A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
Momentum speeds up evolutionary processes in machine learning.
New research connects evolutionary dynamics to Bayesian learning.
Proves FR-NGD optimally approximates evolutionary dynamics and continuous Bayesian inference.
The paper analyzes cryptocurrency and equity markets using advanced statistical methods.
Many biological characteristics of evolutionary interest are not scalar variables but continuous functions. Here we use phylogenetic Gaussian process regression to model the evolution of simulated function-valued traits. Given function-valued data only from the tips of an evolutionary tree and utilising independent pri…
We present a model of an economy inspired by individual based model approaches in evolutionary ecology. We demonstrate that evolutionary dynamics in a space of companies interconnected through a correlated interaction matrix produces time dependencies of the total size of the economy total number of companies, companie…
A family of replicator-like dynamics, called the escort replicator equation, is constructed using information-geometric concepts and generalized information entropies and diverenges from statistical thermodynamics. Lyapunov functions and escort generalizations of basic concepts and constructions in evolutionary game th…
The accurate and interpretable prediction of future events in time-series data often requires the capturing of representative patterns (or referred to as states) underpinning the observed data. To this end, most existing studies focus on the representation and recognition of states, but ignore the changing transitional…
This research develops an evolutionary approach to discover non-Gaussian stochastic dynamical systems.
DyHATR learns dynamic heterogeneous networks for better link prediction.
The paper presents a step forward into the development of the theory of meaning. Stock and financial markets are examined from communication-theoretical perspective on the dynamics of information and meaning. This study focuses on the link between the dynamics of investors' expectations and market price movement. The m…
Evolution and learning are two of the fundamental mechanisms by which life adapts in order to survive and to transcend limitations. These biological phenomena inspired successful computational methods such as evolutionary algorithms and deep learning. Evolution relies on random mutations and on random genetic recombina…
A new MFG framework for evolving clusters from Gaussian mixtures.
Recent work has studied the emergence of language among deep reinforcement learning agents that must collaborate to solve a task. Of particular interest are the factors that cause language to be compositional -- i.e., express meaning by combining words which themselves have meaning. Evolutionary linguists have found th…
Panda predicts chaotic systems without retraining, showing emergent properties.
LRSAO uses RL to dynamically select and unlearn auxiliary objectives for EA optimization.
The aim of this work is to establish the personal income distribution from the elementary constituents of a free market; products of a representative good and agents forming the economic network. The economy is treated as a self-organized system. Based on the idea that the dynamics of an economy is governed by slow mod…
Model financial network dynamics to avoid systemic risk.
EFS uses LLMs to optimize sparse portfolios by evolving alpha factors.
The relationships between game theory and quantum mechanics let us propose certain quantization relationships through which we could describe and understand not only quantum but also classical, evolutionary and the biological systems that were described before through the replicator dynamics. Quantum mechanics could be…
Model shows how heterogeneity in strategies and risk tolerance affects financial market stability.
Financial volatility risk and its relation to a business cycle-related intrinsic time is addressed through a multiple round evolutionary quantum game equilibrium leading to turbulence and multifractal signatures in the financial returns and in the risk dynamics. The model is simulated and the results are compared with …
Model financial network dynamics to avoid systemic risk.
Evolutionary methods improve understanding of LLMs and their relationships.
In many practical applications of clustering, the objects to be clustered evolve over time, and a clustering result is desired at each time step. In such applications, evolutionary clustering typically outperforms traditional static clustering by producing clustering results that reflect long-term trends while being ro…
Develops a new GLM framework for claims reserving with adaptive estimation.
An interesting toy model has recently been proposed on Schumpeterian economic dynamics by Thurner {\it et al.} following the idea of economist Joseph Schumpeter. Punctuated equilibrium dynamics is shown to emerge from this model and some detail analyses of the time series indicate SOC kind of behaviours. The focus in t…
evo-RL combines evolutionary computation with reinforcement learning for better adaptability.
We define Lie algebroids over infinite jet spaces and establish their equivalent representation through homological evolutionary vector fields.
Learning network representations is a fundamental task for many graph applications such as link prediction, node classification, graph clustering, and graph visualization. Many real-world networks are interpreted as dynamic networks and evolve over time. Most existing graph embedding algorithms were developed for stati…
Cryptocurrency is a well-developed blockchain technology application that is currently a heated topic throughout the world. The public availability of transaction histories offers an opportunity to analyze and compare different cryptocurrencies. In this paper, we present a dynamic network analysis of three representati…
In this note, we extend an evolutionary stochastic portfolio optimization framework to include probabilistic constraints. Both the stochastic programming-based modeling environment as well as the evolutionary optimization environment are ideally suited for an integration of various types of probabilistic constraints. W…
Proposes an evolutionary approach to fitting acyclic VAR models.
Learning latent representations of nodes in graphs is an important and ubiquitous task with widespread applications such as link prediction, node classification, and graph visualization. Previous methods on graph representation learning mainly focus on static graphs, however, many real-world graphs are dynamic and evol…
This work learns effective dynamics from short-term data of stochastic systems.
We are often interested in clustering objects that evolve over time and identifying solutions to the clustering problem for every time step. Evolutionary clustering provides insight into cluster evolution and temporal changes in cluster memberships while enabling performance superior to that achieved by independently c…
A co-evolutionary approach for Heston model calibration reduces overfitting with diverse datasets.
The paper improves evolutionary computation by optimizing selection rates.
Novel evolutionary strategy solves stochastic constrained optimization problems.
The economical world consists of a highly interconnected and interdependent network of firms. Here we develop temporal and structural network tools to analyze the state of the economy. Our analysis indicates that a strong clustering can be a warning sign. Reduction in diversity, which was an essential aspect of the dyn…
New framework for online control in evolving populations.
CoNES optimizes blackbox functions using convex optimization and information geometry.
Cryptocurrencies evolve through survival of the fittest, modeled with evolutionary finance.
These are the proceedings of the workshop "Math in the Black Forest", which brought together researchers in shape analysis to discuss promising new directions. Shape analysis is an inter-disciplinary area of research with theoretical foundations in infinite-dimensional Riemannian geometry, geometric statistics, and geo…
New method learns population dynamics from snapshots using JKO scheme and inverse optimization.
Neural Architecture Search has shown potential to automate the design of neural networks. Deep Reinforcement Learning based agents can learn complex architectural patterns, as well as explore a vast and compositional search space. On the other hand, evolutionary algorithms offer higher sample efficiency, which is criti…
Evolutionary algorithms improve neural network performance by discovering better activation functions.
EPNE models evolving network patterns for better predictions.