A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
We consider the problem of unconstrained online convex optimization (OCO) with sub-exponential noise, a strictly more general problem than the standard OCO. In this setting, the learner receives a subgradient of the loss functions corrupted by sub-exponential noise and strives to achieve optimal regret guarantee, witho…
The matrix completion problem consists in reconstructing a matrix from a sample of entries, possibly observed with noise. A popular class of estimator, known as nuclear norm penalized estimators, are based on minimizing the sum of a data fitting term and a nuclear norm penalization. Here, we investigate the case where …
We introduce a model of super-exponential financial bubbles with two assets (risky and risk-free), in which rational investors and noise traders co-exist. Rational investors form expectations on the return and risk of a risky asset and maximize their constant relative risk aversion expected utility with respect to thei…
Quantum systems with scrambling improve temporal information processing, but scaling requires exponential overhead.
problem Scalability and memory retention of quantum reservoirs in temporal information processing.
method Examined a quantum reservoir processing framework with scrambling reservoirs modeled by high-order unitary designs, analyzed in noiseless and noisy settings.
result Memory retention improves exponentially with reservoir size but worsens with reservoir iterations, requiring exponential shot overhead for scaling.
We consider binary classification problems with positive definite kernels and square loss, and study the convergence rates of stochastic gradient methods. We show that while the excess testing loss (squared loss) converges slowly to zero as the number of observations (and thus iterations) goes to infinity, the testing …
We describe a framework for designing efficient active learning algorithms that are tolerant to random classification noise and are differentially-private. The framework is based on active learning algorithms that are statistical in the sense that they rely on estimates of expectations of functions of filtered random e…
We develop a general method for estimating a finite mixture of non-normalized models. Here, a non-normalized model is defined to be a parametric distribution with an intractable normalization constant. Existing methods for estimating non-normalized models without computing the normalization constant are not applicable …
The study of private inference has been sparked by growing concern regarding the analysis of data when it stems from sensitive sources. We present the first method for private Bayesian inference in exponential families that properly accounts for noise introduced by the privacy mechanism. It is efficient because it work…
We study the problem of learning an unknown mixture of k rankings over n elements, given access to noisy samples drawn from the unknown mixture. We consider a range of different noise models, including natural variants of the "heat kernel" noise framework and the Mallows model. For each of these noise models we giv…
We introduce a covariance matrix estimator that both takes into account the heteroskedasticity of financial returns (by using an exponentially weighted moving average) and reduces the effective dimensionality of the estimation (and hence measurement noise) via techniques borrowed from random matrix theory. We calculate…
The problem of Poisson denoising appears in various imaging applications, such as low-light photography, medical imaging and microscopy. In cases of high SNR, several transformations exist so as to convert the Poisson noise into an additive i.i.d. Gaussian noise, for which many effective algorithms are available. Howev…
Shot-Noise processes constitute a useful tool in various areas, in particular in finance. They allow to model abrupt changes in a more flexible way than processes with jumps and hence are an ideal tool for modelling stock prices, credit portfolio risk, systemic risk, or electricity markets. Here we consider a general f…
We consider stochastic gradient descent and its averaging variant for binary classification problems in a reproducing kernel Hilbert space. In the traditional analysis using a consistency property of loss functions, it is known that the expected classification error converges more slowly than the expected risk even whe…
In this paper, a Bayesian inference technique based on Taylor series approximation of the logarithm of the likelihood function is presented. The proposed approximation is devised for the case, where the prior distribution belongs to the exponential family of distributions. The logarithm of the likelihood function is li…
Paper establishes convergence rates and concentration bounds for stochastic approximation and reinforcement learning with Markovian noise.
problem Analyzing convergence rates and concentration bounds for stochastic approximation and reinforcement learning with Markovian noise.
method Novel discretization of the mean ODE of stochastic approximation algorithms using intervals with diminishing length.
result First almost sure convergence rate and maximal concentration bound with exponential tails for contractive stochastic approximation algorithms with Markovian noise.
In this note, we present a version of the Thompson sampling algorithm for the problem of online linear generalization with full information (i.e., the experts setting), studied by Kalai and Vempala, 2005. The algorithm uses a Gaussian prior and time-varying Gaussian likelihoods, and we show that it essentially reduces …