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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

169,291 papers · 148 categories

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120239359478 · Jun 202019922001200920182026
48 results for expertise estimation

The paper shows how expert knowledge can improve treatment effect estimation.

problem Lack of leveraging expert knowledge in treatment effect estimation.
method Formally defining two types of expertise (predictive and prognostic) and demonstrating their influence on treatment effect estimation methods.
result Expertise type significantly influences treatment effect estimation methods, and can be predicted from a dataset.

PTBCC improves accuracy in multi-class annotation aggregation by learning from prototype confusion matrices.

problem Inaccurate and insufficient confusion matrices for annotators in multi-class classification tasks.
method PTBCC (ProtoType learning-driven Bayesian Classifier Combination) uses prototype confusion matrices to capture annotator expertise.
result PTBCC achieves up to 15% accuracy improvement and 3% higher average accuracy compared to existing methods.

Model aggregates answers with peer predictions, inferring world states.

problem Aggregating answers from multiple respondents without assuming consensus correctness.
method Probabilistic model incorporating respondent signals and predictions.
result Model infers world states and respondent expertise, outperforming other models.

Study shows human advisors use context to improve student outcomes in algorithm-assisted advising.

problem How human advisors use context to guide interventions in algorithm-assisted advising.
method Mixed-methods approach combining quantitative and qualitative data from a randomized controlled trial.
result 2 out of 3 interventions by advisors were plausibly 'expertly targeted' to students using non-algorithmic context.

Unified framework for deep learning with crowdsourced data.

problem Learning true labels from noisy, sparse, and uncontrolled crowdsourced annotations.
method Bayesian deep learning framework that learns annotator expertise and optimizes model training.
result Framework reduces annotation and training time for deep learning models.

Paper proposes learnable topological features for efficient phylogenetic inference.

problem Finding appropriate topological structures for phylogenetic inference tasks requires significant design effort and domain expertise.
method Combines raw node features with graph neural networks to automatically adapt to different tasks.
result Demonstrates effectiveness and efficiency on simulated and real data phylogenetic inference tasks.

FinHEAR combines LLMs with human expertise for better financial decision-making.

problem Challenges in financial decision-making for language models.
method Multi-agent framework with specialized LLMs for historical analysis, event interpretation, and expert retrieval.
result FinHEAR outperforms baselines in financial tasks with higher accuracy and risk-adjusted returns.

VILD learns policies from mixed-quality demonstrations by modeling expert levels.

problem Challenges in learning from diverse-quality demonstrations.
method Explicitly models expert levels with a probabilistic graphical model and variational approach.
result VILD outperforms state-of-the-art methods in continuous-control benchmarks.

Novel CNN-based gaze scanpath comparison distinguishes experts from novices in dental radiograph interpretation.

problem Distinguishing expertise in dental radiograph interpretation based on gaze behavior.
method Convolutional neural networks (CNN) process scene information at the fixation level, using image patches as input to compare gaze scanpaths.
result 93% accuracy in distinguishing experts from novices using image patch features.

UCFE benchmarks LLMs in financial tasks with human feedback.

problem Evaluating LLMs' financial task performance and user satisfaction.
method Hybrid approach combining human expert evaluations and dynamic interactions.
result Significant alignment between benchmark scores and human preferences (Pearson correlation coefficient of 0.78).

Fund2Persona creates personalized financial advisor personas from fund data, improving investment advice.

problem Lack of consistent advisor expertise and difficulty in encoding it in LLM systems.
method Grounds financial advisor personas in fund disclosures, market context, and manager commentary through an agentic actor--scorer--patcher loop.
result Personas better recover portfolio decisions and manager interpretation than generic baselines.

Paper describes profiles of multivariate normal distributions and novel estimators for mutual information.

problem Estimating mutual information for complex distributions.
method Analytical description of profiles, introduction of Bend and Mix Models, Monte Carlo estimation.
result Bend and Mix Models accurately estimate mutual information profiles and provide Bayesian estimates.

Bayesian model transfers knowledge across different engineering fleets.

problem Data sparsity in predictive models for engineering infrastructure.
method Hierarchical Bayesian approach with multitask learning.
result Improves survival analysis and power prediction in truck fleets and wind farms.

New method optimizes hyperparameters in deep learning models efficiently.

problem Manual hyperparameter tuning in deep learning models is inefficient and requires expertise.
method Introduces lower bounds to the linearized Laplace approximation of the marginal likelihood using neural tangent kernels.
result Optimization of hyperparameters can be significantly accelerated using the method.

DPBD simplifies labeling functions through interactive demonstrations.

problem Difficulty in writing labeling functions for large-scale labeled training data.
method Data Programming by Demonstration (DPBD) framework using interactive demonstrations.
result Ruler system generates labeling rules more easily and with higher user satisfaction.

New approach to off-policy evaluation connects causal graph to policy effects.

problem Evaluating policies using observational data from different policies.
method Formalizes off-policy evaluation within a causal graph framework.
result Identifies specific causal estimands and highlights necessary experimental data.

CausalPFN automates causal effect estimation from observational data.

problem Manual selection of causal effect estimators is time-consuming and requires domain expertise.
method CausalPFN is a transformer that learns to infer causal effects from raw observations without task-specific adjustments.
result CausalPFN achieves superior performance on various benchmarks and real-world tasks.

RL algorithms with medical integration improve personalized treatment recommendations.

problem Developing effective personalized treatment strategies for chronic diseases.
method Integrating medical knowledge into RL algorithms for DTR.
result Enhanced treatment recommendations with increased confidence.

A new method for contextual bandits using decision trees.

problem Applying efficient algorithms for contextual bandits in practice requires domain expertise.
method Uses decision trees to model context-reward relationships and a bootstrapping approach for exploration-exploitation.
result Demonstrates improved performance on various datasets compared to existing methods.

InverSynth automatically tunes synthesizer parameters from audio input.

problem Manual tuning of synthesizer parameters is time-consuming and requires expertise.
method Strided convolutional neural networks for inferring synthesizer parameters.
result InverSynth outperforms baselines in synthesizer parameter tuning.

Study identifies Bitcoin arbitrageurs and their trading strategies.

problem Detecting and understanding Bitcoin arbitrageurs on Mt. Gox.
method Analyzing historical trade data from Mt. Gox (2011-2014) to identify and categorize arbitrageurs.
result Expert arbitrageurs have a positive profit margin, while novice users do not.

VORACE uses random classifiers to vote for the best class, saving time and expertise.

problem Finding the best classifier for a dataset is costly and requires domain expertise.
method Randomly generated classifiers vote to determine the best class ranking.
result VORACE outperforms state-of-the-art methods on various datasets.

Probabilistic models assess credibility in evolving online communities.

problem Widespread concern about quality and credibility of online content.
method Probabilistic graphical models for joint analysis of user interactions, community dynamics, and text content.
result Automatic assessment of credibility and user expertise with interpretable explanations.

Fund2Persona creates personalized financial advisor personas from fund data, improving investment advice and manager interpretation.

problem Lack of consistent and specific financial advisor expertise in personalized investment advice.
method Grounds financial advisor personas in fund disclosures, holdings transitions, market context, and manager commentary through an agentic actor--scorer--patcher loop.
result Personas better recover portfolio decisions and grounded manager interpretation than generic baselines.

Proposes a method for time-evolving and difficulty-level topic discovery.

problem Discovering evolving and advanced topics in dynamic corpora.
method Constrained Coupled Matrix-Tensor Factorization with expertise-level constraints.
result Identifies evolving and difficulty-level topics in community-contributed content.

Enhances model compression with multi-teacher knowledge distillation.

problem Uncertainty evaluation and diverse teacher expertise in model deployment.
method Bayesian inference and teacher-informed prior with entropy-based weighting.
result Improved predictive accuracy and robust uncertainty quantification.

Novel framework uses few data for Bayesian inference in imaging.

problem Uncertainty estimation in machine learning for imaging requires large data volumes.
method Variational inference framework combining few data, domain expertise, and existing datasets.
result Bayesian models achieve state-of-the-art reconstructions with minimal data collection.