Research
On-device research index

arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

Trend · papers per month

3672108144 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for expected surplus

Optimal reinsurance balances risk over surplus ratios for risk-adjusted surplus.

problem Balancing risk over surplus ratios in reinsurance contracts.
method Analyzes reinsurance contracts using Value at Risk and expected surplus ratio, derives simplifications for large portfolios, and considers approximations of the optimum portfolio.
result One or two-layer contracts are optimal for both risk-adjusted surplus and risk over expected surplus ratio, but no second layer for large portfolios or below certain reinsurance prices.

The paper analyzes insurance risk with Parisian ruin and capital injection.

problem Analyzing insurance risk with Parisian ruin and capital injection.
method Using fluctuation and excursion theory of spectrally negative Levy processes.
result Distributional identities and ruin probabilities are derived.

Paper analyzes robust strategies in a pension plan game with ambiguous financial markets.

problem Analyzing robust strategies in a defined benefit pension plan game with ambiguous financial markets.
method Formulated and solved two robust non-zero-sum games using stochastic dynamic programming.
result Explicit forms and optimality of the solutions are shown for the firm and union.

The Gerber-Shiu function provides a way of measuring the risk of an insurance company. It is given by the expected value of a function that depends on the ruin time, the deficit at ruin, and the surplus prior to ruin. Its computation requires the evaluation of the overshoot/undershoot distributions of the surplus proce…

2017-01-10abs ↗pdf ↗

Study how firm liquidation regimes affect shareholder value and stability.

problem Balancing shareholder value and financial stability during firm liquidation.
method Modelled forced liquidation in reduced form, solved singular stochastic control problem.
result Combining distress regions below and above ruin threshold improves both shareholder value and firm survival.

We use the theory of coherent measures to look at the problem of surplus sharing in an insurance business. The surplus share of an insured is calculated by the surplus premium in the contract. The theory of coherent risk measures and the resulting capital allocation gives a way to divide the surplus between the insured…

2018-10-28abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper optimizes insurance dividend payments and reinsurance strategies under specific distribution constraints.

problem Optimizing insurance dividend payments and reinsurance strategies with terminal distribution constraints.
method Explicit expressions for optimal strategies found in both discrete and continuous time settings.
result Explicit expressions for optimal dividend strategies and reinsurance strategies found.

This paper solves an optimal dividend payout problem with ratcheting constraints using a novel method.

problem Optimal dividend payout under ratcheting constraints for a Brownian motion surplus process.
method Novel partial differential equation method to solve the Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman (HJB) equation.
result Existence and uniqueness of solution in stronger functional spaces, strict monotonicity, boundedness, and CC^\infty-smoothness of the free boundary.

This work optimizes bid strategies for online auctions using measure-valued optimization.

problem Optimizing bid strategies in first-price auctions to maximize expected surplus.
method Formulates the problem as convex optimization over the joint distribution of shading parameters, adapts the distribution after each auction using a Wasserstein-proximal update.
result The proposed algorithm encourages bids on values with high expected surplus.

The paper analyzes optimal dividend strategies for risky businesses, considering both periodic and extraordinary payments.

problem Maximizing dividends paid until ruin, net of transaction costs.
method Modeling cash surplus as Brownian motion, considering different types of dividends with transaction costs.
result Optimal strategies depend on business profitability and transaction costs, sometimes including liquidation.

Optimizes capital structure for life insurance companies with surplus participation.

problem Determining the optimal participation rate in life insurance contracts.
method Adapted Leland's dynamic capital structure model to life insurance context.
result Optimal participation rate is highly sensitive to contract duration and tax rate.

The study examines how different interpolation methods affect the decomposition of life insurance surplus.

problem The impact of different interpolation methods on the decomposition of life insurance surplus.
method The study uses the IASU decomposition method to analyze the effects of different interpolation methods (Lee-Carter and linear) on the surplus decomposition.
result Lee-Carter and linear interpolation yield almost identical decompositions, while constant approximations result in different decompositions.

The theory of acceptance sets and their associated risk measures plays a key role in the design of capital adequacy tests. The objective of this paper is to investigate, in the context of bounded financial positions, the class of surplus-invariant acceptance sets. These are characterized by the fact that acceptability …

2014-01-14abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper presents a systematic study of the notion of surplus invariance, which plays a natural and important role in the theory of risk measures and capital requirements. So far, this notion has been investigated in the setting of some special spaces of random variables. In this paper we develop a theory of surplus …

2017-07-16abs ↗pdf ↗

We study a singular stochastic control problem faced by the owner of an insurance company that dynamically pays dividends and raises capital in the presence of the restriction that the surplus process must be above a given dividend payout barrier in order for dividend payments to be allowed. Bankruptcy occurs if the su…

2019-02-17abs ↗pdf ↗

New method estimates consumer surplus from randomized pricing data.

problem Estimating consumer surplus from observational data, especially in AI-driven pricing.
method Cumulative Propensity Weights (CPW) and Augmented CPW (ACPW) estimators.
result Validated methods for estimating consumer surplus from randomized pricing data.

This paper optimizes insurance reinsurance design under solvency constraints.

problem Optimizing risk transfer from an insurance company to a reinsurer under solvency constraints.
method Martingale method to derive optimal reinsurance design maximizing terminal value of surplus.
result Optimal reinsurance designs include a combination of proportional and stop-loss protection.

Optimal reinsurance and dividend strategy for insurance companies in a finite time.

problem Maximizing dividends while managing risk in a finite time horizon.
method Dynamic control problem with Hamilton-Jacobi-Bellman equation, penalty approximation method.
result Smoothness of the value function and comparison principle for its gradient.

We consider an insurance entity endowed with an initial capital and a surplus process modelled as a Brownian motion with drift. It is assumed that the company seeks to maximise the cumulated value of expected discounted dividends, which are declared or paid in a foreign currency. The currency fluctuation is modelled as…

2016-03-24abs ↗pdf ↗

We consider an insurance company modelling its surplus process by a Brownian motion with drift. Our target is to maximise the expected exponential utility of discounted dividend payments, given that the dividend rates are bounded by some constant. The utility function destroys the linearity and the time homogeneity of …

2018-09-06abs ↗pdf ↗

We study an optimal investment control problem for an insurance company. The surplus process follows the Cramer-Lundberg process with perturbation of a Brownian motion. The company can invest its surplus into a risk free asset and a Black-Scholes risky asset. The optimization objective is to minimize the probability of…

2015-02-08abs ↗pdf ↗

We consider a two-dimensional optimal dividend problem in the context of two branches of an insurance company with compound Poisson surplus processes dividing claims and premia in some specified proportions. We solve the stochastic control problem of maximizing expected cumulative discounted dividend payments (among al…

2016-03-22abs ↗pdf ↗

Optimal dividends strategy in a two-state regime-switching environment.

problem Maximizing profits from dividends until bankruptcy in a company with fluctuating cash surplus and regime changes in drift, volatility, and bankruptcy levels.
method Analyzes the optimal dividend payout strategy considering four factors: Brownian fluctuations in cash surplus, regime changes in drift, volatility, and bankruptcy levels.
result Rich structure of the optimal strategy, which can be either barrier-type or liquidation-barrier type, depending on model parameters.

Study shows equivalence of four risk constraints in non-concave optimization problems.

problem Investigating risk constraints in non-concave optimization for financial companies.
method Analytical solutions for four risk constraints (ES, EDS, VaR, AVaR) under non-concave optimization.
result All four risk constraints lead to the same optimal solution, differing from concave optimization.

Study shows Bitcoin mining with surplus electricity can boost KEPCO's financial stability.

problem Improving energy resource efficiency and reducing KEPCO's debt.
method Utilized surplus electricity for Bitcoin mining using Antminer S21 XP Hyd, analyzed with Random Forest Regressor and Long Short-Term Memory models.
result Bitcoin mining with surplus electricity generates economic revenue, minimizes energy loss, and resolves payment issues for KEPCO.

We consider an economic agent (a household or an insurance company) modelling its surplus process by a deterministic process or by a Brownian motion with drift. The goal is to maximise the expected discounted spendings/dividend payments, given that the discounting factor is given by an exponential CIR process. In the d…

2018-08-30abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper optimizes dividend strategies for companies with assets and liabilities under solvency constraints.

problem Maximizing dividends while adhering to solvency requirements in the face of correlated asset and liability movements.
method Developed verification lemmas to show optimal barrier dividend strategies in two cases: with and without shareholder funding.
result Optimal dividend strategies are barrier-type, derived in closed form and illustrated.

In this note we study the optimal dividend problem for a company whose surplus process, in the absence of dividend payments, evolves as a generalized compound Poisson model in which the counting process is a generalized Poisson process. This model including the classical risk model and the Polya-Aeppli risk model as sp…

2013-05-08abs ↗pdf ↗

Hybrid framework optimizes reinsurance using generative models and reinforcement learning.

problem Traditional reinsurance optimization relies on restrictive assumptions and static designs.
method Combines VAEs for joint distribution learning and PPO for dynamic treaty parameter adaptation.
result Hybrid method produces more resilient outcomes with higher surpluses and lower tail risk.

We consider an insurance company whose surplus is represented by the classical Cramer-Lundberg process. The company can invest its surplus in a risk free asset and in a risky asset, governed by the Black-Scholes equation. There is a constraint that the insurance company can only invest in the risky asset at a limited l…

2011-12-17abs ↗pdf ↗

In this paper we study the optimal dividend problem for a company whose surplus process evolves as a spectrally positive Levy process. This model including the dual model of the classical risk model and the dual model with diffusion as special cases. We assume that dividends are paid to the shareholders according to ad…

2013-02-09abs ↗pdf ↗

Efficiently estimates SAGE values using causal structure learning.

problem Computational infeasibility of exact SAGE calculations.
method Uses causal structure learning to identify conditional independencies and accelerate SAGE approximation.
result Empirically demonstrates efficient and accurate estimation of SAGE values.

Study optimal dividend strategies for insurers with natural catastrophe claims.

problem Maximizing dividends for a catastrophe insurer over its lifetime.
method Two-dimensional stochastic control problem, viscosity solutions, numerical approximation.
result Optimal dividend strategies identified for natural catastrophe insurers.