Ensemble learning improves anomaly detection for milder symptoms.
problem Difficulty in detecting incipient anomalies due to similarity to normal conditions.
method Utilize uncertainty information from ensemble learning to identify misclassified incipient anomalies.
result Ensemble learning methods show improved performance on incipient anomaly detection.
Ensemble models struggle with detecting mild faults.
problem Difficulty in detecting Intermediate-Severity faults due to their resemblance to normal conditions.
method Extensive experiments with ensemble models to identify and address common pitfalls.
result Designing more effective ensemble models for IS fault detection and diagnosis.
Extends spectral number variance convergence to random matrix ensembles for twisted Laplacians.
problem Spectral number variance convergence for twisted Laplacians and Dirac operators.
method Extends Rudnick's approach to Gaussian ensembles for twisted Laplacians and Dirac operators.
result Convergence to Gaussian ensembles for twisted Laplacians and Dirac operators.
Improved anomaly detection for incipient faults using ensemble learning.
problem Difficulty in detecting milder anomalies due to similarity to normal conditions.
method Utilize uncertainty information from ensemble learning to identify misclassified incipient anomalies.
result Ensemble learning improves performance on incipient anomaly detection.
BI-EqNO improves Bayesian inference with flexible neural operators.
problem Inaccurate estimation of marginal likelihoods in approximate Bayesian methods.
method Equivariant neural operator framework for generalized approximate Bayesian inference.
result BI-EqNO enhances both deterministic and stochastic approaches to Bayesian inference.
New methods improve tree ensemble models by compressing them while maintaining accuracy.
problem Theoretical understanding and practical compression of tree ensembles like random forests and gradient boosting machines.
method Spectral perspective on tree ensembles, deriving minimax rates and developing compression schemes.
result Leading eigenfunctions/singular vectors capture dominant predictive directions, leading to smaller, competitive models.
Study symmetry breaking in quantum mechanics to understand many-body physics.
problem Understanding many-body physics from quantum mechanics.
method Analyzing potentials with unstable critical points and local minima.
result Emergence of many-body physics from spontaneous symmetry breaking.
Embedded ensembles improve neural network performance efficiently.
problem Improving neural network performance with fewer resources.
method Analyzing the wide network limit of gradient descent dynamics using Neural-Tangent-Kernel.
result Embedded ensembles exhibit two regimes: independent and collective, affecting performance.
Ensemble learning is a powerful paradigm that has been usedin the top state-of-the-art machine learning methods like Random Forestsand XGBoost. Inspired by the success of such methods, we have devel-oped a new Genetic Programming method called Ensemble GP. The evo-lutionary cycle of Ensemble GP follows the same steps a…
It is common that a trained classification model is applied to the operating data that is deviated from the training data because of noise. This paper demonstrates that an ensemble classifier, Diversified Multiple Tree (DMT), is more robust in classifying noisy data than other widely used ensemble methods. DMT is teste…
Study finds Calabi-Yau models' operator spectra match random matrix theory.
problem Understanding spectra of Calabi-Yau sigma models.
method Numerical methods for Ricci-flat metrics, averaging over complex structure moduli space.
result Spectrum matches Gaussian orthogonal ensemble of random matrix theory.
Packed-Ensembles improve uncertainty estimation in constrained hardware.
problem Hardware limitations restrict the size of ensembles and network capacity, degrading performance.
method Packed-Ensembles (PE) design and train lightweight structured ensembles by modulating encoding space and parallelizing into a single backbone.
result PE accurately preserves diversity and maintains performance on key metrics like accuracy, calibration, and out-of-distribution detection.
Power plant is a complex and nonstationary system for which the traditional machine learning modeling approaches fall short of expectations. The ensemble-based online learning methods provide an effective way to continuously learn from the dynamic environment and autonomously update models to respond to environmental c…
Neural networks learn from ensemble forecasts without considering their order.
problem Improving reliability of probabilistic weather forecasts.
method Permutation-invariant neural networks for postprocessing ensemble forecasts.
result Models achieve state-of-the-art prediction quality in surface temperature and wind gust forecasts.
Proposes a new method for nonlinear Bayesian updates using ensemble kernel regression.
problem Nonlinear and non-Gaussian Bayesian updates for complex systems.
method Combines Kalman filtering for observed components and kernel density estimation for unobserved components, with subsampling and clustering.
result Reduces estimation errors in highly nonlinear scenarios compared to standard linear updates.
In this paper we present a technique for using the bootstrap to estimate the operating characteristics and their variability for certain types of ensemble methods. Bootstrapping a model can require a huge amount of work if the training data set is large. Fortunately in many cases the technique lets us determine the eff…
We present a novel method - LIBRE - to learn an interpretable classifier, which materializes as a set of Boolean rules. LIBRE uses an ensemble of bottom-up weak learners operating on a random subset of features, which allows for the learning of rules that generalize well on unseen data even in imbalanced settings. Weak…
New method improves wind and solar energy forecasts by 48 hours.
problem Volatility of wind and solar energy makes accurate forecasts difficult.
method Two-step machine learning approach to calibrate ensemble forecasts.
result Statistical post-processing improves forecast skill by at least 48 hours.
New method for efficient uncertainty quantification in DeepONets.
problem Efficient uncertainty quantification for DeepONets with limited and noisy data.
method Ensemble Kalman Inversion (EKI) for ensembles of DeepONets.
result Improved uncertainty estimates for DeepONet predictions.
Enhances fairness in predictions without sacrificing accuracy.
problem Balancing fairness and predictive performance in machine learning.
method Model ensemble-based post-processing framework.
result Framework effectively enhances fairness while maintaining predictive accuracy.
This paper introduces TNTK to study infinite soft tree ensembles.
problem Understanding the behavior of infinite soft tree ensembles.
method Introduced Tree Neural Tangent Kernel (TNTK) to analyze infinite soft tree ensembles.
result Identified several non-trivial properties of infinite soft tree ensembles.
AI-assisted framework detects and predicts rare extreme events.
problem Detecting rare extreme events in complex systems.
method Combining BED with DNOs for active learning and forecasting.
result Framework outperforms GPs and uncovers extremes without initial data.
This paper develops a new theory for ensemble learning beyond variance reduction.
problem Ensemble learning's effectiveness for stable estimators is not fully explained by variance reduction.
method Develops a general weighting theory for ensemble learning, formalizing ensembles as linear operators and introducing geometric and spectral constraints.
result Structured weights can outperform uniform averaging by reshaping approximation geometry and redistributing spectral complexity.
Improved wind speed forecasts for power generation using machine learning.
problem Improving the accuracy and reliability of wind speed predictions for power generation.
method A novel machine learning approach for calibrating wind speed ensemble forecasts.
result The proposed method improves the calibration and accuracy of probabilistic and point forecasts.
Stein variational neural network ensembles improve diversity and uncertainty estimation.
problem Lack of proper Bayesian justification and diversity guarantees in deep neural network ensembles.
method Particle-based inference methods, specifically Stein variational gradient descent (SVGD), operating in weight space, function space, and hybrid settings.
result SVGD methods improve diversity and uncertainty estimation, approaching the true Bayesian posterior more closely.
Quantum algorithm improves ensemble classification with reduced memory and time requirements.
problem High memory and computational time requirements in ensemble methods.
method Quantum superposition, entanglement, and interference to build an ensemble of classification models.
result Exponential growth of ensemble size with linear increase in depth of circuit.
Enhanced ensemble filters use machine learning to improve accuracy in filtering models.
problem Accuracy limitations of traditional ensemble Kalman filters.
method Introduces a measure neural mapping (MNM) to map joint predicted state and observation to updated state estimates.
result Superior root-mean-square-error performance compared to leading methods in filtering models.
Generative model emulates climate model for 100-year forecasts.
problem Challenges in accurately simulating long-term climate data.
method Integrates DYffusion with SFNO for stable, accurate climate simulations.
result Achieves near gold-standard performance for climate model emulation.
New method models aptamer libraries as Boltzmann-weighted graph ensembles for better affinity predictions.
problem Anomalous candidates in SELEX datasets obscure true aptamer-ligand affinity.
method Boltzmann graph ensemble embeddings for thermodynamically parameterized exponential-family random graphs.
result Proposed embedding enables robust community detection and subgraph-level explanations for aptamer ligand affinity.
We present a method of discovering governing differential equations from data without the need to specify a priori the terms to appear in the equation. The input to our method is a dataset (or ensemble of datasets) corresponding to a particular solution (or ensemble of particular solutions) of a differential equation. …
In recent years, multi-label classification problem has become a controversial issue. In this kind of classification, each sample is associated with a set of class labels. Ensemble approaches are supervised learning algorithms in which an operator takes a number of learning algorithms, namely base-level algorithms and …
Unified framework for ensemble transport-based smoothing of non-Gaussian time series.
problem Bayesian time series re-analysis with non-Gaussian distributions.
method Measure transport approach to derive consistent prior-to-posterior transformations.
result General ensemble framework for transport-based smoothing of state-space models.
A new framework for recycling Gaussian process approximations.
problem Efficiently combining multiple Gaussian process approximations.
method Construct variational ensembles using a dictionary of fitted Gaussian processes.
result Framework allows for various tasks and scalability.
The paper analyzes the bias-variance tradeoff for Bregman divergences.
problem Understanding the bias-variance tradeoff for Bregman divergences.
method Analyzes the bias-variance tradeoff through operations in dual space.
result Derives several results including a generalized law of total variance and ensembling operations.
CNN improves medium-range temperature forecasts with limited resources.
problem Limited computational resources for high-resolution temperature forecasts.
method CNN post-processing with ensemble NWP models for bias correction and spatial downscaling.
result High-resolution (5-km) surface temperature forecasts with lead times up to 5.5 days.
Metrics assess uncertainty structure and distribution for regression models.
problem Quantifying uncertainty in high-dimensional and nonlinear regression tasks.
method Two bounded comparison metrics for uncertainty structure and distribution.
result DNNs and DNOs provide encouraging uncertainty metric values in high dimensions.
Recently, some works have suggested methods to combine variational probabilistic inference with Monte Carlo sampling. One promising approach is via local optimal transport. In this approach, a gradient steepest descent method based on local optimal transport principles is formulated to transform deterministically point…
Graph Prolongation Convolutional Networks improve model performance in microtubule bending simulations.
problem Improving prediction accuracy in coarse-grained mechanochemical simulations of microtubule bending.
method Defines a novel ensemble Graph Convolutional Network model using optimized linear projection operators to map between graph scales.
result Graph Prolongation-Convolutional Network outperforms other GCN ensemble models in predicting microtubule bending potential energy.
Study compares machine learning methods for improving wind gust forecasts.
problem Improving accuracy of wind gust forecasts from ensemble models.
method Comprehensive comparison of 8 statistical and machine learning methods.
result Locally adaptive neural networks significantly outperform other methods.
Data mining methods have been widely applied in financial markets, with the purpose of providing suitable tools for prices forecasting and automatic trading. Particularly, learning methods aim to identify patterns in time series and, based on such patterns, to recommend buy/sell operations. The objective of this work i…
We propose a generalized class of multimodal fusion operators for the task of visual question answering (VQA). We identify generalizations of existing multimodal fusion operators based on the Hadamard product, and show that specific non-trivial instantiations of this generalized fusion operator exhibit superior perform…
Recent advances in deep learning have facilitated the demand of neural models for real applications. In practice, these applications often need to be deployed with limited resources while keeping high accuracy. This paper touches the core of neural models in NLP, word embeddings, and presents a new embedding distillati…
Gas demand is made of three components: Residential, Industrial, and Thermoelectric Gas Demand. Herein, the one-day-ahead prediction of each component is studied, using Italian data as a case study. Statistical properties and relationships with temperature are discussed, as a preliminary step for an effective feature s…
Paper distills ensemble ENSO forecasts into simpler models for better diagnostics.
problem Interpreting complex ensemble ENSO forecasts.
method Aggregates eSPA ensemble members that correctly predict ENSO phase.
result Compact distilled models maintain forecast performance and enable diagnostics.
The paper analyzes the risk of bagging regularized M-estimators under proportional asymptotics.
problem Characterizing the risk of ensemble estimators trained with subsamples and regularizers.
method Developed a consistent estimator for the risk of ensemble estimators under proportional asymptotics.
result Optimal subsample size k⋆ tends to be in the overparameterized regime for the full-ensemble estimator. The World Health Organization (WHO) reported 1.25 million deaths yearly due to road traffic accidents worldwide and the number has been continuously increasing over the last few years. Nearly fifth of these accidents are caused by distracted drivers. Existing work of distracted driver detection is concerned with a smal…
Tree ensemble method tackles multi-objective constrained optimization in energy systems.
problem Complex, multi-objective, and constrained optimization problems in energy systems.
method Data-driven tree ensemble approach for black-box problems with heterogeneous variable spaces.
result Competitive performance and sampling efficiency compared to state-of-the-art tools.
Binary neural networks (BNN) have been studied extensively since they run dramatically faster at lower memory and power consumption than floating-point networks, thanks to the efficiency of bit operations. However, contemporary BNNs whose weights and activations are both single bits suffer from severe accuracy degradat…