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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,982 papers · 148 categories

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48 results for ethics risk

A new financial system with ethics risk modeled using fractional calculus.

problem Modeling financial systems with ethical considerations and market confidence.
method Introduced a five-dimensional conformable derivative financial system and a discretization scheme.
result Numerical solutions of the conformable derivative system were tested for hyperchaos.

LLM sandbox and persona dynamics create unethical reality gaps that shift risk to users.

problem Ethical issues arise from LLMs generating reality gaps that shift risk to uninformed users.
method Analyzes the ethical implications of LLM sandbox and persona dynamics, comparing them to financial regulation and compliance.
result Active generation of reality gaps is unethical as it shifts epistemic risk to users.

Current advances in research, development and application of artificial intelligence (AI) systems have yielded a far-reaching discourse on AI ethics. In consequence, a number of ethics guidelines have been released in recent years. These guidelines comprise normative principles and recommendations aimed to harness the …

2019-02-28abs ↗pdf ↗

New method reduces indirect discrimination in insurance risk models.

problem Indirect discrimination in insurance risk models using machine learning.
method Mathematical concepts of linear algebra to reduce indirect discrimination.
result Demonstrated promising performance in a concrete case of risk selection in life insurance.

AI enhances financial services but humans are irreplaceable for empathy, presence, and ethics.

problem AI's limitations in financial services, especially with small datasets and human judgment.
method EPOCH framework highlighting five irreplaceable human capabilities: Empathy, Presence, Opinion, Creativity, and Hope.
result Humans are essential for trust, innovation, and consumer experience in financial services.

This paper presents the contemporary Fundamental Theorem of Asset Pricing as being equivalent to approaches to pricing that emerged before 1700 in the context of Virtue Ethics. This is done by considering the history of science and mathematics in the thirteenth and seventeenth century. An explanation as to why these ap…

2012-10-19abs ↗pdf ↗

The goal of this article is to inspire data scientists to participate in the debate on the impact that their professional work has on society, and to become active in public debates on the digital world as data science professionals. How do ethical principles (e.g., fairness, justice, beneficence, and non-maleficence) …

2019-01-14abs ↗pdf ↗

TUV Austria proposes certification for ML applications to ensure reliability.

problem Ensuring trust in AI applications to meet societal reliance requirements.
method Holistic approach analyzing security, functionality, data quality, ethics, and criticality levels.
result Certification process for low-risk ML applications in supervised learning.

AI optimizing for risk-adjusted return may choose unethical strategies.

problem AI optimization for risk-adjusted return may lead to unethical outcomes.
method Defined Unethical Odds Ratio (Υ) to calculate probability of unethical strategies, derived formula for limit as strategy space grows, provided algorithm for estimation.
result Probability of picking an unethical strategy can become high even with small proportion of unethical strategies.

Standard economic theory makes an allowance for the agency problem, but not the compounding of moral hazard in the presence of informational opacity, particularly in what concerns high-impact events in fat tailed domains (under slow convergence for the law of large numbers). Nor did it look at exposure as a filter that…

2013-08-05abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper evaluates the importance of monotonicity in AI fairness across various fields.

problem Ensuring fairness in AI applications across criminology, education, health care, and finance.
method Theoretical reasoning, simulation, and extensive empirical analysis of monotonic neural additive models (MNAMs).
result Monotonicity is essential for fairness in AI ethics and society, especially in criminology, education, health care, and finance.

Model predicts internal fraud in retail banking is cyclical and influenced by corruption.

problem Predicting and mitigating internal fraud losses in retail banking.
method Developed a dynamic model considering internal factors and macroeconomic indicators.
result Internal fraud losses are pro-cyclical and positively affected by corruption perceptions.

Machine learning conferences face ethical issues in review process.

problem Ethical issues in the review process of machine learning conferences.
method Study of recruitment issues, double-blind process infringements, fraudulent behaviors, biases, and appendix phenomenon.
result Highlighting the need for awareness in the machine learning community.

This paper argues that the fundamental principle of contemporary financial economics is balanced reciprocity, not the principle of utility maximisation that is important in economics more generally. The argument is developed by analysing the mathematical Fundamental Theory of Asset Pricing with reference to the emergen…

2013-10-10abs ↗pdf ↗

A successful response to climate change needs vast investments in low-carbon research, energy, and sustainable development. Governments can drive research, provide environmental regulation, and accelerate global development, but the necessary low-carbon investments of 2-3% GDP have yet to materialise. A new strategy to…

2018-07-09abs ↗pdf ↗

Hierarchical analysis is considered and a multilevel model is presented in order to explore causality, chance and complexity in financial economics. A coupled system of models is used to describe multilevel interactions, consistent with market data: the lowest level is occupied by agents generating the prices of indivi…

2014-08-24abs ↗pdf ↗

Examines AI regulation in finance, highlighting risks and gaps in current laws.

problem Rapid AI adoption in finance introduces risks and compliance challenges.
method Reviews current legislation, industry guidelines, and real-world use cases.
result Need for adaptive, technology-neutral policies to balance innovation and consumer protection.

AI random forest model improves credit risk scoring for Azerbaijani SMEs.

problem Improving accuracy in identifying defaulters for SME loans.
method Used Python to compare a Delphi model with a random forest model, measuring accuracy, precision, recall, and F-1 scores.
result Significant improvements in model performance (e.g., from 0.69 to 0.83 in accuracy).

Machine learning practitioners are often ambivalent about the ethical aspects of their products. We believe anything that gets us from that current state to one in which our systems are achieving some degree of fairness is an improvement that should be welcomed. This is true even when that progress does not get us 100%…

2018-06-13abs ↗pdf ↗

Framework enhances AI explainability by aligning with human cognitive models.

problem Lack of explainability in AI models hinders trust and accountability.
method Integrates explainability techniques with Malle's five category model of behavior explanation.
result Demonstrates practical relevance in credit risk assessment and regulatory analysis.

FairTrade uses variational inference to create fair predictions in causal models.

problem Creating fair predictions in machine learning models with causal reasoning.
method FairTrade uses variational inference to account for unobserved confounders and integrates fairness constraints on causal paths.
result Demonstrates the effectiveness of FairTrade in creating fair predictions in both simulated and real-world datasets.

The paper investigates ethical issues in large image datasets, focusing on pornographic content.

problem Ethical issues in large-scale computer vision datasets, particularly concerning pornographic content.
method Cross-sectional model-based quantitative census covering various factors in the ImageNet-ILSVRC-2012 dataset.
result The dataset contains verifiably pornographic images, including non-consensual and voyeuristic content.

Machine learning uses crowdworkers; determining their status as human subjects is tricky.

problem Determining the appropriate status of ML crowdworkers as human subjects.
method Investigation of natural language processing studies to expose challenges and propose solutions.
result Potential loophole in the U.S. Common Rule for ML research oversight.

This paper tackles data-efficient CEE with scarce labelled data, proposing a method to progressively reduce generalization risk.

problem Data scarcity in CEE tasks, especially in high-stake domains like medical treatment effect prediction.
method Develops a principled label acquisition pipeline (MACAL) for CEE tasks, focusing on reducing generalization risk progressively.
result Proposes Model Agnostic Causal Active Learning (MACAL) algorithm for batch-wise label acquisition.

New framework for contesting algorithmic decisions, not just explaining them.

problem Helping individuals review and correct erroneous algorithmic decisions.
method Operationalized contestability as a natural complement to explainable AI (XAI), identifying three types of evidence for reversal.
result Existing EU legislation already grants individuals legal rights to contest algorithmic decisions.

In this chapter the complex systems are discussed in the context of economic and business policy and decision making. It will be showed and motivated that social systems are typically chaotic, non-linear and/or non-equilibrium and therefore complex systems. It is discussed that the rapid change in global consumer behav…

2012-08-06abs ↗pdf ↗

This paper examines risks and uncertainties of changing data sources in machine learning for official statistics.

problem Risks and uncertainties associated with changing data sources in machine learning for official statistics.
method An overview of risks, causes, and repercussions of changing data sources, with a checklist of measures.
result Maintaining integrity, reliability, consistency, and relevance in official statistics.

Black-box explanation is the problem of explaining how a machine learning model -- whose internal logic is hidden to the auditor and generally complex -- produces its outcomes. Current approaches for solving this problem include model explanation, outcome explanation as well as model inspection. While these techniques …

2019-01-28abs ↗pdf ↗

New approach to optimal income tax theory tackles inequity issues.

problem Optimal tax schedules often lead to minimal tax rates for higher earners, contradicting ethical practices.
method Developed a theorem for piecewise-linear environment and introduced a new utility function parameter.
result New approach leads to more equitable tax schedules, interpreting optimality criteria easily.

Study examines impact of fairness penalties on clinical risk prediction models.

problem Widespread health disparities in machine learning-guided clinical decision-making.
method Empirical study across multiple databases, outcomes, and sensitive attributes.
result Penalizing fairness violations nearly universally degrades model performance and fairness metrics.

An assistant learns to mediate decisions between humans and experts, balancing risk and learning.

problem Learning to mediate decisions between imperfect humans and expert knowledge.
method Formalizes online decision mediation, proposes a policy to balance immediate loss and future generalization.
result Consistent gains over benchmarks in decision-making performance.

Paper reinterprets marginal productivity theory using vectorial products, challenging traditional ethical interpretations.

problem Challenges traditional ethical interpretations of marginal productivity theory.
method Formulates marginal productivity theory using vectorial marginal products, contrasting with traditional scalar approach.
result Vectorial marginal products conflict with traditional distributive shares picture of property.

Improved financial performance through better regime prediction.

problem Predicting financial market regimes for profitable trading.
method A novel method combining contrarian trading and frequent short positions.
result Significant performance improvements over four years across three asset classes.