Improved causal discovery methods for large graphs without strict assumptions.
problem Sub-optimal solutions due to faithfulness assumption violations.
method Super-structure estimation and local search strategies.
result The proposed method scales to hundreds of nodes with high accuracy.
Exact causal network discovery is polynomial for sparse networks.
problem Finding the optimal causal Bayesian network from data is computationally hard.
method Pruning the search space using network properties, combined with dynamic programming and shortest-path searches.
result Exact discovery is polynomial for sparse causal Bayesian networks.
Finite resources limit false discovery rate control in structured hypothesis spaces.
problem Controlling false discovery rate in hypothesis testing with finite data and structured hypothesis spaces.
method Framework for exact FDR control and adaptive power maximization.
result Exact FDR control and adaptive power maximization.
New method discovers time series motifs under DTW, significantly reducing computations.
problem Discovering time series motifs under DTW is computationally challenging.
method Exact scalable method using novel lower bounds hierarchy.
result Prunes up to 99.99% of DTW computations under realistic settings.
Optimizes intervention design for causal discovery using integer programming.
problem Identifying causal structures from observational data due to confounding variables.
method Uses integer programming to design minimal intervention sets for causal structure identifiability.
result Provides exact and modular solutions adaptable to various experimental settings and constraints.
We show that for m>n≥2, there are at least two exact isotropic n-tori in Cm which are not Hamiltonian isotopic in Cm, even though they are smoothly isotopic as isotropic n-tori. We apply this discovery to obtain more distinct non-exact isotropic tori in Cm.
The paper introduces negative controls to evaluate causal discovery algorithms, improving their reliability.
problem Lack of a general guideline for evaluating causal discovery algorithms.
method Derive exact distributional results under random guessing for evaluation metrics and propose a pipeline for using negative controls.
result Evaluation metrics can achieve very favorable values under random guessing, highlighting the need for negative control results.
New exact tests detect changepoints in binary and count data, especially when normal approximations fail.
problem Detecting changepoints in multichannel binary and count data.
method Exact tests combining two-sample conditional tests with multiplicity correction.
result Exact tests are much more powerful than asymptotic tests in various settings.
This work integrates domain knowledge into A*-based causal discovery methods.
problem Efficiently incorporating domain knowledge into A*-based causal discovery methods.
method Integrates various types of domain knowledge into A*-based causal discovery methods, reducing the graph search space and improving computational gains.
result Small amounts of domain knowledge can dramatically speed up A*-based causal discovery and improve its performance and practicality.
This paper presents a framework for exact discovery of the top-k sequential patterns under Leverage. It combines (1) a novel definition of the expected support for a sequential pattern - a concept on which most interestingness measures directly rely - with (2) SkOPUS: a new branch-and-bound algorithm for the exact disc…
The false discovery rate (FDR)---the expected fraction of spurious discoveries among all the discoveries---provides a popular statistical assessment of the reproducibility of scientific studies in various disciplines. In this work, we introduce a new method for controlling the FDR in meta-analysis of many decentralized…
Three RFF-based methods for nonlinear causal discovery in mixed data.
problem Nonlinear causal discovery in mixed data with computational constraints.
method FFML, TRFF, and FFCI methods for score-based, constraint-based, and hybrid causal discovery.
result FFML and TRFF methods provide complementary performance in causal discovery.
PACC Discovery improves causal inference from limited data.
problem Inferring causal relationships from finite data.
method Extends PAC learning principles to causal inference.
result Theoretical guarantees for various causal methods.
New method discovers causal relationships in sparse linear data.
problem Discovering cause-effect relationships in sparse linear data.
method Uses structural matrix to reconstruct data and identify causal structures without independence tests.
result Outperforms existing methods in sparse causal structure recovery.
Paper calculates the exact error of LDA models.
problem Bayesian generalization error in Latent Dirichlet Allocation (LDA).
method Theoretical analysis of learning coefficient using algebraic geometry.
result Exact asymptotic form of LDA's generalization error.
The last decade has seen a flurry of research on all-pairs-similarity-search (or, self-join) for text, DNA, and a handful of other datatypes, and these systems have been applied to many diverse data mining problems. Surprisingly, however, little progress has been made on addressing this problem for time series subseque…
Gaussian processes are typically used for smoothing and interpolation on small datasets. We introduce a new Bayesian nonparametric framework -- GPatt -- enabling automatic pattern extrapolation with Gaussian processes on large multidimensional datasets. GPatt unifies and extends highly expressive kernels and fast exact…
Paper presents new algorithms for causal discovery with latent variables and overlapping datasets.
problem Causal discovery with latent variables and overlapping datasets.
method Introduces tiered FCI and tIOD algorithms for constraint-based causal discovery.
result The tIOD algorithm is more efficient and informative than the IOD algorithm.
In many scientific tasks we are interested in discovering whether there exist any correlations in our data. This raises many questions, such as how to reliably and interpretably measure correlation between a multivariate set of attributes, how to do so without having to make assumptions on distribution of the data or t…
A new metric, Weighted Regret, unifies FDR and power evaluation in online multiple testing.
problem The asymmetric costs of false positives and false negatives in automated pipelines.
method Introducing Weighted Regret and Decoupled-OMT (DOMT) to unify FDR and power evaluation.
result DOMT achieves an order-optimal sublinear mitigation of threshold depletion in bursty environments.
This work discovers algebraic structures from data using a differentiable measure.
problem Discovering discrete algebraic rules from data.
method Formalizes the problem through Cayley-table completion and uses HyperCube operator-valued tensor factorization.
result Derives an absolute lower bound for the differentiable measure of algebraic complexity, proving it is attained only for group structures.
Paper proposes a privacy-preserving knockoff inference method.
problem Ensuring privacy in model-X knockoff inference.
method Differential privacy framework for knockoff inference.
result Guaranteed FDR control with privacy protection.
MissNODAG learns cyclic causal graphs from incomplete data.
problem Causal discovery in systems with feedback loops and missing data.
method Differentiable framework integrating additive noise model and expectation-maximization.
result MissNODAG uncovers cyclic structures and missingness mechanisms from partially observed data.
An important task in data analysis is the discovery of causal relationships between observed variables. For continuous-valued data, linear acyclic causal models are commonly used to model the data-generating process, and the inference of such models is a well-studied problem. However, existing methods have significant …
This paper computes exact posterior distributions of mixture weights in hierarchical Bayesian models.
problem Uncertainty in class membership or data-generating processes in heterogeneous data.
method Exact marginalization of mixture weights using dynamic programming and FFT for two components, and joint dynamic program for K >= 3 components.
result Exact posterior distributions of mixture weights are finite mixtures of Beta distributions, providing credible intervals and per-observation local false-discovery rates.
SOCP uses SOM to find groups and local calibration buffers for better regional coverage.
problem Heterogeneous regional coverage gaps in conformal prediction.
method Self-Organizing Map (SOM) for group discovery; local calibration buffers at BMU or fixed grid.
result Reduces regional coverage gaps on 7/8 benchmarks by 7.1%.
MoFlow generates chemically valid molecular graphs from latent representations.
problem Generating chemically valid molecular graphs from latent representations is challenging.
method MoFlow uses a flow-based approach with Glow for bond generation and a novel graph conditional flow for atom generation, ensuring chemical validity and efficiency.
result MoFlow achieves state-of-the-art performance in molecular graph generation and optimization.
A new method for efficient causal structure learning at scale.
problem Causal structure learning is computationally challenging at scale.
method Relaxed sparsest-permutation formulation with support-level relaxation and masked zero-fill incomplete Cholesky factorization.
result The method enables scalable comparison of candidate orderings and matches the accuracy of slower baselines.
We investigate multiple testing and variable selection using the Least Angle Regression (LARS) algorithm in high dimensions under the assumption of Gaussian noise. LARS is known to produce a piecewise affine solution path with change points referred to as the knots of the LARS path. The key to our results is an express…
Bayesian optimization identifies optimal alloy formulations.
problem Accelerated discovery in materials science with autonomous systems.
method Bayesian optimization over problem formulation space.
result Framework converges on optimal alloy formulations.
SVGP KAN integrates sparse variational GP with KANs for scalable probabilistic inference.
problem Lack of probabilistic outputs in standard KANs and cubic scaling of Gaussian Process methods.
method Sparse Variational GP-KAN combines KAN topology with sparse variational inference and permutation-based importance analysis.
result Enables probabilistic KANs to handle larger datasets with linear computational complexity.
In this report paper we first present a report of the Advanced Machine Learning Course Project on the provided data set and then present a novel heuristic algorithm for exact Bayesian network (BN) structure discovery that uses decomposable scoring functions. Our algorithm follows a different approach to solve the probl…
Adaptive teacher improves sample efficiency and mode coverage in sampling tasks.
problem Efficient exploration and mode coverage in sampling tasks with amortized inference.
method An adaptive training distribution (teacher) guides the training of the primary sampler (student).
result Improves sample efficiency and mode coverage across various tasks.
In this paper we study the adaptive learnability of decision trees of depth at most d from membership queries. This has many applications in automated scientific discovery such as drugs development and software update problem. Feldman solves the problem in a randomized polynomial time algorithm that asks $\tilde O(2^…
Study shows directional convergence for neural networks under spherical symmetry.
problem Learning linear predictors with neural networks under spherically symmetric data.
method Analysis of gradient flow and gradient descent for two-layer and deep linear networks.
result Directional convergence guarantees with exact convergence rate for specific network architectures.
Markov boundary improves tabular prediction but not as expected.
problem Improving tabular prediction using the Markov boundary.
method Evaluation on a synthetic SCM benchmark with feature counts from 40 to 1000.
result Restricting a regressor to the Markov boundary often improves prediction, but existing discovery and training pipelines do not fully exploit this.
At what level should government or companies support research? This complex multi-faceted question encompasses such qualitative bonus as satisfying natural human curiosity, the quest for knowledge and the impact on education and culture, but one of its most scrutinized component reduces to the assessment of economic pe…
The paper addresses selection bias in conformal prediction for focal units.
problem Selection bias in marginally valid conformal prediction intervals for focal units.
method A general framework for constructing selection-conditional coverage prediction sets.
result Efficient methods for various selection rules with exact finite-sample coverage.
This work improves molecular design by efficiently selecting diverse candidate molecules.
problem Designing molecules that satisfy multiple conflicting objectives.
method A modular 'generate-then-optimize' framework using generative models and a novel acquisition function.
result Significant improvements in sample efficiency across synthetic and application-driven tasks.
With growing consumer adoption of online grocery shopping through platforms such as Amazon Fresh, Instacart, and Walmart Grocery, there is a pressing business need to provide relevant recommendations throughout the customer journey. In this paper, we introduce a production within-basket grocery recommendation system, R…
We present the very first robust Bayesian Online Changepoint Detection algorithm through General Bayesian Inference (GBI) with β-divergences. The resulting inference procedure is doubly robust for both the parameter and the changepoint (CP) posterior, with linear time and constant space complexity. We provide a const…
Differentiable causal discovery methods perform robustly under model violations.
problem Causal discovery algorithms struggle with real-world data due to unverifiable causal assumptions.
method Benchmarked differentiable causal discovery methods under eight model assumption violations.
result Differentiable causal discovery methods exhibit robust performance under Structural Hamming Distance and Structural Intervention Distance metrics.
New framework uses background knowledge to speed up causal discovery.
problem Scalable causal discovery for large datasets.
method Utilizes background knowledge during causal discovery process.
result Background knowledge reduces computational requirements and improves structure quality.
New method prevents invalid inference after causal discovery.
problem Invalid inference after causal discovery.
method Developed tools for valid post-causal-discovery inference.
result Our method provides reliable coverage while achieving more accurate causal discovery.
New score-based methods identify causal structures with latent variables.
problem Identifying causal structures involving latent variables.
method Score-based methods with identifiability guarantees.
result Score equivalence and consistency for latent variable causal models.
The paper develops p-values for outlier detection using conformal inference.
problem Detecting outliers in nonparametric data sets.
method Conformal inference framework for constructing marginally valid but mutually dependent p-values.
result Valid p-values for outlier detection with conditional independence and marginal false discovery rate control.
The paper tackles causal rule discovery from observational data.
problem Challenges in inferring causal effects from observational data due to confounding factors and high variance.
method Measures causal effect from observational data, providing graphical criteria and a conservative estimator.
result Proposes an efficient algorithm that maximises the estimator and discovers meaningful causal rules.
LDP speeds up causal discovery by partitioning, improving VAS recall and runtime.
problem Hard causal discovery in nonparametric settings with exponential complexity.
method Local Discovery by Partitioning (LDP) for causal inference around exposure-outcome pairs.
result LDP yields less biased and more precise estimates than baseline methods.