Rate-In dynamically adjusts dropout rates during inference to improve uncertainty estimation in neural networks.
problem Static dropout rates lead to suboptimal uncertainty estimates in neural networks.
method Rate-In dynamically adjusts dropout rates using information-theoretic principles.
result Rate-In improves calibration and sharpens uncertainty estimates compared to fixed or heuristic dropout rates.
Study improves queue length estimation from connected vehicles by filtering parameters.
problem Large errors in estimated queue lengths at low market penetration rates.
method Used Kalman and Particle filters as multilevel real-time estimators.
result Filters reduce estimation errors and improve accuracy within 15 minutes.
Study robust estimation under varying corruption probabilities in data.
problem Robust estimation in scenarios with heterogeneous corruption rates.
method Developed estimators for mean and regression under various corruption patterns.
result Optimal estimators can discard corrupted samples beyond a specific threshold.
Developed unbiased estimators for Heston model with stochastic interest rates.
problem Estimating the Heston model with stochastic interest rates.
method Combined unbiased estimators with the Heston model and developed a semi-exact log-Euler scheme.
result Convergence rate of O(h) in the L2 norm for a wide range of models. Study introduces new methods to estimate stock return rates.
problem Estimating the required rate of return for stocks and private companies.
method Maximum likelihood, Bayesian, and Kalman filtering methods applied to historical data.
result Suggested methods can accurately estimate the required rate of return.
New algorithms robustly estimate mean with near-optimal error rates.
problem Outlier robust mean estimation in high-dimensional data.
method Stability condition and iterative filtering algorithms.
result Optimal error rates with subgaussian rates for robust mean estimation.
Study introduces new methods to estimate equity and liability required rates of return.
problem Estimating the required rates of return for equity and liabilities of companies.
method Used maximum likelihood, Bayesian, Kalman filtering, and market value evaluation methods.
result The new methods can accurately estimate the required rates of return.
We consider a distributed parameter estimation problem, in which multiple terminals send messages related to their local observations using limited rates to a fusion center who will obtain an estimate of a parameter related to observations of all terminals. It is well known that if the transmission rates are in the Sle…
The paper analyzes rates of convergence for optimal transport map estimators using barycentric projections.
problem Estimating optimal transport maps from data sampled according to two distributions.
method Comprehensive analysis of rates of convergence for plug-in estimators defined via barycentric projections.
result New stability estimate for barycentric projections under minimal smoothness assumptions.
We study the estimation of the parametric components of single and multiple index volatility models. Using the first- and second-order Stein's identities, we develop methods that are applicable for the estimation of the variance index in the high-dimensional setting requiring finite moment condition, which allows for h…
Meta learning of optimal classifier error rates allows an experimenter to empirically estimate the intrinsic ability of any estimator to discriminate between two populations, circumventing the difficult problem of estimating the optimal Bayes classifier. To this end we propose a weighted nearest neighbor (WNN) graph es…
Study nonparametric covariance function estimation for noisy data.
problem Estimating covariance function from discrete noisy data in high dimensions.
method Adaptive learning-based estimators, including deep learning.
result Established oracle inequality and convergence rates for deep learning estimators.
Adapts to estimate functions from noisy ERT data.
problem Estimating functions from noisy Exponential Radon Transform data.
method Locally adaptive kernel type estimator for functions of varying smoothness.
result Achieves minimax optimal rate up to a log(n) factor for Sobolev functions.
Study uniform rates for estimating Gaussian mixtures without separation assumption.
problem Estimating parameters in two-component Gaussian mixtures without separation.
method Uniform convergence rates derived using minimax lower bounds and careful analysis of polynomial equalities.
result Phase transition in optimal estimation rate based on mixture balance.
Entropy rate of sequential data-streams naturally quantifies the complexity of the generative process. Thus entropy rate fluctuations could be used as a tool to recognize dynamical perturbations in signal sources, and could potentially be carried out without explicit background noise characterization. However, state of…
Estimates rate-distortion function for large datasets using neural networks.
problem Designing lossy data compression schemes and comparing them with theoretical limits.
method Re-formulate rate-distortion objective and solve using neural networks.
result NERD accurately estimates the rate-distortion function for real-world datasets.
Study on estimating volatility of volatility using Fourier methods and provides insights into volatility dynamics.
problem Estimating the volatility of volatility (vol-of-vol) accurately and efficiently.
method Used Fourier methodology to estimate integrated volatility of volatility, bias-corrected and without bias-correction, comparing their asymptotic properties and accuracy.
result The bias-corrected estimator reaches the optimal rate n1/4, while the uncorrected estimator has a slower rate and smaller asymptotic variance. Paper analyzes kNN estimator for KL divergence, proving its optimality.
problem Estimating KL divergence from identical samples.
method kNN estimator based on nearest neighbor distances.
result kNN method is asymptotically rate optimal for KL divergence estimation.
Study confirms optimal minimax rate for nonlocal interaction kernel estimation.
problem Estimating nonlocal interaction kernels in interacting particle systems.
method Introduced tamed least squares estimator (tLSE) achieving optimal convergence rate.
result Optimal minimax rate of convergence confirmed for β≥1/4. Bayesian method with Gaussian process priors achieves optimal convergence rates for regression function and its derivatives.
problem Estimating the regression function and its derivatives in nonparametric regression.
method Bayesian approach with Gaussian process priors, focusing on convergence rates and plug-in property.
result Equivalence of convergence rates of posterior distributions and Bayes estimators for regression function and its derivatives.
Study minimax rates for density estimation under Huber contamination and Besov IPM losses.
problem Minimax convergence rates of nonparametric density estimation under Huber contamination model with outliers.
method Re-scaled thresholding wavelet series estimator and GAN architectures.
result Achieves minimax optimal convergence rates under Besov IPM losses.
Improved heart rate and activity recognition with low-power wrist sensors.
problem Challenges in battery life, cost, and sensor performance in wrist-worn sensing applications.
method Used photoplethysmography (PPG) for heart rate and activity recognition, applying transfer learning and CNNs.
result Low sampling frequencies (5 Hz and 10 Hz) achieved good performance in heart rate and activity recognition.
New methods for inferring, predicting, and estimating continuous-time, discrete-event processes.
problem Inferring, predicting, and estimating entropy rate of continuous-time, discrete-event processes.
method Bayesian structural inference extended with neural networks.
result Methods are competitive for prediction and entropy-rate estimation with state-of-the-art.
Study on distributed nonparametric function estimation with optimal rate and cost of adaptation.
problem Optimal rate of convergence and cost of adaptation in distributed nonparametric function estimation.
method Distributed minimax estimation and adaptive estimation under communication constraints for Gaussian sequence model and white noise model.
result Established minimax rate of convergence and exact communication cost for adaptation.
Paper introduces ρ-Perfect to estimate model-human correlation in subjective datasets.
problem Inherent noise in subjective ratings limits model-human correlation quantification.
method Defines ρ-Perfect as highest achievable correlation between perfect predictor and human ratings. Estimates based on heteroscedastic noise scenarios. result Demonstrates ρ-Perfect can distinguish model limitations from data quality issues. Study on estimating invertible functions with minimax analysis.
problem Minimizing risk of estimating invertible functions on a plane.
method Introduce two types of L2-risks, derive lower and upper rates for minimax values, develop an asymptotically almost everywhere invertible estimator. result Invertibility does not reduce the complexity of the estimation problem in terms of the rate.
Rate change calculations in the literature involve deterministic methods that measure the change in premium for a given policy. The definition of rate change as a statistical parameter is proposed to address the stochastic nature of the premium charged for a policy. It promotes the idea that rate change is a property o…
Study provides convergence rates for risk measure estimation.
problem Estimating risk measures from limited data.
method Plug-in estimation using empirical measures.
result Non-asymptotic convergence rates for risk measure estimation.
Paper analyzes faster convergence rates for reinforcement learning from offline data.
problem Analyzing faster convergence rates for reinforcement learning from offline data.
method Fine analysis of reinforcement learning from offline data, providing fast rates for regret convergence.
result The paper provides fast rates for the regret convergence, showing that the level of exponentiation depends on the noise in the decision-making problem.
Estimates target GGM using auxiliary studies with false discovery rate control.
problem Estimating high-dimensional GGMs from related studies.
method Transfer learning with Trans-CLIME and debiased Trans-CLIME estimators.
result Debiased Trans-CLIME estimator provides element-wise asymptotic normality and false discovery rate control.
Paper tackles adversarial attacks on nonparametric regression models.
problem Vulnerability of machine learning models to adversarial attacks in nonparametric regression.
method Establishes minimax rate and proposes adaptive estimators for robust nonparametric regression under adversarial Lq-risks. result Achieves minimax optimality and provides adaptive estimators for robust nonparametric regression.
The paper improves OT map estimation rates without strict assumptions.
problem Estimating optimal transport maps under practical conditions.
method Developed new convergence rates and scalable algorithms.
result Improved convergence rates for OT map estimation without restrictive assumptions.
This work extends diffusion models to handle heavy-tailed targets, improving score estimation and sampling guarantees.
problem Score estimation and sampling guarantees for heavy-tailed targets in diffusion models.
method Kernel density estimation and minimax rates analysis for score estimation and sampling guarantees.
result Sharp minimax rates for score estimation and sampling guarantees for heavy-tailed targets, revealing qualitative differences between exponential and polynomial tails.
Optimally estimates a functional using nuisance function tuning and sample splitting.
problem Estimating optimal rates for a doubly robust functional.
method Combines nuisance function tuning and sample splitting strategies.
result Shows optimal rates of convergence for various estimators.
New method uses random projections to estimate densities and modes efficiently.
problem Estimating densities and modes from sparse representations.
method Expand-and-sparsify representations followed by linear function and mode recovery algorithms.
result Optimal rates for density and mode estimation achieved.
Estimates the rate of convergence of mean curvature flow solutions.
problem Understanding the convergence rate of mean curvature flow solutions.
method Estimates the upper bound of convergence rate to a limit self-similar solution.
result Solutions converging faster than any fixed exponential rate must be shrinkers themselves.
Optimal number of voters for a voting ensemble can be estimated from the distribution of classifier errors.
problem Finding the optimal number of voters for a voting ensemble to minimize error rate.
method Estimate the distribution of classifier errors and infer error rates for different numbers of voters.
result Lower-variance estimates of error rates can be obtained by inferring them for different numbers of voters.
The paper develops a neural network method for estimating drift functions of diffusion processes from discrete observations.
problem Nonparametric estimation of drift function for diffusion processes from high-frequency discrete observations.
method Neural network-based estimator for drift function estimation.
result Derives a non-asymptotic convergence rate for the neural network estimator.
Paper investigates optimal transport map estimation in infinite-dimensional spaces.
problem Estimating optimal transport maps in infinite-dimensional spaces is challenging.
method Characterizes γ-smoothness for optimal transport maps and develops a polynomial-rate estimator. result Shows polynomial-order minimax risk for optimal transport map estimation.
In this paper, we investigate the statistical convergence rate of a Bayesian low-rank tensor estimator. Our problem setting is the regression problem where a tensor structure underlying the data is estimated. This problem setting occurs in many practical applications, such as collaborative filtering, multi-task learnin…
Paper estimates FPR of Bayes classifier using soft labels.
problem Determining optimal classifier performance.
method Uses soft labels and denoising technique.
result Consistent and unbiased FPR estimator developed.
Estimates mean curvature flow with geometric bounds.
problem Controlling mean curvature flow dynamics.
method Pointwise estimate using initial geometry and jHAj bound.
result Extension theorem and blowup rate estimate of HA.
Paper develops a method for estimating PFLM with minimized rates in high dimensions.
problem Estimating PFLM with minimized rates in high dimensions.
method Least square approach with mixed regularizations of function-norm and ℓ1-norm.
result Established optimal minimax rates of estimation for PFLM.
Study nonparametric density estimation via measure transport, achieving optimal rates.
problem Nonparametric density estimation with optimal rates.
method Measure transport, penalized maximum likelihood, and sieved wavelet estimators.
result Achieve minimax optimal convergence rates over Hölder classes of densities.
The paper studies estimation rates for MoE models with a new prompt.
problem Estimating parameters in a softmax-contaminated MoE model.
method Analytic notion of distinguishability, minimax optimal estimation rates.
result Estimation rates are minimax optimal under distinguishability, but slower otherwise.
We establish minimax optimal rates of convergence for estimation in a high dimensional additive model assuming that it is approximately sparse. Our results reveal an interesting phase transition behavior universal to this class of high dimensional problems. In the {\it sparse regime} when the components are sufficientl…
Study exact minimax rates for density estimation over convex classes, extending previous work.
problem Deriving minimax rates for density estimation over convex density classes.
method Building on Le Cam's work, determine exact minimax rates using local metric entropy.
result Exact minimax rates derived for any convex density class, including nonparametric and parametric cases.
We consider the problem of estimating the transition rate matrix of a continuous-time Markov chain from a finite-duration realisation of this process. We approach this problem in an imprecise probabilistic framework, using a set of prior distributions on the unknown transition rate matrix. The resulting estimator is a …