New method disentangles latent factors for better treatment effect estimation.
problem Estimating treatment effects from observational data when confounders are not the only variables.
method Variational inference to disentangle latent factors into instrumental, confounding, and risk factors.
result The method improves treatment effect estimation accuracy on various datasets.
Proposes Robust Matrix Factorization with Grouping Effect (GRMF) for better performance and robustness.
problem Improves matrix factorization by incorporating grouping effect for better performance and robustness.
method Integrates grouping effect into matrix factorization, using an efficient alternating minimization framework with DC programming and ADMM.
result Demonstrates improved performance and robustness compared to five benchmark algorithms on real-world data sets with outliers and noise.
FactorGCL uses hypergraph learning to predict stock returns by mining hidden factors.
problem Mining effective factors in data-driven models is challenging due to low signal-to-noise ratio in market data.
method FactorGCL employs a hypergraph structure and temporal residual contrastive learning to extract hidden factors.
result FactorGCL outperforms existing methods and mines effective hidden factors for predicting stock returns.
Sensitivity analysis for individualized effects in OTRs with binary risk factors.
problem Addressing omitted confounding in individualized effects of OTRs.
method Simulation-based sensitivity analysis to simulate unmeasured confounders.
result Benchmarking the strength of omitted confounding for binary risk factors.
Deep models improve factor analysis by capturing non-linearity and interaction effects.
problem Improving factor models to better capture complex asset relationships.
method Developed deep fundamental factor models with uncertainty quantification and hidden layers.
result Generated information ratios approximately 1.5x greater than traditional models.
Paper proposes MIM-DRCFR to learn disentangled factors for better treatment effect estimation.
problem Learning disentangled factors precisely for individual-level treatment effect estimation.
method Multi-task learning framework with MI minimization criteria.
result MIM-DRCFR outperforms state-of-the-art methods in treatment effect estimation.
Improved SIR algorithm identifies effective factors more accurately.
problem Identifying significant factors with lower intrinsic dimensionality.
method Overlapping Sliced Inverse Regression (OSIR) algorithm.
result OSIR algorithm estimates effective dimension reduction space and number of effective factors more accurately.
A new GP method handles both qualitative and quantitative factors using latent variables.
problem Handling both qualitative and quantitative inputs in simulations.
method Mapping qualitative factors to latent variables and treating them similarly to numerical variables.
result Superior predictive performance across various examples.
Deep tensor factorization benefits from implicit regularization with polynomial growth.
problem Tensor factorization's implicit regularization effect in deep networks is not well understood.
method Investigated the implicit regularization in deep tensor factorization, showing polynomial growth.
result Implicit regularization in deep tensor factorization grows polynomially with depth, improving estimation accuracy and convergence.
Financial event studies often misestimate causal effects due to misspecified factor models.
problem Misspecification of factor models in financial event studies leads to inconsistent estimates of causal effects.
method Proposed synthetic control methods to construct replicating portfolios from control securities.
result Synthetic control methods provide more accurate estimates of causal effects in event studies.
Bayesian state-space model accounts for cohort effects in mortality modeling.
problem Capturing cohort effects in mortality modeling for various countries.
method State-space methodology with Bayesian inference and Markov chain Monte Carlo sampler.
result Cohort factors are crucial for accurate mortality forecasting and life expectancy calculations.
AutoAlpha efficiently discovers effective alpha factors for quantitative investment.
problem Mining effective alpha factors for successful quantitative investment models.
method Hierarchical evolutionary algorithm with PCA-QD search, warm start, and replacement methods.
result AutoAlpha discovers and generates effective formulaic alphas for portfolio optimization.
Study integrates attentional and spacing factors to improve category learning models.
problem Understanding the impact of training sequences on category learning.
method Introduced a novel integration of attentional factors and spacing into logistic knowledge tracing models.
result Enhanced model predicts students' learning outcomes better than existing models.
The study measures systemic risk using common and tail dependence factors.
problem Measuring systemic risk accurately during economic downturns.
method Modeling systemic risk with a common factor for market-wide shocks and a tail dependence factor for extreme events.
result Measures including a tail dependence factor offer better forecasting of financial stress than measures based solely on a common factor.
Develops polynomial diffusion models for multi-factor commodity futures dynamics.
problem Modeling futures prices using latent state variables for short and long-term stochastic factors.
method Polynomial diffusion models to incorporate non-linear effects, two filtering methods for estimation.
result Accurate estimation of futures prices despite parameter identification issues in polynomial diffusion models.
The CAPM fails to explain small firm effect and proposes semi-parametric measures.
problem The CAPM fails to explain the small firm effect and is biased and inconsistent.
method Uses non-parametric and semi-parametric asset pricing models to analyze risk and performance measures.
result Semi-parametric measures are non-constant under extreme market conditions and not significantly different from the Fama-French three-factor model.
A novel disentangled graph autoencoder improves treatment effect estimation from networked observational data.
problem Treatment effect estimation from observational data is challenging due to unconfoundedness assumption and latent confounders.
method Proposes a disentangled variational graph autoencoder to disentangle latent factors and enforce factor independence.
result Extensive experiments show superior performance compared to state-of-the-art approaches.
Generative models improve causal effect estimation from observational data.
problem Estimating causal effects from observational data, especially when confounding factors are present.
method Proposes a progressive sequence of Variational Auto-Encoder models to learn underlying factors and causal effects.
result Empirical results show superior performance compared to state-of-the-art approaches.
A decentralized algorithm for high-dimensional Bayesian optimization.
problem Scalability and interdependent effects in high-dimensional optimization.
method Sparse factor graph representation for efficient decentralized optimization.
result Guaranteed no-regret performance in decentralized optimization.
New method for inference on covariates in NMF with random effects.
problem Formal inference for covariate effects in NMF with non-negativity constraints.
method NMF-RE model with random effects, ridge updates, df-based cap, asymptotic linearization, wild bootstrap.
result Valid inference on covariates with non-negativity constraint, avoiding degeneracy.
Spatial first differences used to estimate effects of unobservable geographic factors on agricultural productivity.
problem Estimating causal effects in the presence of unobservable heterogeneity.
method Developed a cross-sectional research design using spatial first differences (SFD) to identify causal effects.
result New estimates for the effects of time-invariant geographic factors on long-run agricultural productivities.
A new multi-factor model improves commodity pricing accuracy.
problem Enhancing accuracy in commodity pricing by integrating multiple risk factors.
method A four-factor model using Kalman filter for simultaneous estimation and state variable filtering.
result The four-factor model outperforms existing models in capturing futures term structures and crude oil pricing.
Deep learning improves covariance matrix estimation for better portfolio risk management.
problem Improving the accuracy of covariance matrix estimation for portfolio risk management.
method Formulated as a learning problem, used deep learning to automatically discover risk factors.
result 1.9% higher explained variance and reduced portfolio risk.
We study the dynamics of correlation and variance in systems under the load of environmental factors. A universal effect in ensembles of similar systems under the load of similar factors is described: in crisis, typically, even before obvious symptoms of crisis appear, correlation increases, and, at the same time, vari…
Study tests if equity factors explain Bitcoin's risk and returns.
problem Explaining Bitcoin's risk and return with equity factors.
method Applied statistical methods to test Fama-French factors on Bitcoin's excess returns.
result Fama-French factors have explanatory power on Bitcoin's risk and returns.
Analyzes robust portfolio optimization with multi-factor stochastic volatility.
problem Optimizing portfolios under uncertainty and volatility risks.
method Analytical derivation of optimal strategy under worst-case scenarios, comparison with strategies ignoring uncertainty, and numerical experiments.
result Effects of ambiguity and derivative trading on optimal portfolio selection.
Dropout improves matrix factorization by controlling factor size.
problem Understanding regularization properties of dropout for matrix factorization.
method Theoretical analysis of dropout's equivalence to a deterministic model with adaptive dropout rates.
result Dropout's regularization effect is limited by the fixed dropout rate, suggesting adaptive rates.
Effective rank rigidity proved for cubulated groups with factor systems.
problem Rank rigidity in cubulated groups with factor systems.
method Exhibiting special pairs of hyperplanes and curtains for skewering.
result Effective form of rank rigidity proved for cubulated groups.
The study examines how global economic policy uncertainty affects crude oil futures volatility.
problem Predicting crude oil futures volatility using global economic policy uncertainty.
method Established single-factor and two-factor models under the GARCH-MIDAS framework, tested with rolling-window and fixed-span specifications.
result GEPU changes have stronger predictive power than the GEPU index for crude oil futures volatility.
A new method for unsupervised disentanglement using axis-aligned cliffs.
problem Unsupervised disentanglement of latent factors under nonlinear maps.
method Encouraging axis-aligned discontinuities (cliffs) in the estimated density of factors.
result Cliff method outperforms baselines on disentanglement benchmarks.
Matrix factorization reduces bias in causal inference with noisy covariates.
problem Bias in causal inference due to noisy and missing covariates.
method Matrix factorization to infer confounders from noisy covariates.
result Consistent estimation of average treatment effects in a linear regression setting.
Lower discount factors act as a regularizer in RL, improving performance.
problem Improving RL performance with limited data.
method Explicitly equating reduced discount factors to regularization terms.
result Regularization effectiveness depends on data properties.
Factor Engine simplifies financial factor computation and analysis in Python.
problem Efficient computation and analysis of financial factors.
method Modular, extensible Python library with decorators, integrates with data science ecosystem.
result Mispricing factors computed by Factor Engine and Stata implementation are highly similar.
Unintended effects from scaling neural network outputs with adaptive learning rates.
problem Adaptive learning rate optimization's behavior is altered by output scaling, leading to misinterpretation.
method Presented a modified optimization algorithm to mitigate unintended effects.
result Adaptive learning rate's effectiveness is significantly impacted by output scaling, especially for small scaling factors.
Dynamic model captures spatial, temporal, and spatiotemporal volatility effects.
problem Analyzing volatility in spatial and temporal networks.
method Dynamic spatiotemporal and network ARCH model with common factors, Bayesian estimation.
result Model captures strong spatial/network interactions and spillover effects.
The paper examines the stability of Fama-French multi-factor models over time.
problem Stability of Fama-French multi-factor models over time.
method Rolling window method, Fama and MacBeth's two-step estimation, generalized GRS statistics.
result The effectiveness of Fama-French factors is not stable over time in all countries.
This paper uses Factored Latent Analysis (FLA) to learn a factorized, segmental representation for observations of tracked objects over time. Factored Latent Analysis is latent class analysis in which the observation space is subdivided and each aspect of the original space is represented by a separate latent class mod…
New method estimates latent gene expression factors without overlap with known confounders.
problem Estimating latent variance components in gene expression data with known confounders.
method Restricted maximum-likelihood method maximizing likelihood on orthogonal subspace.
result Method reduces runtime and attains greater likelihood values than gradient-based optimizers.
Boosts models to detect synchronisation between EEG and EMG data.
problem Understanding the functional relationship between EEG and EMG during emotion episodes.
method Applied historical function-on-function regression models with gradient boosting algorithm.
result Improved models for detecting synchronisation in bioelectrical signals.
A network-based approach identifies financial factors from asset interactions, explaining market dynamics.
problem Characterizing joint financial asset behavior through underlying drivers.
method Modeling market as coupled iterated maps, where asset returns depend on past returns and interactions.
result Stable patterns of co-movement (financial factors) emerge from asset interactions, explaining asset variance.
We empirically investigated the effects of market factors on the information flow created from N(N-1)/2 linkage relationships among stocks. We also examined the possibility of employing the minimal spanning tree (MST) method, which is capable of reducing the number of links to N-1. We determined that market factors car…
New methods forecast time series using high predictors via latent factors.
problem Forecasting with many predictors and nonlinear relationships.
method Factor analysis, sufficient dimension reduction, directional regression, inverse third-moment method.
result Captures non-monotone effects of latent factors on response.
EigenBayes: A fast, adaptive Bayesian shrinkage approach for high-dimensional matrix factorization
problem Choosing the latent dimension k in factor models method Adaptive spectral shrinkage and empirical Bayes calibration
result Adapts to signal-to-noise ratio and shrinks superfluous components
Study asset price bubbles using random matching and stochastic factors.
problem Understanding and modeling asset price bubbles through investor contagion.
method Developed a stochastic model of liquidity-based asset price bubbles using random matching mechanism.
result Derived conditions for arbitrage-free financial market models.
Predict artist efficiency in VFX shots using matrix completion.
problem Predicting artist efficiency in rendering VFX shots.
method Structured matrix factorization models for bounded entries.
result Effective models for predicting artist efficiency.
The paper proposes a method to identify latent factors from sampled and fired graph data.
problem Identifying latent factors from sampled and fired graph data.
method The paper presents a theoretical and practical approach to build an identifier of latent factor activations.
result The method successfully identifies latent factor activations from sampled and fired graph data.
Nonnegative Boltzmann machines (NNBMs) are recurrent probabilistic neural network models that can describe multi-modal nonnegative data. NNBMs form rectified Gaussian distributions that appear in biological neural network models, positive matrix factorization, nonnegative matrix factorization, and so on. In this paper,…
Matrix factorization simplifies user-item co-occurrence analysis.
problem Understanding the meaning of low-dimensional matrices in matrix factorization.
method Showed matrix factorization equals calculating eigenvectors of co-occurrence matrices, using RMT insights.
result Low-dimension matrices represent a reduced noise user and item co-occurrence space.