A new framework uses deep RL to aggregate expert advice for better portfolio management.
arXiv research
A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
Trend · papers per month
Study optimal trading strategies with expert signals in a hidden Gaussian drift market.
A new framework enhances binaural audio for moving talkers.
Recent trends focusing on Industry 4.0 concept and smart manufacturing arise a data-driven fault diagnosis as key topic in condition-based maintenance. Fault diagnosis is considered as an essential task in rotary machinery since possibility of an early detection and diagnosis of the faulty condition can save both time …
We consider the problem of imitation learning from a finite set of expert trajectories, without access to reinforcement signals. The classical approach of extracting the expert's reward function via inverse reinforcement learning, followed by reinforcement learning is indirect and may be computationally expensive. Rece…
We consider the problem of signal recovery on graphs as graphs model data with complex structure as signals on a graph. Graph signal recovery implies recovery of one or multiple smooth graph signals from noisy, corrupted, or incomplete measurements. We propose a graph signal model and formulate signal recovery as a cor…
Automatic modulation classification (AMC) is an important task for modern communication systems; however, it is a challenging problem when signal features and precise models for generating each modulation may be unknown. We present a new biologically-inspired AMC method without the need for models or manually specified…
The paper optimizes portfolios in a market with hidden drift and random expert opinions.
Many real world learning tasks involve complex or hard-to-specify objectives, and using an easier-to-specify proxy can lead to poor performance or misaligned behavior. One solution is to have humans provide a training signal by demonstrating or judging performance, but this approach fails if the task is too complicated…
PRISM-VQ combines financial priors with vector quantization for better stock prediction.
Paper introduces a novel reward function for noisy financial markets using imitation learning.
We consider the forecast aggregation problem in repeated settings, where the forecasts are done on a binary event. At each period multiple experts provide forecasts about an event. The goal of the aggregator is to aggregate those forecasts into a subjective accurate forecast. We assume that experts are Bayesian; namely…
New AMP algorithm estimates signals and latent variables in mixed regression models.
DriftMoE adapts to concept drifts in data streams efficiently.
The paper analyzes EM for Mixtures of Experts and shows its equivalence to projected Mirror Descent.
This paper investigates a financial market where stock returns depend on a hidden Gaussian mean reverting drift process. Information on the drift is obtained from returns and expert opinions in the form of noisy signals about the current state of the drift arriving at the jump times of a homogeneous Poisson process. Dr…
EBIL simplifies IL by estimating expert energy as reward, achieving effective performance.
uMoE trains NNs with uncertain data by embedding uncertainty into training.
Sleep stage classification constitutes an important preliminary exam in the diagnosis of sleep disorders. It is traditionally performed by a sleep expert who assigns to each 30s of signal a sleep stage, based on the visual inspection of signals such as electroencephalograms (EEG), electrooculograms (EOG), electrocardio…
This paper investigates optimal portfolio strategies in a market where the drift is driven by an unobserved Markov chain. Information on the state of this chain is obtained from stock prices and expert opinions in the form of signals at random discrete time points. As in Frey et al. (2012), Int. J. Theor. Appl. Finance…
Background: Electroencephalography (EEG) monitors brain activity during sleep and is used to identify sleep disorders. In sleep medicine, clinicians interpret raw EEG signals in so-called sleep stages, which are assigned by experts to every 30s window of signal. For diagnosis, they also rely on shorter prototypical mic…
Compressed imitation learning uses simplicity priors for efficient expert behavior copying.
Framework uses human judgment to distinguish algorithmically indistinguishable cases.
In this paper, a Wide Learning architecture is proposed that attempts to automate the feature engineering portion of the machine learning (ML) pipeline. Feature engineering is widely considered as the most time consuming and expert knowledge demanding portion of any ML task. The proposed feature recommendation approach…
Imitation learning is the problem of recovering an expert policy without access to a reward signal. Behavior cloning and GAIL are two widely used methods for performing imitation learning. Behavior cloning converges in a few iterations but doesn't achieve peak performance due to its inherent iid assumption about the st…
Computational analysis on physiological signals would provide immense impact for enabling automated clinical analytics. However, the class imbalance issue where negative or minority class instances are rare in number impairs the robustness of the practical solution. The key idea of our approach is intelligent augmentat…
SAIL improves AIL by weighting adversarial rewards with support estimation.
Paper proposes government indemnification for AI risks to solve judgment-proof problem.
Bayesian MoE framework improves LLMs' uncertainty detection.
FinTradeBench benchmarks LLMs for financial reasoning combining company fundamentals and market signals.
Stress research is a rapidly emerging area in thefield of electroencephalography (EEG) based signal processing.The use of EEG as an objective measure for cost effective andpersonalized stress management becomes important in particularsituations such as the non-availability of mental health facilities.In this study, lon…
System guides freehand obstetric ultrasound probe movements.
Electroencephalography (EEG) during sleep is used by clinicians to evaluate various neurological disorders. In sleep medicine, it is relevant to detect macro-events (> 10s) such as sleep stages, and micro-events (<2s) such as spindles and K-complexes. Annotations of such events require a trained sleep expert, a time co…
Most generative models of audio directly generate samples in one of two domains: time or frequency. While sufficient to express any signal, these representations are inefficient, as they do not utilize existing knowledge of how sound is generated and perceived. A third approach (vocoders/synthesizers) successfully inco…
The multiple fundamental frequency detection problem and the source separation problem from a single-channel signal containing multiple oscillatory components and a nonstationary noise are both challenging tasks. To extract the fetal electrocardiogram (ECG) from a single-lead maternal abdominal ECG, we face both challe…
This paper improves self-play learning in games by manipulating experience distributions.
In semantic parsing for question-answering, it is often too expensive to collect gold parses or even gold answers as supervision signals. We propose to convert model outputs into a set of human-understandable statements which allow non-expert users to act as proofreaders, providing error markings as learning signals to…
RED detects sleep EEG events using deep neural networks, outperforming previous methods.
Imitation learning algorithms can be used to learn a policy from expert demonstrations without access to a reward signal. However, most existing approaches are not applicable in multi-agent settings due to the existence of multiple (Nash) equilibria and non-stationary environments. We propose a new framework for multi-…
UNHaP removes noise from physiological events using Hawkes processes.
Multi-expert L2D underfits more severely, requiring new methods.
False negatives hinder adversarial imitation learning, leading to worse performance.
A new method shapes reinforcement learning environments by abstracting large state spaces.
Paper introduces OTR for efficient offline RL in surgical robotics.
A new imitation learning method uses random search for simple policies, outperforming complex models.
MarketSenseAI uses AI to select stocks with 10-30% excess alpha.
TENP prunes experts and neurons in Mixture-of-Experts models for efficient deployment.
Effective riverine flood forecasting at scale is hindered by a multitude of factors, most notably the need to rely on human calibration in current methodology, the limited amount of data for a specific location, and the computational difficulty of building continent/global level models that are sufficiently accurate. M…