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arXiv research

A locally-built, LLM-digested index of recent arXiv papers in quant finance, geometry/topology, and statistical ML — keyword search served straight from SQLite on this machine.

169,341 papers · 148 categories

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12.5%25.0%37.5%50.0% · Nov 199319922001200920182026
48 results for effective potential

Study clarifies variance of stratification estimators for causal effects.

problem Estimating average causal effects with discrete covariates.
method Combines insights from potential outcomes, causal diagrams, and structural models.
result Derives expressions for the variance of stratification estimators.

CCN estimates full potential outcome distributions without restrictive assumptions.

problem Estimating CATE is insufficient; full potential outcome distributions provide greater insights.
method Collaborating Causal Networks (CCN) learns full potential outcome distributions without restrictive assumptions.
result CCN learns distributions that asymptotically capture true potential outcome distributions.

Analyzes tunneling effects for Schrödinger operators on vector bundles.

problem Tunneling effects in quantum systems with multiple potential wells.
method Quasimodes and WKB analysis near potential wells, interaction matrix for coupling between wells.
result Polynomial prefactor for exponentially small eigenvalue splitting determined by dimension of minimal geodesics.

PO-Flow models potential and counterfactual outcomes for personalized treatment decisions.

problem Predicting individualized treatment effects from observational data.
method Continuous normalizing flow (CNF) framework for causal inference.
result Unified approach to potential outcome prediction, treatment effect estimation, and counterfactual prediction.

hyperSBINN improves drug cardiosafety assessment by efficiently modeling cardiac action potentials.

problem Complexity and limited data in modeling cardiac effects of drugs.
method Combining meta-learning with SBINNs to solve parameterized cardiac action potential models.
result hyperSBINN outperforms traditional solvers in speed and accuracy for predicting APD90 values.

We apply the potential force estimation method to artificial time series of market price produced by a deterministic dealer model. We find that dealers' feedback of linear prediction of market price based on the latest mean price changes plays the central role in the market's potential force. When markets are dominated…

2007-10-09abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper investigates nonexistence of solutions for elliptic inequalities with potential in bounded domains.

problem Effect of potential behavior at domain boundaries on nonexistence of nonnegative solutions.
method Investigates elliptic differential inequalities with a potential in bounded domains.
result Nonexistence of nonnegative solutions due to potential behavior at domain boundaries.

Two new methods generate probabilistic forecasts of individual treatment effects.

problem Generating probabilistic forecasts of individual treatment effects for risk-aware decision-making.
method Proposes CCT and CMC meta-learners combining conformal predictive systems with analytic convolution or Monte Carlo sampling.
result Achieve probabilistically calibrated predictive distributions and performant continuous ranked probability scores.

Improved sensitivity to Higgs potential through neural simulation-based inference for di-Higgs events.

problem Improving sensitivity to physics beyond the Standard Model through di-Higgs events.
method Simulation-based inference using neural networks to estimate per-event likelihood ratios.
result Adding kinematic observables improves experimental sensitivity to Higgs self-coupling.

The paper explores methods to better estimate treatment effects by leveraging shared structure in potential outcomes.

problem Estimating treatment effects when outcomes may vary widely and existing methods often assume heterogeneity.
method Investigates and compares three learning strategies: regularization, reparametrization, and a multi-task architecture.
result All three approaches improve upon existing baselines, providing insights into their relative strengths.

Extracts interpretable potential energy from Hamiltonian systems.

problem Learning an interpretable potential energy function from Hamiltonian systems.
method Constructs a neural network model of the potential and applies equation discovery to extract a closed-form algebraic expression.
result Close agreement between learned neural potentials and ground truth potentials, including correct effective potential for a central force problem.

This paper identifies and bounds ICE central moments using PO marginal central moments.

problem Identifying and characterizing treatment effect heterogeneity.
method Using only marginal central moments of potential outcomes, the paper identifies and bounds central moments of individual causal effects.
result Identification and bounding of central moments of ICE using marginal moments of POs.

Researchers calculate spectral invariants from Dirichlet-to-Neumann map for Witten-Laplacian with potential.

problem Calculating spectral invariants from Dirichlet-to-Neumann map for Witten-Laplacian with potential.
method Established an effective procedure to calculate all coefficients of the spectral asymptotic formula of the Dirichlet-to-Neumann map.
result Explicitly provided the first four coefficients of the spectral asymptotic formula.

Dynamic treatment effects estimated over time using covariate balancing.

problem Estimating treatment effects in panel data with dynamic treatments.
method Dynamic covariate balancing with potential local projections.
result Established inferential guarantees for the proposed method.

Proposes a method to improve CATE estimation by imputing missing potential outcomes.

problem Statistical discrepancy between distinct treatment groups in CATE estimation.
method Contrastive learning approach to reliably impute missing potential outcomes for a subset of individuals.
result Improves the accuracy and robustness of CATE estimation models.

Kernel balancing equalizes covariate distributions to unbiasedly estimate causal effects.

problem Non-uniform distribution of covariates between treated and control groups leads to biased causal effect estimates.
method Kernel balancing targets equal means of a kernel-based approximation of covariates for treated and control groups, producing unbiased ATT estimates.
result Kernel balancing produces weights that equalize the multivariate distribution of covariates for treated and control groups, leading to unbiased ATT estimation.

A method to detect spillover effects and select valid donors for synthetic control models.

problem Identifying valid donors in synthetic control models when spillover effects are possible.
method Theoretical grounding and practical method using pre-intervention data to identify donor values and debias causal estimates.
result A Theorem that identifies assumptions for identifying donor values and debias causal estimates.

We study both the continuous model and the discrete model of the integer quantum Hall effect on the hyperbolic plane in the presence of disorder, extending the results of an earlier paper [CHMM]. Here we model impurities, that is we consider the effect of a random or almost periodic potential as opposed to just periodi…

1998-04-27abs ↗pdf ↗

The quality of an induced model by a learning algorithm is dependent on the quality of the training data and the hyper-parameters supplied to the learning algorithm. Prior work has shown that improving the quality of the training data (i.e., by removing low quality instances) or tuning the learning algorithm hyper-para…

2014-03-13abs ↗pdf ↗

Graph neural networks help assess how global changes affect plant-pollinator networks.

problem Interpreting GNN results to understand how global changes impact plant-pollinator networks.
method Simulation study and application on Spipoll dataset to assess effects of global changes on pollination networks.
result GNNs can detect interactive effects between covariates and plant genera on pollination network connectivity.

Proposes TLRNet for estimating treatment effects from observational data.

problem Estimating individual treatment effects from observational data.
method Deep neural network with pseudo-single learner structure.
result Acceptable results obtained using one estimator for two treatment groups.

Proposes a method for interpreting time-varying causal effect moderation in high-dimensional data.

problem Interpreting causal effect moderation in high-dimensional data with interpretability and avoiding false positives.
method Two-step method: 1) Selects a smaller model for linear causal effect moderation using Gaussian randomization, 2) Conditions on selection to construct a pivot for uniformly asymptotic semi-parametric inference.
result Consistently achieves valid coverage rates and shorter, bounded intervals in time-varying causal effect moderation.

Study on existence of ground states on curved spaces with conditions on potential growth.

problem Existence of ground states for aggregation-diffusion models on Cartan-Hadamard manifolds.
method Investigation of a free energy functional on Cartan-Hadamard manifolds, considering entropy and interaction energies.
result Necessary and sufficient conditions for existence of ground states are found, depending on the growth of the attractive potential.

In the present work, it is shown that, the application of the Bazanski approach to Lagrangians, written in AP-geometry and including the basic vector of the space, gives rise to a new class of path equations. The general equation representing this class contains four extra terms, whose vanishing reduces this equation t…

2004-08-11abs ↗pdf ↗

Being one of the most important factors of economic growth of the country, innovations became one of the key vectors in Russian economic policy. In this field technology parks are one of the most effective instruments which can provide growth of innovative activity in sectors, regions and economies. In this paper, we m…

2014-02-21abs ↗pdf ↗

Paper uses Bayesian optimization to find best Supertrend indicator settings.

problem Finding optimal trading parameters for the Supertrend indicator.
method Bayesian optimization to automate parameter selection.
result BO-optimized Supertrend strategy yields higher profits in backtesting.

Unified survey of treatment effect heterogeneity and uplift modeling methods.

problem Estimating heterogeneous treatment effects and uplift modeling.
method Unified survey of treatment effect heterogeneity and uplift modeling approaches.
result Unified notations for comparing methods and applications in personalized marketing, medicine, and social studies.

Proposes a method to estimate treatment effects using instruments.

problem Estimating treatment effects from observational data is challenging when unconfoundedness is violated.
method Leverages instruments to estimate bounds on conditional average treatment effect (CATE) through a mapping to a discrete representation space and a two-step procedure.
result Demonstrates theoretical validity and reduced estimation variance in finite-sample settings.

Study examines wave equation decay and Strichartz estimates on conic manifolds.

problem Analyzing wave equation behavior on conic spaces with critical electromagnetic potentials.
method Established decay and Strichartz estimates through localized spectral measure construction.
result Extended and improved previous results on wave equation behavior with critical potentials.

The paper clarifies the distinction between CATE and ITE under ignorability assumptions.

problem Confusion between CATE and ITE hinders personalized effect estimation.
method Clarifies the distinction between CATE and ITE under ignorability assumptions.
result CATE and ITE are not necessarily the same under ignorability assumptions.