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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

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70139209278 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for ensemble selection

Suppose some classifiers are selected from a set of hypothesis classifiers to form an equally-weighted ensemble that selects a member classifier at random for each input example. Then the ensemble has an error bound consisting of the average error bound for the member classifiers, a term for selectivity that varies fro…

2016-10-04abs ↗pdf ↗

A new method selects models for ensemble learning to maximize mutual information, outperforming existing approaches.

problem Selecting models for ensemble learning to improve performance and reduce correlation issues.
method Formulate budgeted ensemble selection as maximizing mutual information, use Gaussian-copula to model correlated errors, propose a greedy mutual-information selection algorithm.
result Our method consistently outperforms strong baselines across multiple datasets.

An ensemble technique is characterized by the mechanism that generates the components and by the mechanism that combines them. A common way to achieve the consensus is to enable each component to equally participate in the aggregation process. A problem with this approach is that poor components are likely to negativel…

2018-04-17abs ↗pdf ↗

In this article, we advocate the ensemble approach for variable selection. We point out that the stochastic mechanism used to generate the variable-selection ensemble (VSE) must be picked with care. We construct a VSE using a stochastic stepwise algorithm, and compare its performance with numerous state-of-the-art algo…

2010-03-30abs ↗pdf ↗

In the context of variable selection, ensemble learning has gained increasing interest due to its great potential to improve selection accuracy and to reduce false discovery rate. A novel ordering-based selective ensemble learning strategy is designed in this paper to obtain smaller but more accurate ensembles. In part…

2017-04-26abs ↗pdf ↗

SEERL uses ensemble methods to improve reinforcement learning efficiency.

problem High sample complexity and computational expense in reinforcement learning.
method Directed perturbation of model parameters to learn diverse policies, selection of an adequately diverse set of policies.
result Our approach outperforms state-of-the-art scores in Atari 2600 and Mujoco.

The motivation of this work is to improve the performance of standard stacking approaches or ensembles, which are composed of simple, heterogeneous base models, through the integration of the generation and selection stages for regression problems. We propose two extensions to the standard stacking approach. In the fir…

2014-03-28abs ↗pdf ↗

In unsupervised outlier ensembles, the absence of ground truth makes the combination of base outlier detectors a challenging task. Specifically, existing parallel outlier ensembles lack a reliable way of selecting competent base detectors, affecting accuracy and stability, during model combination. In this paper, we pr…

2018-12-04abs ↗pdf ↗

Optimal number of voters for a voting ensemble can be estimated from the distribution of classifier errors.

problem Finding the optimal number of voters for a voting ensemble to minimize error rate.
method Estimate the distribution of classifier errors and infer error rates for different numbers of voters.
result Lower-variance estimates of error rates can be obtained by inferring them for different numbers of voters.

Variable selection for high-dimensional linear models has received a lot of attention lately, mostly in the context of l1-regularization. Part of the attraction is the variable selection effect: parsimonious models are obtained, which are very suitable for interpretation. In terms of predictive power, however, these re…

2009-06-19abs ↗pdf ↗

An ensemble method enhances cryptocurrency trading strategies using deep reinforcement learning.

problem Improving generalization performance in stochastic cryptocurrency trading environments.
method Model selection and mixture distribution policy to ensemble deep reinforcement learning models.
result Improved out-of-sample performance compared to benchmarks.

Proposes an ensemble framework for outlier detection with embedded feature selection.

problem Improving performance of outlier detection in noisy data.
method Unified feature selection and outlier detection, thresholded self-paced learning, alternate algorithm.
result The proposed framework ODEFS outperforms existing methods on real-world datasets.

Paper introduces WWAggr for ensemble CPD, improving accuracy and decision threshold selection.

problem Challenges in detecting abrupt distribution shifts in high-dimensional data streams.
method Introduces WWAggr, a novel task-specific ensemble aggregation method based on Wasserstein distance.
result Demonstrates WWAggr outperforms standard aggregation techniques and decision threshold selection.

Study compares single vs ensemble feature selection for cancer diagnosis.

problem Identifying relevant variables for cancer diagnosis and prognosis.
method Comparison of single feature selection algorithms and ensemble of diverse algorithms.
result Ensemble approach did not improve predictive performance over individual algorithms.

One of the most tedious tasks in the application of machine learning is model selection, i.e. hyperparameter selection. Fortunately, recent progress has been made in the automation of this process, through the use of sequential model-based optimization (SMBO) methods. This can be used to optimize a cross-validation per…

2014-02-04abs ↗pdf ↗

Ensemble learning that can be used to combine the predictions from multiple learners has been widely applied in pattern recognition, and has been reported to be more robust and accurate than the individual learners. This ensemble logic has recently also been more applied in feature selection. There are basically two st…

2018-11-19abs ↗pdf ↗

Three adaptive methods improve financial forecasting and portfolio management.

problem Improving financial forecasting and portfolio management in volatile markets.
method Dynamic Model Selection (DMS), Adaptive Ensemble (AE), Dynamic Asset Allocation (DAA).
result Adaptive methods outperform long-only benchmarks in US market returns.

Best-of-\infty improves LLM performance by efficiently allocating inference-time computation.

problem Achieving optimal performance in test-time LLM ensembling with infinite budget.
method Adaptive generation scheme and weighted ensembles of LLMs, formulated as mixed-integer linear program.
result Optimal ensemble weighting improves performance over individual models.

Unified framework for selecting variables with uncertainty quantification.

problem Uncertainty in nonlinear variable selection for various models.
method Develops a unified framework using integrated partial derivatives for quantifying variable importance and uncertainty.
result The approach provides a principled method for quantifying variable selection uncertainty and is generalizable to non-differentiable models.

Dynamic ensemble selection systems work by estimating the level of competence of each classifier from a pool of classifiers. Only the most competent ones are selected to classify a given test sample. This is achieved by defining a criterion to measure the level of competence of a base classifier, such as, its accuracy …

2018-09-30abs ↗pdf ↗

Ensembles of classifier models typically deliver superior performance and can outperform single classifier models given a dataset and classification task at hand. However, the gain in performance comes together with the lack in comprehensibility, posing a challenge to understand how each model affects the classificatio…

2017-10-19abs ↗pdf ↗

DCSO dynamically selects top-performing base detectors for outlier ensembles.

problem Challenges in selecting and combining outlier scores from different detectors.
method DCSO dynamically selects top-performing base detectors based on local k-nearest neighbors.
result DCSO provides consistent performance improvement over static combination approaches.

Multi-objective optimization for hyperparameters and features.

problem Optimizing hyperparameters and selecting features for machine learning models.
method Two approaches: model-based optimization and NSGA-II-based wrapper approach using filter ensembles.
result NSGA-II approach is computationally less expensive but may require more evaluations.

Optimal survival trees ensemble reduces tree count and improves predictive performance.

problem Improving predictive performance in survival analysis.
method Grows a forest of optimal survival trees by ranking and selecting the best trees based on out-of-bag error.
result Reduces the number of trees in the ensemble while improving predictive performance.

Unified framework for portfolio optimization using multiple hypotheses.

problem Risk diversification in portfolio allocation.
method Structured ensemble learning approach with diversity control.
result Structured ensembles link predictor diversity to risk diversification.

In this paper we quantitatively investigate the statistical properties of an ensemble of {\it stock prices}. We selected 1200 stocks traded in the Tokyo Stock Exchange and formed a statistical ensemble of daily stock prices for each trading day in the 5 year period from January 4, 1988 to December 30, 1992. We found th…

2003-12-16abs ↗pdf ↗

Tree ensembles such as random forests and boosted trees are accurate but difficult to understand, debug and deploy. In this work, we provide the inTrees (interpretable trees) framework that extracts, measures, prunes and selects rules from a tree ensemble, and calculates frequent variable interactions. An rule-based le…

2014-08-23abs ↗pdf ↗