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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,695 papers · 148 categories

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14274154 · Oct 201919922001200920172026
48 results for event attendance

Predicting event attendance using social influence from social networks.

problem Predicting people's participation in real-world events.
method Modeling social influence, using non-geotagged posts and social group structures, applying graph embedding techniques, and training a neural network.
result The proposed classifier achieves 89% accuracy on the VFestival dataset, outperforming state-of-the-art methods.

SurvBESA predicts survival times using ensemble methods with self-attention.

problem Challenges in survival analysis due to censored data and unstable predictions.
method SurvBESA combines Beran estimators with a self-attention mechanism to predict survival times.
result SurvBESA outperforms state-of-the-art models in predicting survival times.

Deep learning for particle classification on large event images.

problem Training deep learning models on large, high-fidelity event images from MicroBooNE is challenging and time-consuming.
method Scaling training to multiple GPUs and architectures, using simulated MicroBooNE events.
result Demonstrated successful scaling of particle classification training to multiple GPUs and architectures.

Preschool attendance correlates with lower developmental vulnerabilities in Queensland, Australia.

problem Understanding the relationship between preschool attendance and developmental vulnerabilities in different regions.
method Data Analysis and Machine Learning to identify clusters of socio-demographic variables.
result Identified three clusters with varying socio-demographic variables affecting the relationship between preschool attendance and developmental vulnerabilities.

Existing attention mechanisms are trained to attend to individual items in a collection (the memory) with a predefined, fixed granularity, e.g., a word token or an image grid. We propose area attention: a way to attend to areas in the memory, where each area contains a group of items that are structurally adjacent, e.g…

2018-10-23abs ↗pdf ↗

Unified ML approach predicts ED attendances with high accuracy.

problem Managing hospital demand at emergency departments efficiently.
method Ensemble of time series and machine learning approaches with hyperparameter tuning.
result Predictions with mean absolute error of +/- 14 and +/- 10 patients, MAE of 6.8% and 8.6%.

We present Listen, Attend and Spell (LAS), a neural network that learns to transcribe speech utterances to characters. Unlike traditional DNN-HMM models, this model learns all the components of a speech recognizer jointly. Our system has two components: a listener and a speller. The listener is a pyramidal recurrent ne…

2015-08-05abs ↗pdf ↗

These notes were originally written for the Stochastic Analysis Seminar in the Department of Operations Research and Financial Engineering at Princeton University, in February of 2011. The seminar was attended and supported by members of the Research Training Group, with the author being partially supported by NSF gran…

2014-06-07abs ↗pdf ↗

In automatic speech recognition (ASR) what a user says depends on the particular context she is in. Typically, this context is represented as a set of word n-grams. In this work, we present a novel, all-neural, end-to-end (E2E) ASR sys- tem that utilizes such context. Our approach, which we re- fer to as Contextual Lis…

2018-08-07abs ↗pdf ↗

We recall fundamental aspects of the pluriclosed flow equation and survey various existence and convergence results, and the various analytic techniques used to establish them. Building on this, we formulate a precise conjectural description of the long time behavior of the flow on complex surfaces. This suggests an at…

2018-08-28abs ↗pdf ↗

Traditional sequential multi-object attention models rely on a recurrent mechanism to infer object relations. We propose a relational extension (R-SQAIR) of one such attention model (SQAIR) by endowing it with a module with strong relational inductive bias that computes in parallel pairwise interactions between inferre…

2019-10-11abs ↗pdf ↗

Although deep neural networks generally have fixed network structures, the concept of dynamic mechanism has drawn more and more attention in recent years. Attention mechanisms compute input-dependent dynamic attention weights for aggregating a sequence of hidden states. Dynamic network configuration in convolutional ne…

2019-12-01abs ↗pdf ↗

Study on how attention in prompt-tuning affects large language models.

problem Limited theoretical understanding of prompt-tuning and attention in LLMs.
method Exploration of prompt-tuning for one-layer attention architectures, contextual mixture-models, and self-contained prompt-attention model.
result Softmax-prompt-attention is more expressive than self-attention and linear-prompt-attention under contextual data model.

Develops a neural model to predict event occurrence and timing.

problem Standard event time models ignore the distinction between event occurrence probability and predicted time.
method Introduces a conditional event time model using a neural network with a binary stochastic layer.
result Shows superior event occurrence and timing predictions on various datasets.

Paper proposes a new trading strategy using corporate event detection from news articles.

problem Predicting stock movements based on corporate events from news articles.
method Bi-level event detection model: low-level for token-level event identification, high-level for article-level event identification.
result The proposed strategy outperforms existing models in stock prediction metrics.

Non-spanning identification of scheduled event risk in option pricing.

problem Separating continuous surface from scheduled jump in option pricing.
method Modeling FOMC decisions, CPI releases, and NFP reports as deterministic-time jumps in risk-neutral option pricing.
result Improves held-out event-spanning pricing with Gaussian and two-component mixture jumps.

Study examines HTE estimation from time-to-event data with competing events.

problem Estimating HTEs from time-to-event data with competing events.
method Outcome modeling approach using plug-in estimators for potential outcomes.
result Competing events introduce new challenges for HTE estimation.

CAUSE learns Granger causality from event sequences, outperforming existing methods.

problem Learning Granger causality from complex, interdependent event sequences.
method CAUSE uses a neural point process to capture interdependency and an attribution method to extract Granger causality.
result CAUSE outperforms state-of-the-art methods in inferring inter-type Granger causality.

Efficient sparse attention reduces self-attention complexity and improves model performance.

problem Quadratic compute and memory requirements of self-attention for long sequences.
method Content-based sparse attention with dynamic routing module.
result Routing Transformer achieves state-of-the-art performance on various benchmarks.

REST framework predicts stock trends by considering stock-specific and related-stock events.

problem Predicting stock trends using event information from news, social media, and discussion boards.
method REST framework addresses two main shortcomings of existing event-driven methods: stock-specific event influence and related-stock event influence.
result REST framework achieves higher investment returns compared to baselines.

Considering event structure information has proven helpful in text-based stock movement prediction. However, existing works mainly adopt the coarse-grained events, which loses the specific semantic information of diverse event types. In this work, we propose to incorporate the fine-grained events in stock movement pred…

2019-10-11abs ↗pdf ↗

Attention mechanisms in deep neural networks have achieved excellent performance on sequence-prediction tasks. Here, we show that these recently-proposed attention-based mechanisms---in particular, the Transformer with its parallelizable self-attention layers, and the Memory Fusion Network with attention across modalit…

2019-07-08abs ↗pdf ↗

New deep learning method handles rare and imbalanced events in time series.

problem Challenges in event detection in time series data, especially rare and imbalanced events.
method Supervised regression-based deep learning approach that handles various types of events.
result Superior performance across diverse domains, particularly for rare events and imbalanced datasets.

The study uses financial events to predict stock market movements.

problem Predicting stock market movements using financial events.
method Combined event extraction method, BERT/ALBERT enhanced event representation, and extended hierarchical attention network.
result Significantly better accuracies and higher simulated returns compared to state-of-the-art models.

Proposes a model for predicting events from event streams.

problem Predicting events like part replacement and failure in manufacturing and teleservice systems.
method Non-parametric prognostic framework using MGCP modulated Poisson processes.
result MGCP prior facilitates sharing of information and analysis of flexible event patterns.

LOBDIF predicts limit order book events using a diffusion model.

problem Predicting the timing and type of events in a dynamic market system.
method LOBDIF uses a diffusion model to learn the complex time-event distribution in limit order book streams.
result LOBDIF significantly outperforms existing methods in real-world data experiments.