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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

168,742 papers · 148 categories

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3967921,1871,583 · Jun 202019922001200920172026
48 results for empirical mode modeling

Empirical mode modeling improves state-space analysis of noisy data.

problem Analyzing nonlinear systems with noisy data.
method Combining empirical mode decomposition with empirical dynamic modeling.
result Empirical mode modeling enhances state-space representations in noisy data.

JRFs improve semi-supervised learning by balancing generation and classification.

problem Mode missing and mode covering issues in GANs and VAEs, and conflict between good classification and generation.
method Joint-stochastic-approximation random fields (JRFs) for deep undirected generative models.
result JRFs achieve good classification and generation results in SSL.

HHT feature generation enhances financial time series forecasting.

problem Forecasting nonstationary financial time series.
method CEEMD and HHT for decomposition, machine learning integration.
result HHT-enhanced models outperform traditional models in forecasting.

Proposes neuron alignment to optimize mode connectivity in neural networks.

problem Understanding and optimizing mode connectivity in deep neural networks.
method Introduces neuron alignment to approximate optimal weight permutations and improve mode connectivity.
result Neuron alignment significantly alleviates robust loss barriers and improves model robustness and accuracy.

Study identifies failure modes of machine learning models in out-of-distribution settings.

problem Machine learning models fail to generalize well to new, unseen data.
method Theoretical study of gradient-descent-trained linear classifiers on easy-to-learn tasks, followed by experiments on modern neural networks.
result Two failure modes of spurious correlations are uncovered: geometric and statistical.

New tool detects 'fleeting modes' causing excess risk in financial markets.

problem Detecting portfolios with statistically significant excess risk in financial markets.
method Random Matrix Theory to identify 'fleeting modes' independent of underlying correlation structure.
result Fleeting modes exist in both futures and equity markets, and momentum is a source of excess risk.

Study reveals issues with neural autoregressive models and proposes mode recovery cost.

problem Unreasonable affinity of neural autoregressive models to short and long sequences.
method Investigates modes of ground-truth, empirical, and decoding-induced distributions via mode recovery cost.
result Mode recovery cost varies depending on ground-truth distribution and impacts decoding-induced distribution.

Jeffreys Flow improves robustness of Boltzmann generators for rare event sampling.

problem Rare events and metastable trapping in sampling physical systems with rough energy landscapes.
method Introduces Jeffreys Flow, a robust generative framework using Parallel Tempering distillation and symmetric Jeffreys divergence to mitigate mode collapse and improve mode coverage.
result Minimizing Jeffreys divergence suppresses mode collapse and corrects inaccuracies in multi-modal distributions.

This study applies EMD to MSCI World index and converts IMFs into graphs for GNN modeling.

problem Modeling financial time series with GNNs.
method EMD, CEEMDAN, graph transformations (natural visibility, horizontal visibility, recurrence, transition graphs), topological analysis.
result High-frequency IMFs yield dense, highly connected small-world graphs; low-frequency IMFs produce sparser networks.

Mode connectivity is a recently introduced frame- work that empirically establishes the connected- ness of minima by finding a high accuracy curve between two independently trained models. To investigate the limits of this setup, we examine the efficacy of this technique in extreme cases where the input models are trai…

2018-06-18abs ↗pdf ↗

Empirical study shows removing neural parameter symmetries impacts model performance.

problem Understanding the impact of neural parameter symmetries on model performance.
method Developed two methods to reduce parameter space symmetries in neural networks.
result Removing parameter symmetries can lead to faster and more effective Bayesian neural network training.

New method cleans cross-covariance matrices for better financial forecasting.

problem Asymptotically optimal cross-covariance cleaners fail in real-world, time-varying markets.
method Physics-informed neural network that learns from empirical singular values.
result Trained model outperforms analytical cleaners in out-of-sample cross-covariance prediction.

This work explores the generalization properties of diffusion models, providing theoretical and empirical insights.

problem Theoretical understanding of diffusion models' generalization capabilities remains underdeveloped.
method Theoretical exploration and quantitative analysis of generalization gaps in diffusion models.
result Established polynomially small generalization error (O(n2/5+m4/5)O(n^{-2/5}+m^{-4/5})) for diffusion models, avoiding the curse of dimensionality.

Alt-GNNs improve travel mode choice modeling by integrating graph neural networks with GEV models.

problem Capturing alternative dependence in discrete choice models with predefined, symmetric, and uniform dependence.
method Introducing Alternative Graph Neural Networks (Alt-GNNs) that embed alternative dependence within a unified framework.
result Alt-GNNs significantly improve predictive performance over benchmark models in travel mode choice datasets.

CADD improves generative quality by augmenting discrete diffusion with continuous latent space.

problem Loss of semantic information between denoising steps in discrete diffusion models.
method Introduces a framework that augments discrete state space with a continuous latent space, allowing for graded, informative masked tokens.
result CADD improves generative quality across text generation, image synthesis, and code modeling.

We identify and study two common failure modes for early training in deep ReLU nets. For each we give a rigorous proof of when it occurs and how to avoid it, for fully connected and residual architectures. The first failure mode, exploding/vanishing mean activation length, can be avoided by initializing weights from a …

2018-03-05abs ↗pdf ↗

The paper compares theoretical and empirical performance of imputation methods for missing data.

problem Missing data in real-world datasets.
method Contrast of theoretical and empirical imputation methods for prediction.
result Mean-imputation is asymptotically optimal for prediction, while mode-imputation is sub-optimal.

HiSS sampling overcomes local mode traps in rugged discrete spaces.

problem Sampling multimodal discrete distributions with gradient-based methods.
method Integrates Metropolis-within-Gibbs framework with logistic convolution.
result HiSS outperforms alternatives on various tasks, including Ising models and binary neural networks.

Kernel Dynamic Mode Decomposition reconstructs dynamical systems using Laplacian kernel.

problem Reconstructing spatial-temporal dynamics of complex systems.
method Kernel Dynamic Mode Decomposition with Laplacian kernel.
result Laplacian kernel allows for the closability of Koopman operators in RKHS, enabling reconstruction.

We provide the proof that the space of time series data is a Kolmogorov space with T0T_{0}-separation axiom using the loop space of time series data. In our approach we define a cyclic coordinate of intrinsic time scale of time series data after empirical mode decomposition. A spinor field of time series data comes fro…

2016-06-10abs ↗pdf ↗

Measures mode separation in high-dimensional densities via a reversible diffusion process.

problem Quantifying how sharply a distribution fragments into barrier-separated clusters in high dimensions.
method A unique reversible diffusion process with f as stationary distribution, extracting SSA and DA from its autocovariance matrix.
result Empirical autocovariance spectrum and readouts (SSA, DA) quantify mode separation using only samples and pretrained score-based models.

Generative Adversarial Networks have surprising ability for generating sharp and realistic images, though they are known to suffer from the so-called mode collapse problem. In this paper, we propose a new GAN variant called Mixture Density GAN that while being capable of generating high-quality images, overcomes this p…

2018-10-31abs ↗pdf ↗

Study cryptocurrency price dynamics using adaptive EMD and spectral analysis.

problem Analyze the time-varying volatility of cryptocurrency prices.
method Adaptive complementary ensemble empirical mode decomposition (ACE-EMD) and Hilbert spectral analysis.
result Reveal the properties of various timescales in cryptocurrency price dynamics.

The paper finds shape modes for vortices in a specific sigma model.

problem Existence of internal modes in CP1\mathbb{C}P^1 vortices.
method Developed a geometric formalism based on the Bogomol'nyi decomposition of the energy functional.
result Proved the existence of at least one shape mode for a general CP1\mathbb{C}P^1 vortex solution.

For dynamical systems that can be modelled as asymptotically stable linear systems forced by Gaussian noise, this paper develops methods to infer or estimate their modes from observations in real time. The modes can be real or complex. For a real mode, we wish to infer its damping rate and mode shape. For a complex mod…

2019-09-23abs ↗pdf ↗

End-to-end training of DBMs with improved gradient estimation.

problem Biased gradient estimation in DBMs, especially with high-dimensional states.
method Unbiased contrastive divergence using MH coupling and local mode initialization.
result End-to-end training of DBMs without greedy pretraining, achieving FID score of 10.33 for MNIST.

Diffusion models accurately recover mixture weights from generated samples despite score function insensitivity.

problem Score-based generative models often fail to learn correct relative mode amplitudes (mixture weights) from generated samples.
method Relate diffusion score matching (DSM) loss to mixture weight estimation error, define diffusion score sensitivity index (DSSI), and prove its governing role in mixture weight recovery.
result Generated samples can accurately recover mixture weights from the DSM loss, even when the target score is insensitive to mixture weights.

Unified model predicts multi-mode failure with multi-sensor data.

problem Independent failure mode and RUL prediction ignores inherent relationship.
method Hierarchical Bayesian framework with Cox model, Gaussian process, and multinomial distributions.
result Robust uncertainty quantification and accurate prediction of multi-mode failure.