Study calculates tail risk for various mixture distributions.
problem Estimating tail risk for complex distribution mixtures.
method Analyzes tail conditional expectation for location-scale mixtures of elliptical distributions.
result Developed methods for calculating tail risk in various distributions.
Consistent estimator for mixtures of nonparametric elliptical distributions helps cluster analysis.
problem Consistency of maximum likelihood estimator for mixtures of nonparametric elliptical distributions.
method Maximum likelihood estimation for mixtures of elliptically-symmetric distributions under nonparametric P. result Components of the estimator correspond to well-separated components of the underlying distribution P. New EM algorithm for mixtures of elliptical distributions handles missing data and outliers.
problem Missing data imputation for noisy and non-Gaussian data.
method Investigation of a new EM algorithm for mixtures of elliptical distributions.
result The proposed algorithm is robust to outliers and competitive with other methods.
Elliptical processes extend Gaussian models with heavier tails.
problem Regression and classification with non-Gaussian likelihoods or heavy tails.
method Spline normalizing flow for variational inference of elliptical distributions.
result Elliptical processes outperform Gaussian processes in non-Gaussian settings.
In this paper, we generalize the parametric Delta-VaR methods from portfolios with elliptic distributed risk factors to portfolios with mixture of elliptically distributed ones. We treat both the Expected Shortfall and the Value-at-Risk of such portfolios. Special attention is given to the particular case of the mixtur…
A new method solves general elliptical mixture models using approximate Wasserstein distance.
problem Estimating general elliptical mixture models with robust and stable optimization.
method Adaptive optimisation method on a statistical manifold defined under an approximate Wasserstein distance.
result The method provides a stable and superior optimum for EMMs, improving upon Kullback-Leibler divergence.
Mixture modelling using elliptical distributions promises enhanced robustness, flexibility and stability over the widely employed Gaussian mixture model (GMM). However, existing studies based on the elliptical mixture model (EMM) are restricted to several specific types of elliptical probability density functions, whic…
Correlation mixtures of elliptical copulas arise when the correlation parameter is driven itself by a latent random process. For such copulas, both penultimate and asymptotic tail dependence are much larger than for ordinary elliptical copulas with the same unconditional correlation. Furthermore, for Gaussian and Stude…
We study modeling and inference with the Elliptical Gamma Distribution (EGD). We consider maximum likelihood (ML) estimation for EGD scatter matrices, a task for which we develop new fixed-point algorithms. Our algorithms are efficient and converge to global optima despite nonconvexity. Moreover, they turn out to be mu…
A new vine copula mixture model improves clustering accuracy for non-Gaussian data.
problem Finite mixture models struggle with asymmetric tail dependencies and non-elliptical clusters.
method Proposes a vine copula mixture model for clustering non-Gaussian data, addressing model selection and parameter estimation.
result Significant improvement in clustering accuracy for data with asymmetric tail dependencies or non-Gaussian margins.
Elliptical processes generalize Gaussian and Student-t models with fat tails and computational efficiency.
problem Need for models with fat tails and computational tractability.
method Represent elliptical distributions as continuous mixtures of Gaussian distributions, derive closed-form expressions for marginal and conditional distributions.
result Elliptical processes offer advantages in robust regression compared to Gaussian processes.
Paper proposes a new Wasserstein distance for mixtures of radially contoured distributions.
problem Generalization of Wasserstein distance to non-elliptically contoured distributions.
method Relaxed formulation for mixtures of radially contoured distributions without marginal consistency.
result The new distance yields more stable error and better color distribution in image transfer tasks.
Paper proposes a method to efficiently cluster stretched mixtures.
problem Clustering stretched elliptical mixtures using standard methods like PCA and k-means fails.
method Proposes a non-convex program to transform data into a one-dimensional point cloud.
result Efficient first-order algorithm achieves near-optimal statistical precision.
This paper improves robust cluster enumeration for RES data.
problem Challenges in determining optimal clusters in noisy data.
method Generalizes robust Bayesian cluster enumeration for RES mixtures.
result Significant robustness improvement over existing methods.
Cube edges curves minimize systole length.
problem Finding the shortest closed curve on a cube.
method Combining exact calculations and estimates, including branched covers, elliptic integrals, geodesic trajectories, and conformal maps.
result The extremal length systole is realized by 12 curves surrounding the cube's edges.
Chia and Nakano (2009) introduced the concept of M-decomposability of probability densities in one-dimension. In this paper, we generalize M-decomposability to any dimension. We prove that all elliptical unimodal densities are M-undecomposable. We also derive an inequality to show that it is better to represent an M-de…
Bayesian model for cancer drug studies maps dose-response curves.
problem Mapping dose-response curves in cancer drug studies.
method Bayesian Tensor Filtering (BTF) with low-dimensional embeddings and structured shrinkage priors.
result BTF outperforms state-of-the-art methods in cancer drug studies.
Improved image learning using elliptically contoured tensor-variate distributions.
problem Inadequate statistical analysis for tensor-valued data, especially with heavier or lighter tails.
method Developed a family of elliptically contoured tensor-variate distributions and derived their properties and procedures for estimation.
result Tensor-variate classification rules and tensor-on-tensor regression better predict and characterize data than TVN-based methods.
Significant improvements in regret analysis for adaptive online learning problems.
problem Exploiting low variance in online learning problems without known variances.
method Novel peeling-based regret analysis leveraging elliptical potential `count` lemma.
result Significant improvements in regret bounds for linear bandits and linear mixture MDPs.
Probabilistic models are conceptually powerful tools for finding structure in data, but their practical effectiveness is often limited by our ability to perform inference in them. Exact inference is frequently intractable, so approximate inference is often performed using Markov chain Monte Carlo (MCMC). To achieve the…
Improved portfolio optimization using VaR and CVaR with NMVM models.
problem Optimizing portfolios with VaR and CVaR under NMVM distributions.
method Transformed mean-CVaR-skewness problems into quadratic optimization with closed-form solutions for NMVM models.
result Approximate closed-form expressions for VaR and CVaR of NMVM portfolios.
Constructs Lie groupoid integrating elliptic tangent bundles and Poisson structures.
problem Existence and integration of elliptic tangent bundles and Poisson structures.
method Explicit construction of Lie groupoids and local models for symplectic integration.
result Necessary and sufficient topological condition for integration of elliptic tangent bundles.
Enhances mixture models with classifier-defined weights.
problem Density evaluation and sampling in mixture models.
method Introduces Classifier Weighted Mixtures (CWM) with functional weights.
result Improves expressivity in variational estimation without increasing complexity.
Optimal mixtures of generative models outperform individual models on image datasets.
problem Selecting the best single model from a group of trained generative models.
method Formulated a quadratic optimization problem and proposed the Mixture-UCB algorithm for efficient selection.
result Mixture of generative models achieves better evaluation scores than individual models on benchmark datasets.
New bounds on sample size for identifying mixture models with grouped samples.
problem Identifying mixture models with minimal sample size.
method Generalized identifiability bounds for mixture models with grouped samples.
result Identifiability with (2m−1)/(k−1) samples per group, with no improvement possible. We consider unsupervised estimation of mixtures of discrete graphical models, where the class variable corresponding to the mixture components is hidden and each mixture component over the observed variables can have a potentially different Markov graph structure and parameters. We propose a novel approach for estimati…
Spatially constrained Gaussian mixture models reduce covariance complexity.
problem High dimensionality in finite mixture models for spatial data.
method Spatial covariance constraint with only four free parameters.
result Improves clustering of multi-way spatial data and inference of spatial patterns.
When estimating finite mixture models, it is common to make assumptions on the mixture components, such as parametric assumptions. In this work, we make no distributional assumptions on the mixture components and instead assume that observations from the mixture model are grouped, such that observations in the same gro…
Two approaches improve parameter learning in various mixture models.
problem Parameter learning in mixture models.
method Complex-analytic and algebraic-combinatorial methods.
result Improved sample sufficiency for parameter estimation in specific mixture models.
Improved VB algorithm for NIG mixtures outperforms Gaussian mixtures for non-Gaussian data.
problem Clustering non-Gaussian data, especially heavy-tailed and asymmetric.
method Proposed an improved VB algorithm for NIG mixture models and extended Dirichlet process mixture models.
result Outperforms Gaussian mixtures and existing NIG mixture models, especially for highly non-normative data.
The two most extended density-based approaches to clustering are surely mixture model clustering and modal clustering. In the mixture model approach, the density is represented as a mixture and clusters are associated to the different mixture components. In modal clustering, clusters are understood as regions of high d…
Flow cytometry is a high-throughput technology used to quantify multiple surface and intracellular markers at the level of a single cell. This enables to identify cell sub-types, and to determine their relative proportions. Improvements of this technology allow to describe millions of individual cells from a blood samp…
We construct a global geometric model for complex analytic equivariant elliptic cohomology for all compact Lie groups. Cocycles are specified by functions on the space of fields of the two-dimensional sigma model with background gauge fields and N=(0,1) supersymmetry. We also consider a theory of free fe…
The parsimonious Gaussian mixture models, which exploit an eigenvalue decomposition of the group covariance matrices of the Gaussian mixture, have shown their success in particular in cluster analysis. Their estimation is in general performed by maximum likelihood estimation and has also been considered from a parametr…
Paper establishes universal lower bounds and optimal rates for clustering sub-exponential mixture models.
problem Achieving optimal error rates in clustering sub-exponential mixture models.
method Establishes universal lower bounds and demonstrates iterative algorithms' optimality in sub-exponential mixture models.
result Iterative algorithms achieve the universal lower bound in sub-exponential mixture models.
Machine learning predicts Shafarevich-Tate group orders of elliptic curves.
problem Predicting the order of the Shafarevich-Tate group of elliptic curves.
method Train feed-forward neural network and regression models on elliptic curve invariants.
result Models achieve high accuracy (>0.9) and predict orders not seen during training. A new method for fast Bayesian mixture model estimation.
problem Estimating Bayesian mixture models is computationally challenging.
method Amortized Bayesian Inference (ABI) framework for mixture models.
result The method provides fast inference for mixture models.
The paper uses Gaussian mixture models for Bayesian networks and proposes an optimization algorithm.
problem Modeling nodes in Bayesian networks with complex distributions.
method Gaussian mixture models combined with double iteration algorithm.
result The double iteration algorithm optimizes Gaussian mixture models effectively.
A new method detects outliers using ensembles of Dirichlet process mixtures.
problem Challenges in unsupervised outlier detection using Dirichlet process mixtures.
method Ensembles of Dirichlet process Gaussian mixtures with random subspace and subsampling.
result Empirically outperforms existing approaches in unsupervised outlier detection.
New property of Kendall correlation tested for stock markets.
problem Adequacy of elliptical model for stock returns distribution.
method Proved new property, constructed tests, applied Holm procedure.
result Elliptical model rejected for Chinese stock market but accepted for others.
Deep learning is a hierarchical inference method formed by subsequent multiple layers of learning able to more efficiently describe complex relationships. In this work, Deep Gaussian Mixture Models are introduced and discussed. A Deep Gaussian Mixture model (DGMM) is a network of multiple layers of latent variables, wh…
This paper compares EM and GD in two-component mixture models, finding EM escapes bad local optima more reliably.
problem Understanding the convergence of EM and GD in mixture models, especially in regions where one component is missing.
method Analyzing regions called one-cluster regions in two-component mixture models of Gaussians and Bernoullis, comparing the propensity of EM and GD to converge to these regions.
result EM escapes one-cluster regions exponentially fast, while GD escapes them linearly fast, indicating EM is less likely to converge to bad local optima.
First time projective elliptic genera constructed for oriented manifolds.
problem Defining and proving properties of projective elliptic genera.
method Topological construction and analytic interpretation via fractional index theorem.
result Modularity properties of projective elliptic genera proven.
Paper uses Gaussian mixture models and Wasserstein distance for schema matching.
problem Schema matching between different datasets.
method Gaussian mixture models and Wasserstein distance for comparison.
result Derives an approximation for Wasserstein distance between Gaussian mixture models.
Bayesian approach learns nonparametric mixture components from heterogeneous data.
problem Realistic modeling of heterogeneous data populations with nonparametric mixture components.
method Bayesian nonparametric modeling using Dirichlet process mixture priors.
result Posterior contraction rates for component densities are nearly polynomial, improving over deconvolution methods.
SMT trains generative models by estimating mixture scores, outperforming existing methods.
problem Training one-step generative models efficiently and effectively.
method Score-of-Mixture Training (SMT) estimates the score of mixture distributions between real and fake samples.
result SMT/SMD outperform existing methods on CIFAR-10 and ImageNet 64x64 datasets.
New method estimates mixture model components efficiently.
problem Estimating the number of components in finite mixture models.
method Group-Sort-Fuse (GSF) procedure for simultaneous estimation of order and mixing measure.
result GSF achieves consistent estimation of true mixture order and n−1/2 convergence rate. New method for summarizing Bayesian mixture models using sliced Wasserstein distances.
problem Estimating the mixing measure in nonparametric Bayesian mixture models.
method Decision-theoretic approach using sliced Wasserstein distances for Gaussian mixtures.
result Effective estimation of the mixing measure and mixture density.