A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
This work gives a simultaneous analysis of both the ordinary least squares estimator and the ridge regression estimator in the random design setting under mild assumptions on the covariate/response distributions. In particular, the analysis provides sharp results on the ``out-of-sample'' prediction error, as opposed to…
Analysis of non-asymptotic estimation error and structured statistical recovery based on norm regularized regression, such as Lasso, needs to consider four aspects: the norm, the loss function, the design matrix, and the noise model. This paper presents generalizations of such estimation error analysis on all four aspe…
Sharp analysis of out-of-distribution error in overparameterized models with importance weights.
problem Understanding and quantifying the degradation of performance in overparameterized models when faced with underrepresented data.
method Sharp analysis of an overparameterized Gaussian mixture model with spurious features and cost-sensitive interpolating solutions incorporating importance weights.
result Characterization of a novel tradeoff between worst-case robustness and average accuracy as a function of importance weight magnitude.
Principal Component Analysis (PCA) is the most common nonparametric method for estimating the volatility structure of Gaussian interest rate models. One major difficulty in the estimation of these models is the fact that forward rate curves are not directly observable from the market so that non-trivial observational e…
While crowdsourcing has become an important means to label data, there is great interest in estimating the ground truth from unreliable labels produced by crowdworkers. The Dawid and Skene (DS) model is one of the most well-known models in the study of crowdsourcing. Despite its practical popularity, theoretical error …
This paper analyzes error feedback in compressed federated learning for non-convex optimization problems.
problem Reducing communication cost in federated learning with biased gradient compression.
method Proposes Fed-EF, a compressed federated learning scheme with error feedback, and analyzes its convergence rate and performance under partial client participation.
result Fed-EF can match the convergence rate of full-precision FL under data heterogeneity with a linear speedup and no extra slow-down factor due to stale error compensation.
In spite of the accomplishments of deep learning based algorithms in numerous applications and very broad corresponding research interest, at the moment there is still no rigorous understanding of the reasons why such algorithms produce useful results in certain situations. A thorough mathematical analysis of deep lear…
A complete error analysis of variational integrators is obtained, by blowing up the discrete variational principles, all of which have a singularity at zero time-step. Divisions by the time step lead to an order that is one less than observed in simulations, a deficit that is repaired with the help of a new past-future…
The paper provides bounds on estimation error in a distributed online learning setting.
problem Estimating an unknown parameter in a distributed and online manner with finite sample guarantees.
method Proposes a distributed online estimation algorithm that improves accuracy through communication, providing non-asymptotic bounds on estimation error.
result Demonstrates a trade-off between estimation error and communication costs, and determines a stopping time for communication based on desired accuracy.
Measurement error in the observed values of the variables can greatly change the output of various causal discovery methods. This problem has received much attention in multiple fields, but it is not clear to what extent the causal model for the measurement-error-free variables can be identified in the presence of meas…
In this paper, we obtain generic bounds on the variances of estimation and prediction errors in time series analysis via an information-theoretic approach. It is seen in general that the error bounds are determined by the conditional entropy of the data point to be estimated or predicted given the side information or p…
This article provides, through theoretical analysis, an in-depth understanding of the classification performance of the empirical risk minimization framework, in both ridge-regularized and unregularized cases, when high dimensional data are considered. Focusing on the fundamental problem of separating a two-class Gauss…
We develop a multilevel approach to compute approximate solutions to backward differential equations (BSDEs). The fully implementable algorithm of our multilevel scheme constructs sequential martingale control variates along a sequence of refining time-grids to reduce statistical approximation errors in an adaptive and…
Recent theoretical work has guaranteed that overparameterized networks trained by gradient descent achieve arbitrarily low training error, and sometimes even low test error. The required width, however, is always polynomial in at least one of the sample size n, the (inverse) target error 1/ε, and the (inverse) fail…