Research
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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,657 papers · 148 categories

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130260390520 · May 202619922001200920172026
48 results for ensemble-based framework

Proposes a three-stage debiasing framework to improve out-of-distribution accuracy.

problem Inaccurate uncertainty estimations in bias-only models damage ensemble-based debiasing performance.
method Calibrates the bias-only model to improve its uncertainty estimations, creating a three-stage ensemble-based debiasing framework.
result The three-stage debiasing framework consistently outperforms traditional methods in out-of-distribution accuracy.

Enhances optimization and sampling methods using ensemble-based gradient inference.

problem Improving ensemble-based methods for optimization and sampling.
method Ensemble-based gradient inference (EGI) to extract higher-order derivatives from particle ensembles.
result Augmented algorithms outperform gradient-free variants, especially in multimodal and non-Gaussian settings.

This research tackles uncertainty in gradient boosting models using ensemble methods.

problem Quantifying uncertainty in gradient boosting models for high-risk applications.
method Probabilistic ensemble-based framework for gradient boosting classification and regression models.
result Ensembles of gradient boosting models detect anomalous inputs but have limited ability to improve total uncertainty.

The study investigates kernel-target alignment in tree ensemble kernels.

problem The degree of kernel-target alignment affects the performance of tree ensemble kernels in kernel learning.
method Eigenanalysis of the kernel matrix and sensitivity analysis via landmark learning.
result Good performance of tree ensemble kernels is associated with strong kernel-target alignment.

A new ensemble model uses simple hyper-rectangles to improve gradient boosting machine performance.

problem Improving gradient boosting machine performance and avoiding overfitting.
method Proposes a new ensemble model with axis-parallel hyper-rectangles as base models, integrates into GBM, and uses SHAP for interpretation.
result GBM with HRBMs can be an effective and interpretable model for regression and classification problems.

Tree ensembles like RF and GBT can be seen as kernels, improving regression and classification performance.

problem Improving kernel methods for tree ensemble based models.
method Investigation of RF and GBT kernels in simulation and real data.
result RF and GBT kernels are competitive to their respective ensembles in higher dimensions, particularly with noisy features.

Ens-CGP synthesizes ensemble-based inference with Gaussian processes.

problem Ensemble-based inference and Gaussian process modeling.
method Formulates Ens-CGP as a conditional Gaussian process for ensemble moments.
result Ens-CGP provides a unified probabilistic foundation for Kalman-type methods.

Deep learning for supervised learning has achieved astonishing performance in various machine learning applications. However, annotated data is expensive and rare. In practice, only a small portion of data samples are annotated. Pseudo-ensembling-based approaches have achieved state-of-the-art results in computer visio…

2019-02-11abs ↗pdf ↗

Gradient-free framework for Bayesian experimental design in complex systems.

problem Optimal experimental design in systems where gradient information is unavailable.
method Combines EKI and ALDI for optimization and sampling, with approximations for scalable utility estimation.
result Demonstrates robust, accurate, and efficient experimental design in various complex systems.

SurvBESA predicts survival times using ensemble methods with self-attention.

problem Challenges in survival analysis due to censored data and unstable predictions.
method SurvBESA combines Beran estimators with a self-attention mechanism to predict survival times.
result SurvBESA outperforms state-of-the-art models in predicting survival times.

Combines deep generative models with ensemble methods for subsurface property estimation.

problem Estimating spatially distributed subsurface properties from sparse measurements.
method Wasserstein Generative Adversarial Network (WGAN-GP) and Ensemble Smoother with Multiple Data Assimilation (ES-MDA).
result The proposed method outperforms variational inversion methods, especially for channelized and fractured fields.

Uncertainty estimation is important for ensuring safety and robustness of AI systems. While most research in the area has focused on un-structured prediction tasks, limited work has investigated general uncertainty estimation approaches for structured prediction. Thus, this work aims to investigate uncertainty estimati…

2020-02-18abs ↗pdf ↗

A novel one-class classifier fusion method for robust anomaly detection.

problem Fundamental challenges in ensemble-based anomaly detection.
method Locally adaptive learning with dynamic ℓp-norm constraints and interior-point optimization.
result Significantly improved computational efficiency and superior performance across diverse anomaly types.

Surrogate models improve tidal model calibration efficiency.

problem Efficiently calibrate complex tidal models for climate change scenarios.
method Proposes two surrogate-based methods to replace complex models: PODEn3DVAR and POD-PCE-3DVAR.
result Both methods show superior convergence and robustness to noise compared to classical 3DVAR.

Study improves Bayesian optimisation with ensemble transfer learning.

problem Improving sample efficiency in Bayesian optimisation of expensive functions.
method Empirical analysis of ensemble-based transfer learning methods and pipeline components.
result Two components (warm start initialisation and positive weight constraint) improve transfer learning Bayesian optimisation performance.

As data streams become more prevalent, the necessity for online algorithms that mine this transient and dynamic data becomes clearer. Multi-label data stream classification is a supervised learning problem where each instance in the data stream is classified into one or more pre-defined sets of labels. Many methods hav…

2018-09-26abs ↗pdf ↗

ERAPS builds prediction sets for time-series data.

problem Uncertainty quantification in complex machine learning methods for time-series data.
method ERAPS is an ensemble-based framework for constructing prediction sets for time-series data, allowing unknown dependencies within features and responses.
result ERAPS demonstrates valid marginal and conditional coverage and yields smaller prediction sets than competing methods.

Develops a neural framework for probabilistic forecasting of dynamical systems.

problem Uncertainty quantification in dynamical systems using trajectory-oriented approaches.
method D2D neural probabilistic forecasting framework using kernel mean embeddings and mixture density networks.
result The D2D model captures distributional evolution in chaotic systems and produces skillful probabilistic forecasts.

This research improves neural network uncertainty estimates and reliability.

problem Lack of inherent uncertainty estimates and variability in softmax scores.
method Ensemble-based Dirichlet modeling with method of moments estimator.
result Improved stability and predictive uncertainty estimates.

Topological entropy measures the number of distinguishable orbits in a dynamical system, thereby quantifying the complexity of chaotic dynamics. One approach to computing topological entropy in a two-dimensional space is to analyze the collective motion of an ensemble of system trajectories taking into account how traj…

2018-08-30abs ↗pdf ↗

We present a novel framework of knowledge distillation that is capable of learning powerful and efficient student models from ensemble teacher networks. Our approach addresses the inherent model capacity issue between teacher and student and aims to maximize benefit from teacher models during distillation by reducing t…

2019-11-29abs ↗pdf ↗

We propose an empirical measure of the approximate accuracy of feature importance estimates in deep neural networks. Our results across several large-scale image classification datasets show that many popular interpretability methods produce estimates of feature importance that are not better than a random designation …

2018-06-28abs ↗pdf ↗

Collaborative filtering is an important technique for recommendation. Whereas it has been repeatedly shown to be effective in previous work, its performance remains unsatisfactory in many real-world applications, especially those where the items or users are highly diverse. In this paper, we explore an ensemble-based f…

2018-06-26abs ↗pdf ↗

Auto-encoding is an important task which is typically realized by deep neural networks (DNNs) such as convolutional neural networks (CNN). In this paper, we propose EncoderForest (abbrv. eForest), the first tree ensemble based auto-encoder. We present a procedure for enabling forests to do backward reconstruction by ut…

2017-09-26abs ↗pdf ↗

CLS measures dataset similarity through decision rule performance.

problem Measuring dataset similarity in machine learning, especially for transfer learning and domain adaptation.
method Cross-Learning Score (CLS) measures similarity through bidirectional generalization performance of decision rules, linking to cosine similarity under canonical linear models.
result CLS effectively measures dataset similarity and transferability, validated on synthetic and real-world datasets.

Power plant is a complex and nonstationary system for which the traditional machine learning modeling approaches fall short of expectations. The ensemble-based online learning methods provide an effective way to continuously learn from the dynamic environment and autonomously update models to respond to environmental c…

2017-10-19abs ↗pdf ↗

Ensemble++ uses shared-factor ensembles to scale Thompson Sampling for linear and nonlinear bandits.

problem Computational challenges in Thompson Sampling for large-scale or non-conjugate settings.
method Ensemble++ with shared-factor architecture and random linear combinations.
result Ensemble++ achieves comparable regret to exact Thompson Sampling with significantly smaller ensemble sizes.

HOoD detects near-out-of-distribution groups in correlated biomedical assays.

problem Detecting near-out-of-distribution cases in biased or incomplete data.
method Projects correlated measurements through a trained model and uses permutation-based hypothesis tests.
result HOoD reliably identifies OoD groups, outperforming other detectors.

SUNRISE improves off-policy RL algorithms by integrating ensemble methods.

problem Stability and exploration issues in off-policy RL algorithms.
method SUNRISE combines ensemble-based weighted Bellman backups and upper-confidence bounds for efficient exploration.
result SUNRISE improves the performance of off-policy RL algorithms across various domains.

Multi-label classification has attracted an increasing amount of attention in recent years. To this end, many algorithms have been developed to classify multi-label data in an effective manner. However, they usually do not consider the pairwise relations indicated by sample labels, which actually play important roles i…

2014-03-08abs ↗pdf ↗