Bayesian model improves categorization of explosions from sparse data.
problem Challenges in categorizing explosions from limited data.
method Bayesian update to Event Categorization Matrix model with Bayesian Decision Theory.
result Consistent gains in overall accuracy and lower false negative rates.
Paper proposes PP-GCN for fine-grained social event categorization.
problem Challenges in mining social events due to heterogeneous event elements and social network structures.
method Design an event meta-schema, build an HIN, propose PP-GCN, and use KIES.
result PP-GCN outperforms other techniques in social event detection and clustering.
Anomaly detection plays an important role in modern data-driven security applications, such as detecting suspicious access to a socket from a process. In many cases, such events can be described as a collection of categorical values that are considered as entities of different types, which we call heterogeneous categor…
We suggest a novel method of clustering and exploratory analysis of temporal event sequences data (also known as categorical time series) based on three-dimensional data grid models. A data set of temporal event sequences can be represented as a data set of three-dimensional points, each point is defined by three varia…
VAIOM models financial returns using continuous input and categorical output.
problem Modeling continuous, noisy, and heterogeneous financial data.
method VAIOM is a decoder-only Transformer that separates input representation from output likelihood.
result VAIOM models outperform fixed single-bar LightGBM baseline in both Test halves.
Embedded markup of Web pages has seen widespread adoption throughout the past years driven by standards such as RDFa and Microdata and initiatives such as schema.org, where recent studies show an adoption by 39% of all Web pages already in 2016. While this constitutes an important information source for tasks such as W…
Modeling solar ramping events with spatio-temporal point processes.
problem Predicting solar ramping events influenced by weather conditions.
method Novel spatio-temporal categorical point process model.
result Effective modeling of spatio-temporal correlations in solar ramping events.
A very simple event frequency approximation algorithm that is sensitive to event timeliness is suggested. The algorithm iteratively updates categorical click-distribution, producing (path of) a random walk on a standard n-dimensional simplex. Under certain conditions, this random walk is self-similar and corresponds …
The paper proposes a method to analyze categorical feature interactions in large datasets using graph covariance and LLMs.
problem Analyzing complex datasets with numerous categorical features and timestamps.
method Binarization of categorical features using one-hot encoding, computation of graph covariance, identifying significant feature pairs, and using LLMs to generate explanations.
result The method identifies meaningful feature pairs and potential data stories underlying categorical feature interactions.
Survey on modeling event sequences through temporal processes.
problem Modeling phenomena with sequences of events over continuous time.
method Probabilistic models based on point processes, categorized into simple, marked, and spatio-temporal.
result Analysis of existing approaches and their applicability to prediction and modeling.
New STH distance finds patterns in event timeseries without resampling.
problem Lack of efficient analysis methods for event and state timeseries.
method Define STE-ts, propose STH, leveraging both time and state duration.
result Improved precision and computation time compared to resampled metrics.
Discusses handling intercurrent events in clinical trials with time-to-event outcomes.
problem Handling intercurrent events in clinical trials with time-to-event outcomes.
method Defines estimands and six ICE handling strategies, including new competing-risk strategy.
result Novel methods for handling intercurrent events in clinical trials with time-to-event outcomes.
New model for multivariate discrete event data with flexible interactions.
problem Modeling multivariate discrete event data with categorical interactions.
method Developed a new modeling approach with convex constraints, two estimation procedures (LS and ML).
result Proposed model can capture arbitrary shapes of historical event influence.
Predict sepsis early from EHR data with aggregated clinical events.
problem Predict sepsis from clinical data in EHR with temporal interactions.
method Aggregates heterogeneous clinical events, captures temporal interactions with LSTM.
result Achieved high utility score (0.321) in PhysioNet/Computing in Cardiology Challenge 2019.
Method estimates exogenous and endogenous factors from event times.
problem Estimating factors influencing event occurrence.
method Combines inhomogeneous Poisson and Hawkes processes, fits using free energy minimization.
result Four regimes identified based on factor detection.
The episodic, irregular and asynchronous nature of medical data render them difficult substrates for standard machine learning algorithms. We would like to abstract away this difficulty for the class of time-stamped categorical variables (or events) by modeling them as a renewal process and inferring a probability dens…
DynForest R package predicts outcomes with time-dependent predictors.
problem Handling time-dependent predictors in random forest models.
method Random forests with time-dependent predictors summarized using flexible linear mixed models.
result DynForest can predict continuous, categorical, and survival outcomes.
Even in the absence of any explicit semantic annotation, vast collections of audio recordings provide valuable information for learning the categorical structure of sounds. We consider several class-agnostic semantic constraints that apply to unlabeled nonspeech audio: (i) noise and translations in time do not change t…
Study uses LLMs to categorize financial tweets, revealing useful sentiment signals.
problem Discovering meaningful sentiment signals from unstructured financial social media data.
method Leveraged LLMs to automatically label financial tweets with event categories and aligned with returns.
result Certain event labels consistently yield negative alpha, with statistically significant Sharpe ratios and information coefficients.
In this paper, we consider the problem of event classification with multi-variate time series data consisting of heterogeneous (continuous and categorical) variables. The complex temporal dependencies between the variables combined with sparsity of the data makes the event classification problem particularly challengin…
We present a neural network for predicting purchasing intent in an Ecommerce setting. Our main contribution is to address the significant investment in feature engineering that is usually associated with state-of-the-art methods such as Gradient Boosted Machines. We use trainable vector spaces to model varied, semi-str…
PRESTO improves rare event prediction by shrinking towards proportional odds model.
problem Difficult to predict rare events due to class imbalance.
method PRESTO relaxes proportional odds model by estimating separate weights for transitions between categories, imposing L1 penalty to shrink towards proportional odds.
result PRESTO consistently estimates decision boundary weights under sparsity assumption, improving rare probability estimation.
This paper models how features influence event triggers in high-dimensional networks.
problem Estimating context-dependent networks in high-dimensional marked point processes.
method Leveraging compositional time series and regularization methods, the paper considers autoregressive multinomial and logistic-normal models for network estimation.
result The logistic-normal model leads to a convex negative log-likelihood objective and captures dependence across categories.
VOWEL trains WTA-SNNs for multi-valued events, overcoming resource limitations.
problem Training WTA-SNNs for multi-valued events is challenging due to non-differentiability and recurrent behavior.
method Develops a variational online local training rule (VOWEL) for WTA-SNNs using local pre- and post-synaptic information and a common reward signal.
result VOWEL outperforms conventional binary SNNs in real-world neuromorphic datasets with multi-valued events.
Paper proposes GANs for generating business process suffixes and remaining times.
problem Generating accurate suffixes and remaining times for business process models.
method Encoder-decoder GAN architecture with Gumbel-Softmax distribution for categorical sequences.
result The approach outperforms baselines in suffix and remaining time prediction accuracy.
Study analyzes cryptocurrency pump-and-dump dynamics using minute-level data.
problem Identifying and quantifying insider trading in cryptocurrency markets.
method Algorithmic identification of insider volume spikes, conservative profit bounds calculation, social-media verification.
result Median returns above 100%, upper-quartile returns exceeding 2000% for insider profits.
The paper categorizes and analyzes various event-linked perpetual futures contracts.
problem Developing a risk-design framework for complex event-linked perpetual futures.
method Formal taxonomy of seven pure-form canonical variants, organized along four design axes.
result Detailed analysis of microstructure properties and limitations of various variants.
MSTREAM detects anomalies in multi-aspect data streams.
problem Detecting unusual group anomalies in dynamic multi-aspect data.
method Online streaming multi-aspect anomaly detection framework.
result MSTREAM outperforms state-of-the-art baselines.
New method models MTPP without predefined intensity functions.
problem Parameterizing conditional joint PDF for MTPP.
method IFIB framework, modeling p∗(m,t) directly. result Superior experimental results on real and synthetic data.
Random forest models predict CLABSI risk in hospital admissions, with static models performing similarly to dynamic ones.
problem Predicting CLABSI risk in hospital admissions using EHR data with competing risks.
method Comparison of static and dynamic random forest models for binary, multinomial, survival, and competing risks outcomes.
result Static and dynamic random forest models perform similarly in predicting CLABSI risk, with multinomial models having the lowest computation times.
Automates detection of fast-ramped flexibility events for DSOs.
problem Monitoring and supervising flexibility activations in power systems.
method Unsupervised detection and open-set classification.
result Automatically identifies critical flexibility activations for early intervention.
gOMP algorithm selects features for various types of data.
problem Feature selection for scalable molecular data.
method Generalized Orthogonal Matching Pursuit algorithm for multiple types of data.
result gOMP performs similarly or better than LASSO on various datasets.
Survey of AI-based outlier detection methods for various domains.
problem Detecting unusual events to prevent infrastructure damage.
method Categorizes six major OD methods: Statistical, Distance, Density, Clustering, Learning, and Ensemble.
result Advances and challenges of each method discussed.
StructureBoost improves gradient boosting for complex categorical variables efficiently.
problem Efficiently handling complex categorical variables with known structure.
method Two methods to overcome computational obstacles in SCDT enumeration for structured categorical variables.
result StructureBoost outperforms existing packages on complex categorical problems.
Categorical bundles provide a natural framework for gauge theories involving multiple gauge groups. Unlike the case of traditional bundles there are distinct notions of triviality, and hence also of local triviality, for categorical bundles. We study categorical principal bundles that are product bundles in the categor…
We construct what we call a Kirby category, a monoidal category whose morphisms are smooth 4-manifolds, projecting down to another monoidal category whose morphisms are orientable 3-manifolds, the projection being induced by the boundary map on manifolds. We construct a higher categorical generalization of such concept…
UNTIE learns representations of coupled categorical data.
problem Challenges in learning from unlabeled categorical data with complex couplings.
method UNTIE approach for unsupervised representation learning of heterogeneous couplings.
result UNTIE significantly improves categorical data representations on 25 diverse datasets.
Paper introduces Categorical Normalizing Flows for better handling of categorical data.
problem Limited application of normalizing flows on categorical data due to lack of intrinsic order.
method Categorical Normalizing Flows use continuous transformations to model latent relations in categorical data, optimizing both continuous representation and model likelihood.
result GraphCNF, a permutation-invariant generative model, outperforms state-of-the-art on molecule generation.
This paper proposes a method to reduce complexity in GLMs with categorical predictors.
problem Wasteful, hard-to-interpret, and prone to overfitting of traditional one-hot encoding for high-cardinality categorical predictors.
method Clustering categories of categorical predictors through a numerical method that preserves or improves accuracy while reducing the number of coefficients.
result Clustering categories of categorical predictors reduces complexity substantially without harming accuracy.
Develops a two-level monotonic multistage recommender system for better user-specific prediction.
problem Leveraging user-item-stage dependencies in a monotonic chain of events for enhanced prediction accuracy.
method A multistage recommender system with a two-level monotonic property, using a large-margin classifier based on a nonnegative additive latent factor model.
result The proposed method outperforms existing methods in simulations and an article sharing dataset.
A new method optimises problems with both continuous and categorical inputs.
problem Optimising black-box problems with mixed continuous and categorical inputs.
method Continuous and Categorical Bayesian Optimisation (CoCaBO) combining multi-armed bandits and Bayesian optimisation.
result CoCaBO outperforms existing methods on synthetic and real-world tasks.
The paper shows how integrating categorical semantics can enhance unsupervised domain translation.
problem Improving unsupervised domain translation between perceptually different domains.
method Learning invariant categorical semantic features in an unsupervised manner and conditioning them on the style encoder.
result Conditioning the style encoder on learned categorical semantics improves translation and stylization.
Categorical variables are a natural choice for representing discrete structure in the world. However, stochastic neural networks rarely use categorical latent variables due to the inability to backpropagate through samples. In this work, we present an efficient gradient estimator that replaces the non-differentiable sa…
New algorithm recovers labels from noisy categorical data.
problem Recovering latent labels from noisy observations in structured instances.
method Approximate algorithm for graphs with categorical variables.
result Logarithmic dependency of Hamming error to the number of categories.
Study categorizes mutual funds using natural language processing from unstructured data.
problem Categorizing mutual funds using unstructured data for financial analysis.
method Used natural language processing models to classify mutual funds from their investment strategy descriptions.
result High accuracy in categorizing mutual funds using NLP from unstructured data.
Develops 2-categorical methods for multi-parameter persistence.
problem Fundamental limitations of traditional persistence modules.
method 2-categorical structures to capture hierarchical interactions.
result New invariants effectively characterize multidimensional topological features.
Transforms classical connections using pushforwards and gauge transformations.
problem Transforming classical connections in categorical settings.
method Constructing pushforwards and applying gauge transformations to decorated path spaces.
result Combines traditional gauge transformation with affine translation.
The paper explores efficient ways to represent categorical data.
problem Wasteful one-hot encoding of categorical variables.
method Investigates alternative, lower-dimensional real-valued representations.
result Proposed methods retain all predictive information without one-hot encoding.