A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
This paper examines Bachelier implied volatility at extreme strikes.
This study compares SPX and VIX options and quantifies their relationship.
A robust implementation of a Dupire type local volatility model is an important issue for every option trading floor. Typically, this (inverse) problem is solved in a two step procedure : (i) a smooth parametrization of the implied volatility surface; (ii) computation of the local volatility based on the resulting call…
We provide explicit conditions on the distribution of risk-neutral log-returns which yield sharp asymptotic estimates on the implied volatility smile. We allow for a variety of asymptotic regimes, including both small maturity (with arbitrary strike) and extreme strike (with arbitrary bounded maturity), extending previ…
We consider a stochastic volatility model where the moment generating function of the logarithmic price is finite only on part of the real line. Using a new Tauberian result obtained in [1] and [2], we show that the knowledge of the moment generating function near its critical moment gives a sharp asymptotic expansion …
Extremely accurate prediction of dynamical system bifurcations using control inputs.
Model predicts unseen climate extremes to inform risk planning.
In this note, Black--Scholes implied volatility is expressed in terms of various optimisation problems. From these representations, upper and lower bounds are derived which hold uniformly across moneyness and call price. Various symmetries of the Black--Scholes formula are exploited to derive new bounds from old. These…
We study the short maturity asymptotics for prices of forward start Asian options under the assumption that the underlying asset follows a local volatility model. We obtain asymptotics for the cases of out-of-the-money, in-the-money, and at-the-money, considering both fixed strike and floating Asian options. The expone…
In the paper, we characterize the asymptotic behavior of the implied volatility of a basket call option at large and small strikes in a variety of settings with increasing generality. First, we obtain an asymptotic formula with an error bound for the left wing of the implied volatility, under the assumption that the dy…
The two-category with three-manifolds as objects, h-cobordisms as morphisms, and diffeomorphisms of these as two-morphisms, is extremely rich; from the point of view of classical physics it defines a nontrivial topological model for general relativity. A rather striking amount of work on pseudoisotopy theory [Hatcher, …
In this paper, we obtain asymptotic formulas with error estimates for the implied volatility associated with a European call pricing function. We show that these formulas imply Lee's moment formulas for the implied volatility and the tail-wing formulas due to Benaim and Friz. In addition, we analyze Pareto-type tails o…
We consider a stochastic volatility model which captures relevant stylized facts of financial series, including the multi-scaling of moments. The volatility evolves according to a generalized Ornstein-Uhlenbeck processes with super-linear mean reversion. Using large deviations techniques, we determine the asymptotic sh…
Paper proposes a method to robustly estimate volatility from OTM options.
We propose a novel time discretization for the log-normal SABR model and derive its asymptotic properties.
In this paper, Malliavin calculus is applied to arrive at exact formulas for the difference between the volatility swap strike and the zero vanna implied volatility for volatilities driven by fractional noise. To the best of our knowledge, our estimate is the first to derive the rigorous relationship between the zero v…
Framework improves risk neutral density estimation in illiquid markets.
Equity default-swaps pay the holder a fixed amount of money when the underlying spot level touches a (far-down) barrier during the life of the instrument. While most pricing models give reasonable results when the barrier lies within the range of liquidly traded strikes of plain-vanilla option prices, the situation is …
SWIFT method speeds up Heston model calibration for European options.
Develops a novel SABR DNN for accurate volatility surface calibration.
We build a methodology that takes a given option price in the tails with strike and extends (for calls, all strikes > , for puts all strikes ) assuming the continuation falls into what we define as "Karamata Constant" over which the strong Pareto law holds. The heuristic produces relative prices for options…
In stochastic volatility models based on time-homogeneous diffusions, we provide a simple necessary and sufficient condition for the discretely sampled fair strike of a variance swap to converge to the continuously sampled fair strike. It extends Theorem 3.8 of Jarrow, Kchia, Larsson and Protter (2013) and gives an aff…
This paper describes another extension of the Local Variance Gamma model originally proposed by P. Carr in 2008, and then further elaborated on by Carr and Nadtochiy, 2017 (CN2017), and Carr and Itkin, 2018 (CI2018). As compared with the latest version of the model developed in CI2018 and called the ELVG (the Expanded …
We study the problem of using i.i.d. samples from an unknown multivariate probability distribution to estimate the mutual information of . This problem has recently received attention in two settings: (1) where is assumed to be Gaussian and (2) where is assumed only to lie in a large nonparametric smooth…
Numerical methods solve Steklov eigenvalue problems to generate free boundary minimal surfaces.
It is well-known that the Black-Scholes formula has been derived under the assumption of constant volatility in stocks. In spite of evidence that this parameter is not constant, this formula is widely used by financial markets. This paper addresses the question of whether an alternative model for stock price exists for…
In this paper, a standard PDE for the pricing of arithmetic average strike Asian call option is presented. A Crank-Nicolson Implicit Method and a Higher Order Compact finite difference scheme for this pricing problem is derived. Both these schemes were implemented for various values of risk free rate and volatility. Th…
We invert the Black-Scholes formula. We consider the cases low strike, large strike, short maturity and large maturity. We give explicitly the first 5 terms of the expansions. A method to compute all the terms by induction is also given. At the money, we have a closed form formula for implied lognormal volatility in te…
We consider the class of self-similar Gaussian stochastic volatility models, and compute the small-time (near-maturity) asymptotics for the corresponding asset price density, the call and put pricing functions, and the implied volatilities. Unlike the well-known model-free behavior for extreme-strike asymptotics, small…
The study reveals unspanned risks in equity option risk premiums, explaining negative premiums for certain options.
The paper solves a pricing problem for a multiple reset put option using integral equations.
Paper uses RL to optimize bid-ask spreads for diverse options.
Study on implied volatility of an affine jump-diffusion model.
We consider a stochastic volatility asset price model in which the volatility is the absolute value of a continuous Gaussian process with arbitrary prescribed mean and covariance. By exhibiting a Karhunen-Loève expansion for the integrated variance, and using sharp estimates of the density of a general second-chaos var…
Researchers create a framework to value player actions in CSGO.
Monotonicity of normalized implied-volatility coordinates under no-arbitrage
We compare the CPU effort and pricing biases of seven Fourier-based implementations. Our analyses show that truncation and discretization errors significantly increase as we move away from the Black-Scholes-Merton framework. We rank the speed and accuracy of the competing choices, showing which methods require smaller …
A new NUFFT method speeds up option pricing for various strikes.
An important but rarely-addressed option pricing question is how to choose appropriate strikes for implied volatility inputs when pricing more exotic multi-asset derivatives. By means of Malliavin Calculus we construct an optimal log-linear strikevconvention for exchange options under stochastic volatility models. This…
Study reveals striking uniformity in triply graded link homology for specific braids.
Diffusion models' sampling paths lie in a low-dimensional subspace, resembling boomerangs.
We provide a general method to compute a Taylor expansion in time of implied volatility for stochastic volatility models, using a heat kernel expansion. Beyond the order 0 implied volatility which is already known, we compute the first order correction exactly at all strikes from the scalar coefficient of the heat kern…
It is well known that in models with time-homogeneous local volatility functions and constant interest and dividend rates, the European Put prices are transformed into European Call prices by the simultaneous exchanges of the interest and dividend rates and of the strike and spot price of the underlying. This paper inv…
We present a numerical approach for solving the free boundary problem for the Black-Scholes equation for pricing American style of floating strike Asian options. A fixed domain transformation of the free boundary problem into a parabolic equation defined on a fixed spatial domain is performed. As a result a nonlinear t…
In this article we present new results for the pricing of arithmetic Asian options within a Black-Scholes context. To derive these results we make extensive use of the local scale invariance that exists in the theory of contingent claim pricing. This allows us to derive, in a natural way, a simple PDE for the price of …
Study improves caplet calibration for 1Y maturity using different models.
Randomized neural networks use fixed connections for efficiency.
The importance of the power law has been well realized in econophysics over the last decade. For instance, the distribution of the rate of stock price variation and of personal assets show the power law. While these results reveal the striking scale invariance of financial markets, the behaviour of price in real econom…