Research identifies risks in selecting project managers for civil engineering projects.
problem Lack of awareness of project manager selection criteria and associated risks.
method Combined ANP-FMEA approach for risk analysis.
result ANP-FMEA model identifies more significant risks than traditional FMEA.
AAMDRL uses DRL to manage assets in noisy, changing environments.
problem Learning in noisy, self-adapting environments with sequential data.
method Augmented state information, one-period lag, walk forward analysis.
result AAMDRL outperforms traditional methods in asset management.
The paper analyzes portfolio management in the Heston model, proposing new strategies.
problem Investment performance influenced by asset diversity and cash inclusion.
method Monte Carlo simulations in the Heston model, MACD and RSI technical analysis.
result New portfolio management strategies based on MACD and RSI.
Ensemble method for fast portfolio valuation and risk management.
problem Dynamic portfolio valuation and risk management from cash flow data.
method Regression trees for dynamic value process learning.
result Fast and accurate estimator with closed-form solution.
DeepDIVA simplifies reproducible deep learning experiments.
problem Difficulty in reproducing deep learning research results.
method A framework for easy experimentation and reproduction.
result Facilitates sharing and easy experimentation of experiments.
Deep quantum neural networks applied to finance for efficient risk management.
problem Efficiently solving numerical problems in finance, especially risk management.
method Application of deep quantum neural networks to finance, focusing on implied volatilities, option prices, and Greeks.
result Deep quantum neural networks can compute Greeks analytically and efficiently solve financial numerical problems.
Machine learning with kernels for portfolio valuation and risk management.
problem Dynamic portfolio valuation and risk management in finance.
method Machine learning with kernels to learn the dynamic value process of a portfolio from cumulative cash flow data.
result Asymptotic consistency and finite sample error bounds demonstrated for finance applications.
This paper provides a ML framework for diabetes prediction and care management.
problem Diabetes prediction and care management challenges in real-world healthcare.
method Illustrates a Machine Learning framework for T2DM prediction and risk stratification.
result ML models align with physician's disease management steps.
State-augmented algorithm optimizes wireless network resource management.
problem Optimizing resource allocation in multi-user wireless networks.
method Proposes a state-augmented algorithm using dual variables.
result Feasible and near-optimal resource decisions achieved.
All people have to make risky decisions in everyday life. And we do not know how true they are. But is it possible to mathematically assess the correctness of our choice? This article discusses the model of decision making under risk on the example of project management. This is a game with two players, one of which is…
In this paper, we implement three state-of-art continuous reinforcement learning algorithms, Deep Deterministic Policy Gradient (DDPG), Proximal Policy Optimization (PPO) and Policy Gradient (PG)in portfolio management. All of them are widely-used in game playing and robot control. What's more, PPO has appealing theore…
Variable annuities, as a class of retirement income products, allow equity market exposure for a policyholder's retirement fund with electable additional guarantees to limit the downside risk of the market. Management fees and guarantee insurance fees are charged respectively for the market exposure and for the protect…
Deep RL agent manages low-risk portfolios in cryptocurrency markets.
problem Maximizing profit while restraining risk in portfolio management.
method Deep reinforcement learning with a new target policy.
result Achieved 1800% return with least risky strategy.
DRL optimizes asset managers' hedging timing based on market conditions.
problem Optimal timing for hedging strategies given market conditions.
method Deep Reinforcement Learning framework with contextual information, lagged observations, and robust testing.
result Our approach achieves superior returns and lower risk compared to standard methods.
RLCache uses reinforcement learning to optimize cache management decisions.
problem Optimizing cache hit rate and storage size in computer systems.
method Designing three reinforcement learning agents for cache manager tasks and two advanced architectures.
result Reinforcement learning agents achieve higher cache hit rates and minimize storage space compared to heuristics.
A recommendation framework helps users choose healthcare interventions.
problem Choice overload in online healthcare communities.
method Multi-Armed Bandit (MAB) approach with innovative model components.
result Our recommendation design outperforms state-of-the-art systems.
Paper applies RL to optimize inventory management across multiple products and nodes.
problem Optimizing inventory management for a large number of products with shared capacity in a multi-node supply chain.
method Novel multi-agent hierarchical reinforcement learning framework with A2C algorithm and quantised action spaces.
result The approach optimizes for maximizing product sales and minimizing wastage of perishable products.
Replicates and improves a deep learning framework for financial portfolio management.
problem Financial portfolio optimization problem
method Deep Reinforcement Learning Framework with EIIE topology, PVM, OSBL, and reward function
result Framework performs well in cryptocurrency market but less so in stock market
In statistical dialogue management, the dialogue manager learns a policy that maps a belief state to an action for the system to perform. Efficient exploration is key to successful policy optimisation. Current deep reinforcement learning methods are very promising but rely on epsilon-greedy exploration, thus subjecting…
The paper tackles revenue management with time-varying demand using posterior sampling.
problem Maximizing revenue in real-time applications with unknown and time-varying demand.
method Episodic generalization of RM problem, posterior sampling algorithm for linear programming optimization.
result The proposed algorithm outperforms other methods and is comparable to the optimal policy in hindsight.
VMAT strategy improves multivariate pair trading performance.
problem Leveraging multivariate time series for profitable portfolio management.
method Volatility & Model Adaption Trade-off (VMAT) strategy.
result VMAT strategy outperforms baseline strategies.
Financial portfolio management is the process of constant redistribution of a fund into different financial products. This paper presents a financial-model-free Reinforcement Learning framework to provide a deep machine learning solution to the portfolio management problem. The framework consists of the Ensemble of Ide…
MusPy is a toolkit for symbolic music generation, providing tools for dataset management and analysis.
problem Facilitating the creation and analysis of symbolic music datasets.
method Development of an open-source Python library (MusPy) with features for dataset management, data I/O, preprocessing, and model evaluation. Demonstrated through statistical analysis and cross-dataset generalizability experiments.
result MusPy's dataset analysis reveals varying degrees of cross-genre representation across different music datasets.
Sentiment analysis from LLMs improves financial trading performance.
problem Improving dynamic strategy optimization in financial markets.
method Integration of sentiment analysis from LLMs into RL frameworks.
result Sentiment-enhanced RL models outperform traditional RL models in net worth and cumulative profit.
Neural networks predict ETF performance using financial data.
problem Data shortage for ETFs.
method Train neural networks on financial statement data of individual stocks to predict ETF performance.
result Proposed method outperforms baselines.
Paper proposes a novel trading strategy combining clustering and reinforcement learning for multi-period portfolio management.
problem Developing an effective trading strategy for multi-period portfolio management.
method The paper integrates clustering techniques with reinforcement learning to categorize and manage stocks across multiple trading periods.
result The proposed strategy outperforms conventional techniques in various metrics, achieving an average return of 151% over 360 trading periods.
Novel Bayesian optimization framework improves portfolio management stability and efficiency.
problem Stable and sample-efficient optimization for black-box portfolio models under limited observation budgets.
method TPE-AS framework with adaptive scheduling and importance sampling.
result Demonstrated effectiveness across four backtest settings with three distinct models.
Paper tackles time inconsistency in portfolio management with stochastic volatility and power utility.
problem Time inconsistency in portfolio management with stochastic volatility and power utility.
method Extended Hamilton Jacobi Bellman (HJB) equation, fixed point iteration, and linear parabolic PDE.
result Subgame perfect strategies are characterized and solved through numerical experiments.
Deep learning models predict option prices from 3D tensor data.
problem Predicting option prices for risk management and trading.
method 3D tensor representation of financial data, deep learning models (2D tensors in 3 channels).
result Proposed models outperform traditional methods like B-S model and vector-based LSTM.
Deep neural networks reduce portfolio tail-risk by 99% in crisis-era simulations.
problem Managing tail risk in financial portfolios.
method Parameterizing convex-risk minimization with deep neural networks.
result Significant reduction in one-day 99% CVaR.
In financial asset management, choosing a portfolio requires balancing returns, risk, exposure, liquidity, volatility and other factors. These concerns are difficult to compare explicitly, with many asset managers using an intuitive or implicit sense of their interaction. We propose a mechanism for learning someone's s…
A new algorithm avoids worst-case outcomes in risky contexts.
problem Risk-averse behavior in contextual bandits is challenging.
method Developed a first risk-averse contextual bandit algorithm with online regret guarantees.
result First algorithm with an online regret guarantee for risk-averse contextual bandits.
A new approach integrates inventory prediction and routing optimization for better supply chain management.
problem Optimizing efficient route selection in supply chain management with uncertain inventory demand.
method Decision-focused learning approach using neural networks to directly integrate inventory prediction and routing optimization.
result Direct integration of inventory prediction and routing optimization leads to better supply chain decisions.
New formula for portfolio risk management using conditional PDEs.
problem Optimal diversification and risk management of portfolios.
method Closed-form formula for conditional probability, Gaussian copulas, conditional risk-neutral PDE.
result Dynamic monitoring of portfolio volatilities and weights from PDEs.
This paper enhances credit risk management using explainable AI techniques.
problem Lack of transparency and explainability in AI models for credit risk management.
method Implement LIME and SHAP for explaining ML-based credit scoring models.
result Demonstrates practical challenges and solutions for XAI methods in finance.
D-CBRS manages memory for continual learning by accounting for intra-class diversity.
problem Forgetting in continual learning, especially with class-imbalanced data.
method D-CBRS introduces a novel approach to store instances in memory, considering intra-class diversity.
result D-CBRS outperforms existing methods on data sets with intra-class diversity.
Deriving the optimal safety stock quantity with which to meet customer satisfaction is one of the most important topics in stock management. However, it is difficult to control the stock management of correlated marketable merchandise when using an inventory control method that was developed under the assumption that t…
In the domain of technology startups, biotechnology has often been considered as specific. Their unique technology content, the type of founders and managers they have, the amount of venture capital they raise, the time it takes them to reach an exit as well as the technology clusters they belong to are seen as such un…
A new RL method improves revenue management with delayed feedback.
problem Delayed feedback in revenue management affects substantial value.
method Choice-model-assisted Q-learning for delayed feedback revenue management.
result Q-learning with model-imputed targets converges to an optimal Q-function.
SimStock learns stock similarities for better investment management.
problem Challenges in identifying similar stocks due to non-stationary financial markets.
method Temporal self-supervised learning framework combining SSL and temporal domain generalization.
result SimStock outperforms existing methods in finding similar stocks.
This paper introduces a new metric to improve the performance of AMMs over centralised exchanges.
problem Lack of a precise metric to compare AMM performance with centralised exchanges.
method Introduces Rebalancing-versus-Rebalancing (RVR) to measure AMM performance more accurately.
result AMMs can offer superior execution and rebalancing efficiency compared to centralised exchanges, even with low fees.
Paper proposes efficient method for estimating risk measures in complex models.
problem Accurately estimating distortion risk measures in computationally expensive models.
method Integrates importance sampling and machine learning for efficient Monte Carlo estimation.
result Demonstrates significant reduction in computational cost for estimating risk measures.
ReCAP adapts to dynamic financial markets by segmenting and combining policy vectors.
problem Inefficient traditional PM approaches in non-stationary financial markets.
method Integrates continual learning into PM, segmenting regimes and adapting policies.
result Consistently outperforms baselines in real-world financial datasets.
Predicting the completion time of business process instances would be a very helpful aid when managing processes under service level agreement constraints. The ability to know in advance the trend of running process instances would allow business managers to react in time, in order to prevent delays or undesirable situ…
The paper develops a new framework for managing asymmetric volatility.
problem Managing asymmetric volatility to improve recovery and participation.
method Path-dependent framework for asymmetric volatility management.
result Skew engineering reduces harmful downside participation more than productive upside participation.
Stable Hadamard Memory improves reinforcement learning by efficiently managing memory.
problem Memory models struggle in partially observable reinforcement learning environments.
method Introduces a novel memory model using the Hadamard product for efficient memory management and updates.
result Significantly outperforms state-of-the-art memory-based methods on challenging benchmarks.
DRL improves ESG financial portfolio management by regulating returns based on ESG scores.
problem Improving ESG financial portfolio management through market regulation.
method Used Advantage Actor-Critic (A2C) agent and adapted OpenAI Gym environments for comparative analysis.
result DRL agent outperforms standard market conditions in ESG-regulated market.
A Deep Zero-Inflated Model for Detecting North Atlantic Right Whale Presence
problem Balancing marine conservation and blue economy management
method Deep Zero-Inflated Bernoulli model
result Improved model adequacy and predictive performance