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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

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134268402536 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for equipment anomaly prediction

Unified pipeline predicts equipment anomalies with high precision and reduced false positives.

problem Predicting equipment anomalies before failures using small models.
method Triplet Feature Fusion combining statistical, time-series, and text embeddings.
result Achieves high precision and reduced false positives.

The behaviors of patients with depression are usually difficult to predict because the patients demonstrate the symptoms of a depressive episode without a warning at unexpected times. The goal of this research is to build algorithms that detect signals of such unusual moments so that doctors can be proactive in approac…

2016-03-24abs ↗pdf ↗

Recent semi-supervised anomaly detection methods that are trained using small labeled anomaly examples and large unlabeled data (mostly normal data) have shown largely improved performance over unsupervised methods. However, these methods often focus on fitting abnormalities illustrated by the given anomaly examples on…

2019-10-30abs ↗pdf ↗

Topological anomaly scores predict return curves in S&P 500 stocks

problem Detecting anomalies in financial time series
method BallMapper, decoder-conditional VAE, Function-on-Function regression
result Anomaly history carries predictive content for return curves

Dividing deep learning models for consistent anomaly detection in changing log data.

problem Anomaly detection methods fail when log data types change, leading to false negatives.
method Divide deep learning models based on log data correlation and extract correlations.
result Continues anomaly detection accuracy even when log data changes.

ECAD detects anomalies without data exchangeability, improving traffic flow detection.

problem Detecting anomalies in spatio-temporal data with missing values.
method ECAD uses conformal prediction to wrap around any regression algorithm, controlling Type-I error without data exchangeability.
result ECAD outperforms other methods in detecting anomalous traffic flow.

Mechanical devices such as engines, vehicles, aircrafts, etc., are typically instrumented with numerous sensors to capture the behavior and health of the machine. However, there are often external factors or variables which are not captured by sensors leading to time-series which are inherently unpredictable. For insta…

2016-07-01abs ↗pdf ↗

Anomalies in time-series data give essential and often actionable information in many applications. In this paper we consider a model-free anomaly detection method for univariate time-series which adapts to non-stationarity in the data stream and provides probabilistic abnormality scores based on the conformal predicti…

2017-06-11abs ↗pdf ↗

Anomaly-aware forecast improves accuracy for extreme events.

problem Challenges in automatically detecting and learning from extreme events and anomalies in large-scale datasets.
method Proposes an anomaly-aware forecast framework that automatically detects and incorporates anomalies using an attention mechanism and dynamic uncertainty optimization.
result Demonstrated superior accuracy and reduced uncertainty on three datasets with different types of anomalies.

Status prediction and anomaly detection are two fundamental tasks in automatic IT systems monitoring. In this paper, a joint model Predictor & Anomaly Detector (PAD) is proposed to address these two issues under one framework. In our design, the variational auto-encoder (VAE) and long short-term memory (LSTM) are joine…

2019-10-09abs ↗pdf ↗

AER combines auto-encoder and LSTM for better time series anomaly detection.

problem Anomaly detection in time series data with limited labeled data and ambiguous definitions.
method AER (Auto-Encoder with Regression) integrates auto-encoder and LSTM for joint predictions and reconstructions.
result AER achieves the highest F1 score across 12 datasets with comparable runtime.

Bayesian autoencoders quantify anomaly uncertainty for safer machine learning.

problem Lack of uncertainty quantification in autoencoders for anomaly detection.
method Formulated Bayesian autoencoders to quantify epistemic and aleatoric anomalies.
result Demonstrated effectiveness of BAEs on benchmark and real datasets.

New method detects anomalies in computing centers' logs.

problem Anomaly detection in continuously changing log data for predictive maintenance.
method Evolving granular classifiers using Fuzzy-set-Based evolving Modeling and evolving Granular Neural Network.
result Classification model prioritizes maintenance based on anomaly severity.

CoCAI uses copulas for accurate multivariate time-series forecasting and anomaly detection.

problem Accurate multivariate time-series forecasting and robust anomaly detection.
method Copula-based conformal prediction for multivariate time-series analysis.
result CoCAI provides statistically valid predictive regions and robust anomaly scores.

A modular object in a symmetric monoidal bicategory is a Frobenius algebra object whose product and coproduct are biadjoint, equipped with a braided structure and a compatible twist, satisfying rigidity, ribbon, pivotality, and modularity conditions. We prove that the oriented 3-dimensional bordism bicategory of 1-, 2-…

2014-11-04abs ↗pdf ↗

PPC detects anomalies in high-dimensional data efficiently.

problem Scalability issues and reduced performance with high-dimensional data.
method Probabilistic Predictive Coding (PPC) learns latent representations and predicts uncertainties.
result PPC achieves linear time complexity and high adaptability.

This work builds a sensor graph from DC sensors for anomaly detection.

problem Anomaly detection in data centers with complex sensor relationships.
method Data-driven pipeline (ts2graph) to build a sensor graph from sensor time series.
result Graph neural network (GNN) outperforms existing methods by 2-3 times in anomaly detection.

BayPrAnoMeta tackles few-shot industrial image anomaly detection with Bayesian methods.

problem Challenges in industrial image anomaly detection, especially class imbalance and scarcity of labeled samples.
method Bayesian Proto-MAML approach with probabilistic normality models and Bayesian posterior predictive likelihood.
result Consistent and significant AUROC improvements over existing methods in few-shot anomaly detection.

C-PP-COAD detects anomalies with limited real data, reducing dependency on real calibration data.

problem Limited real calibration data for online anomaly detection.
method Context-aware prediction-powered conformal online anomaly detection (C-PP-COAD).
result Significantly reduces dependency on real calibration data without compromising FDR control.

Ray Singer torsion is a numerical invariant associated with a compact Riemannian manifold equipped with a flat bundle and a Hermitian structure on this bundle. In this note we show how one can remove the dependence on the Riemannian metric and on the Hermitian structure with the help of a base point and of an Euler str…

1998-07-02abs ↗pdf ↗

Develops probabilistic forecasting for Sea Level Anomalies using Conformal Prediction on functional time series.

problem Forecasting and uncertainty quantification for Sea Level Anomalies.
method Functional data analysis, Conformal Prediction, Functional Autoregressive Processes.
result Proposed method provides accurate probabilistic predictions and uncertainty quantification for Sea Level Anomalies.

ReGEN-TAD detects anomalies in financial time series with interpretable models.

problem Detecting anomalies in complex financial time series with high-dimensional data.
method Integrates machine learning with econometric diagnostics in a refined convolutional--transformer architecture.
result Unified anomaly score without labeled data, robust to structured deviations.

CCE improves anomaly detection metrics by measuring both confidence and consistency.

problem Existing anomaly detection metrics lack discriminative power, hyperparameter dependency, and robustness to perturbations.
method CCE uses Bayesian estimation to quantify uncertainty and constructs global and event-level confidence and consistency scores.
result CCE demonstrates strict boundedness, robustness, and linear time complexity.

TimeInf estimates data contribution in time series data, improving model performance and anomaly detection.

problem Estimating data contribution in time series datasets with temporal dependencies.
method Model-agnostic data contribution estimation method using influence scores.
result TimeInf effectively detects time series anomalies and outperforms existing methods.

Bayesian method estimates contamination factor for unsupervised anomaly detection.

problem No good methods for estimating contamination factor in unsupervised anomaly detection.
method Bayesian approach using mixture formulation of anomaly detector outputs.
result Estimated contamination factor distribution is well-calibrated and improves anomaly detection performance.