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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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265177102 · May 202619922001200920172026
48 results for event collapse

Jeffreys Flow improves robustness of Boltzmann generators for rare event sampling.

problem Rare events and metastable trapping in sampling physical systems with rough energy landscapes.
method Introduces Jeffreys Flow, a robust generative framework using Parallel Tempering distillation and symmetric Jeffreys divergence to mitigate mode collapse and improve mode coverage.
result Minimizing Jeffreys divergence suppresses mode collapse and corrects inaccuracies in multi-modal distributions.

Develops RES metrics for stable rare-event forecasting evaluation.

problem Challenges in evaluating forecasts of rare events.
method Rare-event-stable (RES) metrics designed to maintain stable thresholds under extreme rarity.
result RES metrics maintain stable thresholds, consistent model rankings, and near-complete prevalence invariance.

Study gluing event horizons of Minkowski and Schwarzschild spacetimes.

problem Gluing event horizons of different spacetimes.
method Nonperturbative, gluing results from Aretakis-Czimek-Rodnianski and Christodoulou's short pulse method.
result Construct examples of vacuum gravitational collapse to very slowly rotating Kerr black holes.

A new model predicts discrete events with flexible, nonparametric baseline and excitation.

problem Limited flexibility in discrete Hawkes models for event prediction.
method Gaussian Process Discrete Hawkes Process (GP-DHP) with collapsed latent representation.
result Improves predictive log-likelihood for diverse event patterns.

Study on curvature blow-up rates in black hole interiors from gravitational collapse.

problem Understanding curvature blow-up rates in black hole interiors during gravitational collapse.
method Investigation of spherically symmetric Einstein-scalar field spacetimes, focusing on blow-up rates of curvature and mass.
result Kretschmann scalar blows up faster than in Schwarzschild setting, indicating a new blow-up phenomenon.

Novel connections between Neyman-Scott processes and Bayesian nonparametric mixture models enable scalable inference.

problem Efficiently modeling and detecting clusters in spatiotemporal data.
method Adapting collapsed Gibbs sampling for Neyman-Scott processes via connections to mixture of finite mixture models.
result Demonstrated scalability and effectiveness on neural spike trains and document streams.

Corporate defaults may be triggered by some major market news or events such as financial crises or collapses of major banks or financial institutions. With a view to develop a more realistic model for credit risk analysis, we introduce a new type of reduced-form intensity-based model that can incorporate the impacts o…

2013-01-01abs ↗pdf ↗

Study finds significant price declines and capital reallocation from centralized to decentralized exchanges after FTX collapse.

problem Quantifying trust dynamics and redistribution between centralized and decentralized exchanges.
method Interdisciplinary approach combining causal inference and computational text analysis.
result Significant price declines and capital reallocation from centralized to decentralized exchanges following the FTX collapse.
Critical Crashescond-mat.stat-mech

We argue that the word ``critical'' in the title is not purely literary. Based on our and other previous work on nonlinear complex dynamical systems, we summarize present evidence, on the Oct. 1929, Oct. 1987, Oct. 1987 Hong-Kong, Aug. 1998 global market events and on the 1985 Forex event, for the hypothesis advanced f…

1999-01-06abs ↗pdf ↗

New estimates quantify blow-up rates of spacelike singularities in gravitational collapse.

problem Quantifying the blow-up rates of spacelike singularities in gravitational collapse.
method Deriving new quantitative estimates using spherical symmetry and double-null coordinates.
result Polynomial blow-up rates O(1/rN)O(1/r^N) for various quantities, with improved estimates for rurr\partial_u r and rvrr\partial_v r.

Paper studies apparent horizon dynamics and introduces a null comparison principle.

problem Global dynamics of apparent horizon and local achronality.
method Constructing apparent horizon by solving MOTS along null hypersurfaces, using Klainerman-Szeftel estimates and null comparison principle.
result Smooth, asymptotically null, and converging apparent horizon proven.

The paper categorizes and analyzes various event-linked perpetual futures contracts.

problem Developing a risk-design framework for complex event-linked perpetual futures.
method Formal taxonomy of seven pure-form canonical variants, organized along four design axes.
result Detailed analysis of microstructure properties and limitations of various variants.

The study uses Random Matrix Theory to identify structural changes in stock markets during shocks.

problem Understanding structural changes in stock markets during exogenous shocks.
method Random Matrix Theory and complexity gap analysis.
result The complexity gap collapses during shocks, indicating strong synchronization, and widens before shocks, signaling a rich structure.

Stablecoin system improves resilience to extreme market events.

problem Vulnerability of stablecoins to extreme volatility and adversarial attacks.
method MVF-Composer uses multi-agent simulations to stress-test and down-weight manipulative signals.
result Reduces peak peg deviation by 57% and mean recovery time by 3.1x under adversarial conditions.

New concept of Lorentzian-Euclidean black holes and metric transitions explored.

problem Signature-changing spacetimes and their geometric properties.
method Introduction and analysis of Lorentzian-Euclidean black holes and transitions.
result Consistency of proper time to horizon in Lorentzian-Euclidean black holes.

Cryptocurrency markets treat infrastructure failures and regulatory shocks differently, but the effect is not statistically significant.

problem Understanding how cryptocurrency markets differentiate between infrastructure failures and regulatory shocks.
method A multi-moment event study using GJR-GARCH-X model with matched dependence-robust inference.
result The differential impact of infrastructure failures and regulatory shocks on cryptocurrency markets is not statistically significant.

Stablecoin liquidity was affected by the SVB collapse, with USDC's transparency leading to market reactions.

problem Impact of stablecoin transparency on liquidity during market turmoil.
method Adapted MCI measure to Uniswap, Difference-in-Differences analysis on MCI and TVL, measured liquidity concentration.
result USDC's transparency led to swift market reactions, while USDT's opacity provided a safety net.

Bayesian deep learning faces posterior collapse due to likelihood vs. prior competition.

problem Posterior collapse in Bayesian deep learning models.
method Identified competition between likelihood and prior regularization in a linear latent variable model.
result Posterior collapse is related to neural and dimensional collapse, suggesting a broader learning issue.

Study on Neural Collapse limits in deep learning.

problem Understanding the limits of Neural Collapse in deep learning.
method Investigated Neural Collapse in the context of generalization and feature learning, refining conjectures and conducting experiments.
result Neural Collapse primarily occurs on the train set and not on the test set, suggesting it is an optimization phenomenon with unclear connections to generalization.

Researchers create black holes isometric to extremal Reissner-Nordström.

problem Third law of black hole thermodynamics.
method Novel CkC^k characteristic gluing procedure and scalar field pulses.
result Definitive disproof of the third law of black hole thermodynamics.

Mathematical analysis shows annealing prevents mode collapse in Gaussian mixtures.

problem Mode collapse in variational inference for multimodal distributions.
method Analyzed annealing strategies for Gaussian mixtures, derived formulas, and tested on neural networks.
result Appropriately chosen annealing schemes can robustly prevent mode collapse.

Despite excellent progress in recent years, mode collapse remains a major unsolved problem in generative adversarial networks (GANs).In this paper, we present spectral regularization for GANs (SR-GANs), a new and robust method for combating the mode collapse problem in GANs. Theoretical analysis shows that the optimal …

2019-08-29abs ↗pdf ↗

New method controls posterior collapse in VAEs without network architecture constraints.

problem Posterior collapse in VAEs reduces diversity of generated samples.
method Introduces Latent Reconstruction (LR) loss to control posterior collapse.
result Controls posterior collapse on various datasets without architectural constraints.

Collapsibility is a combinatorial strengthening of contractibility. We relate this property to metric geometry by proving the collapsibility of any complex that is CAT(0) with a metric for which all vertex stars are convex. This strengthens and generalizes a result by Crowley. Further consequences of our work are: (1) …

2011-07-28abs ↗pdf ↗

Prove that collapsing CSC metrics can be perturbed to invariant collapsing CSC metrics.

problem Prove that collapsing constant scalar curvature metrics can be perturbed to invariant collapsing constant scalar curvature metrics.
method Prove that a sequence of constant scalar curvature metrics which is collapsing with bounded curvature to a manifold can be perturbed to a sequence of invariant collapsing constant scalar curvature metrics.
result Prove that a sequence of constant scalar curvature metrics which is collapsing with bounded curvature to a manifold can be perturbed to a sequence of invariant collapsing constant scalar curvature metrics.

We will simplify the earlier proofs of Perelman's collapsing theorem of 3-manifolds given by Shioya-Yamaguchi and Morgan-Tian. Among other things, we use Perelman's semi-convex analysis of distance functions to construct the desired local Seifert fibration structure on collapsed 3-manifolds. The verification of Perelma…

2009-08-22abs ↗pdf ↗

We introduce the theory of strong homotopy types of simplicial complexes. Similarly to classical simple homotopy theory, the strong homotopy types can be described by elementary moves. An elementary move in this setting is called a strong collapse and it is a particular kind of simplicial collapse. The advantage of usi…

2009-07-17abs ↗pdf ↗

Lower Ricci curvature bound prevents first Betti number from dropping more than dimension in collapsing manifolds.

problem Understanding how the first Betti number behaves under manifold collapse with Ricci curvature bounds.
method Analyzing sequences of Riemannian manifolds with lower Ricci curvature bounds.
result The first Betti number cannot drop more than the dimension in collapsing manifolds.

Deep nets exhibit 'Neural Collapse' during training's final phase, simplifying decision-making.

problem Understanding and optimizing deep learning training phases.
method Direct measurements on three deepnet architectures across seven datasets.
result Deep nets exhibit 'Neural Collapse' during training's final phase, simplifying decision-making.

Study tackles criterion collapse in learning criteria, showing conditions for loss minimization.

problem Criterion collapse in optimization, focusing on error probability minimizers.
method Analyzes various learning criteria, including DRO, OCE risks, and non-monotonic criteria.
result Non-monotonic criteria can avoid collapse, while monotonic ones cannot.

This is an expositiry article on collapsing theory in Riemannian geometry written for the Modern Encyclopedia of Mathematical Physics (MEMPhys). We focus on describing the geometric and topological structure of collapsed/non-collapsed regions in Riemannian manifold under various curvature assumptions. Numerous applicat…

2007-01-25abs ↗pdf ↗

In this paper we extend the works of Tancer and of Malgouyres and Francés, showing that (d,k)(d,k)-collapsibility is NP-complete for dk+2d\geq k+2 except (2,0)(2,0). By (d,k)(d,k)-collapsibility we mean the following problem: determine whether a given dd-dimensional simplicial complex can be collapsed to some kk-dimensional sub…

2017-03-20abs ↗pdf ↗