HySRL improves RL sample efficiency with shifted-dynamics data.
problem Leveraging historical data with shifted dynamics to improve sample efficiency in RL.
method HySRL, a hybrid transfer RL algorithm that uses prior information on dynamics shift to achieve better sample complexity.
result HySRL achieves problem-dependent sample complexity and outperforms pure online RL.
Proposes MSS to identify causal structure from heterogeneous environments.
problem Distribution shifts between environments violate i.i.d. data assumption.
method Sparse mechanism shift hypothesis, score-based approach.
result Identifies entire causal structure with high probability.
New pricing algorithm learns demand curves and optimizes prices in dynamic markets.
problem Dynamic pricing in markets with incomplete demand information and shifting conditions.
method Actor-Critic Information-Directed Pricing (ACIDP) using IDS algorithms and auditing procedures.
result ACIDP outperforms UCB and TS in market environment shifts.
Algorithm learns from offline data to improve performance in target environment.
problem Learning from offline data in a target environment with unknown shifts.
method Adaptive algorithm that uses offline data to improve performance when informative.
result Algorithm provably improves performance over purely online learning when offline data are informative.
SAMPLR optimizes for ground truth in aleatoric parameters to avoid curriculum-induced covariate shift.
problem Curriculum learning shifts training distribution, leading to suboptimal policies in aleatoric settings.
method SAMPLR optimizes ground-truth utility function, avoiding curriculum-induced covariate shift.
result SAMPLR preserves optimality under ground-truth distribution, promoting robustness across various environments.
RIA method improves OoD generalization for covariate shift.
problem Improving out-of-distribution generalization under covariate shift.
method Adversarial label invariant graph data augmentations for OoD generalization.
result RIA method achieves high accuracy compared to OoD baselines.
FADE adapts machine learning models to evolving data efficiently.
problem Sequential covariate shift in dynamic environments.
method FADE uses Fisher information geometry for robust learning under SCS.
result FADE achieves up to 19% higher accuracy under severe shifts.
Detects harmful shifts without labels for model performance.
problem Detecting distribution shifts without access to labels.
method Uses a proxy derived from predictions of an error estimator.
result High power and false alarm control under various shifts.
The paper tackles policy learning in dynamic environments using causal methods.
problem Existing reinforcement learning algorithms assume static mechanisms, but real-world systems often have changing mechanisms.
method The paper introduces multi-environment contextual bandits and policy invariance to handle environmental shifts.
result An optimal invariant policy is guaranteed to generalize across environments under suitable assumptions.
Robust OPE framework uses human inputs to improve policy evaluation in changing environments.
problem Inaccurate policy evaluations due to shifts in environment properties.
method Adapts OPE methods to shifts on user-inputted covariates, providing more realistic utility estimates.
result Robust OPE framework yields less pessimistic policy evaluations and captures realistic dataset shifts.
Safe-DRFS selects features robust to covariate shifts for reliable performance.
problem Feature selection fails in diverse deployment environments.
method Safe-DRFS extends safe screening to distributionally robust settings under covariate shift.
result Safe-DRFS identifies a feature subset encompassing optimal subsets across distribution shifts.
New approach predicts under latent shifts using high-dimensional images.
problem Prediction under latent subgroup shifts with high-dimensional observations.
method Recognition-parametrised model (RPM) for identifying causal latent structure.
result Successfully adapts predictions for high-dimensional image data.
New framework learns sufficient invariant features robustly across distribution shifts.
problem Learning robust models under distribution shifts between training and test datasets.
method Sufficient Invariant Learning (SIL) framework and Adaptive Sharpness-aware Group Distributionally Robust Optimization (ASGDRO) algorithm.
result Empirical evaluations confirm ASGDRO's robustness against distribution shifts.
This paper tackles distribution shift in model-based offline RL, proposing a shifts-aware reward method.
problem Distribution shift challenges model-based offline RL by distorting value estimation and policy optimization.
method The paper disentangles the problem into model bias and policy shift, proposing a shifts-aware reward through probabilistic inference.
result The proposed shifts-aware reward method effectively mitigates distribution shift and improves policy optimization.
Develops a minimax optimal estimator for system stability under distribution shift.
problem Ensuring system reliability under changes in the underlying environment.
method Minimax optimal estimation of stability defined in terms of acceptable performance degradation.
result Characterizes the minimax convergence rate and demonstrates practical utility.
New framework improves model robustness by focusing on stable relations across environments.
problem Standard supervised learning fails under data distribution shift.
method Gradient-based learning framework derived from the principle of independent causal mechanisms (ICM).
result Models generalize well to unseen scenarios, ignoring unstable relations.
New method uses unlabeled data to improve model robustness across different environments.
problem Learning robust models for new, unseen environments when labeled data are scarce.
method Regularizes model sensitivity to perturbations in covariate means and covariances without requiring labels.
result Empirically validated on physical and physiological datasets, demonstrating improved robustness.
Recent interest in the external validity of prediction models (i.e., the problem of different train and test distributions, known as dataset shift) has produced many methods for finding predictive distributions that are invariant to dataset shifts and can be used for prediction in new, unseen environments. However, the…
GALA framework learns invariant graph representations via environment augmentation with minimal assumptions.
problem Learning invariant graph representations from different environments without additional assumptions.
method Developed GALA framework with minimal assumptions of variation sufficiency and consistency. Uses an assistant model to differentiate graph environment changes.
result Extracting maximally invariant subgraphs to proxy predictions identifies underlying invariant subgraphs for successful out-of-distribution generalization.
Paper tackles online label shift in real-world applications.
problem Adapting to changing label distributions in online learning.
method Formulated an unbiased risk estimator and proposed online ensemble algorithms.
result Achieved optimal dynamic regret, indicating adaptability to label shift.
DRSSS method reduces model training costs by eliminating unsafe samples.
problem Reducing storage and training costs for customized models across different environments.
method Combines DR optimization and SSS for covariate shift.
result Models trained on reduced dataset perform similarly to those on full dataset.
Partially performative prediction studies how predictive models influence future data.
problem Distribution shift in predictive models due to endogenous and exogenous factors.
method Generalizing performative prediction to capture both endogenous and exogenous sources of distribution shift.
result Developed online analogues of performative stability and optimality for partially performative environments.
This work introduces a method to attribute model performance drops to distribution shifts.
problem Attributing performance drops of machine learning models to distribution shifts.
method Formulated as a cooperative game, value of a set of distributions is defined as the change in model performance when only that set of distributions changes. Importance weighting method for computing the value of an arbitrary set of distributions is derived. Quantifying the contribution of each distribution as its Shapley value.
result Demonstrated the effectiveness of the method on various case studies.
OpFlow predicts robust OD flows by learning choice potentials conditioned on spatial exposures.
problem Deep models trained on raw counts are vulnerable to distribution shift.
method OpFlow learns row-centered choice potentials and reconstructs flows by combining them with a calibrated origin scale.
result OpFlow improves robustness under environment shifts, as shown by controlled synthetic shifts and a real-world experiment.
Improves robust transfer learning with side information.
problem Addressing environmental shift in MDPs with side information.
method Estimate-centered uncertainty sets with side information integration.
result Improved robust policy with reduced sub-optimality gap.
MIP framework improves urban flow prediction by adapting to distribution shifts.
problem Distribution shifts in urban flow data make prediction models unreliable.
method Memory-enhanced Invariant Prompt learning with learnable memory bank.
result MIP ensures robust predictions by focusing on invariant features.
Shifts in environment between development and deployment cause classical supervised learning to produce models that fail to generalize well to new target distributions. Recently, many solutions which find invariant predictive distributions have been developed. Among these, graph-based approaches do not require data fro…
This paper develops methods for obtaining distribution-free prediction regions for invariant representations.
problem Distributional shifts in machine learning models.
method Invariant risk minimization and weighted conformity scores.
result Proves the effectiveness of adaptive conformal intervals for uncertainty estimation.
Study addresses RTB model performance drops due to distribution shifts.
problem Distribution shifts between training and target environments in RTB markets.
method Applies Exponential Tilt Reweighting Alignment (ExTRA) algorithm to estimate and correct model weights.
result Demonstrates improved RTB model performance using ExTRA algorithm.
We solve continuous-time latent SDE identifiability using diffusion shifts.
problem Identifiability of latent SDEs in continuous-time time series.
method Environment-induced shifts in diffusion covariance for additive-noise latent SDEs.
result Two diagonal diffusion regimes with distinct variance ratios identify latent coordinates up to permutation and scaling.
ISL improves causal structure learning with invariant structures across different environments.
problem Improving causal structure discovery for better generalization and explainability.
method ISL splits data into environments, learns invariant structures, and selects optimal classifiers based on graph structures.
result ISL accurately discovers causal structures and outperforms alternative methods on synthetic and real-world datasets.
New framework for robust reinforcement learning policies in uncertain environments.
problem Robust reinforcement learning policies in environments with distributional shifts.
method Comprehensive modeling framework centered around robust Markov decision processes (RMDPs).
result Existence and conditions for the dynamic programming principle (DPP) in RMDPs.
This work bridges offline RL and DRL to address distributional shift.
problem Distributional shift in offline RL due to difference in state-action visitation distributions.
method Proposes offline RL algorithms using DRL framework, characterizes sample complexity under single policy concentrability.
result Demonstrates superior performance of proposed algorithms through simulations.
New algorithms learn robust policies from shifted distributions.
problem Learning robust policies in environments with distributional shifts.
method Two novel model-free algorithms: distributionally robust Q-learning and variance-reduced distributionally robust Q-learning.
result Achieves minimax sample complexity upper bound of ildeO(∣S∣∣A∣(1−γ)−4ε−2). Predictive models can fail to generalize from training to deployment environments because of dataset shift, posing a threat to model reliability and the safety of downstream decisions made in practice. Instead of using samples from the target distribution to reactively correct dataset shift, we use graphical knowledge …
Bayesian framework improves uncertainty estimates under covariate shifts.
problem Neural networks' unreliable uncertainty estimates under covariate shifts.
method Adaptive prior conditioned on training and new covariates, amortized variational inference.
result Significantly improved uncertainty estimates under distribution shifts.
ReOPD uses pre-collected teacher trajectories to distill knowledge from multi-turn interactions.
problem The cost of fully online on-policy distillation for multi-turn interactions.
method ReOPD, an off-environment alternative that reuses pre-collected teacher trajectories as replayed prefixes, addressing the prefix trap and distribution shift.
result ReOPD preserves or improves OPD-level accuracy, uses zero tool calls, and is at least 4imes faster per training step. The paper proposes a machine learning framework for portfolio optimization with limited data.
problem Low data environments and regime uncertainty in portfolio optimization.
method A teacher-student learning pipeline with CVaR optimizer generating supervisory labels and neural models trained on real and synthetic data.
result Student models can match or outperform the CVaR teacher and achieve improved robustness under regime shifts.
We identify which latent factors change between environments in linear causal models.
problem Identify latent factors that change between environments in linear causal models with fewer than d interventions. method Propose a method to identify shifted nodes in a smaller number of environments with coarser interventions.
result It is possible to identify the set of shifted nodes under mild assumptions.
New method reduces regret in nonparametric bandits with unknown covariate shifts.
problem Optimal actions depend on context, but context distributions can change over time.
method Derives new regret bounds for nonparametric bandits under covariate shifts.
result Regret bounds adaptively attainable without knowledge of shift time or magnitude.
Policy shifts between Trump and Biden impact ESG investments, creating volatility.
problem Dramatic policy shifts between Trump and Biden administrations affect ESG investments.
method Analyzes contrasting policies of Trump and Biden administrations and their impacts on ESG investments.
result Policy changes significantly influence ESG investments, leading to volatility and portfolio reassessment.
Stable health predictions need deconfounding test set features.
problem Stability of predictions in health machine learning is compromised by selection biases.
method Deconfounding the test set features improves prediction stability across different environments.
result Improved stability achieved by deconfounding test set features.
It is difficult to be able to imitate well in unknown states from a small amount of expert data and sampling data. Supervised learning methods such as Behavioral Cloning do not require sampling data, but usually suffer from distribution shift. The methods based on reinforcement learning, such as inverse reinforcement l…
ShapShift explains shifts in model predictions due to data distribution changes.
problem Prediction shifts caused by changes in input distribution.
method Subgroup Conditional Shapley Values applied to decision trees and ensembles.
result Simple, faithful, and near-complete explanations of prediction shifts across model classes.
New method robust to random distributional shifts in prediction.
problem Random distributional shifts in real-world settings.
method Hybrid approach combining long-term and proxy outcomes.
result Hybrid approach yields lower mean-squared error than current methods.
Paper tackles distribution shifts in prediction models with unobserved confounding.
problem Distribution shifts in prediction models with unobserved confounding.
method Linear structural causal model, invariant covariate representations, data-driven representation learning method.
result Optimizes for a lower-dimensional linear subspace and a prediction model confined to that subspace, achieving nearly ideal gap between target and source risk.
New methods adapt conformal prediction to unknown subpopulation shifts.
problem Failure of conformal prediction under unknown subpopulation shifts.
method Proposes new methods that adapt conformal prediction to unknown subpopulation shifts without explicit subpopulation labels.
result Ensures valid coverage guarantees without explicit knowledge of subpopulation structure.
Optimization in the presence of sharp (non-Lipschitz), unpredictable (w.r.t. time and amount) changes is a challenging and largely unexplored problem of great significance. We consider the class of piecewise Lipschitz functions, which is the most general online setting considered in the literature for the problem, and …