A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.
New method for efficient marginalization of discrete latent variables in neural networks.
Paper improves ISDA margin calculation using LSMC.
Efficiently estimates marginal posteriors for complex simulations.
Proposes MFSWB for marginal fairness in SWB, improving efficiency and performance.
Proposes a method to construct risk-neutral marginals from arbitrage-free option prices.
Marginal MAP inference involves making MAP predictions in systems defined with latent variables or missing information. It is significantly more difficult than pure marginalization and MAP tasks, for which a large class of efficient and convergent variational algorithms, such as dual decomposition, exist. In this work,…
New DP algorithms with margin guarantees for various hypothesis sets.
We consider the problem of cost sensitive multiclass classification, where we would like to increase the sensitivity of an important class at the expense of a less important one. We adopt an {\em apportioned margin} framework to address this problem, which enables an efficient margin shift between classes that share th…
We give polynomial-time algorithms for the exact computation of lowest-energy (ground) states, worst margin violators, log partition functions, and marginal edge probabilities in certain binary undirected graphical models. Our approach provides an interesting alternative to the well-known graph cut paradigm in that it …
We propose a novel and flexible rank-breaking-then-composite-marginal-likelihood (RBCML) framework for learning random utility models (RUMs), which include the Plackett-Luce model. We characterize conditions for the objective function of RBCML to be strictly log-concave by proving that strict log-concavity is preserved…
New method estimates causal effects with multi-valued, time-varying treatments.
We consider estimating the marginal likelihood in settings with independent and identically distributed (i.i.d.) data. We propose estimating the predictive distributions in a sequential factorization of the marginal likelihood in such settings by using stochastic gradient Markov Chain Monte Carlo techniques. This appro…
A new algorithm COVA-FC improves subgroup-fair clustering efficiency.
Deep generative models (DGMs) are effective on learning multilayered representations of complex data and performing inference of input data by exploring the generative ability. However, it is relatively insufficient to empower the discriminative ability of DGMs on making accurate predictions. This paper presents max-ma…
We present new differentially private algorithms for learning a large-margin halfspace. In contrast to previous algorithms, which are based on either differentially private simulations of the statistical query model or on private convex optimization, the sample complexity of our algorithms depends only on the margin of…
Quantization techniques have been applied in many challenging finance applications, including pricing claims with path dependence and early exercise features, stochastic optimal control, filtering problems and efficient calibration of large derivative books. Recursive Marginal Quantization of the Euler scheme has recen…
Efficiently computes robust option prices using multi-marginal martingale transport.
Study shows a tradeoff between sample complexity and computational efficiency for learning halfspaces with random noise.
We introduce a simple framework for designing private boosting algorithms. We give natural conditions under which these algorithms are differentially private, efficient, and noise-tolerant PAC learners. To demonstrate our framework, we use it to construct noise-tolerant and private PAC learners for large-margin halfspa…
Local mappings relate dual and primal factor graphs for efficient marginal probability estimation.
Bayesian max-margin models have shown superiority in various practical applications, such as text categorization, collaborative prediction, social network link prediction and crowdsourcing, and they conjoin the flexibility of Bayesian modeling and predictive strengths of max-margin learning. However, Monte Carlo sampli…
We derive and analyze a new, efficient, pool-based active learning algorithm for halfspaces, called ALuMA. Most previous algorithms show exponential improvement in the label complexity assuming that the distribution over the instance space is close to uniform. This assumption rarely holds in practical applications. Ins…
We present a max-margin nonparametric latent feature model, which unites the ideas of max-margin learning and Bayesian nonparametrics to discover discriminative latent features for link prediction and automatically infer the unknown latent social dimension. By minimizing a hinge-loss using the linear expectation operat…
New algorithm learns halfspaces with near-optimal sample complexity in noisy conditions.
Metaheuristics optimize portfolios with pre-assignment and margin trading for better risk-adjusted returns.
Initial margin requirements are becoming an increasingly common feature of derivative markets. However, while the valuation of derivatives under collateralisation (Piterbarg 2010, Piterbarg2012), under counterparty risk with unsecured funding costs (FVA) (Burgard2011, Burgard2011, Burgard2013) and in the presence of re…
We use surrogate losses to obtain several new regret bounds and new algorithms for contextual bandit learning. Using the ramp loss, we derive new margin-based regret bounds in terms of standard sequential complexity measures of a benchmark class of real-valued regression functions. Using the hinge loss, we derive an ef…
There are two major paradigms of white-box adversarial attacks that attempt to impose input perturbations. The first paradigm, called the fix-perturbation attack, crafts adversarial samples within a given perturbation level. The second paradigm, called the zero-confidence attack, finds the smallest perturbation needed …
Proposes a tabular transformer model to maintain feature effect intelligibility.
Efficient algorithm for Bayesian networks reduces marginal probability distribution computation.
Support vector regression (SVR) is one of the most popular machine learning algorithms aiming to generate the optimal regression curve through maximizing the minimal margin of selected training samples, i.e., support vectors. Recent researchers reveal that maximizing the margin distribution of whole training dataset ra…
This paper improves capital efficiency in AMM protocols with leverage.
MSBM extends SB for multi-marginal trajectory inference.
We develop an HMC algorithm to easily marginalize random effects in LMMs.
Submodular extensions of an energy function can be used to efficiently compute approximate marginals via variational inference. The accuracy of the marginals depends crucially on the quality of the submodular extension. To identify the best possible extension, we show an equivalence between the submodular extensions of…
We prove that the marginal densities of a global probability mass function in a primal normal factor graph and the corresponding marginal densities in the dual normal factor graph are related via local mappings. The mapping depends on the Fourier transform of the local factors of the models. Details of the mapping, inc…
Efficient algorithms improve learning of large-margin halfspaces.
Max-margin learning is a powerful approach to building classifiers and structured output predictors. Recent work on max-margin supervised topic models has successfully integrated it with Bayesian topic models to discover discriminative latent semantic structures and make accurate predictions for unseen testing data. Ho…
Efficient methods for answering complex probabilistic queries in sequential data.
New algorithm for efficient inference over tree-structured graphs.
How can we make machine learning provably robust against adversarial examples in a scalable way? Since certified defense methods, which ensure -robust, consume huge resources, they can only achieve small degree of robustness in practice. Lipschitz margin training (LMT) is a scalable certified defense, but it can als…
Worst-case bounds on the expected shortfall risk given only limited information on the distribution of the random variables has been studied extensively in the literature. In this paper, we develop a new worst-case bound on the expected shortfall when the univariate marginals are known exactly and additional expert inf…
We consider the structured-output prediction problem through probabilistic approaches and generalize the "perturb-and-MAP" framework to more challenging weighted Hamming losses, which are crucial in applications. While in principle our approach is a straightforward marginalization, it requires solving many related MAP …
Graphical models use graphs to compactly capture stochastic dependencies amongst a collection of random variables. Inference over graphical models corresponds to finding marginal probability distributions given joint probability distributions. In general, this is computationally intractable, which has led to a quest fo…
We discuss Bayesian methods for learning Bayesian networks when data sets are incomplete. In particular, we examine asymptotic approximations for the marginal likelihood of incomplete data given a Bayesian network. We consider the Laplace approximation and the less accurate but more efficient BIC/MDL approximation. We …
New method calibrates local volatility models to marginal distributions.
Proposes RLAR for efficient labeled data classification with robust margin and manifold structure.
We consider the problem of discriminative factor analysis for data that are in general non-Gaussian. A Bayesian model based on the ranks of the data is proposed. We first introduce a new {\em max-margin} version of the rank-likelihood. A discriminative factor model is then developed, integrating the max-margin rank-lik…