Money as a Tensorq-fin.GN
Money analyzed as a multidimensional tensor for better economic policy.
problem Economic complexity and policy responsiveness.
method Tensor analysis of money dynamics.
result Enhanced economic policy design and resilience.
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48 results for “economic tensor”
Surveying machine learning methods for economic forecasting.
problem Improving accuracy of economic forecasts using machine learning.
method Nowcasting, textual data, panel and tensor data, high-dimensional Granger causality tests, time series cross-validation, classification with economic losses.
result Recent advances in machine learning methods enhance economic forecasting accuracy.
GRTR framework uses graph regularization to improve financial forecasting.
problem High computational costs and economic domain knowledge loss in tensor models.
method Graph-Regularized Tensor Regression (GRTR) framework incorporating economic domain knowledge.
result Improved performance in multi-way financial forecasting with reduced computational costs.
We solve tensor balancing, rescaling an Nth order nonnegative tensor by multiplying N tensors of order N - 1 so that every fiber sums to one. This generalizes a fundamental process of matrix balancing used to compare matrices in a wide range of applications from biology to economics. We present an efficient balancing a…
Method determines latent dimensionality in international trade flows.
problem Finding meaningful low-dimensional latent features in high-dimensional international trade data.
method Proposes a latent dimension determination method based on clustering of nonnegative RESCAL decompositions.
result Validates the latent features against empirical economic facts.
Tensor trains simplify solving complex PDEs efficiently.
problem Solving high-dimensional parabolic PDEs using traditional methods is computationally infeasible.
method Reformulate PDEs as backward stochastic differential equations and use tensor train format for compression and efficient computation.
result Tensor train methods achieve a good balance between accuracy and computational efficiency.
A new diffusion model generates structured tensors for high-dimensional data.
problem Generating a structured tensor with a target distribution.
method Tucker diffusion model with Tucker-Unet architecture.
result Generated tensors converge to the true data distribution at a rate dependent on tensor mode dimensions.
TEAFormers preserve multi-dimensional time series structures for better forecasting.
problem Traditional Transformers flatten multi-dimensional time series data, losing critical multi-dimensional relationships.
method Tensor-Augmented Transformer (TEAFormer) with Tensor-Augmentation (TEA) module.
result Significant performance enhancements in time series forecasting across benchmarks.
Method detects multi-timescale consumer spending patterns from receipts.
problem Understanding and managing consumer behavior in high-dimensional data.
method Non-negative tensor factorization (NTF) to extract multi-timescale expenditure patterns.
result Consumption patterns are characterized based on spending behavior over different timescales.
Study finds whitepaper narratives do not predict market factor structure.
problem Predicting market behavior from cryptocurrency whitepaper claims.
method Zero-shot NLP classification combined with CP tensor decomposition of market data.
result Weak alignment between whitepaper claims and market statistics and latent factors.
Current economic theories miss most of economic dynamics.
problem Accuracy of economic theories and policies depend on economic variables and processes.
method Identify and analyze overlooked economic variables and processes.
result Many economic variables and processes not accounted for in current theories.
Fake news may be intentionally created to promote economic, political and social interests, and can lead to negative impacts on humans beliefs and decisions. Hence, detection of fake news is an emerging problem that has become extremely prevalent during the last few years. Most existing works on this topic focus on man…
Modeling business cycles via collective risk fluctuations in economic agents' risk space.
problem Understanding and predicting business cycles through economic agents' risk dynamics.
method Continuous numerical risk grades for economic agents, modeling collective economic variables and flows as functions of risk coordinates, deriving equations for their evolution.
result Business and credit cycles are explained as fluctuations of collective economic variables and their mean risks in the risk space of economic agents.
'Ergodicity economics' is criticized as pseudoscience.
problem Flawed conceptual basis of mainstream economic theory.
method Claims 'ergodicity economics' is more parsimonious and clearer.
result Peters' approach has not produced falsifiable implications.
Measurement of Economic Growth, Development and Under Development: New Model and Applicationq-fin.GN
This paper presents a simple model to measure the relative economic growth of economic systems. The model considers S-Shaped patterns of economic growth that, represented with a linear model, measure how an economic system grows in comparison with another one. In particular, this model introduces an approach which indi…
Complexity, economic science and possible economic benefits of climate change mitigation policyphysics.soc-ph
Conventional economic analysis of stringent climate change mitigation policy generally concludes various levels of economic slowdown as a result of substantial spending on low carbon technology. Equilibrium economics however could not explain or predict the current economic crisis, which is of financial nature. Meanwhi…
This mathematical essay brings together ideas from Economics, Geobiodynamics and Thermodynamics. Its purpose is to obtain real models of complex evolutionary systems. More specifically, the essay defines Roegenian Economy and links Geobiodynamics and Roegenian Economy. In this context, we discuss the isomorphism betwee…
Economic Policy Taxonomyq-fin.GN
Proposes a taxonomy for economic policies.
problem Lack of a standardized list of economic policies.
method Develops a tree taxonomy to categorize economic policies.
result Constructs an exhaustive list of economic policies.
The Effects of Taxes on Wealth Inequality in Artificial Chemistry Models of Economic Activityq-fin.GN
Study examines how taxes affect wealth inequality in economic models.
problem Reducing economic inequality in models of economic activity.
method Examined Artificial Chemistry models and various tax measures.
result Effective tax measures can reduce economic inequality.
From positions, attained by modern theoretical physics in understanding of the universe bases, the methodological and philosophical analysis of fundamental physical concepts and their formal and informal connections with the real economic measurings is carried out. Procedures for heterogeneous economic time determinati…
The dynamic network of relationships among corporations underlies cascading economic failures including the current economic crisis, and can be inferred from correlations in market value fluctuations. We analyze the time dependence of the network of correlations to reveal the changing relationships among the financial,…
Paper classifies economic states and optimizes portfolios for stagflationary environments.
problem Economic uncertainty and stagflationary conditions.
method Mathematical techniques for analyzing multivariate time series, economic driver analysis, self-similarity identification, and portfolio optimization.
result Constructs economic state classifications and computes economic state integrals.
Second-order economic theory considers new variables to improve price volatility predictions.
problem Current economic models focus on first-order variables, missing second-order variables that affect price volatility.
method Introduces second-order economic theory with new variables composed of sums of squares of agents' transactions.
result Second-order economic theory complements first-order variables and introduces new macroeconomic variables.
This work proposes a new method to estimate joint probability from pairwise marginals, reducing sample complexity.
problem Direct nonparametric estimation of high-dimensional joint probability is infeasible due to the curse of dimensionality.
method Developed a coupled nonnegative matrix factorization (CNMF) framework using only pairwise marginals.
result The method provably recovers the joint probability mass function up to bounded error in finite iterations under reasonable conditions.
Thermodynamics of marketsq-fin.GN
The thermodynamics of markets is analyzed, revealing parallels with thermodynamic laws.
problem Understanding economic systems through thermodynamic principles.
method Derivation and analysis of thermodynamic laws applied to economic systems.
result Deep analogy between thermodynamic and economic parameters established.
The seriousness of the current crisis urgently demands new economic thinking that breaks the austerity vs. deficit spending circle in economic policy. The core tenet of the paper is that the most important problems that natural and social science are facing today are inverse problems, and that a new approach that goes …
Data describing historical economic growth are analysed. Included in the analysis is the world and regional economic growth. The analysis demonstrates that historical economic growth had a natural tendency to follow hyperbolic distributions. Parameters describing hyperbolic distributions have been determined. A search …
New interpretation reconciles country and product complexity.
problem Difficulty in interpreting Economic and Product Complexity Indices.
method Spectral clustering algorithm to separately group similar countries and products.
result Indices identify two co-clusters of similar countries and products.
We recall the similarities between the concepts and techniques of Thermodynamics and Roegenian Economics. The Phase Diagram for a Roegenian economic system highlights a triple point and a critical point, with related explanations. These ideas can be used to improve our knowledge and understanding of the nature of devel…
Mean Field Games applied to finance and economics.
problem Modeling large populations in financial and economic systems.
method Mean Field Game theory applied to specific financial and economic scenarios.
result New applications in bitcoin mining, energy markets, and macro-economics.
The algebra of transactions as fundamental measurements is constructed on the basis of the analysis of their properties and represents an expansion of the Boolean algebra. The notion of the generalized economic measurements of the economic quantity and quality of objects of transactions is introduced. It has been shown…
Economics does not need a scientific revolution. Economics needs accurate measurements according to high standards of natural sciences and meticulous work on revealing empirical relationships between measured variables.
Study uses Perelman and Ricci flow methods to analyze economic inequality.
problem Impact of socio-economic challenges and technological progress on economic inequality.
method Perelman model and Ricci flow methods.
result Technological innovations and social protection programs reduce inequality.
Model predicts real-time job applicant numbers for regional economic analysis.
problem Real-time economic analysis using alternative data.
method Mixed-Frequency Aggregate Learning (MF-AGL) model.
result Model accurately predicts regional labor market conditions and economic status changes.
The fundamental purpose of the present research article is to introduce the basic principles of Dimensional Analysis in the context of the neoclassical economic theory, in order to apply such principles to the fundamental relations that underlay most models of economic growth. In particular, basic instruments from Dime…
New framework for interpretable firm characteristics factors.
problem Creating statistically efficient and economically interpretable factors from firm characteristics.
method Grouping related characteristics and deriving one factor per group, combining economic intuition with data-driven clustering.
result Parsimonious, transparent factors outperform benchmarks in out-of-sample tests.
DRL enhances economic modeling with deep learning methods.
problem Complex dynamic business environments in economics.
method Comprehensive review of DL, RL, and deep RL methods applied to economics.
result DRL provides better performance and higher accuracy in economic applications.
Does Infrastructure Investment Lead to Economic Growth or Economic Fragility? Evidence from Chinaq-fin.GN
The prevalent view in the economics literature is that a high level of infrastructure investment is a precursor to economic growth. China is especially held up as a model to emulate. Based on the largest dataset of its kind, this paper punctures the twin myths that, first, infrastructure creates economic value, and, se…
We analyze social and economic systems with a hierarchical structure and show that for such systems, it is possible to construct thermostatistics, based on the intermediate Gentile statistics. We show that in social and economic hierarchical systems there are elements that obey the Fermi-Dirac statistics and can be cal…
In this editorial guide for the special issue on econophysics, we give a unique review of this young but quickly growing discipline. A suggestive taxonomy of the development is proposed by making a distinction between classical econophysics and modern econophysics. For each of these two stages of development, we identi…
Our study shows that many firms would accumulate at zero output level (namely, Bankruptcy status) if a perfectly competitive market reaches full employment (namely, those people who should obtain employment have obtained employment). As a result, appearance of economic crisis is determined by two points; that is, (a). …
Examines financial risks' impact on EU-15 economic growth.
problem The impact of financial risks on economic growth in EU-15.
method Panel estimated generalized least squares method with additional control variables.
result Financial risks significantly impact economic growth in EU-15.
Developing an AI economist agent using RAG, knowledge graphs, and LLMs for economic scenario analysis.
problem Economic scenario analysis using large language models and knowledge graphs.
method Proposing an RAG-based AI economist framework that utilizes knowledge graphs and LLMs.
result Improves economic coherence and traceability in generated reports.
The paper presents instructive interdisciplinary applications of constrained mechanics calculus in economics on a level appropriate for the undergraduate physics education. The aim of the paper is: 1. to meet the demand for illustrative examples suitable for presenting the background of the highly expanding research fi…
Study improves stock return prediction by switching between economic states, outperforming traditional methods.
problem Improving stock return prediction across economic regimes.
method State-switching specification using the slope of the yield curve, with an Aligned Economic Index.
result The Aligned Economic Index outperforms traditional predictors, especially during market turbulence.
Networks as Proxies: a relational approach towards economic complexity in the Roman periodphysics.soc-ph
Based on the assumption that economic complexity is characterised by the interactions of economic agents (who) constantly change their actions and strategies in response to the outcome they mutually create, this paper presents how network models can be used a proxies for the mapping, quantification and analysis of Roma…
Economic factors significantly influence stock returns, as shown by attribution analysis.
problem The influence of economic factors on stock returns.
method Attribution model using five classic factors and new factors like Market Indices, Consumptions, and Oil Prices.
result Stock returns are exposed to economic news and priced based on risk exposure.
Economic systems are similar with physic systems for their large number of individuals and the exist of equilibrium. In this paper, we present a model applying the equilibrium statistical model in economic systems. Consistent with statistical physics, we define a series of concepts, such as economic temperature, econom…