PatternLocal improves XAI for non-linear models by suppressing suppressor variables.
problem Suppressor variables cause false-positive feature attributions in non-linear models.
method PatternLocal uses locally linear surrogate models and transforms weights into a generative representation.
result PatternLocal reduces false-positive attributions and provides more reliable explanations.
Knowledge bases (KBs) are the backbone of many ubiquitous applications and are thus required to exhibit high precision. However, for KBs that store subjective attributes of entities, e.g., whether a movie is "kid friendly", simply estimating precision is complicated by the inherent ambiguity in measuring subjective phe…
Framework for fair classification with noisy protected attributes and provable guarantees.
problem Fair classification with noisy protected attributes.
method Optimization framework for linear and linear-fractional fairness constraints, handling multiple non-binary attributes.
result Provably fair classifier with minimal accuracy loss, even with large noise.
Interpretability is an important area of research for safe deployment of machine learning systems. One particular type of interpretability method attributes model decisions to input features. Despite active development, quantitative evaluation of feature attribution methods remains difficult due to the lack of ground t…
New method shows data-driven causal studies can be misleading.
problem Misattribution of causality in data-driven earth science studies.
method Subsample-based ensemble approach for robust causality analysis.
result Transfer entropy-based causal graphs can be spurious.
Adversarial sample attacks perturb benign inputs to induce DNN misbehaviors. Recent research has demonstrated the widespread presence and the devastating consequences of such attacks. Existing defense techniques either assume prior knowledge of specific attacks or may not work well on complex models due to their underl…
In this paper, we present a novel attack against authorship attribution of source code. We exploit that recent attribution methods rest on machine learning and thus can be deceived by adversarial examples of source code. Our attack performs a series of semantics-preserving code transformations that mislead learning-bas…
Develops a new criterion for subgroup fairness in algorithmic decision support.
problem Identifying fair recommendations in algorithms despite group-level differences.
method IJDI criterion and IJDI-Scan approach to detect and mitigate disparities.
result Identifies significant disparities in recommendations across subpopulations.
FairCal improves face verification accuracy while making results fairer.
problem Bias in face recognition models disproportionately affects minority groups.
method Post-training approach that builds fairer decision classifiers using pre-trained model features.
result State-of-the-art results with increased accuracy and fairness.
A new method assesses algorithmic fairness using game theory.
problem Evaluating algorithmic fairness without proprietary data.
method Cohort Shapley value, a game-theoretic approach.
result Identifies individual impact of protected attributes.
New method improves feature selection by integrating stability paths.
problem Improving feature selection with tighter false positive control.
method Integrating stability paths to strengthen theoretical bounds on E(FP).
result Significantly more true positives with same E(FP) control.
A method to control false membership rate in unsupervised mixture models.
problem Controlling misclassification in ambiguous datasets.
method Develops a plug-in procedure with theoretical guarantees on FMR.
result The false membership rate does not exceed the pre-defined nominal level α. DeXposure-Claw supervises decentralized finance risks by grounding LLM decisions in evidence.
problem Weak evidence leads to over-interventions by general-purpose LLM agents in decentralized finance.
method DeXposure-Claw uses a graph time-series foundation model to forecast exposure networks, turning forecasts into alerts and constraining escalation with data-health gates.
result DeXposure-Claw reduces false alarms and improves regulator alignment in decentralized finance risk supervision.
Ever increasing number of Android malware, has always been a concern for cybersecurity professionals. Even though plenty of anti-malware solutions exist, a rational and pragmatic approach for the same is rare and has to be inspected further. In this paper, we propose a novel two-set feature selection approach based on …
AXE evaluates explanations to avoid misleading Rashomon set model selection.
problem Evaluating explanations for Rashomon set models to avoid false selection.
method Proposed AXE method to evaluate explanation quality.
result AXE detects adversarial fairwashing with 100% success rate.
A system for supervising decentralized finance risks using LLMs and structured evidence.
problem Supervising decentralized finance risks
method Forecast-grounded agentic supervision system
result Developed a system that scores tickets against a regulator-aligned ground truth and false-intervention rate.
Study examines flaws in probing LLMs' knowledge and introduces a new method.
problem Flaws in existing methods for probing the veracity of LLMs' internal knowledge.
method sAwMIL (Sparse-Aware Multiple-Instance Learning) combining multiple-instance learning with conformal prediction.
result LLMs encode a third type of signal distinct from true and false.
A new method enhances signal recovery with FDR control.
problem Challenging signal recovery in compressive sensing.
method Knockoff-guided compressive sensing framework with FDR control.
result Guaranteed FDR control leads to more accurate signal reconstruction.
Study explores rumor spread on Twitter using supervised learning.
problem Rumors spread quickly on social networks, affecting decision-making.
method Microscopic-level analysis of user interactions and features.
result Models predict rumor diffusion with 90% accuracy.
The paper develops a method to identify LLM-generated text without training.
problem Identifying LLM-generated text among human-generated content.
method Modeling LLM text as a sequential process and designing zero-shot statistical tests.
result The method can distinguish between text from known LLMs and non-sanctioned models with low false positive rates.
We introduce a comprehensive and statistical framework in a model free setting for a complete treatment of localized data corruptions due to severe noise sources, e.g., an occluder in the case of a visual recording. Within this framework, we propose i) a novel algorithm to efficiently separate, i.e., detect and localiz…
The abundance of data produced daily from large variety of sources has boosted the need of novel approaches on causal inference analysis from observational data. Observational data often contain noisy or missing entries. Moreover, causal inference studies may require unobserved high-level information which needs to be …
Motivated by settings in which predictive models may be required to be non-discriminatory with respect to certain attributes (such as race), but even collecting the sensitive attribute may be forbidden or restricted, we initiate the study of fair learning under the constraint of differential privacy. We design two lear…
New method controls false discoveries in financial asset pricing.
problem Controlling false discoveries in time series with unknown correlations.
method Double bootstrapping method to control false discovery rate.
result Superior statistical power and controlled false discovery rate.
We decompose the squared price-of-risk premium into three components: intervention-stable premium, confounding wedge, and information loss.
problem Decomposing the squared price-of-risk premium into its components
method Identifying an order-three obstruction to aggregation across portfolios
result The decomposition is estimable and detectable with a permutation-calibrated screen
New methods control false discoveries near the boundary in conformal novelty detection.
problem Over-optimistic assessments near the rejection threshold in conformal novelty detection.
method Support line (SL) correction and alternative procedures to control boundary false discovery rate (bFDR).
result New procedures control the boundary false discovery rate (bFDR) in the conformal setting.
Malware detection is a popular application of Machine Learning for Information Security (ML-Sec), in which an ML classifier is trained to predict whether a given file is malware or benignware. Parameters of this classifier are typically optimized such that outputs from the model over a set of input samples most closely…
There are two big unsolved mathematical questions in artificial intelligence (AI): (1) Why is deep learning so successful in classification problems and (2) why are neural nets based on deep learning at the same time universally unstable, where the instabilities make the networks vulnerable to adversarial attacks. We p…
Job transitions and upskilling are common actions taken by many industry working professionals throughout their career. With the current rapidly changing job landscape where requirements are constantly changing and industry sectors are emerging, it is especially difficult to plan and navigate a predetermined career pat…
New method controls false edge detections in Gaussian graphical models.
problem High false edge detections in well-established estimators.
method Nodewise variable selection approach to control false discovery rate.
result Significant gain in performance compared to competing methods.
New indefinite false theta functions match homological blocks for a specific 3-manifold.
problem Constructing homological blocks for certain 3-manifolds.
method Developing indefinite false theta functions and proving their equivalence to homological blocks.
result Indefinite false theta functions match homological blocks for the Poincaré homology sphere.
Learning a classifier with control on the false-positive rate plays a critical role in many machine learning applications. Existing approaches either introduce prior knowledge dependent label cost or tune parameters based on traditional classifiers, which lack consistency in methodology because they do not strictly adh…
Optimizes latency and false alarm probability in change detection problems.
problem Balancing latency and false alarms in non-stationary environments.
method Develops order-optimal change detectors under specified latency and false alarm levels.
result Derives a universal lower bound on latency and develops order-optimal detectors.
Consider a social network where only a few nodes (agents) have meaningful interactions in the sense that the conditional dependency graph over node attribute variables (behaviors) is sparse. A company that can only observe the interactions between its own customers will generally not be able to accurately estimate its …
The paper reviews techniques for detecting errors in semantic segmentation models.
problem Detecting false positives and false negatives in semantic segmentation models.
method Uncertainty quantification techniques applied to semantic segmentation.
result Techniques for detecting false positives and false negatives are proposed and discussed.
Statistical test detects model degradations in optimized language models.
problem Detecting model degradations in optimized language models.
method Statistical hypothesis testing framework based on McNemar's test.
result Even small accuracy degradations (0.3%) can be attributed to actual degradations, not noise.
New models extrapolate false alarms in ASV without new data.
problem Reliable extrapolation of false alarm rates in ASV without new speaker data.
method Generative models in ASV score space for arbitrary systems.
result Models accurately extrapolate false alarm rates for large speaker populations.
A new metric, Weighted Regret, unifies FDR and power evaluation in online multiple testing.
problem The asymmetric costs of false positives and false negatives in automated pipelines.
method Introducing Weighted Regret and Decoupled-OMT (DOMT) to unify FDR and power evaluation.
result DOMT achieves an order-optimal sublinear mitigation of threshold depletion in bursty environments.
Private online FDR control for adaptive testing under differential privacy.
problem Controlling false discoveries in adaptive multiple hypothesis testing with privacy constraints.
method Private online algorithms based on non-private results, ensuring privacy and statistical performance.
result Strong guarantees for privacy and statistical performance in FDR and power.
New method calibrates false detection rates in sequential change detection.
problem Challenges in setting time-invariant thresholds for false positives.
method Simulation-based approach to time-varying thresholds.
result Accurately targets desired expected runtime while keeping false positive rate constant.
Nonparametric IPSS selects features with false discovery control.
problem Feature selection in high-dimensional data with theoretical false discovery control.
method Integrated Path Stability Selection (IPSS) applied to nonparametric feature importance scores.
result IPSS accurately controls false discovery rate and detects more true positives than existing methods.
Accurate on-device keyword spotting (KWS) with low false accept and false reject rate is crucial to customer experience for far-field voice control of conversational agents. It is particularly challenging to maintain low false reject rate in real world conditions where there is (a) ambient noise from external sources s…
Paper tackles MIAs vulnerability by controlling FDR, providing guarantees on false discoveries.
problem Vulnerability of deep learning models to membership inference attacks (MIAs).
method Designs a novel membership inference attack method that provides FDR guarantees.
result Demonstrates the effectiveness of the method in various settings.
Knockoffs method selects financial factors, controlling false discoveries.
problem Controlling false discoveries in financial factor selection.
method Apply knockoff procedure to build fake factors.
result Shows versatility in fund replication and network inference.
Paper proposes knockoff-based methods to simplify deep neural networks by controlling false discovery rates.
problem High-dimensional deep neural networks with many irrelevant parameters and inputs.
method Knockoff methods combined with regularized neural networks for variable screening.
result Proposed algorithms show satisfactory performance in controlling false discovery rates.
Nowadays, advanced intrusion detection systems (IDSs) rely on a combination of anomaly detection and signature-based methods. An IDS gathers observations, analyzes behavioral patterns, and reports suspicious events for further investigation. A notorious issue anomaly detection systems (ADSs) and IDSs face is the possib…
Study controls error rates of binary classifiers using hypothesis testing.
problem Traditional binary classifiers have uncontrolled error rates.
method Combines binary classification with statistical hypothesis testing.
result Trained classifiers can be made to meet target error rate thresholds.
New method controls false discoveries in online testing with deadlines.
problem Controlling false discoveries in online hypothesis testing with decision deadlines.
method Benjamini-Hochberg-type procedure over a moving window of hypotheses with adaptive threshold parameters.
result Controls false discovery rate at every stage and adaptively chosen stopping times.