New findings show tool-augmented models can recall unlimited facts, outperforming purely memorized models.
problem Limitations of purely memorized models in recalling large amounts of factual information.
method Demonstrated the benefits of in-tool learning (external retrieval) over in-weight learning (memorization) for factual recall.
result Proved that tool-use enables unbounded factual recall via a simple and efficient circuit construction.
This paper evaluates and validates cluster results using external and internal evaluation methods.
problem Evaluating and validating the quality of clustering results.
method External evaluation using Homogeneity, Correctness, and V-measure scores; internal evaluation using Silhouette Index and Sum of Square Errors.
result Validation of the number of clusters using dendrogram and statistical frequency distribution.
Bayesian inference reconstructs external potentials in DFT for many-particle systems.
problem Reconstructing external potentials in classical density-functional theory (DFT) for many-particle systems.
method Combines Bayesian inference with classical DFT to probabilistically reconstruct external potentials.
result Accurately infers external potentials and density profiles with uncertainty quantification.
Enhances math problem-solving models with multi-turn preference learning.
problem Improving mathematical problem-solving capabilities of large language models.
method Introduces a multi-turn direct preference learning framework for tool-integrated mathematical reasoning tasks.
result Significant performance improvements in model accuracy on math datasets.
The objective of this paper is to fill a gap in the literature on internationalization, in relation to the absence of objective and measurable performance indicators on the process of how firms sequentially enter external markets. To that end, this research develops a quantitative tool that can be used as a performance…
AD-HOC simplifies high-order derivative calculations in C++.
problem Efficiently computing high-order derivatives in C++.
method A C++ package that calculates derivatives of arbitrary order without code generation.
result Derivatives of arbitrary order computed in a single pass.
New approach connects reinforcement learning robustness and regularization.
problem Dealing with external uncertainty in reinforcement learning.
method Introducing Wasserstein distributionally robust MDPs and a new regularizer.
result Established a dual relation between robust MDPs and regularization.
We propose a decentralized Maximum Likelihood solution for estimating the stochastic renewable power generation and demand in single bus Direct Current (DC) MicroGrids (MGs), with high penetration of droop controlled power electronic converters. The solution relies on the fact that the primary control parameters are se…
Proposes a dynamic model for urban traffic volume prediction.
problem Urban traffic volume prediction for better traffic management and driver planning.
method Combines bidirectional LSTM, attention mechanism, and external features.
result Improves prediction precision by 3-7 percent on NYC-Taxi and NYC-Bike datasets.
A stochastic model helps maintain insufficiently funded pension funds.
problem Maintaining pension funds that are underfunded and require external financing.
method A time-homogeneous diffusion process with a barrier is used to model the unrestricted reserves value, and a renewal-reward process models the financing effort.
result Expected values and cost evaluations of maintenance are derived, and the approach is applied to a generalized Brownian motion process.
LATM framework uses LLMs to create and reuse tools for efficient problem-solving.
problem Improving problem-solving capabilities of LLMs with external tools.
method Closed-loop framework with two phases: tool making and tool using. LLMs act as both tool makers and users. Resource-intensive model for tool making, lightweight model for tool using.
result LATM framework achieves performance equivalent to using a powerful LLM for both roles but with significantly reduced costs.
A predictor improves power grid frequency forecasts up to one hour.
problem Improving frequency forecast for better power system stability.
method Developed a weighted-nearest-neighbor (WNN) predictor.
result Forecasts for up to one hour are more precise than averaged daily profiles.
TIR expands LLM capabilities by enabling problem-solving strategies.
problem Lack of a principled theory explaining why LLMs with tools are more capable.
method Formal proof and Advantage Shaping Policy Optimization (ASPO) algorithm.
result TIR model decisively outperforms pure-text models on challenging benchmarks.
New tools explain FRF model predictions in high-dimensional ECG data.
problem Lack of interpretability in Functional Random Forests (FRF) models.
method Introduces FPDPs, FPC Probability Heatmaps, and various FPC importance metrics.
result Enhances transparency of FRF models by revealing FPC contributions.
The article provides a modest survey of the absolute theory of general systems of (partial) differential equations. The equations are relieved of all additional structures and subject to quite arbitrary change of the variables. An abstract mathematical theory in the Bourbaki sense with its own concepts and technical to…
One of the open challenges in designing robots that operate successfully in the unpredictable human environment is how to make them able to predict what actions they can perform on objects, and what their effects will be, i.e., the ability to perceive object affordances. Since modeling all the possible world interactio…
New risk measures for financial networks avoid external capital, reducing systemic risk.
problem Systemic risk in financial networks is underestimated by traditional methods.
method Developed set-valued, intrinsic risk measures for financial networks.
result Systemic intrinsic risk measures are more stable and avoid reliance on external capital.
Bayesian graphical models are a useful tool for understanding dependence relationships among many variables, particularly in situations with external prior information. In high-dimensional settings, the space of possible graphs becomes enormous, rendering even state-of-the-art Bayesian stochastic search computationally…
To meet the Basel II regulatory requirements for the Advanced Measurement Approaches, the bank's internal model must include the use of internal data, relevant external data, scenario analysis and factors reflecting the business environment and internal control systems. Quantification of operational risk cannot be base…
Proposes a method to use external machine-learning predictions in multinomial logistic regression.
problem Improving statistical inference using summary-level external machine-learning predictions.
method Empirical-likelihood framework incorporating moment constraints from external nonparametric machine-learning predictions.
result Fused estimator achieves strict efficiency gain over primary-only estimator under mild conditions.
We first pursue the study of how hierarchy provides a well-adapted tool for the analysis of change. Then, using a time sequence-constrained hierarchical clustering, we develop the practical aspects of a new approach to wavelet regression. This provides a new way to link hierarchical relationships in a multivariate time…
Paper proposes AI for stock market forecasting using external knowledge.
problem Forecasting stock prices influenced by external factors.
method Learning from historical data and external temporal knowledge graphs modeled as Hawkes processes.
result Dynamic representations effectively rank stocks based on returns.
New estimator improves ATT estimation efficiency with external controls.
problem Reduced efficiency when incorporating external controls into ATT estimation.
method Proposes a novel doubly robust estimator for ATT that maintains higher efficiency than standard approaches.
result Demonstrates improved efficiency of the new estimator compared to standard approaches, even under model misspecification.
ChemCrow enhances LLMs for chemistry tasks, automating complex chemical processes.
problem Limited access to computational chemistry tools for large-language models.
method Integrating 18 expert-designed chemistry tools into an LLM (ChemCrow).
result ChemCrow autonomously plans and executes chemical syntheses and discoveries.
Method estimates model performance on external samples from limited statistical characteristics.
problem Limited access to multiple datasets due to privacy and commercial restrictions.
method Search for weights that match external statistics and are closest to uniform, using model performance on weighted internal sample as an estimation.
result Estimated external performance is closer to actual performance than internal performance.
The study assesses external validity by evaluating worst-case treatment effects across subpopulations.
problem Underrepresentation of marginalized groups and limited study populations.
method Develops a semiparametrically efficient estimator for worst-case treatment effects (WTE) and uses cross-fitting to guard against brittle findings.
result The proposed framework guards against invalid findings due to unanticipated population shifts.
A method for logistic regression inference using both internal and external data.
problem Inability to estimate intercept and marginal case proportion in case-control logistic regression.
method Empirical likelihood approach integrating internal and external data.
result Intercept parameter becomes identifiable with external information, and all parameters are estimable consistently.
Study long-term asset liquidation behavior with external flows.
problem Investigate optimal liquidation in presence of external flows.
method Convergence analysis of BSDEs for value function and strategy.
result Long-term liquidation may not occur due to external flows.
Study examines remittances in Nepal, linking external demand and domestic monetary conditions.
problem Understanding the dynamics of remittances in Nepal's economy.
method Constructed composite indices via PCA for external demand and domestic monetary conditions. Used ARDL, cointegration, DOLS, ECM, and machine learning for analysis.
result Strong positive long-run effect of external demand on remittances, significant negative impact of tighter domestic monetary conditions.
Model captures external influences through random parameters and regime switching.
problem Capturing external influences in asset dynamics with uncertainty and regime changes.
method Developed a stochastic model with random parameters and regime switching, mathematically consistent and interpretable.
result Demonstrated the model's versatility through local volatility models and characteristic functions.
Framework for estimating treatment effects using external control data.
problem Improving efficiency in estimating average treatment effects (ATE) in hybrid trials.
method Developed a formal causal inference framework based on exchangeability assumptions and graphical criteria. Proposed estimators and efficient doubly-robust methods.
result Established finite-sample performance and demonstrated application to spinal muscular atrophy trial.
Study identifies negative data externalities affecting model performance on specific groups.
problem Negative data externalities on group performance in machine learning models.
method Characterized and detected data-model inefficiencies, focusing on specific types of externalities.
result Negative data externalities can lower model performance on specific sub-groups, even with larger datasets.
Survey of methods to incorporate external knowledge into stock price prediction.
problem Challenges in predicting stock prices due to market volatility and non-linearity.
method Survey of methods for acquiring and incorporating external knowledge into stock price prediction models.
result Systematic synthesis of previous studies on external knowledge types and their application in stock price prediction.
Estimates non-parametric logistic model using case-control data and external summary info.
problem Imbalanced binary data in case-control studies.
method Two-step estimation procedure with deep neural network for functional approximation.
result Proposed estimator achieves optimal convergence rate in non-parametric regression.
The importance of nodes in a network constantly fluctuates based on changes in the network structure as well as changes in external interest. We propose an evolving teleportation adaptation of the PageRank method to capture how changes in external interest influence the importance of a node. This framework seamlessly g…
UAMM uses external market prices to improve AMM efficiency and reduce liquidity provider risk.
problem Traditional AMMs lack consideration of external markets and risk management.
method UAMM calculates prices by incorporating external market prices and impermanent loss, maintaining constant product curve properties.
result UAMM eliminates arbitrage opportunities when external market prices are efficient, reducing liquidity provider risk.
AI tool automates blood segmentation from head CT scans after SAH.
problem Accurate volumetric assessment of SAH patients for clinical and prognostic implications.
method Transformer-based Swin UNETR architecture for noncontrast CT scans.
result High accuracy and robust performance across internal and external validation cohorts.
Model shows PoS networks can be captured by external finance, leading to centralization.
problem Long-term centralization of PoS networks under external finance pressures.
method Heterogeneous macroeconomic model with two actor classes: investors and consumers.
result External finance forces PoS networks to centralize, leading to zero internal staking yield.
In this paper, we provide an integrated systems modeling approach to analyzing global externalities from a microeconomic perspective. Various forms of policy (fiscal, monetary, etc.) have addressed flaws and market failures in models, but few have been able to successfully eliminate modern externalities that remain an …
The paper simplifies complex mechanical systems with external forces.
problem Analyzing symmetric discrete mechanical systems with external forces.
method Lagrangian reduction and reconstruction for principal bundles.
result Evolution of momentum maps and Poisson structures under different conditions.
Estimates personalized policies robust to shifts in target populations.
problem Estimating policies that perform well in diverse target populations.
method Develops methods for estimating robust policies considering shifts in outcomes and characteristics.
result Welfare-maximizing policies are robust to certain shifts in potential outcomes.
This paper addresses external validity bias in causal inference.
problem Estimating causal effects in a target population.
method Synthesis of approaches for generalizability and transportability, including tests for heterogeneity of treatment effects and differences between study and target populations.
result Framework for addressing external validity bias in causal inference.
Online learning algorithms, widely used to power search and content optimization on the web, must balance exploration and exploitation, potentially sacrificing the experience of current users for information that will lead to better decisions in the future. Recently, concerns have been raised about whether the process …
Study finds multifractal cross-correlations between agricultural markets and external uncertainties.
problem Investigating relationships between agricultural spot markets and external uncertainties.
method Multifractal detrending moving-average cross-correlation analysis (MF-X-DMA).
result Maize exhibits intrinsic joint multifractality with all uncertainty proxies.
In this paper, we study the evolution of submannifold moving by mean curvature minus a external force field. We prove that the flow has a long-time smooth solution for all time under almost optimal conditions. Those conditions are that the second fundamental form on the initial submanifolds is not too large, the extern…
HiPart offers an efficient, interactive tool for hierarchical clustering.
problem Efficient and interpretable hierarchical clustering for Big Data.
method Divisive hierarchical clustering algorithms with interactive visualizations.
result High computational efficiency and interpretability in Big Data applications.
The notion of \emph{policy regret} in online learning is a well defined? performance measure for the common scenario of adaptive adversaries, which more traditional quantities such as external regret do not take into account. We revisit the notion of policy regret and first show that there are online learning settings …
Perfect adaptation in systems is identified and tested using graphical tools.
problem Identifying perfect adaptation in dynamical systems.
method Causal ordering algorithm and graphical representations of dynamical systems.
result Sufficient graphical and testing conditions for perfect adaptation.