BagCert efficiently certifies robustness against adversarial patches on image classifiers.
problem Adversarial patches pose a threat to autonomous systems' perception component.
method BagCert combines model architecture and certification procedure for efficient inference.
result BagCert certifies 10,000 examples in 43 seconds on a single GPU, achieving 86% clean and 60% certified accuracy against 5x5 patches.
Safe imitation learning with a safety layer for flexible training.
problem Flexible yet safe imitation learning for complex tasks.
method Theory and modular method with a safety layer for continuous policy, adversarial training, and worst-case safety guarantees.
result Robustness advantage of safety layer during training compared to test time.
Risk-controlled post-processing optimizes decision policies under risk constraints.
problem Optimizing decision policies with risk constraints for better outcomes.
method Developed a post-processing algorithm that selects a threshold based on fitted fallback policy and score, leveraging tools from algorithmic stability and stochastic processes.
result The post-processed policy achieves precise expected risk control under exchangeability and meets or nearly meets risk budgets while preserving more agreement with the baseline.
This work tackles force control for contact-rich manipulation tasks with rigid robots using RL.
problem Challenges in working with real robotic hardware, especially position-controlled robots.
method Combines RL with traditional force control techniques, implementing parallel position/force control and admittance control.
result Validated methods on both simulation and real robot (UR3 e-series) for force control.
The paper introduces a simple way of recording and manipulating general stochastic processes without explicit reference to a probability measure. In the new calculus, operations traditionally presented in a measure-specific way are instead captured by tracing the behaviour of jumps (also when no jumps are physically pr…
Study refines trend-following strategy to improve adaptability.
problem Challenges in practical implementation of historical trend-following strategies.
method Modifications to historical strategy, including T-bills exclusion, alternative allocations, industry exclusions, momentum signals, and Walk-Forward Analysis.
result Persistent challenges in adapting historical strategies to modern markets.
Biological research often involves testing a growing number of null hypotheses as new data is accumulated over time. We study the problem of online control of the familywise error rate (FWER), that is testing an apriori unbounded sequence of hypotheses (p-values) one by one over time without knowing the future, such th…
Bayesian model averaging under predictor redundancy
problem Reporting Bayesian model averaging posterior without changing the Bayesian target
method Using hard or soft regions of support space
result Region reports often give shorter and clearer summaries while preserving the main posterior information
A TTA framework improves forecasting accuracy in non-stationary time series.
problem Improving forecasting accuracy in non-stationary time series.
method Normalization-based test-time adaptation for causal timeseries forecasting and direction classification.
result Normalization-based TTA improves forecasting error in synthetic gradual drift and can even hurt in aggressive norm-only adaptation in financial markets.
Young isolated neutron stars (INS) most commonly manifest themselves as rotationally powered pulsars (RPPs) which involve conventional radio pulsars as well as gamma-ray pulsars (GRPs) and rotating radio transients (RRATs). Some other young INS families manifest themselves as anomalous X-ray pulsars (AXPs) and soft gam…
Study non-rectangular robust MDPs for average-reward, finding optimal policies and transient values.
problem Non-rectangular robust Markov decision processes under average-reward criterion.
method Proves history-dependent policies are robust-optimal, introduces transient-value framework, constructs epoch-based policy.
result Existence and properties of robust optimal policies, transient value bounds.
A new framework for time series forecasting that adapts to varying patterns.
problem Forecasting multivariate time series with predictive heterogeneity.
method Validation-driven clustering framework that applies specialization based on out-of-sample predictive performance.
result Improves robustness to heavy-tailed errors and local anomalies.
Optimizes parameters in high-dimensional spaces for practical applications.
problem Tuning parameters for complex systems like electron accelerators.
method Bayesian optimization techniques applied to high-dimensional problems.
result Novel algorithm BORING for parameter optimization.
A new method for sampling on manifolds reduces density estimation errors.
problem Sampling on implicitly defined manifolds in various applications.
method Polynomial-Maximization Moment (PMM) estimator replacing local k-nearest-neighbour density estimate.
result Reduces density estimation errors by 22--36% on asymmetric gamma and boundary-spacing regimes.
Unified market making controls risk, arbitrage, and volatility surfaces.
problem Market making risk, arbitrage, and volatility surface consistency.
method Constrained RL and stochastic control for risk-sensitive execution and hedging.
result Agent achieves positive P&L with zero calendar and butterfly violations.
Hybrid method improves accuracy and speed of breast model parameter estimation.
problem Accurate estimation of breast mechanical parameters for surgical simulations.
method Combines deep learning (MNN) with iterative solvers to ensure accuracy and speed.
result Hybrid method achieves both real-time performance and reliability.
Adaptive Nucleus Truncation Improves Long-Form Reasoning
problem Improving long-form reasoning in language models
method Adaptive Nucleus Truncation Sampling (ANTS)
result Significant performance gains across various benchmarks
AXI assesses bank funding costs transparently, improving loan pricing and reducing financial risk.
problem Lack of credit-sensitive funding benchmarks after LIBOR transition.
method AXI aggregates unsecured funding transactions across maturities, producing a daily credit spread.
result AXI correlates with financial conditions and market stress, reducing funding risk and offering spread discounts.
Proposes DCV-ROOD framework for robust OOD detection evaluation.
problem Ensuring reliable OOD detection methods under diverse conditions.
method Dual Cross-Validation (DCV) adapted for OOD detection evaluation.
result Demonstrates fast convergence to true performance of OOD detection methods.