Business cycles affect startup valuations, both directly and indirectly.
problem How do business cycles impact startup valuations?
method Structural Equation Model approach using a dataset of 1,089 venture capital investments.
result Business cycles impact startup valuations both directly and indirectly.
This paper evaluates investment risks in LATAM AI startups using DCF method.
problem Unique challenges and risks faced by LATAM tech startups.
method Total Addressable Market (TAM), Serviceable Available Market (SAM), and Serviceable Obtainable Market (SOM) metrics; Discounted Cash Flow (DCF) method.
result Developed a ranking of emerging powers in Latin America for tech startup investment.
The paper analyzes sectoral diversity in startup ecosystems in Europe and the USA.
problem Investigating sectoral diversity in startup ecosystems.
method Analysis of 20+ startup ecosystems in Europe and the USA using a new visualization tool and numerical simulations.
result Emerging diversity of startup ecosystems can be explained by a preferential attachment model based on sectoral funding.
New algorithm detects and handles concept drift in data streams.
problem Handling concept drift in data streams for timely predictions.
method Hybrid Forest algorithm combining Hoeffding Trees and fast startup.
result The algorithm outperforms other methods in classification and regression tasks.
Green startups in Italy survive longer than non-green ones.
problem Survival of innovative startups in Italy.
method Comparative analysis of green vs. non-green startups in Italy, 2009-2018.
result Green startups are more than twice as likely to survive than non-green ones.
Study shows startup competition and investor network influence fundraising success at different stages.
problem Misunderstanding of fundraising success factors across startup stages.
method Used Word2Vec for competition measures and Graph Neural Networks for investor network analysis.
result Startup competition is crucial for early-stage fundraising, while growth-stage fundraising is influenced by investor network features.
Enhances VC startup success predictions using graph augmented time series models.
problem Challenges in predicting startup success due to limited financial data and subjective forecasts.
method Integrates inter-company relationships into time series analysis using GraphRAG.
result Significantly outperforms previous models in startup success predictions.
Deep learning helps identify promising startups.
problem Identifying successful startups amidst many.
method Literature review and synthesis of DL-based startup evaluation methods.
result Deep learning shows promise in startup success prediction.
YC Bench forecasts startup success in Y Combinator batches with a short-term metric.
problem Difficult forecasting of startup success due to sparse meaningful outcomes and slow evaluation cycles.
method Developed a live benchmark using publicly available traction signals and web visibility metrics.
result Revealed 6 out of 11 top performers at YC Demo Day with a simple proxy for prior brand recognition.
Predicting startup success using Crunchbase data and deep learning.
problem Predicting startup success in a volatile entrepreneurial ecosystem.
method Novel deep learning model integrating funding metrics, founder features, and industry category.
result Achieved 14 times capital growth and identified high-potential startups.
In this paper we propose a quadratic programming model that can be used for calculating the term structure of electricity prices while explicitly modeling startup costs of power plants. In contrast to other approaches presented in the literature, we incorporate the startup costs in a mathematically rigorous manner with…
We consider the problem of evaluating the quality of startup companies. This can be quite challenging due to the rarity of successful startup companies and the complexity of factors which impact such success. In this work we collect data on tens of thousands of startup companies, their performance, the backgrounds of t…
Biotech IPOs in Q1 2021: advanced degrees, clinical trials, and IP key.
problem Identifying traits of biotech startups that go public.
method Database of biotech IPOs, analysis of leadership, technology, clinical trials, and financing.
result Advanced degrees, clinical trials, and IP are important for biotech startups.
This paper compares token and equity financing for startups.
problem Understanding differences in return rates between token and equity financing.
method Developed a three-period model to analyze liquidity and return differences.
result Entrepreneurs can achieve higher payoffs by issuing tokens, especially for risk-averse investors with liquidity needs.
Study reveals which startup valuation factors are most critical.
problem Understanding the complex factors influencing startup valuations.
method Hierarchical prediction models using decision trees and random forests.
result Identifies which factors most significantly impact startup valuations.
In the domain of technology startups, biotechnology has often been considered as specific. Their unique technology content, the type of founders and managers they have, the amount of venture capital they raise, the time it takes them to reach an exit as well as the technology clusters they belong to are seen as such un…
A new method to value IPOed companies.
problem Valuing companies after IPO.
method Growth Average U1 method.
result Benchmark stocks using linear extrapolation of revenues and profits.
Study predicts startup outcomes like funding, patenting, IPOs using machine learning.
problem Forecasting startup success metrics like funding, patenting, IPOs.
method Developed interpretable machine learning framework, used preprocessing, class imbalance handling, and compared multiple models.
result Achieved high AUROC values for patent, funding, and exit predictions.
Startups is a popular phenomenon that has a significant impact on global economy growth, innovation and society development. However, there is still insufficient understanding about startups, particularly, how to start a new business in the relation to consequent performance. Toward this knowledge, we have performed an…
Designed to compete with fiat currencies, bitcoin proposes it is a crypto-currency alternative. Bitcoin makes a number of false claims, including: solving the double-spending problem is a good thing; bitcoin can be a reserve currency for banking; hoarding equals saving, and that we should believe bitcoin can expand by …
Analyzes how venture investment strategies have evolved over time in different sectors.
problem Understanding changes in venture investment strategies across sectors over time.
method Applied PCA and TCA to analyze a dataset of 52,000 startups and 110,000 funding rounds.
result There has been a shift in venture investment towards lower-tech sectors and a rise in accelerator investments.
Study uses web search data to analyze tech startups growth.
problem Analyzing growth dynamics of tech startups.
method Utilized Google Trends data for 241 US-based tech startups.
result Web search traffic correlates positively with tech startup growth.
Study evaluates early-stage cybersecurity firms' performance using Crunchbase data.
problem Assessing performance of early-stage cybersecurity startups.
method Empirical analysis of 19 cybersecurity sectors using Crunchbase data.
result Significant variations in capital raised and post-money valuations across cybersecurity sectors.
PHBench predicts Series A funding from Product Hunt launch signals with 7.8% accuracy.
problem Predicting startup Series A funding from launch signals on Product Hunt.
method Constructed PHBench from 67,292 Product Hunt posts, linked to funding records, and used a three-component ensemble model.
result Best-performing model achieved F0.5 = 0.097 and AP = 0.037, with a statistically significant advantage over logistic regression.
A key challenge for Bitcoin cryptocurrency holders, such as startups using ICOs to raise funding, is managing their FX risk. Specifically, a misinformed decision to convert Bitcoin to fiat currency could, by itself, cost USD millions. In contrast to financial exchanges, Blockchain based crypto-currencies expose the ent…
Federated learning platform for drug discovery without sharing data.
problem Lack of secure collaboration in drug discovery.
method Industry-scale federated learning platform using cryptographic aggregation.
result Generated new scientific discoveries in drug discovery.
AI applications pose increasing demands on performance, so it is not surprising that the era of client-side distributed software is becoming important. On top of many AI applications already using mobile hardware, and even browsers for computationally demanding AI applications, we are already witnessing the emergence o…
The paper analyzes game theory in convertible contracts during liquidity events.
problem Optimizing payments in convertible contracts during liquidity events.
method Defined a general model for games, showed non-existence of pure strategy Nash equilibria, developed algorithms for computing equilibria.
result Optimum pure strategy Nash equilibria exist when all contracts are of the same type (SAFE).
The paper categorizes four types of scale-up: smart, dumb, forced, and fumbled.
problem Growing ventures in size and maintaining efficiency.
method Identifying modularity and speed as key factors, categorizing four types of scale-up.
result Modularity and speed are crucial for successful scale-up.
In today's economy, selling a new zero-marginal cost product is a real challenge, as it is difficult to determine a product's "correct" sales price based on its profit and dissemination. As an example, think of the price of a new app or video game. New sales mechanisms for selling this type of product need to be design…
FAST optimizes additive segmentation for faster, more interpretable models.
problem Efficiently segmenting and interpreting complex datasets.
method Optimization framework for fast piecewise constant shape functions.
result 2 orders of magnitude faster than state-of-the-art methods.
Sparse regression models CMs from oscillatory shear data efficiently.
problem Discovering parsimonious constitutive models from oscillatory shear experiments.
method Sparse regression with tensor basis functions, l1 regularization, and greedy two-stage algorithm.
result Inferred CMs extrapolate well beyond training data and flow conditions.
This paper ranks Latin American countries based on AI potential.
problem Identifying emerging AI powers in Latin America.
method Ranking based on infrastructure, education, and finance.
result Argentina, Colombia, Uruguay, Costa Rica, and Ecuador are new emerging powers in AI.
Fast BATLLNN speeds up verification of TLL NNs by 400x.
problem Verifying output constraints for TLL NNs.
method Uses TLL architecture and decoupled box constraints to improve verification performance.
result 400x faster than state-of-the-art verifiers.
LeanML reduces machine learning project waste by estimating best performance without training models.
problem Avoidable wastes in machine learning projects.
method Lean design pattern based on mutual information and performance metrics.
result Estimating best performance without training models is faster and cheaper.
SciSports is a Dutch startup company specializing in football analytics. This paper describes a joint research effort with SciSports, during the Study Group Mathematics with Industry 2018 at Eindhoven, the Netherlands. The main challenge that we addressed was to automatically process empirical football players' traject…
Fast-vollib offers high-performance option pricing and IV computation.
problem Efficiently pricing and computing implied volatility for financial models.
method Open-source Python library with PyTorch, JAX, and CUDA backends, implementing Halley and LBR algorithms.
result High-performance option pricing and IV computation with vectorized implementations.
FAST improves fast and stable task adaptation in DNNs.
problem Catastrophic forgetting in fine-tuned pretrained models.
method Introducing FAST, an easy-to-implement fine-tuning algorithm.
result FAST learns target tasks faster and retains source knowledge longer.
A fast algorithm for generalized matrix regression improves machine learning performance.
problem Efficiently solving generalized matrix regression problems in machine learning.
method Utilizes sketching technique to achieve (1+ε) relative error with sketching sizes of order $\cO(ε^{-1/2})$. result The Fast GMR algorithm achieves better performance in symmetric positive definite matrix approximation and single pass singular value decomposition.
Geoeconomic analysis of venture capital portfolios reveals key emerging tech domains and countries.
problem Quantifying geoeconomic power and technological sovereignty through venture capital data.
method Economic complexity methods applied to venture capital portfolios and RVA metrics.
result Cloud Computing, Cybersecurity Tools, and Medtech have the highest concentration of specialization among high-GCI countries.
Paper investigates robustness to interference as a new training signal for meta-learning.
problem Improving incremental learning through robust representations.
method Directly minimizing catastrophic interference as a training signal.
result Representations learned to minimize interference lead to better incremental learning.
Paper explores fast adversarial training to improve robustness with less computation.
problem Efficiently defending against adversarial examples.
method Integrates simple self-attacks for faster training, focusing on overfitting recovery.
result Shows superior robust accuracy with reduced training time compared to strong adversarial training.
Study the averaging principle for non-autonomous slow-fast systems and apply it to financial local stochastic volatility models.
problem Understanding the behavior of non-autonomous slow-fast systems of stochastic differential equations.
method Prove the averaging principle under specific conditions and apply it to a financial model.
result Prices of derivatives converge to those calculated using the limit model under a risk-neutral measure.
Fast approximates orthogonal matrices for PCA.
problem Approximating orthogonal matrices for fast computation.
method Optimization over structured matrices and greedy algorithm.
result Efficient approximation balances accuracy and speed.
Paper presents a fast algorithm for pricing Bermudan swaptions under the two-factor Hull-White model.
problem Evaluating Bermudan swaption prices under the two-factor Hull-White model with high computational efficiency.
method Discretization of expected value calculation, Gaussian kernel sums, fast Gauss transform, grid rotation for stability.
result Significant reduction in computation time and improved stability for correlation close to -1.
Develops a fast method for pricing American options under variance gamma model.
problem Inefficient methods for pricing American options under variance gamma model.
method Inspired by quadratic approximation method, uses machine learning on pre-calculated quantities to reduce error.
result Proposed method is efficient and accurate for practical use.
New model captures fast price excursions in finance.
problem Capturing fast price excursions in financial models.
method Heston model with fast-reversion limit.
result Model shows significant hitting probabilities for barrier options.
A fast method for LOOCV in k-NN regression reduces computation time.
problem Efficient computation of LOOCV for k-NN regression.
method Identical LOOCV estimate to (k+1)-NN MSE on training data.
result LOOCV computation can be done with (k+1)-NN regression once.