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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

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12.5%25.0%37.5%50.0% · Dec 199319922001200920172026
48 results for ensemble Kalman methods

Paper analyzes ensemble Kalman updates for effective dimension and localization.

problem Why small ensemble sizes work well in inverse problems and data assimilation.
method Non-asymptotic analysis of ensemble Kalman updates, focusing on effective dimension and localization.
result Rigorously explains why a small ensemble size is sufficient when prior covariance has moderate effective dimension.

Ensemble Kalman methods improve climate model calibration from noisy observations.

problem Calibrating parameters in complex climate models from noisy data.
method Comparing ensemble Kalman methods for efficiency in climate model calibration.
result Ensemble Kalman methods are more efficient and robust for parameter learning in climate models.

This paper proves long-time accuracy of ensemble Kalman filters for chaotic and machine-learned systems.

problem Ensuring long-term accuracy of ensemble Kalman filters for complex dynamical systems.
method Established conditions for long-time accuracy of ensemble Kalman filters for chaotic and machine-learned dynamical systems.
result Ensemble Kalman filters maintain small estimation error over long time horizons for chaotic and machine-learned systems.

Proposes a new method to enhance neural learning by maximizing information gain.

problem Improving neural learning by selecting key variables to maximize information gain.
method Adaptive Ensemble Kalman Filter to quantify uncertainty and maximize information gain.
result The proposed method enables the neural network to learn more effectively from stochastic systems.

Ens-CGP synthesizes ensemble-based inference with Gaussian processes.

problem Ensemble-based inference and Gaussian process modeling.
method Formulates Ens-CGP as a conditional Gaussian process for ensemble moments.
result Ens-CGP provides a unified probabilistic foundation for Kalman-type methods.

Paper tackles noisy and expensive likelihoods in complex models.

problem Calibrating parameters in complex models with noisy and expensive evaluations.
method Ensemble Kalman methods and Langevin-based methods for inverse problems.
result Ensemble Kalman methods perform well in noisy conditions, while Langevin methods are adversely affected.

AD-EnKFs use machine learning to improve data assimilation in high-dimensional systems.

problem Data assimilation in high-dimensional, unknown dynamics systems.
method Auto-differentiable ensemble Kalman filters blending machine learning and ensemble Kalman filters.
result AD-EnKFs outperform existing methods in the Lorenz-96 model.

This paper explores estimating chaotic dynamics and parameters using local ensemble Kalman filters.

problem Estimating chaotic dynamics and parameters from observations.
method Local ensemble Kalman filters with covariance and local domain localisation.
result Rigorously updating global parameters using a local domain ensemble Kalman filter.

Proposes a new method for nonlinear Bayesian updates using ensemble kernel regression.

problem Nonlinear and non-Gaussian Bayesian updates for complex systems.
method Combines Kalman filtering for observed components and kernel density estimation for unobserved components, with subsampling and clustering.
result Reduces estimation errors in highly nonlinear scenarios compared to standard linear updates.

ROAD-EnKFs use learned low-dimensional models to improve state reconstruction and forecasting.

problem Reconstructing and forecasting states of unknown or expensive systems.
method Learned low-dimensional surrogate models and ensemble Kalman filter integration.
result ROAD-EnKFs achieve higher accuracy at lower computational cost than existing methods.

This work preserves linear invariants in ensemble filters for non-Gaussian data assimilation.

problem Maintaining critical invariants like mass, stoichiometric balance, and charge in non-Gaussian data assimilation.
method Introducing a novel class of nonlinear ensemble filters using measure transport theory.
result Recovery of a constrained Kalman filter for Gaussian settings and combination with regularization techniques.

Unified framework for ensemble transport-based smoothing of non-Gaussian time series.

problem Bayesian time series re-analysis with non-Gaussian distributions.
method Measure transport approach to derive consistent prior-to-posterior transformations.
result General ensemble framework for transport-based smoothing of state-space models.

EnSF improves accuracy in tracking high-dimensional nonlinear systems.

problem Low accuracy in high-dimensional, nonlinear filtering problems.
method Score-based diffusion model, mini-batch Monte Carlo estimator.
result EnSF outperforms state-of-the-art methods in tracking high-dimensional systems.

Bayesian inference for neural networks improves uncertainty quantification.

problem Improving predictive uncertainty in neural networks.
method Ensemble Kalman filter extensions and interacting particle systems.
result Effective methods for quantifying predictive uncertainty in neural networks.

Data assimilation for subsurface flow using latent diffusion models shows that ensemble Kalman methods may overestimate posterior uncertainty, while Monte Carlo sampling is more reliable.

problem Data assimilation for subsurface flow
method Ensemble Kalman smoother and Markov chain Monte Carlo sampling
result Monte Carlo sampling is more reliable than ensemble Kalman methods

This paper explores online learning of dynamics and state using ensemble Kalman filters.

problem Reconstructing dynamics from partial and noisy observations in real-time.
method Ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) family of algorithms for online learning of dynamics and state.
result Demonstrates the efficiency and accuracy of online learning methods using Lorenz models.

New method uses EKI for efficient Bayesian inference in high-dimensional problems.

problem Efficient inference for high-dimensional posterior distributions in physics-informed neural networks.
method Ensemble Kalman Inversion (EKI) for high-dimensional posterior inference.
result EKI-based inference provides comparable uncertainty estimates to HMC-based methods but with reduced computational cost.

Enhanced ensemble filters use machine learning to improve accuracy in filtering models.

problem Accuracy limitations of traditional ensemble Kalman filters.
method Introduces a measure neural mapping (MNM) to map joint predicted state and observation to updated state estimates.
result Superior root-mean-square-error performance compared to leading methods in filtering models.

Research compares ML and Time Series methods for generating trading signals.

problem Efficiency of on-line learning Algorithms in generating trading signals.
method Used technical indicators and ensemble of Random Forests, also Kalman Filter.
result Kalman Filter outperformed Random Forests in on-line learning predictions of stock prices.

Bayesian EnKF improves sentence comprehension uncertainty modeling.

problem Uncertainty in human language comprehension, especially with ambiguous inputs.
method Bayesian framework using ensemble Kalman filter (EnKF) for uncertainty quantification.
result Enhanced model's ability to approximate human cognitive processing with linguistic ambiguities.

GEnBP combines EnKF and GaBP for efficient high-dimensional inference.

problem Efficient inference in high-dimensional models.
method Gaussian Ensemble Belief Propagation algorithm combining EnKF and GaBP.
result GEnBP outperforms existing methods in accuracy and efficiency.

New nonlinear smoothers improve state estimation in chaotic systems.

problem Improving state estimation in chaotic dynamical systems with non-Gaussian behavior.
method Developed nonlinear backward ensemble transport smoothers with parameterization and regularization of transport maps.
result Nonlinear smoothers yield lower estimation error than conventional methods for comparable model evaluations.

Combining LETKF and RC improves chaotic system prediction from noisy, sparse data.

problem Improving chaotic system prediction from imperfect observations and models.
method Combining LETKF and RC to predict spatio-temporal chaotic systems from noisy and sparsely distributed observations.
result The proposed method using LETKF and RC outperforms LETKF in predicting chaotic systems from noisy and sparse observations.

A new ML-based filter improves data assimilation for nonlinear systems.

problem Improving data assimilation for nonlinear systems using ensemble methods.
method Developed a machine learning-based conditional mean filter (ML-EnCMF) integrating ANN and linear functions.
result ML-EnCMF outperforms EnKF and likelihood-based EnCMF in nonlinear systems.

Gradient-free framework for Bayesian experimental design in complex systems.

problem Optimal experimental design in systems where gradient information is unavailable.
method Combines EKI and ALDI for optimization and sampling, with approximations for scalable utility estimation.
result Demonstrates robust, accurate, and efficient experimental design in various complex systems.

EnKBS smoothes complex systems with future observations for causal inference.

problem Improving state estimation in complex systems with rapid dynamics.
method Continuous-time ensemble Kalman-Bucy smoother for nonlinear dynamical systems.
result EnKBS provides derivative-free framework with high skill in various scientific problems.

A new EnKF method for elliptic PDEs reduces dimensionality for accurate state estimation.

problem Elliptic PDEs in fluid flows make traditional EnKF regularization ineffective.
method Low-rank factorization of the Kalman gain based on the Jacobian spectrum.
result Inference can be performed in a low-dimensional subspace of the state space.

Combines machine learning and data assimilation for improved forecasting.

problem Improving forecast accuracy with noisy observations.
method Sequentially learns a machine-learning model using an ensemble Kalman filter.
result The combined model achieves good forecast skill and computational efficiency.

A new filter adapts to heavy-tailed data without tuning, improving performance in challenging conditions.

problem Degraded performance of Kalman and EnKF in heavy-tailed distributions.
method Generalizes EnKF using t-distributions, estimating parameters via EM algorithm.
result Improves performance on challenging filtering problems with heavy-tailed noise.