XVA is a material component of a trade valuation and hence it must impact the decision to exercise options within a given netting set. This is true for both unsecured trades and secured / cleared trades where KVA and MVA play a material role even if CVA and FVA do not. However, this effect has frequently been ignored i…
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Using a fast numerical technique, we investigate a large database of investor suboptimal non-exercise of short maturity American call options on dividend-paying stocks listed on the Dow Jones. The correct modelling of the discrete dividend is essential for a correct calculation of the early exercise boundary as confirm…
Researchers find a way to price American options without relying on specific asset price models.
We present a novel method for the numerical pricing of American options based on Monte Carlo simulation and the optimization of exercise strategies. Previous solutions to this problem either explicitly or implicitly determine so-called optimal exercise regions, which consist of points in time and space at which a given…
The mathematical problem concerning intrinsic storage optimisation is formulated and solved by means of variational analysis. The solution, though obtained in implicit form, still sheds light on many important features of the optimal exercise strategy. It is shown how the solution depends on different constraint types …
The assessment of energy expenditure in real life is of great importance for monitoring the current physical state of people, especially in work, sport, elderly care, health care, and everyday life even. This work reports about application of some machine learning methods (linear regression, linear discriminant analysi…
In practical work with American put options, it is important to be able to know when to exercise the option, and when not to do so. In computer simulation based on the standard theory of geometric Brownian motion for simulating stock price movements, this problem is fairly easy to handle for options with a short lifesp…
The mathematical problem of the static storage optimisation is formulated and solved by means of a variational analysis. The solution obtained in implicit form is shedding light on the most important features of the optimal exercise strategy. We show how the solution depends on different constraint types including carr…
New method uses CNN to solve optimal stopping problem in financial options.
Continuous-time optimal stopping solved with deep reinforcement learning
Pricing Bermudan swaptions with few exercise dates using analytic methods.
Pen-and-paper exercises cover various machine learning topics.
This study proposes an exercise fatigue detection model based on real-time clinical data which includes time domain analysis, frequency domain analysis, detrended fluctuation analysis, approximate entropy, and sample entropy. Furthermore, this study proposed a feature extraction method which is combined with an analyti…
We present three models of stock price with time-dependent interest rate, dividend yield, and volatility, respectively, that allow for explicit forms of the optimal exercise boundary of the finite maturity American put option. The optimal exercise boundary satisfies the nonlinear integral equation of Volterra type. We …
Paper examines floating exercise boundaries for American options in time-inhomogeneous models.
We investigate a class of optimal stopping problems arising in, for example, studies considering the timing of an irreversible investment when the underlying follows a skew Brownian motion. Our results indicate that the local directional predictability modeled by the presence of a skew point for the underlying has a no…
We introduce a class of financial contracts involving several parties by extending the notion of a two-person game option (see Kifer (2000)) to a contract in which an arbitrary number of parties is involved and each of them is allowed to make a wide array of decisions at any time, not restricted to simply `exercising t…
American options in a multi-asset market model with proportional transaction costs are studied in the case when the holder of an option is able to exercise it gradually at a so-called mixed (randomised) stopping time. The introduction of gradual exercise leads to tighter bounds on the option price when compared to the …
This paper addresses recalibration issues in hedging callable assets, proposing a new risk-adjusted approach.
MNN improves American call option pricing accuracy.
Game (Israeli) options in a multi-asset market model with proportional transaction costs are studied in the case when the buyer is allowed to exercise the option and the seller has the right to cancel the option gradually at a mixed (or randomised) stopping time, rather than instantly at an ordinary stopping time. Allo…
Quadratic hedging of option payoffs generates the variance optimal martingale measure. When an option features an exercise policy and its cash flows are hedged according to this approach, it may be tempting to optimize such a policy under this measure. Because the variance optimal martingale measure may not be an equiv…
New pricing methods for -quantile and early-exercise options using Spitzer identities.
This paper analyzes model risk in American put options using Heston volatility model.
Paper defines when early exercise of American options is optimal under negative rates.
The paper presents a method for personalized exercise recommendations that improves learner skill gain.
We provide additional statistical background for the methodology developed in the clinical analysis of knee osteoarthritis in "A Precision Medicine Approach to Develop and Internally Validate Optimal Exercise and Weight Loss Treatments for Overweight and Obese Adults with Knee Osteoarthritis" (Jiang et al. 2020). Jiang…
MEx: Multi-modal Exercises Dataset is a multi-sensor, multi-modal dataset, implemented to benchmark Human Activity Recognition(HAR) and Multi-modal Fusion algorithms. Collection of this dataset was inspired by the need for recognising and evaluating quality of exercise performance to support patients with Musculoskelet…
Cognitive diagnosis is a fundamental issue in intelligent education, which aims to discover the proficiency level of students on specific knowledge concepts. Existing approaches usually mine linear interactions of student exercising process by manual-designed function (e.g., logistic function), which is not sufficient …
Researchers find the optimal exercise time for American options using a specific type of diffusion process.
RKT model improves knowledge tracing by considering exercise relations and student forget behavior.
Social media provide a platform for users to express their opinions and share information. Understanding public health opinions on social media, such as Twitter, offers a unique approach to characterizing common health issues such as diabetes, diet, exercise, and obesity (DDEO), however, collecting and analyzing a larg…
Three physics-constrained regression exercises for image velocimetry and turbulence modeling.
The purpose of this paper is to construct the early exercise boundary for a class of nonlinear Black--Scholes equations with a nonlinear volatility depending on the option price. We review a method how to transform the problem into a solution of a time depending nonlinear parabolic equation defined on a fixed domain. R…
New method uses Hermite polynomials for American option valuation.
In this paper we generalize and analyze the model for pricing American-style Asian options due to (Hansen and Jorgensen 2000) by including a continuous dividend rate and a general method of averaging of the floating strike. We focus on the qualitative and quantitative analysis of the early exercise boundary. The fi…
Develops a real-time exercise recommendation system using deep learning.
We analyse the optimal exercise of an executive stock option (ESO) written on a stock whose drift parameter falls to a lower value at a change point, an exponentially distributed random time independent of the Brownian motion driving the stock. Two agents, who do not trade the stock, have differing information on the c…
This article gives solutions to the exercises in Bestvina and Feighn's paper on Sela's work on limit groups. We prove that all constructible limit groups are limit groups and give an account of the shortening argument of Rips and Sela.
This paper examines the valuation of American capped call options with two-level caps. The structure of the immediate exercise region is significantly more complex than in the classical case with constant cap. When the cap grows over time, making extensive use of probabilistic arguments and local time, we show that the…
We introduce a general decision tree framework to value an option to invest/divest in a project, focusing on the model risk inherent in the assumptions made by standard real option valuation methods. We examine how real option values depend on the dynamics of project value and investment costs, the frequency of exercis…
In this paper, we extend the 3/2-model for VIX studied by Goard and Mazur (2013) and introduce the generalized 3/2 and 1/2 classes of volatility processes. Under these models, we study the pricing of European and American VIX options and, for the latter, we obtain an early exercise premium representation using a free-b…
As the advancement of information security, human recognition as its core technology, has absorbed an increasing amount of attention in the past few years. A myriad of biometric features including fingerprint, face, iris, have been applied to security systems, which are occasionally considered vulnerable to forgery and…
We propose a new framework to value employee stock options (ESOs) that captures multiple exercises of different quantities over time. We also model the ESO holder's job termination risk and incorporate its impact on the payoffs of both vested and unvested ESOs. Numerical methods based on Fourier transform and finite di…
In the standard models for optimal multiple stopping problems it is assumed that between two exercises there is always a time period of deterministic length , the so called refraction period. This prevents the optimal exercise times from bunching up together on top of the optimal stopping time for the one-exercise c…
Social media analytics allows us to extract, analyze, and establish semantic from user-generated contents in social media platforms. This study utilized a mixed method including a three-step process of data collection, topic modeling, and data annotation for recognizing exercise related patterns. Based on the findings,…
In this paper, we present a new method for calculating the limit of early exercise boundary at expiry. We price American style of general derivative using a formula expressed as a sum of the value of European style of derivative and so called American premium. We use the latter expression to calculate an analytic formu…
In this paper we present qualitative and quantitative comparison of various analytical and numerical approximation methods for calculating a position of the early exercise boundary of the American put option paying zero dividends. First we analyze their asymptotic behavior close to expiration. In the second part of the…