize the Indian buffet process and are parameterized by Gibbs-type random measures. Two existing classes are contained as special cases: the original two-parameter Indian buffet process, corresponding to the Dirichlet process, and the stable (or three-param…
We study an asset allocation stochastic problem with restriction for a defined-contribution pension plan during the accumulation phase. We consider a financial market with stochastic interest rate, composed of a risk-free asset, a real zero coupon bond price, the inflation-linked bond and the risky asset. A plan member…
This work demonstrates the potential of deep reinforcement learning techniques for transmit power control in wireless networks. Existing techniques typically find near-optimal power allocations by solving a challenging optimization problem. Most of these algorithms are not scalable to large networks in real-world scena…
This paper studies the problem of optimally allocating treatments in the presence of spillover effects, using information from a (quasi-)experiment. I introduce a method that maximizes the sample analog of average social welfare when spillovers occur. I construct semi-parametric welfare estimators with known and unknow…
A new RL framework tackles asset allocation problems using Monte Carlo simulation.
problem Existing asset allocation methods fail to consider portfolio management and financial market characteristics.
method Proposes a new reinforcement learning framework that considers portfolio state and uses Monte Carlo simulation to prevent overfitting.
result The proposed method outperforms benchmarks in various test intervals.