The study models insurance dependence using Bernstein copulas.
problem Modeling dependence structures in nonlife insurance data.
method Review and suggest fitting Bernstein copulas to empirical data.
result Monte Carlo simulation and PML estimation for aggregate losses.
Improved method for encoding contingency tables reduces mutual information bias.
problem Mutual information bias in measuring label similarity.
method Improved method for encoding contingency tables to reduce information cost.
result Better bound on reduced mutual information in typical use cases.
Taxicab correspondence analysis visualizes sparse text data sets.
problem Visualization of extremely sparse contingency tables.
method Robust variant of correspondence analysis for sparse data.
result Visualized an 8265-dimensional textual data set.
Solves a 60-year-old question on agreement measures in statistics.
problem The challenge of measuring agreement between two raters or measures.
method Developed a new algorithm to minimize diagonals in contingency tables, formulated the minimum feasible agreement, and studied the lower limit of maximum feasible agreement.
result Formulated the lower limit of Cohen's kappa and two statistics for agreement analysis.
Motivated by applications to perverse sheaves, we study combinatorics of two cell decompositions of the symmetric product of the complex line, refining the complex stratification by multiplicities. Contingency matrices, appearing in classical statistics, parametrize the cells of one such decomposition, which has the pr…
Assessing the performance of a learned model is a crucial part of machine learning. However, in some domains only positive and unlabeled examples are available, which prohibits the use of most standard evaluation metrics. We propose an approach to estimate any metric based on contingency tables, including ROC and PR cu…
We develop theory for using heuristics to solve computationally hard problems in differential privacy. Heuristic approaches have enjoyed tremendous success in machine learning, for which performance can be empirically evaluated. However, privacy guarantees cannot be evaluated empirically, and must be proven --- without…
Paper introduces EEMs for pricing contingent claim returns.
problem Computing expected future prices of contingent claims.
method Dynamic change of measure approach to construct EEMs.
result EEMs provide physical and pricing expectations of contingent claim prices.
We propose a new data-augmentation strategy for fully Bayesian inference in models with binomial likelihoods. The approach appeals to a new class of Polya-Gamma distributions, which are constructed in detail. A variety of examples are presented to show the versatility of the method, including logistic regression, negat…
We propose a categorical data synthesizer with a quantifiable disclosure risk. Our algorithm, named Perturbed Gibbs Sampler, can handle high-dimensional categorical data that are often intractable to represent as contingency tables. The algorithm extends a multiple imputation strategy for fully synthetic data by utiliz…
Extends co-clustering to mixed numerical and binary data.
problem Co-clustering of mixed data types (numerical and binary).
method Latent block models for mixed data types.
result Effectiveness of the proposed approach on simulated data.
In this paper, we explore and detail our experiments in a high-dimensionality, multi-class image classification problem often found in the automatic recognition of Sign Languages. Here, our efforts are directed towards comparing the characteristics, advantages and drawbacks of creating and training Support Vector Machi…
Improved neural network model for predicting latent budgets in compositional data.
problem Predicting response variables in compositional data with non-negativity constraints.
method LBA-NN, a feed forward neural network model that incorporates K-means clustering for interpretation.
result LBA-NN outperforms traditional LBA in prediction accuracy, specificity, recall, and mean square error.
The paper argues that normalized mutual information is biased in clustering and community detection.
problem Bias in normalized mutual information for clustering and community detection.
method Introducing a modified version of mutual information to correct for information content and spurious dependence.
result The modified mutual information leads to different conclusions about which algorithms are best for community detection.
Unified framework for comparing clusterings from information-theoretic and pair-counting perspectives.
problem Divergent evaluations of unsupervised models due to different clustering similarity measures.
method Developed an analytical framework that unifies pair-counting and information-theoretic clustering similarity measures.
result Unified framework clarifies when and why the two regimes diverge and provides a principled basis for selecting and interpreting clustering similarity measures.
The paper finds a surprising positive correlation between upstreamness and downstreamness in global value chains.
problem The puzzling positive correlation between upstreamness and downstreamness in industries and countries.
method Analysis of a simple model of random Input/Output tables and experiments on empirical data.
result Upstreamness and downstreamness of the same industrial sector/country are positively correlated with a slope close to +1.
Revisit Fenn's table theorem from a differential-topological perspective.
problem Prove zero-existence theorem on a cylinder and horizontal square-table theorem under Fenn's boundary conditions.
method Differential-topological approach.
result Prove horizontal square-table theorem under more general boundary conditions.
Within the context of the banking-related literature on contingent convertible bonds, we comprehensively formalise the design and features of a relatively new type of insurance-linked security, called a contingent convertible catastrophe bond (CocoCat). We begin with a discussion of its design and compare its relative …
Log-linear models are the popular workhorses of analyzing contingency tables. A log-linear parameterization of an interaction model can be more expressive than a direct parameterization based on probabilities, leading to a powerful way of defining restrictions derived from marginal, conditional and context-specific ind…
Study detects synthetic tabular data across different tables.
problem Detecting synthetic tabular data in varied tables.
method Four table-agnostic detectors combined with preprocessing schemes.
result Cross-table learning possible with naive preprocessing, but cross-table transfer challenging.
Proves a generalized table theorem for odd Euler characteristic surfaces.
problem Proving a generalized table theorem for surfaces with odd Euler characteristic.
method Using the square peg problem for smooth curves, the result is generalized to real valued functions on Riemannian surfaces with odd Euler characteristic.
result Proves the table conjecture for even functions on the two sphere.
Sensorimotor contingency theory offers a promising account of the nature of perception, a topic rarely addressed in the robotics community. We propose a developmental framework to address the problem of the autonomous acquisition of sensorimotor contingencies by a naive robot. While exploring the world, the robot inter…
CTSyn generates high-quality synthetic tabular data.
problem Challenges in generating high-quality synthetic tabular data.
method Diffusion-based generative foundation model with autoencoder and conditional latent diffusion.
result CTSyn outperforms existing table synthesizers on standard benchmarks.
The paper revisits and applies FTAP to life insurance and annuities pricing.
problem Non-arbitrage pricing of life contingent assets in dynamic markets.
method Revisit FTAP, use martingale theory, apply FTAP to life insurance and annuities, clarify assumptions.
result Valuation formula for life contingent assets including life insurance policies and annuities.
Paper explores how analysts balance rule-based and situational aspects of data analytics.
problem Balancing mechanistic and situational aspects of data analytics.
method CSCW and social science research, ethnographic fieldwork.
result Effective data vision requires straddling formal abstraction and empirical contingency.
Upper bounds for surface-links in the Yoshikawa table are estimated.
problem Estimating Kirby-Thompson invariants of surface-links.
method Using tri-plane diagrams and L-, L*-invariants.
result Upper bounds for surface-links in the Yoshikawa table are obtained.
Study stability of contingent claim solutions under probabilistic perturbations.
problem Stability of solutions to discrete-time contingent-claim problems under uncertainty.
method Use Rockafellian perturbations to analyze stability of solutions.
result Establishes convergence of dual problems and shadow prices.
When applied to high-dimensional datasets, feature selection algorithms might still leave dozens of irrelevant variables in the dataset. Therefore, even after feature selection has been applied, classifiers must be prepared to the presence of irrelevant variables. This paper investigates a new training method called Co…
Paper proposes a method to estimate project cost contingency reserves considering various types of uncertainty.
problem Inaccurate estimation of project cost contingency reserves due to ignoring different types of uncertainty.
method Quantitative determination of project cost contingency reserves using Monte Carlo Simulation considering aleatoric, stochastic, and epistemic uncertainties.
result The proposed method provides more accurate contingency reserves that align with actual project risks.
This paper compiles and calculates triple point numbers for surface-links in Yoshikawa's table.
problem Determining the triple point number of surface-links in Yoshikawa's table.
method Using broken sheet diagrams, the paper compiles known triple point numbers and calculates or bounds the remaining ones.
result Compilation and calculation of triple point numbers for surface-links in Yoshikawa's table.
The paper proves geometric properties of square tables and saddle surfaces.
problem The mathematical table problem from a geometric-topological perspective.
method Geometric-topological proofs on cylinder, saddle surfaces, and level sets of Fenn graphs.
result Zero-existence theorem on a cylinder, proving Fenn's square-table theorem under different boundary conditions.
New method ranks sectors and countries using local and aggregate I-O data.
problem Ranking sectors and countries in global value chains using incomplete I-O tables.
method Rank-1 approximation to I-O tables using local and aggregate information. result Consistently good performance in reconstructing rankings of upstreamness and downstreamness.
One-pass private sketch supports various machine learning tasks.
problem Efficiently supporting multiple machine learning tasks with differential privacy.
method Randomized contingency tables indexed with locality-sensitive hashing, constructed in one pass.
result Competitive error bounds for DP kernel density estimation, faster than existing methods.
Machine learning speeds up search procedures for sorted tables.
problem Improving the speed of sorted table search procedures.
method Systematic experimental comparison of efficient implementations with learned counterparts.
result Learned data structures can significantly speed up search procedures.
Closed-form pricing method for multi-asset options.
problem Pricing multi-asset contingent claims in an incomplete market.
method Proving extremal martingale measures and constructing algorithms for bounds and hedging.
result Closed-form formulas for no-arbitrage price intervals and hedging strategies.
We price a contingent claim liability using the utility indifference argument. We consider an agent with exponential utility, who invests in a stock and a money market account with the goal of maximizing the utility of his investment at the final time T in the presence of positive proportional transaction cost in two c…
DPpack offers R tools for private data analysis and machine learning.
problem Ensuring privacy in statistical analysis and machine learning.
method Differential privacy mechanisms (Laplace, Gaussian, exponential).
result User-friendly implementation of privacy-preserving models.
The paper defines and implements risk-indifference pricing for American-style contingent claims.
problem Pricing American-style contingent claims under uncertainty.
method Indifference pricing using convex risk measures and stochastic volatility models, with numerical solutions via deep learning.
result Characterization of indifference prices via Backward Stochastic Differential Equations (BSDEs).
In this paper, we study the pricing of contingent claims under G-expectation. In order to accomodate volatility uncertainty, the price of the risky security is supposed to governed by a general linear stochastic differential equation (SDE) driven by G-Brownian motion. Utilizing the recently developed results of Backwar…
We develop a pricing model for Sovereign Contingent Convertible bonds (S-CoCo) with payment standstills triggered by a sovereign's Credit Default Swap (CDS) spread. We model CDS spread regime switching, which is prevalent during crises, as a hidden Markov process, coupled with a mean-reverting stochastic process of spr…
We propose a new definition for tameness within the model of security prices as Itô processes that is risk-aware. We give a new definition for arbitrage and characterize it. We then prove a theorem that can be seen as an extension of the second fundamental theorem of asset pricing, and a theorem for valuation of contin…
Double autoencoder Ae2I improves missing value imputation in recommender systems.
problem Imputing missing values in tables using row-row and column-column relationships.
method Simultaneously uses row-row and column-column relationships through a double autoencoder.
result Ae2I outperforms state-of-the-art models in recommender systems. Study upper hedging prices for contingent claims in models with various types of arbitrage.
problem Valuation of contingent claims in market models with different types of arbitrage.
method Analysis of market models with increasing profit, strong arbitrage, and arbitrage of the first kind.
result Option prices are reduced when increasing profit is present, and corporate stock price processes can be derived from issuance and repurchase plans.
This paper is about metric data structures in high-dimensional or non-Euclidean space that permit cached sufficient statistics accelerations of learning algorithms. It has recently been shown that for less than about 10 dimensions, decorating kd-trees with additional "cached sufficient statistics" such as first and sec…
Method finds differential equations for integrable billiard tables.
problem Finding differential equations for integrable billiard tables.
method Introducing a method to find differential equations for functions defining tables.
result Illustrated method in three billiard systems.
Billiard trajectories and geodesics are closely related geometrically.
problem Understanding the relationship between billiard trajectories and geodesics on surfaces.
method Establishing mutual approximation results for billiard trajectories and geodesic segments on surfaces.
result For Riemannian billiard tables, there are families of fold-type surfaces such that every sequence of geodesic segments on these surfaces has a subsequence that converges to a billiard trajectory.
The paper extends portfolio theory to include contingent claim functions for option pricing.
problem Developing a method to price options using portfolio generating functions.
method Extending portfolio theory to include contingent claim functions and applying partial differential equations.
result A method to price options using portfolio generating functions and replicable contingent claim functions.
The target of this paper is to establish the bid-ask pricing frame work for the American contingent claims against risky assets with G-asset price systems (see \cite{Chen2013b}) on the financial market under Knight uncertainty. First, we prove G-Dooby-Meyer decomposition for G-supermartingale. Furthermore, we consider …